Equinox Gold (EQX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $13.71 | Market Cap: $10.6 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Equinox Gold (EQX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $13.71Market Cap: $10.6 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 139x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 136% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, and Water Treatment Solutions. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 104% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, and Water Treatment Solutions. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 139x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 136% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 104% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EQX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the 57.3% stock movement for Equinox Gold (EQX) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Record Q3 2025 Production and Revenue. Equinox Gold announced record financial and operating results for Q3 2025 on November 5, 2025, including record production of 236,382 ounces and revenue that nearly doubled year-over-year and climbed over 70% from the previous quarter. The company reported a net income of $85.58 million for the third quarter, a substantial increase from $0.303 million in the same period a year prior.
2. Valentine Gold Mine Achieves First Gold and Commercial Production. A significant catalyst was the delivery of "first gold" at the Valentine Gold Mine in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada, on September 14, 2025, ahead of schedule. This was followed by the announcement on November 18, 2025, that the Valentine Gold Mine achieved commercial production, marking it as a new cornerstone asset expected to boost Canadian gold production into 2026.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EQX Return | 34% | -35% | -51% | 49% | 3% | 177% | 81% |
| Peers Return | 41% | -14% | -6% | -1% | 9% | 128% | 178% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EQX Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 45% | 48% | 52% | 47% | 78% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EQX Max Drawdown | -28% | -42% | -63% | 0% | -19% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -28% | -32% | -22% | -21% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EQX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -77.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 341.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1061 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 120 days |
Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM
In The Past
Equinox Gold's stock fell -77.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/5/2021. A -77.4% loss requires a 341.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EQX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Equinox Gold
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 65.08 |
| Mkt Cap | 54.3 |
| Rev LTM | 6,432 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,146 |
| FCF LTM | 226 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 124 |
| CFO LTM | 1,310 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,056 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 38.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 40.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 41.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 42.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 54.3 |
| P/S | 4.0 |
| P/EBIT | 12.5 |
| P/E | 18.7 |
| P/CFO | 12.8 |
| Total Yield | 6.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 21.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 52.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 109.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 150.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 13.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 17.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 37.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 96.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 106.5% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenstone | 1,300 | 815 | 499 | ||
| Los Filos | 1,171 | 1,119 | 1,109 | 1,066 | |
| Aurizona | 366 | 336 | 364 | 339 | 381 |
| Castle Mountain | 329 | 291 | |||
| Corporate | 321 | 461 | 204 | 53 | |
| Santa Luz | 306 | 301 | 234 | 209 | |
| Mesquite | 297 | 280 | 333 | 263 | 248 |
| RDM | 165 | 146 | 119 | 144 | |
| Fazenda | 94 | 107 | 138 | 180 | |
| Castle Mtn | 262 | ||||
| Corporate and other | 703 | ||||
| Mercedes | 208 | ||||
| Other operating mines | 268 | ||||
| Development projects | 158 | ||||
| Total | 4,350 | 3,856 | 3,967 | 2,673 | 839 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3192025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11172022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3252022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11042021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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