Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -95%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Government & Regulatory Technology. Themes include Policy Intelligence Platforms, Regulatory Monitoring & Compliance, and Government Relations Software.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -141%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -177%

Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.2

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -37 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -39%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 3821%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2003%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%

Key risks
NOTE key risks include [1] its persistent unprofitability and challenge in generating sustainable free cash flow, Show more.

0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -95%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Government & Regulatory Technology. Themes include Policy Intelligence Platforms, Regulatory Monitoring & Compliance, and Government Relations Software.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -141%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -177%
3 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.2
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -37 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -39%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 3821%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25%
7 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
8 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2003%
10 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%
11 Key risks
NOTE key risks include [1] its persistent unprofitability and challenge in generating sustainable free cash flow, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NOTE-83.4% 
Market (SPY)3.6%39.6%
Sector (XLP)1.4%-8.0%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NOTE-95.1% 
Market (SPY)5.5%39.6%
Sector (XLP)11.9%-3.7%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NOTE-97.3% 
Market (SPY)30.4%33.2%
Sector (XLP)5.7%2.0%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NOTE-99.1% 
Market (SPY)78.7%24.0%
Sector (XLP)17.9%2.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NOTE Return-0%-36%-82%-6%-89%-86%-100%
Peers Return48%-20%34%13%-11%-16%33%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%5%92%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NOTE Win Rate67%33%25%50%17%0% 
Peers Win Rate67%37%57%58%52%35% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NOTE Max Drawdown-3%-53%-88%-33%-89%-87% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-36%-4%-10%-24%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SPGI, MCO, VRSK, IT, MSCI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/1/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNOTES&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-33.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.6%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven183 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-61.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven158.1%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven100 days31 days

Compare to SPGI, MCO, VRSK, IT, MSCI

In The Past

FiscalNote's stock fell -33.2% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 49.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNOTES&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-33.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.6%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven183 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-61.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven158.1%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven100 days31 days

Compare to SPGI, MCO, VRSK, IT, MSCI

In The Past

FiscalNote's stock fell -33.2% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 49.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About FiscalNote (NOTE)

FiscalNote Holdings Inc. operates as technology and data company that delivers critical legal data and insights worldwide. It combines artificial intelligence technology, machine learning, and other technologies with analytics, workflow tools, and expert research. The company delivers that intelligence through its suite of public policy and issues management products, as well as powerful tools to manage workflows, advocacy campaigns, and constituent relationships. It serves a customer base that includes businesses comprising the Fortune 100 companies, government agencies, law firms, professional services organizations, trade groups, and non-profits. The company is headquartered in Washington, District of Columbia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Here are a few brief analogies for FiscalNote:

  • Bloomberg for legal and public policy data and insights.
  • The AI-driven LexisNexis for public policy and government affairs.
  • Salesforce for public policy and advocacy management.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Public Policy and Issues Management Products: A suite of products delivering critical legal data and insights to help organizations monitor, understand, and navigate policy and regulatory environments.
  • Workflow Management Tools: Software solutions designed to streamline operational processes for policy, advocacy, and stakeholder engagement.
  • Advocacy Campaign Management Tools: Platforms that enable organizations to plan, execute, and track their advocacy campaigns effectively.
  • Constituent Relationship Management Tools: Tools used to manage and foster relationships with constituents, stakeholders, and other key external contacts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of FiscalNote (NOTE)

FiscalNote primarily sells its technology and data solutions to other companies and organizations. Based on the provided background information, the company serves a diverse customer base, described by the following categories:

  • Businesses comprising the Fortune 100 companies
  • Government agencies
  • Law firms
  • Professional services organizations
  • Trade groups
  • Non-profits

The provided background description details categories of customers rather than listing specific names of individual customer companies.

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  • Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
  • Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)

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Josh Resnik, CEO & President

Josh Resnik serves as FiscalNote's Chief Executive Officer & President, bringing over twenty-five years of experience as an executive, attorney, and business leader in both startup and established corporate environments. Prior to joining FiscalNote, he was a senior executive and member of the Board of Directors of Spree Commerce, serving as COO/General Counsel and helping lead the company to a successful acquisition by First Data Corporation (now Fiserv). Before Spree Commerce, he led the Digital division of Gannett and was a senior in-house attorney at AOL. Earlier in his career, he practiced law in the TMT sector in corporate transactions and regulatory matters and has advised numerous tech startups and a venture capital firm.

Jon Slabaugh, Chief Financial Officer & Chief Investment Officer

Jon Slabaugh is the Chief Financial Officer and Chief Investment Officer at FiscalNote, with three decades of experience as an investor, operating executive, and board member at high-growth, business intelligence, data, and SaaS workflow companies. Prior to FiscalNote, Jon was the Managing Director of UCG, a private holding company that encompassed 10 leading business-to-business information, data, and workflow SaaS companies, where he managed mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, debt and equity financings, completing and integrating over 30 strategic acquisitions. Earlier in his career, he co-founded and was a Managing Director of MCG Capital, an investment company backed by Goldman Sachs, Heller Financial, Vestar Capital Partners, and Soros Private Equity Partners, which became a publicly-traded Business Development Company during his tenure.

Can Babaoglu, Chief Product Officer

Can Babaoglu is the Chief Product Officer at FiscalNote, bringing almost two decades of product development, product management, and product-led growth experience. Before joining FiscalNote, he was Vice President for Product at Casetext, which was acquired by Thomson Reuters for $650 million in 2023. He was also a co-founder at both Smartup Network and Sprongo, both of which had minor exits.

Todd Aman, Chief Legal and Administrative Officer

Frank Musso, Chief Revenue Officer

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to FiscalNote's business are primarily centered around its financial health, intense market competition, and reliance on public sector revenue.

  1. Profitability Challenges and Financial Health: FiscalNote faces significant challenges in achieving sustainable profitability, evidenced by persistent negative operating margins and a negative return on invested capital (ROIC). The company's financial health is further undermined by a high debt-to-equity ratio and a low Altman Z-Score, indicating potential financial distress and a risk of requiring dilutive financing to maintain operations.
  2. Competitive Intensity: FiscalNote operates in a highly competitive landscape with dominant incumbents like Thomson Reuters and RELX/LexisNexis, as well as well-funded AI startups. These competitors possess greater financial resources for product development and customer acquisition, which could exert pressure on FiscalNote's pricing, slow customer acquisition, and ultimately diminish its market share. Furthermore, there is a risk of AI commoditization and high customer churn on legacy platforms, which could limit pricing power and long-term scalability.
  3. Revenue Concentration and Macro/Budgetary Risks: A substantial portion of FiscalNote's revenue is derived from public sector contracts, making the company vulnerable to government shutdowns, delays, or budget constraints at federal, state, and local levels. Such events could significantly impact revenue growth and contract renewal rates, exposing FiscalNote to broader macroeconomic and budgetary shocks.

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The rapid advancement and increasing accessibility of highly capable large language models (LLMs) and generative artificial intelligence pose an emerging threat. As these AI technologies become more powerful, versatile, and either open-source or available through commercial APIs at scale, they could lower the barrier to entry for new competitors. This trend could enable existing competitors, including larger technology firms or traditional legal information providers, to more easily replicate or develop alternative solutions for AI-driven legal data analysis, policy tracking, and insight generation—services central to FiscalNote's offerings. Furthermore, customers might leverage these advanced AI tools to internalize certain analytical functions, potentially eroding FiscalNote's unique value proposition and competitive differentiation.

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FiscalNote (symbol: NOTE) operates in several significant addressable markets related to legal and regulatory data, public policy, and AI-driven insights.

The company itself estimates its total addressable market (TAM) in the RegTech category, encompassing global policy and regulatory intelligence, to be approximately $40 billion globally.

More broadly, the global market for legal and regulatory information solutions was estimated at approximately $37 billion in 2020.

For its core offerings in regulatory technology, the global RegTech market was valued at USD 17.02 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 70.64 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 23.1% from 2024 to 2030. North America held the largest share of this market in 2023.

In the broader legal technology sector, the global market size was estimated at USD 29.81 billion in 2025 and is predicted to grow to approximately USD 67.53 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 9.51% from 2025 to 2034. North America led the legal technology market with a 54% revenue share in 2025. Another estimate places the global legal tech market at USD 26.70 billion in 2023, expected to reach USD 55.00 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 12.80%. The legal technology market is also projected to grow from USD 34.15 billion in 2025 to USD 71.95 billion by 2031, at a 13.22% CAGR.

Given FiscalNote's use of artificial intelligence and machine learning, the global legal AI market was valued at USD 1.45 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 3.90 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 17.3% from 2025 to 2030. North America dominated this market with over a 46% revenue share in 2024. The global legal AI software market specifically is valued at USD 5.21 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 40.94 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 29.40% during that period.

For its public policy and advocacy services, the Global Public Affairs and Advocacy Software Market was valued at USD 2.7 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 11.2% through 2029. Another source estimates this market at USD 1.5 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 3.8 billion by 2035 at a CAGR of 10.0%. North America is expected to maintain a commanding position in this market, holding a 41.0% market share by 2035.

In serving government agencies, the global AI in government and public services market was valued at USD 17.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 91.3 billion in 2034, at a CAGR of 18.6%. North America is identified as the largest market in this sector.

With its recent expansion, the political prediction market is also a relevant addressable market. The prediction market industry is on pace for more than $100 billion in annualized run rate globally, with political prediction markets accounting for around $7.2 billion in volume in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

FiscalNote (NOTE) anticipates several key drivers of revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily centered around its AI-driven product strategy and operational enhancements:

  1. Product-led Growth with the AI-Driven PolicyNote Platform: FiscalNote is heavily investing in a product-led growth strategy, with its AI-powered PolicyNote platform, launched in January 2025, being a central component. The company expects this platform to drive future growth by enhancing user engagement and improving overall Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR). The ongoing migration of legacy customers to PolicyNote is a key initiative to consolidate its offerings and leverage advanced AI features like summaries, chat-based search, and bill Q&A functionality.
  2. Enhanced Customer Retention and Net Revenue Retention (NRR): A significant focus for FiscalNote is on improving its gross and net revenue retention rates. The company expects that the continuous innovation and integration of AI features within the PolicyNote platform will lead to stronger customer engagement and, consequently, better retention metrics. This improvement is crucial for sustainable subscription revenue growth.
  3. Strategic Portfolio Optimization and Operational Efficiency: FiscalNote has undertaken strategic divestitures of non-core assets to streamline its operations, reduce debt, and bolster its financial position. While these divestitures have impacted past revenue figures, they are intended to allow the company to increase investment in its core policy and global intelligence offerings. This operational streamlining is expected to create a more efficient and focused business, setting the stage for accelerated growth in its core markets.
  4. Expansion in Corporate and Federal Markets, and New Licensing Opportunities: The company aims to drive revenue growth through increased sales in its corporate segment, where it has already observed improved win rates and rising average contract values. Concurrently, FiscalNote is focused on restoring demand and engagement within the federal sector. Additionally, FiscalNote is exploring new avenues for growth through data licensing and co-selling opportunities for its AI Agents and Copilots with new and existing partners.

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Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)

Share Issuance

  • FiscalNote went public in March 2021 through a SPAC merger, which generated approximately $275 million in gross proceeds.
  • A 1-for-12 reverse stock split became effective on August 29, 2025, which reduced the number of outstanding shares.
  • As of November 2025, up to 2,349,395 shares of Class A common stock are issuable under a convertible note with an approximate principal outstanding of $20.4 million.

Inbound Investments

  • The SPAC merger in March 2021 included a $100 million private investment in public equity (PIPE) from institutional investors, anchored by Maso Capital.

Outbound Investments

  • Between 2021 and 2023, FiscalNote acquired multiple companies including Oxford Analytica, FactSquared, Fireside21, TimeBase, Curate, Predata, Forge.AI, FrontierView, Aicel Tech, Board.org, DT-Global Business Consulting, and Dragonfly.
  • In March 2024, FiscalNote divested Board.org, adding approximately $15 million in cash to its balance sheet.
  • In 2025, FiscalNote divested Oxford Analytica and Dragonfly to Dow Jones for $40 million, and TimeBase to Thomson Reuters for $6.5 million, as part of a strategy to streamline operations and reduce debt.

Capital Expenditures

  • FiscalNote made investments in new, high-growth lines of business such as ESG and geopolitical information in 2021.
  • The company focused investments on new products and services for the State, Local, & Education (SLED) public sector market in 2021.
  • Ongoing investments are directed towards its core policy offering, including the launch and enhancement of the new AI-focused PolicyNote platform in 2025, with an aim to control annual capital expenditures to accelerate free cash flow.

Better Bets vs. FiscalNote (NOTE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NOTE.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ELF_4102026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04102026ELFe.l.f. BeautyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-6.2%
VRSK_4102026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04102026VRSKVerisk AnalyticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.3%12.3%0.0%
IPAR_4022026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04022026IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-0.3%
COKE_4022026_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04022026COKECoca-Cola ConsolidatedQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.5%5.5%-5.2%
MZTI_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026MZTIMarzettiDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.0%-5.0%-8.6%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NOTESPGIMCOVRSKITMSCIMedian
NameFiscalNo.S&P Glob.Moodys Verisk A.Gartner MSCI  
Mkt Price0.20426.06455.77181.11146.40588.85303.59
Mkt Cap0.0126.780.624.510.543.233.8
Rev LTM9515,7307,8733,1026,4973,2394,868
Op Inc LTM-376,4363,5301,3661,1761,7931,580
FCF LTM-195,5562,7471,1271,1751,4681,322
FCF 3Y Avg-255,0112,4289861,2041,3421,273
CFO LTM-115,7353,0831,3821,2901,5941,488
CFO 3Y Avg-175,1642,7401,2191,3101,4561,383

Growth & Margins

NOTESPGIMCOVRSKITMSCIMedian
NameFiscalNo.S&P Glob.Moodys Verisk A.Gartner MSCI  
Rev Chg LTM-20.7%8.5%9.0%5.9%3.7%10.9%7.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.5%9.6%13.3%7.4%5.9%12.4%8.5%
Rev Chg Q-24.7%10.4%8.1%3.9%2.2%14.1%6.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.1%2.6%2.0%1.0%0.6%3.3%1.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-16.2%13.6%15.7%7.0%1.6%14.5%10.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg19.4%22.1%22.9%8.2%2.0%13.3%16.4%
Op Mgn LTM-38.9%40.9%44.8%44.0%18.1%55.4%42.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-38.5%38.0%42.2%43.2%18.5%54.3%40.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.2%0.6%-0.0%0.3%0.1%0.7%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-12.0%36.5%39.2%44.5%19.9%49.2%37.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-14.4%35.8%38.5%41.6%21.0%49.7%37.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-19.5%35.3%34.9%36.3%18.1%45.3%35.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-21.4%34.7%34.1%33.6%19.3%45.9%33.8%

Valuation

NOTESPGIMCOVRSKITMSCIMedian
NameFiscalNo.S&P Glob.Moodys Verisk A.Gartner MSCI  
Mkt Cap0.0126.780.624.510.543.233.8
P/S0.08.110.27.91.613.38.0
P/Op Inc-0.119.722.817.99.024.118.8
P/EBIT-0.118.223.218.09.624.218.1
P/E-0.126.532.326.914.532.726.7
P/CFO-0.322.126.117.78.227.119.9
Total Yield-1,998.4%4.7%4.0%4.8%6.9%4.4%4.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%0.9%1.0%0.0%1.3%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-38.8%3.6%3.1%3.1%4.4%3.2%3.1%
D/E46.30.10.10.20.30.20.2
Net D/E38.20.10.10.20.20.10.1

Returns

NOTESPGIMCOVRSKITMSCIMedian
NameFiscalNo.S&P Glob.Moodys Verisk A.Gartner MSCI  
1M Rtn-23.5%0.2%3.9%-1.3%-5.4%9.7%-0.5%
3M Rtn-83.4%-19.1%-11.4%-16.5%-30.2%-3.0%-17.8%
6M Rtn-95.1%-12.2%-4.7%-16.8%-41.0%0.8%-14.5%
12M Rtn-97.3%-13.9%1.7%-38.0%-65.1%9.3%-26.0%
3Y Rtn-99.0%22.6%52.8%-2.3%-51.5%30.3%10.2%
1M Excs Rtn-33.4%-9.7%-6.1%-11.3%-15.4%-0.3%-10.5%
3M Excs Rtn-87.6%-23.3%-15.6%-20.7%-34.4%-7.2%-22.0%
6M Excs Rtn-100.0%-14.5%-7.9%-17.5%-46.3%-0.4%-16.0%
12M Excs Rtn-127.1%-43.9%-28.4%-68.3%-95.1%-20.3%-56.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-177.3%-49.9%-25.1%-81.2%-128.5%-45.0%-65.5%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single segment120133  
Advertising  3 
Advisory  5 
Books  1 
Other revenue  5 
Subscription  101 
Total120133114 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single segment   176
Total   176


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$0.20 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date12/07/2020 
Distance from 52W High-98.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$0.63$3.04
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-68.5%-93.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility181.6%118.9%
Downside Capture7.154.01
Upside Capture178.53102.63
Correlation (SPY)39.2%32.3%
NOTE Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.333.724.774.003.151.72
Up Beta-0.370.190.441.790.620.73
Down Beta-25.688.659.636.184.871.42
Up Capture100%-19%197%55%107%282%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days11182747106337
Down Capture1519%605%471%307%219%113%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days10243573140389

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NOTE
NOTE-96.9%118.3%-2.27-
Sector ETF (XLP)5.7%12.6%0.171.8%
Equity (SPY)30.6%12.5%1.8833.2%
Gold (GLD)39.5%27.2%1.2021.4%
Commodities (DBC)51.5%17.9%2.204.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.1%13.5%0.6715.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-18.2%42.1%-0.3628.9%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NOTE
NOTE-71.4%103.4%-0.73-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.9%13.2%0.302.5%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5918.6%
Gold (GLD)20.5%17.9%0.9410.7%
Commodities (DBC)14.3%19.1%0.615.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.5%18.8%0.099.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.4%56.1%0.359.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NOTE
NOTE-46.5%99.8%-0.70-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.8%14.7%0.402.6%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7118.5%
Gold (GLD)13.6%15.9%0.7110.5%
Commodities (DBC)9.7%17.7%0.465.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.249.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.4%66.9%1.079.7%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3312026-56.7%
Average Daily Volume0.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity16.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/19/2026-14.8%-76.2%-70.5%
8/7/2025-9.2%-14.6%-41.2%
3/13/2025-4.4%2.3%-30.6%
11/12/2024-12.5%-11.2%2.5%
8/8/2024-4.4%-10.2%-13.1%
5/9/20245.7%21.3%-6.6%
11/14/2023-32.2%-21.2%-10.6%
8/9/2023-22.6%-21.7%-43.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive343
# Negative989
Median Positive13.5%13.1%6.0%
Median Negative-10.2%-14.8%-19.1%
Max Positive23.6%31.1%65.8%
Max Negative-32.2%-76.2%-70.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/24/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/15/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202404/01/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202303/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/14/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/15/202310-Q
12/31/202203/28/202310-K
09/30/202211/14/202210-Q
09/30/202101/10/2022S-4/A

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue20.00 Mil20.50 Mil21.00 Mil-8.9% Lower NewGuidance: 22.50 Mil for Q3 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA 1.00 Mil -50.0% Lower NewGuidance: 2.00 Mil for Q3 2025
2026 Total Revenues80.00 Mil81.50 Mil83.00 Mil-16.0% Lower NewGuidance: 97.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA14.00 Mil15.00 Mil16.00 Mil36.4% Higher NewGuidance: 11.00 Mil for 2025

Prior: Q2 2025 Earnings Reported 8/7/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2025 Revenue22.00 Mil22.50 Mil23.00 Mil   
Q3 2025 Adjusted EBITDA 2.00 Mil    
2025 Revenue94.00 Mil97.00 Mil100.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 97.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDA10.00 Mil11.00 Mil12.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 11.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Hwang, Tim See FootnoteSell20420261.204,0904,901234,147Form
2Hwang, Tim See FootnoteSell10620261.611,7162,761320,938Form
3Hwang, Tim See FootnoteSell120420251.915,59010,696384,986Form
4Hwang, Tim See FootnoteSell111020252.597,69519,961536,426Form
5Hwang, Tim See FootnoteSell100320254.804,76622,8611,028,823Form