MSCI (MSCI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $549.56 | Market Cap: $42.0 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data
MSCI (MSCI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $549.56Market Cap: $42.0 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Financial Exchanges & Data
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include ESG Investing & Green Bonds, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include ESG Investing & Green Bonds, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MSCI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points that could explain the approximately -3.6% movement in MSCI's stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Slight Revenue Miss in Q3 2025
While MSCI surpassed earnings per share (EPS) forecasts in its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, its revenue of $793.43 million fell slightly short of the anticipated $795.73 million. Although the EPS beat contributed to an initial positive market reaction, this minor revenue miss might have introduced a degree of investor caution or contributed to profit-taking in the subsequent period.
2. Broader Market Volatility and Macroeconomic Concerns
The period around August 2025 experienced market volatility due to investor concerns that the Federal Reserve might sustain elevated interest rates for an extended duration to combat inflation. Such macroeconomic uncertainties and the potential for tighter monetary policy can exert downward pressure on equity markets generally, which could have affected MSCI's stock despite company-specific positive developments.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MSCI Return | 74% | 38% | -23% | 23% | 7% | -8% | 125% |
| Peers Return | 27% | 33% | -8% | 26% | 20% | 0% | 135% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MSCI Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 67% | 45% | 60% | 62% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MSCI Max Drawdown | -13% | -12% | -38% | -1% | -21% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -8% | -29% | -8% | -10% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BLK, SPGI, MCO, FDS, SNEX. See MSCI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MSCI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -25.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -69.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 223.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 761 days | 1480 days |
Compare to BLK, SPGI, MCO, FDS, SNEX
In The Past
MSCI's stock fell -43.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -43.9% loss requires a 78.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Better Bet Than MSCI Stock: SPGI Delivers More | Actionable | ||
| Is MSCI Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return | ||
| MSCI vs CME: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| null | |||
| Better Bet Than MSCI Stock: Pay Less Than MSCI To Get More From IBKR, JEF | |||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for MSCI Stock with 5.8% Return (vs. -6.5% YTD) [7/29/2025] | Notification | ||
| MSCI Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 8.4% in 2024 and 1.4% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| MSCI (MSCI) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| MSCI (MSCI) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| MSCI (MSCI) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| MSCI Stock Near Crucial Support – Buy Signal? | November 27th, 2025 | ||
| Better Value & Growth: SPGI Leads MSCI Stock | October 29th, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: REGN, MSCI, UPS | Losers: ARE, ZBRA, EG | October 29th, 2025 | ||
| MSCI Testing Price Floor: Time to Load Up? | September 4th, 2025 | ||
| MSCI Stock Up 5.8% after 5-Day Win Streak | July 30th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MSCI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 10312022 | MSCI | MSCI | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 3.6% | 1.6% | -3.8% |
| 04302022 | MSCI | MSCI | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.2% | 15.7% | -10.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 10312022 | MSCI | MSCI | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 3.6% | 1.6% | -3.8% |
| 04302022 | MSCI | MSCI | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.2% | 15.7% | -10.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for MSCI
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Growth & Margins
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Valuation
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Returns
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Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Index | 1,452 | 1,303 | 1,252 | 1,016 | 921 |
| Analytics | 616 | 576 | 544 | 514 | 497 |
| Sustainability and Climate | 288 | 228 | 166 | 111 | |
| All Other - Private Assets | 174 | 141 | 81 | 54 | |
| All Other | 140 | ||||
| Total | 2,529 | 2,249 | 2,044 | 1,695 | 1,558 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Index | 1,107 | 985 | 951 | 766 | 670 |
| Analytics | 275 | 248 | 199 | 173 | 152 |
| Sustainability and Climate | 92 | 61 | 30 | 23 | |
| All Other - Private Assets | 49 | 35 | 17 | 9 | |
| Impairment related to sublease of leased property | -0 | 0 | -8 | ||
| Acquisition-related integration and transaction costs | -2 | -4 | -7 | ||
| Depreciation and amortization of property, equipment and leasehold improvements | -21 | -27 | -29 | -30 | -30 |
| Amortization of intangible assets | -114 | -91 | -81 | -57 | -49 |
| 2016 Multi-Year PSUs grant payroll tax expense | -15 | ||||
| All Other | 28 | ||||
| Total | 1,385 | 1,208 | 1,073 | 885 | 756 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7222025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4222025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2072025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7232024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4232024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2092024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7252023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4252023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |