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Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $46.79 | Market Cap: $886.5 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $46.79
Market Cap: $886.5 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -136 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -218%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 450%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 236%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -51%
3   Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -303%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -304%
5   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 948%
6   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
7   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 185%
8   Key risks
NKTR key risks include [1] a critical dependence on the clinical success of its lead candidate, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -136 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -218%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 450%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 236%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -51%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -303%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -304%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 948%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
10 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 185%
11 Key risks
NKTR key risks include [1] a critical dependence on the clinical success of its lead candidate, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NKTR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Positive Phase 2b Clinical Data for Rezpegaldesleukin in Atopic Dermatitis. Nektar presented encouraging results from the REZOLVE-AD Phase 2b study for rezpegaldesleukin in moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis at the EADV Congress in September 2025 and the ACAAI 2025 Scientific Meeting in November 2025. These presentations highlighted significant improvements in EASI scores and itch relief, suggesting a differentiated profile for the drug, which could have positively influenced investor sentiment.

2. Proof-of-Concept Established for Rezpegaldesleukin in Alopecia Areata. On December 16, 2025, Nektar announced topline results from its Phase 2b REZOLVE-AA trial, demonstrating proof-of-concept for rezpegaldesleukin in severe-to-very-severe alopecia areata. Despite initially narrowly missing the primary endpoint, the company reported that after excluding four erroneously enrolled patients, the study met its goal of significantly reducing scalp hair loss, which positions the drug for potential Phase 3 development.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NKTR Return-21%-21%-83%-75%65%215%-86%
Peers Return4%10%17%-3%4%22%65%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NKTR Win Rate50%33%25%50%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate47%50%57%48%58%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NKTR Max Drawdown-33%-36%-85%-81%-13%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-11%-9%-20%-18%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: INCY, BMY, AMGN, GILD, REGN. See NKTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNKTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5923.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-85.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven583.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven438.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven510 days1,480 days

Compare to ACRS, LFVN, KPTI, FGEN, VERU


In The Past

Nektar Therapeutics's stock fell -98.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -98.3% loss requires a 5923.2% gain to breakeven.

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About Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)

Better Bets than Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NKTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nektar Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NKTRINCYBMYAMGNGILDREGNMedian
NameNektar T.Incyte Bristol-.Amgen Gilead S.Regenero. 
Mkt Price46.84102.6954.19327.38124.29767.96113.49
Mkt Cap0.920.1110.3176.1154.579.694.9
Rev LTM634,81348,03435,97129,08614,24821,667
Op Inc LTM-1361,25611,4208,67111,1513,8076,239
FCF LTM-1901,17215,30211,5399,1623,8816,522
FCF 3Y Avg-19158513,5989,0678,8153,8536,334
CFO LTM-1901,25116,62113,1269,6675,0717,369
CFO 3Y Avg-19066214,84610,3229,3644,8487,106

Growth & Margins

NKTRINCYBMYAMGNGILDREGNMedian
NameNektar T.Incyte Bristol-.Amgen Gilead S.Regenero. 
Rev Chg LTM-32.8%18.1%1.3%10.6%2.8%2.9%2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.5%13.1%1.0%11.2%2.3%1.4%1.9%
Rev Chg Q-51.1%20.0%2.8%12.4%3.0%0.9%2.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-16.5%5.0%0.7%3.0%0.8%0.2%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM-217.8%26.1%23.8%24.1%38.3%26.7%25.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-176.2%13.8%19.0%25.4%39.2%30.0%22.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-32.2%4.4%2.9%0.6%0.9%-0.9%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-303.1%26.0%34.6%36.5%33.2%35.6%33.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-241.0%15.3%31.7%32.7%33.1%35.4%32.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-304.1%24.4%31.9%32.1%31.5%27.2%29.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-242.2%13.5%29.0%28.8%31.2%28.2%28.5%

Valuation

NKTRINCYBMYAMGNGILDREGNMedian
NameNektar T.Incyte Bristol-.Amgen Gilead S.Regenero. 
Mkt Cap0.920.1110.3176.1154.579.694.9
P/S14.24.22.34.95.35.65.1
P/EBIT-10.212.611.015.914.215.313.4
P/E-7.416.918.325.119.017.417.8
P/CFO-4.716.16.613.416.015.714.6
Total Yield-13.6%5.9%10.0%6.8%7.8%6.1%6.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%4.5%2.9%2.6%0.3%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-87.8%3.9%13.2%5.9%8.0%4.9%5.4%
D/E0.10.00.50.30.20.00.1
Net D/E-0.2-0.10.30.30.1-0.10.0

Returns

NKTRINCYBMYAMGNGILDREGNMedian
NameNektar T.Incyte Bristol-.Amgen Gilead S.Regenero. 
1M Rtn-13.7%0.6%17.2%-3.0%-1.2%1.6%-0.3%
3M Rtn-15.1%18.7%22.0%15.5%9.7%29.9%17.1%
6M Rtn450.4%50.0%18.8%14.9%16.1%51.1%34.4%
12M Rtn236.4%49.2%-0.8%28.3%38.0%10.0%33.2%
3Y Rtn35.8%26.6%-16.2%35.8%62.0%5.3%31.2%
1M Excs Rtn-25.3%-1.5%15.4%-7.3%-5.2%6.4%-3.4%
3M Excs Rtn-22.6%19.1%20.0%13.2%9.1%27.0%16.1%
6M Excs Rtn377.6%39.2%5.2%8.6%5.2%37.0%22.8%
12M Excs Rtn193.2%35.0%-14.3%14.1%24.7%-8.6%19.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-57.1%-46.8%-90.8%-38.2%-14.8%-68.1%-52.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Focuses on applying our expertise to develop novel drug candidates90    
License, collaboration and other revenue 205617
Non-cash royalty revenue related to the sales of future royalties 70784936
Product sales 20241820
Royalty revenue   3141
Total9092102153115


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Focuses on applying our expertise to develop novel drug candidates-264    
Total-264    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,818,868
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.3%
Average Daily Volume619,413
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.94
Basic Shares Quantity18,946,559
Short % of Basic Shares9.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20251.5%-2.1%6.6%
8/7/20256.0%22.7%103.8%
3/12/2025-0.6%9.4%-39.1%
11/7/20242.2%-14.6%-26.3%
8/8/2024-8.3%-1.7%-2.5%
3/4/2024-1.8%-7.6%15.6%
11/7/2023-8.8%-6.9%-7.4%
8/8/2023-8.9%-19.1%-40.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1376
# Negative81415
Median Positive4.5%9.3%10.2%
Median Negative-5.3%-6.9%-16.6%
Max Positive10.4%22.7%103.8%
Max Negative-19.2%-19.1%-47.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021