Tearsheet

Natural Health Trends (NHTC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.25 | Market Cap: $37.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Natural Health Trends (NHTC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.25
Market Cap: $37.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 18%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.9%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%
3   Key risks
NHTC key risks include [1] its extreme sales concentration in the Chinese market, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 18%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.9%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%
7 Key risks
NHTC key risks include [1] its extreme sales concentration in the Chinese market, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NHTC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the stock movement of Natural Health Trends (NHTC) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Negative Q3 2025 Financial Results

Natural Health Trends reported a significant decline in its third-quarter 2025 financial results, with net sales falling 11% year-over-year to $9.5 million and the company swinging to a net loss of $431,000, compared to a net income in the prior year period. This performance led to a notable drop in the stock price following the earnings release. 2. Major Restructuring Plan Announced

The company initiated a significant restructuring plan, including a workforce reduction of approximately 10%, cutting operating costs, and relocating manufacturing to Asia, aiming for $1.5 million in annualized savings by mid-2026. While intended for long-term improvement, these strategic changes also indicated current operational challenges and an expected one-time restructuring charge in Q4 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NHTC Return7%50%-42%96%-12%-16%36%
Peers Return38%10%-44%4%-48%30%-41%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NHTC Win Rate42%58%58%58%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate55%60%30%50%37%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NHTC Max Drawdown-50%-1%-44%0%-23%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-11%-52%-28%-54%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HLF, NUS, USNA, MED, NATR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNHTCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-58.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven138.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven63 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-80.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven418.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-97.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3554.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,565 days1,480 days

Compare to MELI, M, BBBY, SBDS, AMZN


In The Past

Natural Health Trends's stock fell -58.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -58.1% loss requires a 138.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Natural Health Trends (NHTC)

Better Bets than Natural Health Trends (NHTC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NHTC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Natural Health Trends

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NHTCHLFNUSUSNAMEDNATRMedian
NameNatural .HerbalifeNu Skin .Usana He.Medifast Natures . 
Mkt Price3.2314.3010.4620.4812.1822.3713.24
Mkt Cap0.01.50.50.40.10.40.4
Rev LTM414,9621,560913430475694
Op Inc LTM-24886042-62433
FCF LTM-5217531913125
FCF 3Y Avg-41906153702257
CFO LTM-5305893273835
CFO 3Y Avg-431010766793272

Growth & Margins

NHTCHLFNUSUSNAMEDNATRMedian
NameNatural .HerbalifeNu Skin .Usana He.Medifast Natures . 
Rev Chg LTM-5.1%-0.8%-12.1%5.9%-36.3%6.6%-2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.1%-2.4%-13.1%-3.9%-35.5%2.8%-6.0%
Rev Chg Q-11.4%2.7%-15.3%6.7%-36.2%12.0%-4.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.9%0.7%-4.1%1.5%-10.6%3.0%-1.1%
Op Mgn LTM-3.9%9.8%3.9%4.6%-1.3%5.1%4.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.2%8.1%4.3%8.0%4.2%4.6%4.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.1%0.4%-1.7%-1.4%0.7%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-12.1%6.1%5.7%3.5%1.7%7.9%4.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-9.2%6.2%6.0%7.3%7.7%7.0%6.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-12.3%4.4%3.4%2.0%0.2%6.6%2.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-9.3%3.8%3.5%5.9%6.5%4.9%4.4%

Valuation

NHTCHLFNUSUSNAMEDNATRMedian
NameNatural .HerbalifeNu Skin .Usana He.Medifast Natures . 
Mkt Cap0.01.50.50.40.10.40.4
P/S1.30.20.40.60.30.60.5
P/EBIT-32.31.84.410.4-26.410.63.1
P/E-436.02.75.529.8605.818.111.8
P/CFO-10.42.96.716.020.97.37.0
Total Yield17.7%36.8%20.2%3.4%0.3%5.5%11.6%
Dividend Yield17.9%0.0%2.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.8%20.7%12.4%6.5%12.7%7.9%10.2%
D/E0.02.50.50.00.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.62.20.1-0.3-1.1-0.3-0.3

Returns

NHTCHLFNUSUSNAMEDNATRMedian
NameNatural .HerbalifeNu Skin .Usana He.Medifast Natures . 
1M Rtn-16.1%62.5%10.6%8.2%9.7%9.0%9.3%
3M Rtn-23.3%53.6%-11.3%-32.1%-13.8%35.7%-12.5%
6M Rtn-22.5%76.8%37.7%-32.7%-14.0%52.7%11.8%
12M Rtn-6.6%100.8%46.6%-43.6%-34.5%42.9%18.2%
3Y Rtn35.2%1.9%-71.0%-60.7%-88.8%175.8%-29.4%
1M Excs Rtn-16.8%61.8%9.9%7.5%9.0%8.2%8.6%
3M Excs Rtn-26.3%52.7%-16.0%-34.9%-17.8%32.2%-16.9%
6M Excs Rtn-34.9%64.4%25.3%-45.1%-26.4%40.3%-0.6%
12M Excs Rtn-18.3%80.1%32.2%-55.2%-47.5%32.2%6.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-36.1%-58.4%-139.7%-129.3%-157.2%101.7%-93.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Product sales4244545673
Administrative fees, freight and other25676
Sales returns-0-0-0-1-2
Total4449606278


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity48,133
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202526.6%
Average Daily Volume80,294
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity11,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-23.3%-12.3%-33.3%
7/30/2025-0.3%7.4%-1.7%
4/30/20250.6%-1.2%2.8%
2/5/20253.2%1.9%2.0%
10/30/20240.3%2.2%-4.1%
7/31/20240.5%-4.1%-3.1%
5/1/20241.8%4.9%5.1%
2/7/20243.0%7.7%5.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive17179
# Negative7715
Median Positive2.0%6.0%5.9%
Median Negative-2.0%-3.8%-3.1%
Max Positive24.2%39.7%98.1%
Max Negative-23.3%-12.3%-33.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022303202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021