Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $46.79 | Market Cap: $886.5 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $46.79Market Cap: $886.5 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -57% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -136 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -218% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 450%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 236% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -51% | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -303%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -304% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 948% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 185% | ||
| Key risksNKTR key risks include [1] a critical dependence on the clinical success of its lead candidate, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -57% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -136 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -218% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 450%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 236% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -51% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -303%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -304% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 948% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 185% |
| Key risksNKTR key risks include [1] a critical dependence on the clinical success of its lead candidate, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NKTR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Positive Phase 2b Clinical Data for Rezpegaldesleukin in Atopic Dermatitis. Nektar presented encouraging results from the REZOLVE-AD Phase 2b study for rezpegaldesleukin in moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis at the EADV Congress in September 2025 and the ACAAI 2025 Scientific Meeting in November 2025. These presentations highlighted significant improvements in EASI scores and itch relief, suggesting a differentiated profile for the drug, which could have positively influenced investor sentiment.
2. Proof-of-Concept Established for Rezpegaldesleukin in Alopecia Areata. On December 16, 2025, Nektar announced topline results from its Phase 2b REZOLVE-AA trial, demonstrating proof-of-concept for rezpegaldesleukin in severe-to-very-severe alopecia areata. Despite initially narrowly missing the primary endpoint, the company reported that after excluding four erroneously enrolled patients, the study met its goal of significantly reducing scalp hair loss, which positions the drug for potential Phase 3 development.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NKTR Return | -21% | -21% | -83% | -75% | 65% | 215% | -86% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 10% | 17% | -3% | 4% | 22% | 65% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NKTR Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 50% | 57% | 48% | 58% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NKTR Max Drawdown | -33% | -36% | -85% | -81% | -13% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -11% | -9% | -20% | -18% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: INCY, BMY, AMGN, GILD, REGN. See NKTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NKTR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5923.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -85.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 583.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -81.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 438.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 510 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ACRS, LFVN, KPTI, FGEN, VERU
In The Past
Nektar Therapeutics's stock fell -98.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -98.3% loss requires a 5923.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NKTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Nektar Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 113.49 |
| Mkt Cap | 94.9 |
| Rev LTM | 21,667 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,239 |
| FCF LTM | 6,522 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 6,334 |
| CFO LTM | 7,369 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,106 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 29.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 94.9 |
| P/S | 5.1 |
| P/EBIT | 13.4 |
| P/E | 17.8 |
| P/CFO | 14.6 |
| Total Yield | 6.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 17.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 34.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 33.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 31.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 22.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 19.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -52.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Focuses on applying our expertise to develop novel drug candidates | 90 | ||||
| License, collaboration and other revenue | 2 | 0 | 56 | 17 | |
| Non-cash royalty revenue related to the sales of future royalties | 70 | 78 | 49 | 36 | |
| Product sales | 20 | 24 | 18 | 20 | |
| Royalty revenue | 31 | 41 | |||
| Total | 90 | 92 | 102 | 153 | 115 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Focuses on applying our expertise to develop novel drug candidates | -264 | ||||
| Total | -264 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 1.5% | -2.1% | 6.6% |
| 8/7/2025 | 6.0% | 22.7% | 103.8% |
| 3/12/2025 | -0.6% | 9.4% | -39.1% |
| 11/7/2024 | 2.2% | -14.6% | -26.3% |
| 8/8/2024 | -8.3% | -1.7% | -2.5% |
| 3/4/2024 | -1.8% | -7.6% | 15.6% |
| 11/7/2023 | -8.8% | -6.9% | -7.4% |
| 8/8/2023 | -8.9% | -19.1% | -40.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 7 | 6 |
| # Negative | 8 | 14 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 4.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% |
| Median Negative | -5.3% | -6.9% | -16.6% |
| Max Positive | 10.4% | 22.7% | 103.8% |
| Max Negative | -19.2% | -19.1% | -47.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3052024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |