FiscalNote (NOTE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.0 | Market Cap: $26.7 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
FiscalNote (NOTE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.0Market Cap: $26.7 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -170% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Government & Regulatory Technology. Themes include Policy Intelligence Platforms, Regulatory Monitoring & Compliance, and Government Relations Software. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 119% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -20% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 106% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Government & Regulatory Technology. Themes include Policy Intelligence Platforms, Regulatory Monitoring & Compliance, and Government Relations Software. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -170% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 119% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -20% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 106% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NOTE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the stock movement for FiscalNote (NOTE) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Reverse Stock Split and Market Skepticism
FiscalNote enacted a 1-for-12 reverse stock split, effective August 29, 2025, to maintain its listing on the New York Stock Exchange after its shares traded significantly below the $1 minimum requirement. Despite addressing delisting risks, the stock opened at $6.12 on September 2, 2025, on a reverse split-adjusted basis, but closed down 5% at $5.80 on the same day, indicating investor skepticism about the company's ability to create sustained value.
2. Weak Q3 2025 Financial Performance and Increased Net Losses
On November 6, 2025, FiscalNote reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, which, despite meeting revenue guidance of $22.4 million and exceeding adjusted EBITDA expectations, highlighted significant weaknesses. The company experienced a 23.8% year-over-year revenue drop to $22.43 million, largely due to divestitures, and saw its net losses widen by 66.4% to $24.86 million, with earnings per share missing consensus estimates. This led to a 9.37% decline in the stock price on the day of the announcement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NOTE Return | - | -0% | -36% | -82% | -6% | -84% | -98% |
| Peers Return | 14% | 17% | -12% | 21% | 31% | -14% | 60% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NOTE Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 20% | ||
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 52% | 32% | 58% | 53% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NOTE Max Drawdown | - | -3% | -53% | -88% | -33% | -84% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -40% | -14% | -21% | -21% | -28% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIB, XRX, IBM, ACN, CD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NOTE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -92.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1315.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -2.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 148 days |
Compare to GIB, XRX, IBM, ACN, CD
In The Past
FiscalNote's stock fell -92.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -92.9% loss requires a 1315.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With FiscalNote Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NOTE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for FiscalNote
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.28 |
| Mkt Cap | 27.3 |
| Rev LTM | 11,043 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,371 |
| FCF LTM | 1,964 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,904 |
| CFO LTM | 2,234 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,184 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 27.3 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 3.8 |
| P/E | 5.7 |
| P/CFO | 8.8 |
| Total Yield | 2.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -14.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -20.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -1.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -29.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -35.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -70.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8152025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4012025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 12312020 | 1102022 | S-4/A 12/31/2020 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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