Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM)
Market Price (8/10/2026): $17.89 | Market Cap: $750.2 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM)
Market Price (8/10/2026): $17.89Market Cap: $750.2 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -18 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.4% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 56% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.6% Key risksOFRM key risks include [1] sustained operating losses despite revenue growth and [2] supply chain vulnerabilities tied to its reliance on fresh, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -18 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.4% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 56% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.6% |
| Key risksOFRM key risks include [1] sustained operating losses despite revenue growth and [2] supply chain vulnerabilities tied to its reliance on fresh, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) stock has gained about 20% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong fiscal Q1 2026 financial performance and raised full-year guidance fueled investor optimism.
Once Upon a Farm PBC reported robust fiscal Q1 2026 results on May 7, 2026, for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The company announced net sales of $72.7 million, a significant 43.7% increase year-over-year, which surpassed analyst estimates by 8.3%. Gross margin expanded to 40.8% from 37.7% in the prior year. Despite an ongoing net loss, it narrowed to $15.8 million from $19.5 million, and the Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $3.1 million from $7.5 million. Following these results, the company raised its full-year 2026 net sales guidance to a range of $313 million to $323 million, anticipating 30% to 34% growth versus 2025, and projected positive Adjusted EBITDA of $2 million to $4 million. This strong performance and positive outlook led to a 6.73% increase in the stock price on May 7, 2026.
2. Continued growth momentum and further elevated fiscal Q2 2026 outlook.
The company sustained its growth trajectory into fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. On August 6, 2026, Once Upon a Farm PBC reported that Q2 net sales surged 42.3% year-over-year to $85.4 million. In response to this strong performance, the company once again raised its full-year 2026 net sales guidance, this time to a range of $327 million to $335 million, representing 36% to 39% growth over 2025. The Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also improved to between $3 million and $4.5 million. This announcement caused the stock to rise 4.3% in after-hours trading on August 6, 2026, to $18.18, following a 1.22% gain in the regular session.
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Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) stock has gained about 20% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong fiscal Q1 2026 financial performance and raised full-year guidance fueled investor optimism.
Once Upon a Farm PBC reported robust fiscal Q1 2026 results on May 7, 2026, for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The company announced net sales of $72.7 million, a significant 43.7% increase year-over-year, which surpassed analyst estimates by 8.3%. Gross margin expanded to 40.8% from 37.7% in the prior year. Despite an ongoing net loss, it narrowed to $15.8 million from $19.5 million, and the Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $3.1 million from $7.5 million. Following these results, the company raised its full-year 2026 net sales guidance to a range of $313 million to $323 million, anticipating 30% to 34% growth versus 2025, and projected positive Adjusted EBITDA of $2 million to $4 million. This strong performance and positive outlook led to a 6.73% increase in the stock price on May 7, 2026.
2. Continued growth momentum and further elevated fiscal Q2 2026 outlook.
The company sustained its growth trajectory into fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. On August 6, 2026, Once Upon a Farm PBC reported that Q2 net sales surged 42.3% year-over-year to $85.4 million. In response to this strong performance, the company once again raised its full-year 2026 net sales guidance, this time to a range of $327 million to $335 million, representing 36% to 39% growth over 2025. The Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also improved to between $3 million and $4.5 million. This announcement caused the stock to rise 4.3% in after-hours trading on August 6, 2026, to $18.18, following a 1.22% gain in the regular session.
3. Enhanced market visibility and positive analyst sentiment.
Once Upon a Farm PBC's market presence and investor appeal were bolstered by its inclusion in the Russell 3000 Index in July 2026. This inclusion typically increases institutional investor interest and trading liquidity. Furthermore, Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive outlook, with an average 12-month price target of $23.40 based on ratings from six analysts over the past three months, indicating a significant potential upside from current levels. While some analysts maintain a "Hold" rating, the overall sentiment for Once Upon a Farm PBC is stronger compared to other companies within the "consumer staples" sector.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.6% change in OFRM stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.25 | 17.93 | 17.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 241 | 288 | 19.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 40 | 42 | -4.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.6% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OFRM | 17.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | -0.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 1.0% | 45.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OFRM | ||
| Market (SPY) | 12.1% | 18.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.5% | 31.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OFRM | ||
| Market (SPY) | 23.4% | 18.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 8.9% | 31.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OFRM | ||
| Market (SPY) | 74.9% | 18.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 21.1% | 31.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OFRM Return | - | - | - | - | - | -17% | -17% |
| Peers Return | 16% | -7% | -9% | -13% | -23% | -10% | -41% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OFRM Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 45% | 47% | 47% | 42% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OFRM Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -30% | -31% | -24% | -34% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HAIN, GIS, ABT, KHC, MDLZ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
OFRM has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Staples sector ETF (XLP) in its place.
| Event | XLP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -12.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 146 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -12.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 46 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -24.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 140 days | 140 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.7% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 371 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -5.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 6.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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OFRM has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Staples sector ETF (XLP) in its place.
| Event | XLP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -24.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 140 days | 140 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.7% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 371 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -5.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 6.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM)
Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) is a public benefit corporation committed to transforming childhood nutrition. The company specializes in producing real, organic, farm-fresh food for babies and kids, emphasizing products with no added sugar, no preservatives, and nothing artificial. As a rapidly expanding leader in modern childhood nutrition, OFRM's mission is to provide innovative, nutrient-packed, and delicious options for on-the-go parents, while also upholding high social and environmental standards as part of its public benefit charter.
The company's core product offerings span various stages of childhood, from first bites to school-ready snacks. Key products include their pioneering cold-pressed Pouches, freshly Frozen Meals, Refrigerated Oat Bars, and Dry Baby Snacks. These thoughtfully crafted recipes utilize high-quality organic ingredients, setting a new standard for nutrition that parents trust and children enjoy, thereby eliminating the need to compromise on taste, quality, or convenience.
Once Upon a Farm primarily serves parents seeking superior, healthy food choices for their babies and kids. Its products are widely available across the U.S. in over 25,000 retail locations, including U.S. Multi-Outlet and Natural Expanded channels, as well as through e-commerce. OFRM strategically maintains an "all aisle" presence within stores, selling in both the fresh perimeter and center of store. This approach helps the company attract larger basket shoppers and drives significant incremental growth and improved margin outcomes for retailers, solidifying its position as a leading growth brand in its categories.
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Chobani for baby and kids' food.
Tesla for baby food and kids' snacks.
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- Cold-pressed Pouches: Nutrient-packed, cold-pressed food in a convenient pouch format, setting a new standard for childhood nutrition.
- Freshly Frozen Meals: Prepared meals that are frozen to maintain freshness and nutritional value for babies and kids.
- Refrigerated Oat Bars: Snack bars made with high-quality organic oats, designed to be kept refrigerated for freshness.
- Dry Baby Snacks: Shelf-stable snack options specifically crafted for babies, made with organic ingredients.
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Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) primarily sells its products to other companies, specifically a network of retailers.
The company states it has strong relationships with well-known retailers across U.S. Multi-Outlet (“MULO”) and Natural Expanded channels, including both brick-and-mortar stores and e-commerce platforms. However, the provided background information does not explicitly name these major customer companies.
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John Foraker Co-Founder & CEO
John Foraker is the Co-Founder and CEO of Once Upon a Farm. He is a natural and organic food industry veteran with over 30 years of experience. Prior to Once Upon a Farm, he was the longtime leader of Annie's, Inc. from 1999 to 2017, taking the company public in 2012 before its acquisition by General Mills for $820 million in 2014. He then advised General Mills' small business incubator, 301, Inc. Once Upon a Farm itself has received funding from private equity firms, including CAVU Consumer Partners.
Lawrence Waldman President & CFO
Lawrence Waldman serves as the President and Chief Financial Officer of Once Upon a Farm. He previously held the role of COO & CFO from November 2017 to May 2022, and then President and COO from May 2022 before assuming his current position. His background includes experience as an independent Supply Chain Consultant and as a Board Member, President, and CFO/COO at ALOHA Nutrition. He has also held senior roles in supply chain, operations, and finance at companies such as Annie's Inc. and Columbus Foods.
Jennifer Garner Co-Founder & Chief Brand Officer
Jennifer Garner is a Co-Founder and Chief Brand Officer at Once Upon a Farm. An actress, philanthropist, and mother of three, she joined the company in September 2017, guiding its overall vision with a focus on brand voice, design, and activation. Her family's century-old farm in Locust Grove, Oklahoma, serves as inspiration for some of the company's recipes.
Cassandra Curtis Co-Founder & Chief Innovation Officer
Cassandra Curtis is a Co-Founder and Chief Innovation Officer for Once Upon a Farm. She co-founded the company in 2015 with Ari Raz, developing the original cold-pressed, organic baby food recipes in her own kitchen due to a lack of nutritious options available in stores for her daughter. She is responsible for leading product innovation and developing products using high-quality organic ingredients.
Ari Raz Co-Founder & President
Ari Raz is a Co-Founder and President of Once Upon a Farm. He co-founded the company in 2015 alongside Cassandra Curtis. In his role, he guides aspects of the company's business operations and helps ensure product distribution.
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Key Business Risks for Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM)
- Maintaining Product Quality, Safety, and Consumer Trust: Once Upon a Farm’s brand identity and market success are critically tied to its commitment to providing "real, organic, farm-fresh food—made with no added sugar, no preservatives, and nothing artificial." As a public benefit corporation, the company is also required to uphold high social and environmental standards and provide transparency. Any perceived or actual failure to maintain these stringent product standards, ensure product safety, or uphold its public benefit commitments could severely damage consumer trust, brand reputation, and sales. Furthermore, the reliance on "high-quality organic ingredients" introduces risks related to the availability, cost, and consistent sourcing of these specific inputs, which could impact production and profitability.
- Competitive Landscape and Sustaining Market Leadership: Despite being a "rapidly growing leader" and the "#1 growth brand" in the categories it plays in, the childhood nutrition market is likely competitive and subject to evolving consumer preferences and innovations. Maintaining its current growth trajectory and market leadership will require continuous product development, effective marketing strategies, and the ability to adapt to competitive pressures and changing dietary trends among parents and children.
- Dependence on Retailer Relationships and Distribution Channels: Once Upon a Farm's products are sold in "more than 25,000 doors nationwide" and the company highlights "strong relationships with well-known retailers." A significant portion of its sales and market reach relies on these established distribution channels. Any disruption to these key retailer relationships, changes in retailers' merchandising or procurement strategies, or challenges in maintaining effective distribution across its multi-outlet and natural expanded channels could negatively impact product availability, sales, and overall market presence.
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The addressable market for Once Upon a Farm PBC's main products and services, which include organic baby and kid food such as cold-pressed pouches, frozen meals, refrigerated oat bars, and dry baby snacks, is estimated to be approximately $79 billion in retail sales annually. This market size is specific to the U.S. region.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM)
- Expansion of Cooler Program and Retail Distribution: Once Upon a Farm plans to significantly expand its cooler program, targeting 5,000 units by the end of 2026. This expansion, along with increased distribution to new stores and optimizing placement within existing retailers, is expected to enhance brand visibility and drive incremental sales growth. The company currently sells through over 25,000 retail doors nationwide.
- New Product Introductions and Innovation: The company is actively launching innovative products across its baby and kids' categories. Recent introductions in early April 2026 include refrigerated, cold pressure-protected meat pouches for babies, smoothies with protein and probiotics for older children, and Power Wheels soft and chewy snack bars. These new offerings are anticipated to drive continued growth and expand the brand's presence in various aisles.
- Increased Household Penetration: Once Upon a Farm aims to significantly increase its household penetration. With a household penetration of 5.1% as of December 31, 2025, the company sees substantial opportunity to attract new consumers and grow its customer base.
- Higher Average Selling Prices (ASP): Revenue growth in Q4 2025 was partly attributed to higher average selling prices. This suggests a strategy of maintaining premium pricing for its organic, fresh products, contributing to top-line expansion.
- Continued Market Share Gains: As a rapidly growing leader and the "#1 growth brand in the category," Once Upon a Farm is positioned to continue capturing market share within the modern childhood nutrition segment. Its focus on real, organic, no-added-sugar products appeals to parents, fostering strong brand loyalty and advocacy.
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Share Issuance
- Once Upon a Farm completed an initial public offering (IPO) in February 2026.
- The company issued 7.6 million primary shares of common stock, along with an additional 1.6 million shares through the underwriters' option, at a price of $18 per share.
- The net proceeds to the company from the IPO were approximately $139.3 million.
Inbound Investments
- Prior to its IPO, Once Upon a Farm raised $52 million in a funding round in 2022.
- As of June 30, 2025, the company had received $110.4 million in fair market value investments from investors including Cambridge Companies SPG, CAVU Venture Partners, and S2G Investments.
Outbound Investments
- The company's most recent acquisition was Raised Real on June 22, 2021.
Capital Expenditures
- Once Upon a Farm allocated approximately $25 million of its IPO proceeds towards purchasing new equipment for operations.
- The company reported increased investments in capital expenditures to support its growth, which contributed to a decrease in net cash as of December 31, 2025.
- A significant focus of capital expenditures is on upfront slotting fees for placing more coolers in stores and for research and development, with plans to expand its baby aisle cooler program to 5,000 units by the end of 2026.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 31.11 |
| Mkt Cap | 24.9 |
| Rev LTM | 21,636 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,450 |
| FCF LTM | 2,368 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,183 |
| CFO LTM | 3,331 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,375 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -21.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -3.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.1% |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.16 | -0.57 | -0.46 | -0.09 | 0.18 | -0.02 |
| Up Beta | -2.45 | -0.95 | -0.57 | -0.68 | 0.57 | -0.23 |
| Down Beta | -0.54 | -0.52 | -0.16 | 1.12 | -1.24 | -0.64 |
| Up Capture | -143% | -46% | -40% | 38% | 17% | 2% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 22 | 30 | 56 | 56 | 56 |
| Down Capture | 290% | -40% | -62% | 126% | 83% | 47% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 19 | 30 | 60 | 60 | 60 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OFRM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFRM | -14.9% | 68.2% | -0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.5% | 14.1% | 0.21 | 31.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.3% | 12.8% | 1.36 | 18.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 28.5% | 28.4% | 0.87 | 13.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 32.9% | 19.8% | 1.32 | -22.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 33.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -43.7% | 43.0% | -1.21 | 3.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OFRM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFRM | -3.2% | 68.2% | -0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.2% | 13.6% | 0.24 | 31.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.2% | 0.61 | 18.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.6% | 18.6% | 0.81 | 13.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 19.6% | 0.31 | -22.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | 33.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.0% | 53.0% | 0.36 | 3.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OFRM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFRM | -1.6% | 68.2% | -0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.3% | 14.8% | 0.36 | 31.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 18.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.2% | 0.61 | 13.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.33 | -22.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 33.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.4% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 3.2% |
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Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 8/7/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Sales | 327.00 Mil | 331.00 Mil | 335.00 Mil | 8.2% | Raised | Guidance: 306.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 3.00 Mil | 3.75 Mil | 4.50 Mil | 25.0% | Raised | Guidance: 3.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Sales | 313.00 Mil | 318.00 Mil | 323.00 Mil | 3.9% | Raised | Guidance: 306.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net Sales Growth | 30.0% | 32.0% | 34.0% | 5.0% | Raised | Guidance: 27.0% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 2.00 Mil | 3.00 Mil | 4.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 3.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 8/6/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robb, Walter E IV | Direct | Buy | 2092026 | 18.00 | 5,555 | 99,990 | 2,627,460 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robb, Walter E IV | Direct | Buy | 2092026 | 18.00 | 5,555 | 99,990 | 2,627,460 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Aug 10, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
Once Upon a Farm PBC — Investor Video Playlist






Industry Resources
| Consumer Staples Resources |
| FoodNavigator |
| Consumer Goods Technology (CGT) |
| Beverage Digest |
| Packaged Foods & Meats Resources |
| USDA Data |
| Food Processing |
| Meat+Poultry |
| Just Food |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.