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Arrow Financial (AROW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $33.12 | Market Cap: $543.2 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Arrow Financial (AROW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $33.12
Market Cap: $543.2 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3%, FCF Yield is 7.6%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Key risks
AROW key risks include [1] integration challenges from the recent merger of its two subsidiary banks, Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -192%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3%, FCF Yield is 7.6%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -192%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53%
7 Key risks
AROW key risks include [1] integration challenges from the recent merger of its two subsidiary banks, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AROW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting why Arrow Financial (AROW) stock moved during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report. Arrow Financial reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 30, 2025, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.77, exceeding the consensus analyst estimate of $0.72. This positive earnings surprise led to a 5.48% change in the stock price in response to the report. 2. Preliminary Approval of Shareholder Settlement. On November 5, 2025, Arrow Financial announced that it had received preliminary approval for a settlement in a shareholder derivative lawsuit. The resolution of legal uncertainties can often be viewed favorably by investors, potentially contributing to positive stock momentum.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AROW Return-16%25%2%-11%7%20%24%
Peers Return-18%31%-4%-6%19%12%29%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AROW Win Rate58%67%42%33%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate45%65%42%48%52%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AROW Max Drawdown-36%-2%-14%-48%-21%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-2%-16%-34%-22%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CBU, NBTB, FISI, TMP, CHMG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAROWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven121.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven592 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-31.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2647 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Arrow Financial's stock fell -54.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -54.9% loss requires a 121.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Arrow Financial (AROW)

Better Bets than Arrow Financial (AROW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AROW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Arrow Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AROWCBUNBTBFISITMPCHMGMedian
NameArrow Fi.Communit.NBT Banc.Financia.Tompkins.Chemung . 
Mkt Price33.1160.6944.2132.2276.5959.6251.91
Mkt Cap0.53.22.30.61.10.30.9
Rev LTM15679965813032589240
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM3523020221953265
FCF 3Y Avg2722417029882958
CFO LTM4128321824993570
CFO 3Y Avg3425318234943164

Growth & Margins

AROWCBUNBTBFISITMPCHMGMedian
NameArrow Fi.Communit.NBT Banc.Financia.Tompkins.Chemung . 
Rev Chg LTM12.3%9.9%16.7%-40.9%11.1%-5.2%10.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.4%6.6%9.2%-12.3%5.4%-0.5%3.9%
Rev Chg Q17.2%9.6%26.2%28.0%14.2%19.0%18.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.2%2.3%6.2%12.0%3.5%5.4%4.8%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM26.3%35.4%33.2%18.8%30.6%39.7%31.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.4%35.0%31.2%18.4%34.3%32.7%32.0%
FCF/Rev LTM22.7%28.8%30.8%15.9%29.2%36.3%29.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg18.7%31.1%29.2%15.8%32.1%30.8%30.0%

Valuation

AROWCBUNBTBFISITMPCHMGMedian
NameArrow Fi.Communit.NBT Banc.Financia.Tompkins.Chemung . 
Mkt Cap0.53.22.30.61.10.30.9
P/S3.03.93.34.22.93.23.2
P/EBIT-------
P/E13.515.014.6-19.611.221.314.1
P/CFO11.310.910.022.49.58.010.5
Total Yield11.5%9.8%10.0%-5.1%12.7%6.9%9.9%
Dividend Yield4.1%3.1%3.2%0.0%3.8%2.2%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.5%8.2%9.0%10.0%10.8%13.3%9.5%
D/E0.10.20.10.40.50.20.2
Net D/E-1.9-0.7-0.30.0-0.6-1.1-0.7

Returns

AROWCBUNBTBFISITMPCHMGMedian
NameArrow Fi.Communit.NBT Banc.Financia.Tompkins.Chemung . 
1M Rtn12.0%11.9%12.5%14.1%18.7%18.1%13.3%
3M Rtn15.7%2.4%4.3%23.1%13.1%13.6%13.3%
6M Rtn35.5%13.6%12.5%34.0%30.0%27.7%28.8%
12M Rtn12.0%-4.0%-10.2%18.5%8.1%14.1%10.0%
3Y Rtn13.2%12.3%16.9%58.4%14.7%46.7%15.8%
1M Excs Rtn11.3%11.1%11.8%13.3%18.0%17.3%12.5%
3M Excs Rtn10.8%-2.8%-0.4%17.1%7.4%9.4%8.4%
6M Excs Rtn23.1%1.3%0.2%21.7%17.6%15.3%16.5%
12M Excs Rtn-0.3%-17.1%-22.7%5.7%-6.9%1.9%-3.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-53.4%-59.0%-53.5%-9.3%-60.0%-24.3%-53.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community Banking134149143132117
Total134149143132117


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity148,400
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.3%
Average Daily Volume55,014
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.70
Basic Shares Quantity16,402,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20252.6%18.3%15.2%
7/24/20251.2%0.4%5.4%
5/1/2025-0.5%4.0%6.1%
1/30/2025-2.1%-1.2%-1.2%
10/31/2024-2.7%13.9%12.4%
7/25/20244.4%1.6%-6.6%
4/30/2024-2.3%3.6%12.1%
2/1/2024-0.9%-5.2%-3.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91414
# Negative1388
Median Positive2.1%3.8%5.8%
Median Negative-0.9%-1.7%-5.2%
Max Positive4.4%21.3%36.6%
Max Negative-2.7%-5.2%-14.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023311202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023727202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022718202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0White Daniel James 11122025Buy30.141,64449,550207,665Form
1Ivanov Penko KrassimirSEVP, Treasurer and CFO11052025Buy29.821,61748,219786,980Form