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Olema Pharmaceuticals (OLMA)


Market Price (12/9/2025): $27.98 | Market Cap: $2.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Olema Pharmaceuticals (OLMA)


Market Price (12/9/2025): $27.98
Market Cap: $2.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0  Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -165 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 539%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 168%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 162%

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Valuation, Metrics & Events

OLMA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OLMA Return--81%-74%473%-58%380%-42%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%2%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OLMA Win Rate0%25%33%75%25%60% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OLMA Max Drawdown--82%-78%0%-60%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/8/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOLMAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2529.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Olema Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -96.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -96.2% loss requires a 2529.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Olema Pharmaceuticals (OLMA)

Better Bets than Olema Pharmaceuticals (OLMA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Olema Pharmaceuticals Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OLMA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.5%11.5%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.4%-8.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.2%2.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.4%9.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.5%11.5%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.4%-8.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.2%2.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.4%9.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Olema Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OLMAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameOlema Ph.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price27.98442.042.271.1513.1418.4415.79
Mkt Cap0.8113.0--0.6-0.8
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-165-92-7--124-70-92
FCF LTM-1353,337-7--87-64-64
FCF 3Y Avg-1062,064-8----8
CFO LTM-1353,718-7--87-64-64
CFO 3Y Avg-1052,419-8----8

Growth & Margins

OLMAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameOlema Ph.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

OLMAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameOlema Ph.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.8113.0--0.6-0.8
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-22.4---4.1-9.2
P/E-5.627.2---5.0--5.0
P/CFO-6.226.9---6.6--6.2
Total Yield-17.9%3.7%---20.1%--17.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%--0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.3%----2.3%
D/E-0.0--0.0-0.0
Net D/E--0.0---0.9--0.5

Returns

OLMAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameOlema Ph.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn235.1%8.0%-57.5%8.1%0.2%8.1%
3M Rtn269.1%11.8%--19.3%-19.3%
6M Rtn538.8%-0.9%----268.9%
12M Rtn167.8%-4.3%----81.7%
3Y Rtn1,046.7%41.6%----544.2%
1M Excs Rtn239.8%4.3%-30.6%5.4%-10.7%5.4%
3M Excs Rtn270.9%6.4%--23.3%-23.3%
6M Excs Rtn524.8%-14.9%----254.9%
12M Excs Rtn164.8%-17.2%----73.8%
3Y Excs Rtn813.8%-30.1%----391.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment2772162963430
Total2772162963430


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,364,250
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202511.9%
Average Daily Volume941,184
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.95
Basic Shares Quantity85,732,221
Short % of Basic Shares10.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20254.2%0.6% 
8/11/202516.2%26.0%70.9%
3/18/2025-0.7%1.2%2.9%
11/12/2024-0.5%-24.4%-41.8%
8/6/2024-9.9%-10.1%-15.1%
3/11/2024-6.6%-14.8%-15.8%
11/7/20233.1%-4.5%-29.8%
8/8/202312.1%14.3%21.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive985
# Negative7811
Median Positive4.9%3.2%21.1%
Median Negative-6.6%-12.4%-21.0%
Max Positive16.2%26.0%94.2%
Max Negative-26.7%-36.7%-61.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024318202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023311202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021