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Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $45.315 | Market Cap: $858.6 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $45.315
Market Cap: $858.6 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -136 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -218%
1   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 428%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 197%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -51%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -303%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -304%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 948%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 185%
6   Key risks
NKTR key risks include [1] a critical dependence on the clinical success of its lead candidate, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -136 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -218%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 428%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 197%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -51%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -303%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -304%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 948%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 185%
8 Key risks
NKTR key risks include [1] a critical dependence on the clinical success of its lead candidate, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NKTR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Key points explaining Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, when the stock moved by 52.1%:



1. Promising Phase 2b REZOLVE-AD Clinical Trial Results: Nektar Therapeutics' stock experienced a significant surge in September and October 2025, including a 90.6% increase in October, driven by enthusiasm for positive clinical trial results for its lead candidate, rezpegaldesleukin, in moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis. Data from the 16-week induction period of the REZOLVE-AD study, presented at the European Academy of Dermatology and Venereology (EADV) 2025 Congress in September, indicated rezpegaldesleukin could be a strong competitor to existing treatments. Further 24-week results also demonstrated significant skin clearance.

2. FDA Fast Track Designations: Leading into the period, rezpegaldesleukin received FDA Fast Track designation in July 2025 for severe alopecia areata, building on a prior Fast Track designation in February 2025 for moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis. These designations highlight the potential of the drug to address unmet medical needs and expedite its development.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NKTR Return-21%-21%-83%-75%65%252%-85%
Peers Return4%10%17%-3%4%22%64%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NKTR Win Rate50%33%25%50%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate47%50%57%48%58%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NKTR Max Drawdown-33%-36%-85%-81%-13%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-11%-9%-20%-18%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: INCY, BMY, AMGN, GILD, REGN. See NKTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNKTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5923.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-85.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven583.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven438.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven510 days1,480 days

Compare to ACRS, LFVN, KPTI, FGEN, VERU


In The Past

Nektar Therapeutics's stock fell -98.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -98.3% loss requires a 5923.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)

Better Bets than Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NKTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nektar Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NKTRINCYBMYAMGNGILDREGNMedian
NameNektar T.Incyte Bristol-.Amgen Gilead S.Regenero. 
Mkt Price45.4397.6353.55326.01121.36749.79109.50
Mkt Cap1.119.1109.0175.4150.977.793.4
Rev LTM634,81348,03435,97129,08614,24821,667
Op Inc LTM-1361,25611,4208,67111,1513,8076,239
FCF LTM-1901,17215,30211,5399,1623,8816,522
FCF 3Y Avg-19158513,5989,0678,8153,8536,334
CFO LTM-1901,25116,62113,1269,6675,0717,369
CFO 3Y Avg-19066214,84610,3229,3644,8487,106

Growth & Margins

NKTRINCYBMYAMGNGILDREGNMedian
NameNektar T.Incyte Bristol-.Amgen Gilead S.Regenero. 
Rev Chg LTM-32.8%18.1%1.3%10.6%2.8%2.9%2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.5%13.1%1.0%11.2%2.3%1.4%1.9%
Rev Chg Q-51.1%20.0%2.8%12.4%3.0%0.9%2.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-16.5%5.0%0.7%3.0%0.8%0.2%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM-217.8%26.1%23.8%24.1%38.3%26.7%25.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-176.2%13.8%19.0%25.4%39.2%30.0%22.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-32.2%4.4%2.9%0.6%0.9%-0.9%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-303.1%26.0%34.6%36.5%33.2%35.6%33.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-241.0%15.3%31.7%32.7%33.1%35.4%32.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-304.1%24.4%31.9%32.1%31.5%27.2%29.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-242.2%13.5%29.0%28.8%31.2%28.2%28.5%

Valuation

NKTRINCYBMYAMGNGILDREGNMedian
NameNektar T.Incyte Bristol-.Amgen Gilead S.Regenero. 
Mkt Cap1.119.1109.0175.4150.977.793.4
P/S17.23.41.94.24.74.14.2
P/EBIT-10.49.213.712.711.211.2
P/E-8.914.015.221.717.012.714.6
P/CFO-5.713.35.511.614.311.511.5
Total Yield-11.2%7.2%12.0%7.9%8.8%8.3%8.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%5.4%3.3%2.9%0.5%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.9%13.2%5.9%8.0%4.9%5.9%
D/E-0.00.60.40.20.00.2
Net D/E--0.20.40.30.1-0.10.1

Returns

NKTRINCYBMYAMGNGILDREGNMedian
NameNektar T.Incyte Bristol-.Amgen Gilead S.Regenero. 
1M Rtn-23.7%-6.3%14.4%-4.6%-1.6%6.5%-3.1%
3M Rtn-11.0%15.1%17.6%19.5%8.8%28.2%16.4%
6M Rtn427.6%43.0%17.4%14.3%13.9%46.4%30.2%
12M Rtn196.9%40.7%-2.5%26.6%34.4%1.9%30.5%
3Y Rtn13.9%19.0%-16.8%34.2%55.4%4.3%16.4%
1M Excs Rtn-24.5%-7.0%13.7%-5.3%-2.3%5.7%-3.8%
3M Excs Rtn-24.0%12.2%17.7%17.7%6.2%24.0%14.9%
6M Excs Rtn415.3%30.6%5.0%1.9%1.5%34.0%17.8%
12M Excs Rtn188.8%31.3%-10.3%13.3%24.7%-8.0%19.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-56.7%-49.9%-90.9%-38.8%-14.8%-66.9%-53.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Focuses on applying our expertise to develop novel drug candidates90    
License, collaboration and other revenue 205617
Non-cash royalty revenue related to the sales of future royalties 70784936
Product sales 20241820
Royalty revenue   3141
Total9092102153115


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Focuses on applying our expertise to develop novel drug candidates-264    
Total-264    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,818,868
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.3%
Average Daily Volume619,413
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.94
Basic Shares Quantity18,946,559
Short % of Basic Shares9.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20251.5%-2.1%6.6%
8/7/20256.0%22.7%103.8%
3/12/2025-0.6%9.4%-39.1%
11/7/20242.2%-14.6%-26.3%
8/8/2024-8.3%-1.7%-2.5%
3/4/2024-1.8%-7.6%15.6%
11/7/2023-8.8%-6.9%-7.4%
8/8/2023-8.9%-19.1%-40.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1376
# Negative81415
Median Positive4.5%9.3%10.2%
Median Negative-5.3%-6.9%-16.6%
Max Positive10.4%22.7%103.8%
Max Negative-19.2%-19.1%-47.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021