Tearsheet

Orange County Bancorp (OBT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $29.64 | Market Cap: $395.3 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Orange County Bancorp (OBT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $29.64
Market Cap: $395.3 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.6%
Key risks
OBT key risks include [1] increased borrower defaults on its adjustable-rate loans if interest rates rise and [2] potential credit losses from its higher-risk consumer loan portfolio.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Localized Financial Services. Themes include Community Lending, Regional Economic Support, and Personalized Banking Services.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Localized Financial Services. Themes include Community Lending, Regional Economic Support, and Personalized Banking Services.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.6%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35%
6 Key risks
OBT key risks include [1] increased borrower defaults on its adjustable-rate loans if interest rates rise and [2] potential credit losses from its higher-risk consumer loan portfolio.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OBT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Record Third Quarter 2025 Results. Orange County Bancorp, Inc. announced record third-quarter results on October 29, 2025. The company reported a substantial increase in net income, which rose by 211.5% to $10.0 million from $3.2 million in the third quarter of 2024. Additionally, net interest income increased by 17.3% to $27.0 million, and the net interest margin grew by 45 basis points to 4.26%. Total loans expanded by 6.6%, and deposits increased by 5.8%, while the book value per share saw a notable increase of 23.6% to $20.21.

2. Increased Cash Dividend. On November 24, 2025, Orange County Bancorp, Inc. declared an increase in its cash dividend by $0.05, setting it at $0.18 per share of common stock. This dividend was scheduled for payment on December 16, 2025, to shareholders of record by December 4, 2025, reflecting the company's robust financial health and commitment to shareholder returns.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OBT Return-7%49%18%32%-6%6%116%
Peers Return-17%24%18%11%11%11%67%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OBT Win Rate42%83%42%67%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%62%53%45%52%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OBT Max Drawdown-25%0%-18%-36%-28%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-5%-10%-34%-20%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GCBC, TMP, AROW, NBTB, TRST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOBTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven224 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven166 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven897 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-37.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5,391 days1,480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Orange County Bancorp's stock fell -46.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/23/2023. A -46.0% loss requires a 85.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Orange County Bancorp (OBT)

Better Bets than Orange County Bancorp (OBT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OBT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Orange County Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OBTGCBCTMPAROWNBTBTRSTMedian
NameOrange C.Greene C.Tompkins.Arrow Fi.NBT Banc.Trustco . 
Mkt Price29.6524.7976.5933.1144.2142.7237.91
Mkt Cap0.30.41.10.52.30.80.7
Rev LTM12180325156658183170
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM403295352024442
FCF 3Y Avg362788271705546
CFO LTM433399412185549
CFO 3Y Avg392894341826351

Growth & Margins

OBTGCBCTMPAROWNBTBTRSTMedian
NameOrange C.Greene C.Tompkins.Arrow Fi.NBT Banc.Trustco . 
Rev Chg LTM12.5%23.0%11.1%12.3%16.7%6.7%12.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.5%4.5%5.4%2.4%9.2%-0.8%5.0%
Rev Chg Q24.3%27.5%14.2%17.2%26.2%9.6%20.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.7%6.1%3.5%4.2%6.2%2.4%5.0%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM35.3%41.0%30.6%26.3%33.2%30.3%31.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.8%38.4%34.3%23.4%31.2%33.8%34.1%
FCF/Rev LTM32.9%39.8%29.2%22.7%30.8%23.8%30.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.4%36.5%32.1%18.7%29.2%29.8%31.0%

Valuation

OBTGCBCTMPAROWNBTBTRSTMedian
NameOrange C.Greene C.Tompkins.Arrow Fi.NBT Banc.Trustco . 
Mkt Cap0.30.41.10.52.30.80.7
P/S2.85.32.93.03.33.73.2
P/EBIT-------
P/E9.312.511.213.514.612.012.2
P/CFO7.812.99.511.310.012.310.7
Total Yield12.6%8.9%12.7%11.5%10.0%10.4%10.9%
Dividend Yield1.8%0.9%3.8%4.1%3.2%2.0%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.3%10.8%7.5%9.0%9.3%9.0%
D/E-0.10.50.10.10.20.1
Net D/E--1.0-0.6-1.9-0.3-0.2-0.6

Returns

OBTGCBCTMPAROWNBTBTRSTMedian
NameOrange C.Greene C.Tompkins.Arrow Fi.NBT Banc.Trustco . 
1M Rtn18.9%14.3%18.7%12.0%12.5%11.2%13.4%
3M Rtn14.7%6.5%13.1%15.7%4.3%10.9%12.0%
6M Rtn27.1%14.4%30.0%35.5%12.5%41.6%28.5%
12M Rtn2.4%-20.4%8.1%12.0%-10.2%23.0%5.2%
3Y Rtn33.4%50.1%14.7%13.2%16.9%31.8%24.4%
1M Excs Rtn18.1%13.6%18.0%11.3%11.8%10.5%12.7%
3M Excs Rtn10.4%-0.7%7.4%10.8%-0.4%6.3%6.9%
6M Excs Rtn14.7%2.0%17.6%23.1%0.2%29.2%16.1%
12M Excs Rtn-8.6%-30.8%-6.9%-0.3%-22.7%9.9%-7.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-34.6%-25.3%-60.0%-53.4%-53.5%-39.4%-46.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banking918163 45
Wealth Management10910 8
Total1029073 53


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banking272319 9
Wealth Management222 2
Total292421 11


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banking2,4772,2792,1331,6571,221
Wealth Management98988
Total2,4852,2872,1431,6651,230


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity80,204
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.2%
Average Daily Volume21,352
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.76
Basic Shares Quantity13,337,890
Short % of Basic Shares0.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20252.9%7.0%14.3%
7/30/2025-1.8%-7.7%4.2%
4/30/20252.4%8.5%7.8%
2/5/2025-1.1%-4.5%-12.0%
10/30/2024-7.3%7.4%4.5%
7/31/2024-9.7%-17.3%-4.6%
5/1/20248.2%3.9%7.2%
2/1/2024-8.3%-12.0%-10.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9913
# Negative995
Median Positive2.4%5.5%7.2%
Median Negative-4.3%-4.5%-8.6%
Max Positive8.2%9.0%14.3%
Max Negative-9.7%-17.3%-12.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024317202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023329202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022324202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021330202210-K 12/31/2021