Bank of N.T Butterfield & Son (NTB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $48.44 | Market Cap: $2.0 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks
Bank of N.T Butterfield & Son (NTB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $48.44Market Cap: $2.0 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 16% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -269% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -5.7% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 16% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -269% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -5.7% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NTB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son (symbol: NTB) experienced notable movements in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. This period was marked by strong financial performance, strategic capital management, and positive analyst sentiment. The closing stock price for NTB as of December 3, 2025, was $48.28.
Here are five key points that contributed to the stock's movement:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat. Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results, with net income of $61.1 million and core net income of $63.3 million. Core earnings per share reached $1.51, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $1.30 by $0.21. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, rising 7.4% year-over-year to $153.30 million against an anticipated $147.92 million.
2. Increased Net Interest Margin and Noninterest Income. The bank's net interest margin (NIM) increased by 9 basis points from the prior quarter to 2.73% in Q3 2025, primarily due to lower cost of deposits and the redemption of subordinated debt. Noninterest income also saw a significant rise of $4.2 million to $61.2 million, driven by higher banking fees and increased foreign exchange revenues.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NTB Return | -10% | 28% | -16% | 14% | 20% | 36% | 80% |
| Peers Return | -14% | 35% | -16% | 18% | 38% | 33% | 111% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NTB Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 60% | 42% | 55% | 62% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NTB Max Drawdown | -59% | -2% | -22% | -21% | -9% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -2% | -27% | -13% | -4% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: C, JPM, BAC, WFC, RY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NTB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 650 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -59.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 149.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 346 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -50.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to C, JPM, BAC, WFC, RY
In The Past
Bank of N.T Butterfield & Son's stock fell -43.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -43.8% loss requires a 77.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NTB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Bank of N.T Butterfield & Son
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 98.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 252.4 |
| Rev LTM | 83,888 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | -6,967 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 4,710 |
| CFO LTM | -6,953 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,727 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 252.4 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 12.6 |
| P/CFO | -0.3 |
| Total Yield | 8.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | -0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 30.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 93.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 14.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 19.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7282025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4232025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10222024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7222024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4232024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10242023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7312023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4242023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10312022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7252022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |