Tearsheet

MSCI (MSCI)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $551.53 | Market Cap: $42.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

MSCI (MSCI)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $551.53
Market Cap: $42.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 54%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 14x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 26x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 35x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%
  Key risks
MSCI key risks include [1] an active securities fraud investigation following a significant profit drop and [2] a sharp deceleration in revenue growth for its key ESG and Climate Solutions segment.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include ESG Investing & Green Bonds, Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 54%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include ESG Investing & Green Bonds, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 14x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 26x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 35x
6 Key risks
MSCI key risks include [1] an active securities fraud investigation following a significant profit drop and [2] a sharp deceleration in revenue growth for its key ESG and Climate Solutions segment.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MSCI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025, MSCI (symbol: MSCI) experienced a monthly decline of around -3.23%. This movement can be attributed to several key factors. 1. Stricter Digital Asset Index Rules: MSCI garnered attention in December 2025 for weighing stricter rules concerning digital assets within its indexes. This included the potential exclusion of companies whose balance sheets heavily rely on cryptocurrencies and digital asset treasuries, introducing uncertainty for investors. 2. Proposed Exclusion of Digital Asset Treasury Companies: Following the broader consideration of stricter rules, MSCI's specific proposals to exclude digital asset treasury companies from its indices became a notable point of discussion in November and December 2025. Such developments can trigger investor caution regarding index composition and the impact on underlying companies.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MSCI Return74%38%-23%23%7%-7%128%
Peers Return30%39%-27%31%15%-12%75%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MSCI Win Rate67%58%42%42%50%33% 
Peers Win Rate60%63%38%65%55%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MSCI Max Drawdown-13%-12%-38%-1%-21%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-8%-36%-7%-8%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SPGI, MCO, FDS, MORN, ICE. See MSCI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMSCIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven42 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven66 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven223.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven761 days1480 days

Compare to BLK, SPGI, MCO, FDS, SNEX


In The Past

MSCI's stock fell -43.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -43.9% loss requires a 78.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MSCI (MSCI)

Better Bets than MSCI (MSCI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MSCI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
MSCI_10312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312022MSCIMSCIMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
3.6%1.6%-3.8%
MSCI_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022MSCIMSCIMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.2%15.7%-10.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
MSCI_10312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312022MSCIMSCIMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
3.6%1.6%-3.8%
MSCI_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022MSCIMSCIMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.2%15.7%-10.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MSCI

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MSCISPGIMCOFDSMORNICEMedian
NameMSCI S&P Glob.Moodys FactSet .Mornings.Intercon. 
Mkt Price551.23499.86493.00293.00209.70160.05393.00
Mkt Cap42.1152.188.211.18.891.765.2
Rev LTM3,05515,0127,5012,3222,39512,5545,278
Op Inc LTM1,6556,0313,2867484714,7932,471
FCF LTM1,3885,4612,3986173944,0781,893
FCF 3Y Avg1,2734,6572,1666053323,5261,720
CFO LTM1,5185,6432,7177265394,8762,117
CFO 3Y Avg1,3804,8052,4706914664,1511,925

Growth & Margins

MSCISPGIMCOFDSMORNICEMedian
NameMSCI S&P Glob.Moodys FactSet .Mornings.Intercon. 
Rev Chg LTM9.0%9.0%8.8%5.4%7.8%16.3%8.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.2%13.3%9.8%8.0%8.9%10.0%9.9%
Rev Chg Q9.5%8.8%10.7%6.2%8.4%12.6%9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%2.1%2.7%1.5%2.0%3.0%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM54.2%40.2%43.8%32.2%19.7%38.2%39.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg54.1%36.3%40.7%31.4%15.6%38.8%37.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%1.0%1.3%1.7%0.1%0.7%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM49.7%37.6%36.2%31.3%22.5%38.8%36.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg50.0%34.8%36.8%31.3%20.9%37.8%35.8%
FCF/Rev LTM45.4%36.4%32.0%26.6%16.5%32.5%32.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg46.1%33.7%32.2%27.5%14.8%32.1%32.2%

Valuation

MSCISPGIMCOFDSMORNICEMedian
NameMSCI S&P Glob.Moodys FactSet .Mornings.Intercon. 
Mkt Cap42.1152.188.211.18.891.765.2
P/S14.29.911.44.74.17.78.8
P/EBIT26.124.126.013.917.719.922.0
P/E35.535.138.018.126.032.133.6
P/CFO28.626.231.414.918.119.823.0
Total Yield4.1%3.6%3.4%7.0%4.6%4.2%4.2%
Dividend Yield1.3%0.8%0.8%1.5%0.8%1.1%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.9%3.3%2.9%4.2%2.9%4.3%3.1%
D/E0.10.10.10.10.10.20.1
Net D/E0.10.10.10.10.10.20.1

Returns

MSCISPGIMCOFDSMORNICEMedian
NameMSCI S&P Glob.Moodys FactSet .Mornings.Intercon. 
1M Rtn-2.5%1.4%2.8%7.4%-1.1%5.6%2.1%
3M Rtn-2.5%-7.5%-2.8%-14.8%-15.6%-6.3%-6.9%
6M Rtn1.1%0.1%5.0%-30.4%-30.0%-11.1%-5.5%
12M Rtn-9.7%0.1%1.5%-39.2%-40.6%4.7%-4.8%
3Y Rtn21.0%50.9%79.4%-29.5%-0.4%65.1%36.0%
1M Excs Rtn-3.4%0.4%1.8%6.4%-2.0%4.6%1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-7.5%-11.0%-6.5%-15.5%-18.6%-9.8%-10.4%
6M Excs Rtn-12.5%-13.5%-8.6%-44.0%-43.7%-24.7%-19.1%
12M Excs Rtn-24.6%-14.2%-12.0%-51.7%-53.6%-8.7%-19.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-57.0%-25.1%2.7%-105.7%-81.3%-11.2%-41.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Index1,4521,3031,2521,016921
Analytics616576544514497
Sustainability and Climate288228166111 
All Other - Private Assets1741418154 
All Other    140
Total2,5292,2492,0441,6951,558


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Index1,107985951766670
Analytics275248199173152
Sustainability and Climate92613023 
All Other - Private Assets4935179 
Impairment related to sublease of leased property-00-8  
Acquisition-related integration and transaction costs-2-4-7  
Depreciation and amortization of property, equipment and leasehold improvements-21-27-29-30-30
Amortization of intangible assets-114-91-81-57-49
2016 Multi-Year PSUs grant payroll tax expense    -15
All Other    28
Total1,3851,2081,073885756


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,601,610
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.7%
Average Daily Volume580,998
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.76
Basic Shares Quantity76,460,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/20258.6%6.3%3.3%
7/22/2025-8.9%-4.4%-1.4%
4/22/20250.9%0.3%7.4%
1/29/2025-5.6%-7.0%-7.2%
10/29/2024-2.7%-1.0%1.4%
7/23/20247.9%7.2%11.6%
4/23/2024-13.4%-7.4%-1.5%
1/30/20249.3%5.9%3.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131515
# Negative1199
Median Positive3.7%6.1%5.6%
Median Negative-4.5%-5.6%-4.8%
Max Positive9.3%13.8%22.3%
Max Negative-13.5%-11.3%-15.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025722202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025422202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023425202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021