OnKure Therapeutics (OKUR)
Market Price (2/25/2026): $2.55 | Market Cap: $34.5 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
OnKure Therapeutics (OKUR)
Market Price (2/25/2026): $2.55Market Cap: $34.5 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -202% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -68 Mil | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -188% | ||
| Key risksOKUR key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate relative to its market capitalization creating significant financial pressure and [2] heavy reliance on a limited number of product candidates, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -202% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -68 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -188% |
| Key risksOKUR key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate relative to its market capitalization creating significant financial pressure and [2] heavy reliance on a limited number of product candidates, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Delay in Key Clinical Trial Data Pushed Back Investor Confidence. On November 6, 2025, OnKure Therapeutics announced a delay in reporting mature single-agent and early combination data from its PIKture-01 trial for its lead candidate, OKI-219. This crucial data, previously expected in the second half of 2025 or Q4 2025, was pushed back to the first quarter of 2026. Such delays in clinical-stage biopharmaceutical companies can significantly impact investor sentiment by extending the timeline for potential positive catalysts and increasing uncertainty.
2. Negative Market Reaction to Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. Despite reporting an earnings per share (EPS) of -$1.09 for Q3 2025, which exceeded analysts' expectations of -$1.20 by 9.17%, OnKure Therapeutics' stock experienced a notable decline. Shares dropped 7.0% the day following the November 6, 2025, earnings announcement, closing at $2.94. This negative reaction, despite an earnings beat, suggests investor concerns beyond just the reported numbers, likely influenced by the simultaneous announcement of the clinical trial data delay.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -24.8% change in OKUR stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -0.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.39 | 2.55 | -24.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 14 | 14 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OKUR | -24.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.8% | 29.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 9.4% | 3.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 15.4% change in OKUR stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.21 | 2.55 | 15.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 14 | -0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OKUR | 15.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.0% | 21.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 21.6% | 8.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -58.5% change in OKUR stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -1.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.15 | 2.55 | -58.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 14 | -1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OKUR | -58.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.2% | 28.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 8.9% | 28.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OKUR | ||
| Market (SPY) | 75.4% | 24.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | 23.9% | 26.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OKUR Return | - | - | - | -54% | -66% | -16% | -87% |
| Peers Return | -19% | -24% | 132% | -9% | 139% | 8% | 235% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OKUR Win Rate | - | - | - | 0% | 25% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 44% | 50% | 62% | 48% | 63% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OKUR Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -58% | -79% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -40% | -48% | -24% | -32% | -37% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LLY, RLAY, RVMD, OLMA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/24/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
OKUR has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,100 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to LLY, RLAY, RVMD, OLMA
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
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About OnKure Therapeutics (OKUR)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for OnKure Therapeutics:
Like a clinical-stage Bristol Myers Squibb focused on discovering new cancer drugs.
An emerging Merck concentrating solely on developing groundbreaking cancer treatments.
A nascent Genentech dedicated to pioneering innovative oncology therapies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- OK-101: An investigational small molecule inhibitor targeting ERK1/2 in the MAPK pathway, currently in Phase 1 clinical trials for various advanced solid tumors.
- OK-201: An investigational small molecule inhibitor of Class I histone deacetylases (HDACs), currently in Phase 1 clinical trials for various advanced solid tumors.
AI Analysis | Feedback
OnKure Therapeutics (symbol: OKUR) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery and development of novel precision oncology therapeutics. As a clinical-stage company, OnKure Therapeutics is primarily engaged in research and development and is still in the process of developing its drug candidates through clinical trials.
Consequently, OnKure Therapeutics does not currently have any commercialized products on the market, nor does it have major customers (either other companies or individuals) purchasing its products. Its operations are currently funded through equity financing, grants, and potential collaboration or licensing agreements, rather than commercial sales.
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Nicholas A. Saccomano, Ph.D. President & Chief Executive Officer
Nicholas A. Saccomano brings nearly 35 years of experience leading pharmaceutical research and development across multiple therapeutic areas. Before joining OnKure, he was the Chief Science Officer and Site Head at Pfizer's Boulder facility, where he led a team of 170 research scientists focusing on small molecule drug programs. At Pfizer, he oversaw the discovery and progression of central nervous system drugs such as ziprasidone (Geodon®), donepezil (Aricept®), and varenicline (Chantix®). Prior to Pfizer, Dr. Saccomano served as Chief Science Officer at Array BioPharma Inc., where he was instrumental in creating and advancing ten clinical-stage compounds, leading to seven drug approvals. He also held the position of Chief Technology Officer at SomaLogic Inc., managing scientific and technical teams focused on the company's proteomic platform.
Jason Leverone, CPA Chief Financial Officer
Jason Leverone has over 25 years of strategic finance and operational experience, with more than 19 years in the life sciences sector. Before his role at OnKure, he served as Chief Financial Officer and Secretary of miRagen Therapeutics, Inc., a publicly traded biotechnology company that merged with Viridian Therapeutics, Inc. in 2020. During his tenure at miRagen, he played key roles in the company's public offering, strategic license transactions, and mergers and acquisitions. Previously, he was Senior Director of Finance and Controller for Replidyne, Inc., another publicly traded biotechnology company acquired in 2009. Mr. Leverone also served as Corporate Controller for CreekPath Systems, Inc., a private international software development company. He began his professional career in public accounting at Ernst and Young LLP and Arthur Andersen LLP and is a Certified Public Accountant.
Samuel Agresta, M.D. Chief Medical Officer
Dylan Hartley, Ph.D. Chief Scientific Officer
Rogan Nunn, J.D. General Counsel and Secretary
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to OnKure Therapeutics (symbol: OKUR) primarily stem from the inherent challenges of being a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company operating in a highly competitive sector:
- Clinical and Regulatory Risks: As a clinical-stage company, OnKure's success is profoundly dependent on favorable outcomes from its clinical trials and subsequent regulatory approvals for its product candidates. Any delays, failures, or the emergence of significant adverse events during clinical trials could severely impact the company's prospects and its ability to bring products to market. The unpredictability of clinical trial results and regulatory processes represents a foundational risk for the business.
- Financial Dependence and Inability to Achieve Profitability: OnKure Therapeutics is not yet profitable and consistently incurs significant net losses, relying heavily on external funding to support its extensive research and development operations. The company's high cash burn rate relative to its market capitalization indicates an elevated risk of financial distress if it faces difficulties securing additional capital, which could be exacerbated by economic downturns or investor sentiment.
- Intense Competition and Market Dependence: OnKure operates within a highly competitive oncology market, contending with both established pharmaceutical giants and numerous emerging biotechnology firms. The company's reliance on a limited number of product candidates, particularly its lead candidate OKI-219, increases its vulnerability to competitive pressures and market fluctuations, as competing therapies or alternative approaches could diminish the potential market share or viability of OnKure's offerings.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
OnKure Therapeutics (NASDAQ: OKUR) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing precision medicines for cancer. Over the next 2-3 years, the company's future revenue growth is expected to be primarily driven by the advancement and potential commercialization of its pipeline assets. Analysts project OnKure's annual revenue to grow significantly, with forecasts indicating a 69.3% annual increase, outpacing the broader U.S. market. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for OnKure Therapeutics:- Clinical Development and Potential Commercialization of OKI-219: OnKure's lead product candidate, OKI-219, is a selective PI3KαH1047R inhibitor currently undergoing a Phase 1a/1b clinical trial for solid tumors, including breast cancer. The company anticipates releasing initial data from expansion arms in both HR+ metastatic and HER2+ breast cancer in the first quarter of 2026. Successful progression through clinical trials and eventual regulatory approval and launch of OKI-219 would be a primary driver of revenue.
- Advancement of Next-Generation PI3Kα Pan-Mutant Inhibitors: OnKure is actively developing a pipeline of next-generation PI3Kα pan-mutant inhibitors. These candidates are designed for high selectivity against multiple common PI3Kα mutations (including H1047X, E542K, and E545K) and are aimed at enabling combination therapies due to a favorable safety and tolerability profile. OnKure plans to announce further details on these programs and a development candidate in 2026, which represents a strategic expansion of its product offerings.
- Expansion into New Therapeutic Areas, Specifically Vascular Malformations: The company is exploring the potential of its PI3Kα inhibitors to treat vascular malformations, as PI3Kα mutations are recognized as common drivers for certain subtypes of these conditions. OnKure expects to provide additional information on its vascular malformations program in 2026, indicating a strategic move to address new, underserved patient populations beyond oncology.
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Share Issuance
- On October 4, 2024, OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. (formerly Reneo Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) completed a merger with OnKure, Inc. and a concurrent $65 million private placement. Prior OnKure, Inc. stockholders owned approximately 53.6%, prior Reneo stockholders owned approximately 25.1%, and private placement investors owned approximately 21.3% of the combined company's outstanding stock following these transactions.
- At the closing of the merger on October 4, 2024, there were approximately 13.3 million shares of common stock outstanding.
- As of June 30, 2025, OnKure Therapeutics had 12,843,434 shares of Class A common stock and 686,527 shares of Class B common stock outstanding.
Inbound Investments
- Concurrent with the merger closing on October 4, 2024, OnKure Therapeutics completed a $65 million private placement with a group of new and existing institutional investors, including Acorn Bioventures, Cormorant Asset Management, Deep Track Capital, Perceptive Advisors, Samsara BioCapital, Surveyor Capital (a Citadel company), and Vestal Point Capital.
Capital Expenditures
- Annual capital expenditures were approximately -$1.13 million in December 2022, -$0.25 million in December 2023, and -$0.05 million in December 2024.
- For the trailing twelve months ending June 2025, capital expenditures were approximately -$0.06 million.
- In the three months ending June 2025, capital expenditures were approximately -$0.01 million.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| OnKure Therapeutics Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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| 01162026 | BIIB | Biogen | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.7% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 24.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.1 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -165 |
| FCF LTM | -135 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -187 |
| CFO LTM | -135 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -186 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -16.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 32.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 42.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1,934.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1,529.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 96.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -1,473.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1,126.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1,484.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -1,144.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.1 |
| P/S | 101.9 |
| P/EBIT | -4.8 |
| P/E | -5.3 |
| P/CFO | -6.4 |
| Total Yield | -7.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -11.8% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 159.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 136.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 231.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 142.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 119.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 158.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.55 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/07/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -50.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.80 | $7.41 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -8.8% | -65.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 77.1% | 71.6% |
| Downside Capture | 214.33 | 148.82 |
| Upside Capture | 125.04 | 56.89 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 28.5% | 28.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.27 | 0.69 | 1.30 | 1.07 | 0.96 | -0.19 |
| Up Beta | -0.34 | 0.38 | 3.81 | 1.23 | 0.35 | -0.20 |
| Down Beta | -0.01 | 1.30 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 1.90 | 0.27 |
| Up Capture | -52% | -15% | -16% | 102% | 24% | -2% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 17 | 26 | 58 | 96 | 125 |
| Down Capture | 177% | 74% | 136% | 78% | 119% | 92% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 34 | 66 | 143 | 192 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OKUR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKUR | -53.2% | 72.0% | -0.76 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.3% | 17.3% | 0.35 | 29.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 19.3% | 0.63 | 28.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 76.8% | 25.7% | 2.19 | 1.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.1% | 16.9% | 0.35 | 3.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.9% | 16.6% | 0.29 | 19.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -33.3% | 45.1% | -0.76 | 11.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OKUR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKUR | -32.8% | 71.4% | -1.74 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.9% | 14.5% | 0.36 | 26.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.0% | 0.62 | 24.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.5% | 17.1% | 1.12 | 4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.6% | 19.0% | 0.45 | 2.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 18.8% | 0.18 | 20.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.3% | 57.1% | 0.30 | 7.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OKUR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKUR | -18.0% | 71.4% | -1.74 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 11.0% | 16.5% | 0.55 | 26.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 24.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.3% | 15.6% | 0.82 | 4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 2.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.8% | 20.7% | 0.29 | 20.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 65.9% | 66.7% | 1.05 | 7.6% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -7.0% | -0.6% | 5.4% |
| 8/12/2025 | 20.0% | 37.0% | 22.0% |
| 3/10/2025 | -0.2% | -2.8% | -38.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| # Negative | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 20.0% | 37.0% | 13.7% |
| Median Negative | -3.6% | -1.7% | -38.1% |
| Max Positive | 20.0% | 37.0% | 22.0% |
| Max Negative | -7.0% | -2.8% | -38.1% |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saccomano, Nicholas A | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 2.97 | 87 | 258 | 22,017 | Form |
| 2 | Leverone, Jason A | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 2.97 | 302 | 896 | 48,376 | Form |
| 3 | Saccomano, Nicholas A | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9242025 | 2.62 | 88 | 231 | 9,198 | Form |
| 4 | Leverone, Jason A | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9242025 | 2.62 | 303 | 795 | 33,064 | Form |
| 5 | Saccomano, Nicholas A | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 6252025 | 2.38 | 88 | 210 | 8,569 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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