Tearsheet

MSCI (MSCI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $549.56 | Market Cap: $42.0 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

MSCI (MSCI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $549.56
Market Cap: $42.0 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include ESG Investing & Green Bonds, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include ESG Investing & Green Bonds, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MSCI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points that could explain the approximately -3.6% movement in MSCI's stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Slight Revenue Miss in Q3 2025

While MSCI surpassed earnings per share (EPS) forecasts in its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, its revenue of $793.43 million fell slightly short of the anticipated $795.73 million. Although the EPS beat contributed to an initial positive market reaction, this minor revenue miss might have introduced a degree of investor caution or contributed to profit-taking in the subsequent period. 2. Broader Market Volatility and Macroeconomic Concerns

The period around August 2025 experienced market volatility due to investor concerns that the Federal Reserve might sustain elevated interest rates for an extended duration to combat inflation. Such macroeconomic uncertainties and the potential for tighter monetary policy can exert downward pressure on equity markets generally, which could have affected MSCI's stock despite company-specific positive developments.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MSCI Return74%38%-23%23%7%-8%125%
Peers Return27%33%-8%26%20%0%135%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MSCI Win Rate67%58%42%42%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate62%67%45%60%62%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MSCI Max Drawdown-13%-12%-38%-1%-21%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-8%-29%-8%-10%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BLK, SPGI, MCO, FDS, SNEX. See MSCI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMSCIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven42 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven66 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven223.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven761 days1480 days

Compare to BLK, SPGI, MCO, FDS, SNEX


In The Past

MSCI's stock fell -43.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -43.9% loss requires a 78.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MSCI (MSCI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MSCI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
MSCI_10312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312022MSCIMSCIMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
3.6%1.6%-3.8%
MSCI_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022MSCIMSCIMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.2%15.7%-10.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
MSCI_10312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312022MSCIMSCIMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
3.6%1.6%-3.8%
MSCI_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022MSCIMSCIMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.2%15.7%-10.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MSCI

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MSCIBLKSPGIMCOFDSSNEXMedian
NameMSCI BlackRockS&P Glob.Moodys FactSet .StoneX  
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Growth & Margins

MSCIBLKSPGIMCOFDSSNEXMedian
NameMSCI BlackRockS&P Glob.Moodys FactSet .StoneX  
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Valuation

MSCIBLKSPGIMCOFDSSNEXMedian
NameMSCI BlackRockS&P Glob.Moodys FactSet .StoneX  
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
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P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
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Returns

MSCIBLKSPGIMCOFDSSNEXMedian
NameMSCI BlackRockS&P Glob.Moodys FactSet .StoneX  
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Index1,4521,3031,2521,016921
Analytics616576544514497
Sustainability and Climate288228166111 
All Other - Private Assets1741418154 
All Other    140
Total2,5292,2492,0441,6951,558


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Index1,107985951766670
Analytics275248199173152
Sustainability and Climate92613023 
All Other - Private Assets4935179 
Impairment related to sublease of leased property-00-8  
Acquisition-related integration and transaction costs-2-4-7  
Depreciation and amortization of property, equipment and leasehold improvements-21-27-29-30-30
Amortization of intangible assets-114-91-81-57-49
2016 Multi-Year PSUs grant payroll tax expense    -15
All Other    28
Total1,3851,2081,073885756


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,662,757
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202520.8%
Average Daily Volume597,380
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.78
Basic Shares Quantity76,460,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025722202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025422202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023425202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021