Natural Health Trends (NHTC)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $3.59 | Market Cap: $41.3 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail
Natural Health Trends (NHTC)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $3.59Market Cap: $41.3 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Broadline Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, Dividend Yield is 25%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.9% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -80% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Organic & Natural Products, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12% | |
| Key risksNHTC key risks include [1] its extreme sales concentration in the Chinese market, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, Dividend Yield is 25%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -80% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.9% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12% |
| Key risksNHTC key risks include [1] its extreme sales concentration in the Chinese market, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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I cannot fulfill this request as the specified time period (from August 31, 2025, to December 23, 2025) is in the future, and I do not have access to future stock performance data or news events. Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -24.8% change in NHTC stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -22.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 9222025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.33 | 3.26 | -24.76% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 42.09 | 40.87 | -2.88% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.18 | 0.92 | -22.48% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11.49 | 11.50 | -0.06% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -24.76% |
Market Drivers
9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NHTC | -24.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.7% | 14.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.9% | 17.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.9% change in NHTC stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -15.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6232025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.02 | 3.26 | -18.93% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 42.75 | 40.87 | -4.39% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.08 | 0.92 | -15.10% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11.49 | 11.50 | -0.12% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.93% |
Market Drivers
6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NHTC | -18.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.4% | 9.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 14.3% | 12.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -12.3% change in NHTC stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -7.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12222024 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.72 | 3.26 | -12.32% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 43.05 | 40.87 | -5.07% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.99 | 0.92 | -7.41% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11.47 | 11.50 | -0.25% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -12.32% |
Market Drivers
12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NHTC | -12.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.9% | 8.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.8% | 9.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 39.9% change in NHTC stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 81.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12232022 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.33 | 3.26 | 39.90% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 52.73 | 40.87 | -22.49% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.50 | 0.92 | 81.70% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11.42 | 11.50 | -0.67% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 39.89% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NHTC | -23.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 47.7% | 8.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 38.4% | 8.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NHTC Return | 7% | 50% | -42% | 96% | -12% | -16% | 36% |
| Peers Return | 38% | 10% | -44% | 4% | -48% | 27% | -42% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 113% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NHTC Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 67% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 60% | 30% | 50% | 37% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NHTC Max Drawdown | -50% | -1% | -44% | 0% | -23% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -11% | -52% | -28% | -54% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HLF, NUS, USNA, MED, NATR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NHTC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -53.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -80.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 418.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -97.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3554.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,565 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to MELI, M, BBBY, SBDS, AMZN
In The Past
Natural Health Trends's stock fell -58.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -58.1% loss requires a 138.7% gain to breakeven.
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Natural Health Trends Corp., a direct-selling and e-commerce company, provides personal care, wellness, and lifestyle products under the NHT Global brand. The company offers wellness products, including liquid, encapsulated, tableted, and powder dietary and nutritional supplements, as well as vitamins and minerals; and herbal products comprising herbal supplements. It also provides beauty products, such as age-defying and hydrating cleansers, creams, lotions, serums, and toners; and lifestyle products, which include weight management and energy enhancing supplements. In addition, the company offers home appliances; daily products, such as oral care, hair care, and body care; and home appliances products. It sells its products directly to consumers, as well as through an e-commerce retail platform in the United States, Canada, Cayman Islands, Mexico, Peru, Hong Kong, Taiwan, China, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, South Korea, Japan, India, Russia, Kazakhstan, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Florida Institute of Massage Therapy, Inc. and changed its name to Natural Health Trends Corp. in June 1993. Natural Health Trends Corp. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.
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Like **Herbalife** for health and beauty products sold through a direct selling model.
A publicly traded **Nu Skin** focusing on wellness, skincare, and household products.
Similar to **Amway** but with a primary focus on health and beauty supplements and personal care.
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- Nutritional Supplements: Products designed to support general health and enhance bodily functions through vitamins, minerals, and other dietary ingredients.
- Herbal Supplements: Specialized health products derived from natural plant extracts and botanicals, often targeting specific wellness needs.
- Beauty and Skincare Products: A line of anti-aging, cosmetic, and personal care items aimed at improving skin health and appearance.
- Lifestyle Products: Various other non-consumable goods and general well-being items offered to enhance daily living.
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Natural Health Trends (NHTC) operates primarily as a direct-selling and e-commerce company, selling its products directly to individuals rather than to other companies. Its customer base can be categorized as follows:
- Independent Distributors and Members: These are individuals who sign up with NHTC to purchase products, often at a discounted rate. They serve multiple roles: consuming products for personal use, reselling products to their own networks of customers, and recruiting new distributors to build their sales organizations. This group represents a significant portion of NHTC's direct sales, as they are the primary purchasers from the company.
- End-Consumers/Retail Customers: These individuals purchase NHTC's health and wellness, skincare, and other lifestyle products for personal consumption. They acquire products either directly from NHTC's independent distributors or, in some cases, directly from NHTC's e-commerce platform. Their primary interest is in the perceived benefits and quality of the products themselves.
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Chris T. Sharng President and Director
Mr. Sharng was appointed President of Natural Health Trends in February 2007. He previously served as Executive Vice President and CFO of Natural Health Trends from August 2004 to February 2007. Prior to his tenure at Natural Health Trends, Mr. Sharng held management positions as CFO of NorthPole Limited, Senior Vice President and CFO of Ultrak Inc., and Vice President of International Finance at Mattel, Inc.
Scott Davidson Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Davidson has served as Natural Health Trends' Senior Vice President and CFO since February 2007. He was previously the company's Chief Accounting Officer from September 2004 to February 2007. Before joining Natural Health Trends, Mr. Davidson held roles as Manager of Financial Reporting for IP Communications, Inc. from February 2000 to February 2001, Corporate Controller for Celion Networks, Inc. from March 2001 to September 2004, and Audit Manager for Arthur Andersen, LLP from December 1994 through January 2000.
Randall A. Mason Chairman of the Board
Mr. Mason has been a director of Natural Health Trends since May 2003 and has served as Chairman of the Board of Directors since March 2006. He founded and has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Marden Rehabilitation Associates, Inc. since 1989. Marden Rehabilitation Associates, Inc. is a private, Midwest U.S. ancillary provider of rehabilitative therapy services and home healthcare.
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The key risks to Natural Health Trends (NHTC) business are:
- Geopolitical and Market Concentration Risk: A substantial portion of Natural Health Trends' business, specifically 83% of its sales in Q2 2025, is routed through Hong Kong to mainland China, with 93% of overall sales generated outside the Americas. This creates significant exposure to geopolitical tensions, new U.S./China tariffs, political shifts in Hong Kong, and the ongoing challenge of operating without a direct-selling license in mainland China, which has been highlighted as a material uncertainty.
- Sustained Revenue Erosion and Declining Sales: The company has experienced ongoing revenue erosion and declining sales. In Q2 2025, net sales decreased by 6% compared to the same period in 2024, attributed to heightened economic uncertainty and evolving trade tensions. Full-year 2024 revenue also saw a 2% decrease compared to 2023, and these trends have contributed to negative cash flow and increased operating losses.
- Regulatory and Legal Risks of Direct-Selling Model: Natural Health Trends operates primarily through a direct-selling and e-commerce model, which carries inherent regulatory and legal risks, particularly in markets like China. The company has faced past allegations, including claims of operating as a pyramid scheme in China, which it has denied. Although a U.S. SEC investigation concluded in 2021 without enforcement action, the direct-selling industry, especially in international markets, remains subject to strict and evolving regulations, and compliance challenges can significantly impact operations and reputation.
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There are two clear emerging threats for Natural Health Trends (NHTC):
Evolving and Intensified Regulatory Scrutiny on Multi-Level Marketing (MLM) Models: Regulators, particularly in NHTC's crucial Asian markets like China, are increasingly scrutinizing direct selling compensation plans, product claims, and recruitment practices. This heightened oversight can lead to operational restrictions, fines, or changes in business practices that directly impact NHTC's ability to operate its established MLM model, recruit distributors, and generate revenue. The regulatory environment for MLM companies has historically been unpredictable and is trending towards stricter enforcement globally, posing a significant risk to NHTC's fundamental business structure.
Shifting Consumer Preferences and Increased Competition from Direct-to-Consumer (D2C) E-commerce Brands: Younger generations of consumers are exhibiting growing skepticism towards the traditional MLM model, often preferring to purchase health and wellness products directly from digitally native D2C brands. These new competitors leverage e-commerce, social media marketing, and transparent supply chains to offer products directly to consumers, often at competitive prices, bypassing the multi-tiered direct selling network. This trend makes it harder for NHTC to attract new customers and distributors while increasing competitive pressure from more agile, digitally focused rivals that offer a simpler and often more trusted purchasing experience.
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NHTC's main products and services primarily fall into the categories of wellness, beauty, and lifestyle products, offered through a direct-selling and e-commerce model under the NHT Global brand. These products include dietary and nutritional supplements, vitamins, minerals, herbal supplements, skincare items, and weight management solutions. The company operates globally, with a presence in regions such as North America (U.S., Canada, Mexico, Peru, Colombia), Asia-Pacific (Hong Kong, Taiwan, China, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, Japan, India), and Europe. The addressable markets for these main product categories are substantial: * **Global Wellness Market:** The global wellness market reached $6.3 trillion by the end of 2023, growing by 9% from 2022. It is projected to reach nearly $9.0 trillion by 2028. North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe are the largest regional wellness markets, accounting for over 90% of the entire global wellness economy. In 2024, the global health and wellness market size was estimated at USD 6.87 trillion and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 11 trillion by 2034. * **Global Nutritional Supplements / Dietary Supplements Market:** The global nutritional supplements market size was estimated at USD 485.62 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 704.28 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.42% from 2025 to 2030. Other estimates place the global nutritional supplements market at USD 481.28 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 816.57 billion by 2033 with a CAGR of 6.05% from 2025 to 2033. Another report values the global dietary supplements market at USD 179.53 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 258.75 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 7.6%. The Asia Pacific nutritional supplements market held the largest market share of 39.63% in 2024. * **Global Skincare Market:** The global skincare market size was valued at USD 115.65 billion in 2024. It is projected to grow from USD 122.11 billion in 2025 to USD 194.05 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.84% during the forecast period. Another estimate places the global skincare market size at USD 178.63 billion in 2025, expected to reach around USD 321.90 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 6.74% from 2025 to 2034. The Asia Pacific region dominated the skincare market with a market share of 51.58% in 2024. The U.S. skincare market is projected to reach USD 30.42 billion by 2032. * **Global Direct Selling Market:** The global direct selling market size was valued at USD 223.82 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 328.26 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.7% from 2025 to 2030. Another report states the global direct selling market size was USD 254,546.02 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 427,643.29 million by 2032, with a CAGR of 6.7%. Asia Pacific was the leading region in the direct selling market in 2024, with a 44.2% share and USD 358.6 billion in revenue. The health & wellness segment accounted for the largest share of 35.5% in 2024 within the direct selling market. North America held a 32% market share in 2024, while Europe is expected to hold 27% of the global direct selling market share in 2024.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Natural Health Trends (NHTC) over the next 2-3 years:
- Launch and Growth of New Products: Natural Health Trends is actively introducing new products to stimulate sales. Examples include the planned rollout of Skindulgence revitalizing serum and eye cream, a new collagen supreme supplement flavor, and Root Revive hair growth serum in Turkey. Additionally, the company launched Twin Slim Coffee and Tomato Soup products in China and Hong Kong, which have been well-received. A September 2025 prelaunch of the "Soo:vea" Korean skincare series in Hong Kong and a limited edition anti-aging cream in Sweden also signify new product introductions designed to attract customers.
- Expansion into New Geographical Markets: The company is strategically expanding its market presence to diversify revenue streams. A key initiative is the establishment of a new office in Bogotá, Colombia, which will serve as a regional hub for the Latin American market. This builds on earlier expansion into the Colombian market in late 2024. Management also views Asia as fundamental to its long-term growth strategy due to its significant consumer base and established member network.
- Investment in AI-driven Marketing Technologies and Enhanced Member Engagement: Natural Health Trends is investing in new systems and technologies, including an AI-enabled marketing app and a member interface business suite, alongside new marketing initiatives to drive growth and engagement. The company also plans global programs and incentives to support member success, and a year-long 25th-anniversary celebration in 2026 aims to deepen member engagement and create new growth opportunities.
- Strategic Restructuring and Cost Savings: While not a direct revenue driver, NHTC's ongoing major restructuring plan is expected to generate $1.5 million in annualized savings by mid-2026. These freed-up resources will be reallocated to drive top-line growth, invest in new systems and technologies, and implement global programs and incentives, thereby indirectly supporting future revenue expansion. The restructuring efforts aim to align operational costs with global sales performance and position the company for improved profitability and value creation.
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Share Repurchases
- Natural Health Trends repurchased $53,000 worth of shares in 2020.
- In 2021, the company repurchased $836,000 worth of its common stock.
- As of December 31, 2023, $21.9 million remained available under the ongoing $70.0 million stock repurchase program. This amount remained unchanged as of September 30, 2025.
Share Issuance
- On February 6, 2023, Natural Health Trends granted 97,900 shares of restricted common stock to certain employees.
- Share-based compensation, which reflects the value of shares issued as compensation, was $109,000 for the first nine months of 2024.
- Share-based compensation was $103,000 for the first nine months of 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the first six months of 2022 were $78,000.
- For the first six months of 2023, capital expenditures were $14,000.
- Capital expenditures amounted to $30,000 for the first six months of 2024 and $20,000 for the first six months of 2025.
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to NHTC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.9% | 3.9% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.9% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons for Natural Health Trends
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.49 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 694 |
| Op Inc LTM | 33 |
| FCF LTM | 25 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 57 |
| CFO LTM | 35 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 72 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -6.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -4.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $3.26 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/22/1995 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -28.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $3.47 | $4.07 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -6.1% | -19.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 117.7% | 66.9% |
| Downside Capture | 228.15 | 50.73 |
| Upside Capture | 61.07 | 29.92 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 14.4% | 8.5% |
NHTC Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.39 | 1.67 | 1.52 | 0.86 | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| Up Beta | -1.88 | -1.73 | -1.55 | -1.00 | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| Down Beta | 4.49 | 0.96 | 1.36 | 1.42 | -0.05 | -0.01 |
| Up Capture | 319% | 124% | 112% | 37% | 27% | 23% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 22 | 33 | 60 | 126 | 390 |
| Down Capture | 621% | 341% | 299% | 186% | 96% | 84% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 20 | 28 | 61 | 113 | 327 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of NHTC With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHTC | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -5.7% | 3.1% | 14.7% | 67.3% | 6.8% | -0.5% | -16.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 66.9% | 24.7% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 35.4% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.19 | 0.07 | 0.57 | 2.54 | 0.23 | -0.18 | -0.25 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 16.0% | 0.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of NHTC With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHTC | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 3.7% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 35.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 46.4% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.24 | 0.39 | 0.71 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.63 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 16.2% | 16.7% | 3.6% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 11.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of NHTC With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHTC | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -13.6% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 69.9% |
| Annualized Volatility | 53.3% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.06 | 0.56 | 0.71 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 17.8% | 18.3% | 1.1% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 5.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -23.3% | -12.3% | -33.3% |
| 7/30/2025 | -0.3% | 7.4% | -1.7% |
| 4/30/2025 | 0.6% | -1.2% | 2.8% |
| 2/5/2025 | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| 10/30/2024 | 0.3% | 2.2% | -4.1% |
| 7/31/2024 | 0.5% | -4.1% | -3.1% |
| 5/1/2024 | 1.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
| 2/7/2024 | 3.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 17 | 9 |
| # Negative | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 2.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% |
| Median Negative | -2.0% | -3.8% | -3.1% |
| Max Positive | 24.2% | 39.7% | 98.1% |
| Max Negative | -23.3% | -12.3% | -33.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3032023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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