Netstreit (NTST)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.57 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Retail REITs
Netstreit (NTST)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.57Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Retail REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 35x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 8149x |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 4.6%, FCF Yield is 7.2% | Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 16.54 | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 4.6%, FCF Yield is 7.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 35x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 8149x |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 16.54 |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NTST Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Significant Q3 2025 Earnings Miss.
NETSTREIT reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 27, 2025, announcing an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.01, which was a substantial miss compared to analysts' consensus estimates of $0.33. The company also reported revenue below forecasted figures. This significant earnings shortfall led to an immediate decline in the stock price, with shares dropping by 3.53% on October 28, 2025.
2. Dilution Impact from Outstanding Forward Equity.
The company's full-year 2025 Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per share guidance included an estimated dilution ranging from $0.015 to $0.025 per share. This dilution was attributed to the impact of NETSTREIT's outstanding forward equity, which can negatively affect per-share profitability metrics and investor perception.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NTST Return | - | 22% | -17% | 2% | -17% | 31% | 13% |
| Peers Return | -26% | 48% | -8% | 11% | 13% | 2% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NTST Win Rate | 75% | 75% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 75% | 47% | 50% | 57% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NTST Max Drawdown | - | -14% | -23% | -23% | -19% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -5% | -27% | -17% | -8% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: O, FRT, GTY, WSR, SPG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NTST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -11.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 148 days |
Compare to O, FRT, GTY, WSR, SPG
In The Past
Netstreit's stock fell -48.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/5/2021. A -48.6% loss requires a 94.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NTST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Netstreit
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 43.22 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| Rev LTM | 734 |
| Op Inc LTM | 283 |
| FCF LTM | 233 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 197 |
| CFO LTM | 364 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 345 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 40.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 38.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 61.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 60.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 55.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 55.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| P/S | 7.9 |
| P/EBIT | 16.8 |
| P/E | 26.2 |
| P/CFO | 14.2 |
| Total Yield | 5.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 6.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -63.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 132 | ||||
| Above/below market lease amortization, net | 1 | 1 | 1 | -0 | |
| Fixed lease income | 83 | 54 | 31 | 0 | |
| Interest income on loans receivable | 2 | 0 | |||
| Lease incentives | -1 | -0 | 0 | ||
| Other revenue | 0 | ||||
| Variable lease income | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| Uncollectible amounts in lease income | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 132 | 96 | 59 | 34 | 1 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10272025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7232025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4282025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7292024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10252023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7262023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4262023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |