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Organigram Global (OGI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.69 | Market Cap: $226.3 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Organigram Global (OGI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.69
Market Cap: $226.3 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.6%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 66x
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.6%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Legal Cannabis Market. Themes include Adult-Use Cannabis Products, Medical Cannabis & Therapeutics, and Cannabis Cultivation & Processing.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Legal Cannabis Market. Themes include Adult-Use Cannabis Products, Medical Cannabis & Therapeutics, and Cannabis Cultivation & Processing.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.6%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 66x
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OGI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The -2.9% movement in Organigram Global (OGI) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, can be attributed to several factors: **1. Mixed Fiscal Q3 2025 Earnings Report.** Organigram reported record gross revenue of $110.2 million and net revenue of $70.8 million for Q3 Fiscal 2025. Adjusted EBITDA also saw a 64% increase, and the company achieved positive free cash flow. However, it also reported a net loss of $6.3 million for the quarter, compared to a net income of $2.8 million in the prior year period. This mixed financial performance, despite revenue growth, likely contributed to investor caution.

**2. Operational Challenges Impacting Market Share and Gross Margin.** The integration of Motif Labs' ERP system in May 2025 led to service disruptions, which resulted in a 30-basis-point decline in market share in Q3 and a temporary drag on the adjusted gross margin percentage. These operational hurdles directly affected profitability and competitive positioning.

**3. Broader Cannabis Industry Headwinds and Regulatory Uncertainty.** The wider cannabis industry in 2025 faced a "rocky" outlook, with ongoing litigation, potential insolvencies for some operators, and evolving state-level regulations. Concerns included a potential federal redefinition of "hemp" that could ban products with quantifiable THC, posing a threat to diversified cannabis companies. This challenging industry environment likely exerted downward pressure on OGI's stock.

**4. Initial Uncertainty in CEO Succession Plan.** In October 2025, Organigram announced that its then-CEO, Ms. Beena Goldenberg, would extend her tenure until November 30, 2025, to support the ongoing CEO search. While a new CEO was appointed in late November, the interim period of extended search could have introduced some investor uncertainty.

**5. Mixed Analyst Signals and Price Predictions.** As of early December 2025, some analysts issued "sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages" for Organigram's stock, even though it was also considered a "hold candidate" by some. Price predictions from various sources also indicated a potential drop in stock value by the end of December 2025, contributing to investor caution during the period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OGI Return-46%32%-54%-59%23%-2%-84%
Peers Return7%30%20%-3%7%16%99%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OGI Win Rate42%42%33%42%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate47%55%63%38%47%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OGI Max Drawdown-59%0%-60%-69%-0%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-7%-11%-23%-10%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOGIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2300.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-70.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven236.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven134 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-75.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven305.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY


In The Past

Organigram Global's stock fell -95.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -95.8% loss requires a 2300.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Organigram Global (OGI)

Better Bets than Organigram Global (OGI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OGI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Organigram Global

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OGILLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameOrganigr.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Price1.681,033.56205.33102.2725.5750.9676.61
Mkt Cap0.2928.0494.5255.2145.4103.8200.3
Rev LTM22453,25892,14964,23562,78648,03458,022
Op Inc LTM-1722,88224,14622,39115,41711,42018,904
FCF LTM-17-5018,67913,04910,37615,30211,712
FCF 3Y Avg-43-15617,81413,6858,92713,59811,262
CFO LTM310,93824,20417,06513,07716,62114,849
CFO 3Y Avg-177,23023,20917,50612,12714,84613,487

Growth & Margins

OGILLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameOrganigr.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Rev Chg LTM51.3%36.8%5.1%1.7%3.9%1.3%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg31.7%23.4%6.1%2.9%-13.2%1.0%4.5%
Rev Chg Q72.4%37.6%6.8%3.7%-5.9%2.8%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.3%8.7%1.7%1.0%-1.6%0.7%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-7.6%43.0%26.2%34.9%24.6%23.8%25.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-22.0%35.6%26.4%23.7%19.4%19.0%21.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.5%1.8%1.7%3.7%-1.4%2.9%2.1%
CFO/Rev LTM1.2%20.5%26.3%26.6%20.8%34.6%23.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-10.4%17.8%26.4%28.2%18.9%31.7%22.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.6%-0.1%20.3%20.3%16.5%31.9%18.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-25.6%0.5%20.3%22.0%13.9%29.0%17.1%

Valuation

OGILLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameOrganigr.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Cap0.2928.0494.5255.2145.4103.8200.3
P/S0.812.94.83.32.31.92.8
P/EBIT-10.638.613.89.112.29.210.7
P/E23.349.617.811.014.715.216.5
P/CFO65.662.618.412.311.15.515.4
Total Yield4.3%2.7%8.4%13.0%13.5%12.0%10.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%2.7%3.9%6.7%5.4%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-32.4%0.1%4.4%5.5%5.5%13.2%4.9%
D/E0.10.10.10.20.40.60.2
Net D/E-0.20.10.10.10.30.40.1

Returns

OGILLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameOrganigr.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
1M Rtn7.0%15.5%10.9%24.0%3.7%10.7%10.8%
3M Rtn3.7%40.3%16.1%22.7%5.0%8.8%12.4%
6M Rtn25.4%35.5%35.9%33.3%13.2%9.2%29.3%
12M Rtn14.3%28.0%38.9%4.1%7.3%-8.9%10.8%
3Y Rtn-64.7%182.4%25.7%1.6%-40.3%-28.3%-13.3%
1M Excs Rtn7.0%15.5%11.0%24.0%3.7%10.8%10.9%
3M Excs Rtn-1.0%34.0%10.2%17.5%0.7%5.3%7.8%
6M Excs Rtn10.7%20.7%21.1%18.6%-1.6%-5.6%14.6%
12M Excs Rtn-2.3%17.4%23.0%-9.2%-8.9%-23.2%-5.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-130.4%116.6%-46.0%-69.7%-111.4%-99.3%-84.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,992,654
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.7%
Average Daily Volume542,779
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.20
Basic Shares Quantity133,914,894
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581320256-K 6/30/2025
331202551220256-K 3/31/2025
1231202421120256-K 12/31/2024
93020241218202440-F 9/30/2024
630202481320246-K 6/30/2024
331202451420246-K 3/31/2024
1231202321320246-K 12/31/2023
93020231219202340-F 9/30/2023
531202371420236-K 5/31/2023
228202341220236-K 2/28/2023
1130202211220236-K 11/30/2022
83120221129202240-F 8/31/2022
531202271420226-K 5/31/2022
228202241220226-K 2/28/2022
1130202111120226-K 11/30/2021
83120211123202140-F 8/31/2021