Cloudflare (NET)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $167.71 | Market Cap: $58.9 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Cloudflare (NET)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $167.71Market Cap: $58.9 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Cloud Security, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -207 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.6% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 97x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1% Key risksNET key risks include [1] the unique vulnerability of its critical infrastructure to security breaches and service outages, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Cloud Security, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -207 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.6% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 97x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1% |
| Key risksNET key risks include [1] the unique vulnerability of its critical infrastructure to security breaches and service outages, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Cloudflare's profitability outlook and gross margin performance disappointed investors despite strong revenue growth.
While Cloudflare reported robust Q4 2025 earnings on February 10, 2026, with total revenue of $614.5 million, a 33.6% year-over-year increase that surpassed analyst estimates, and an EPS of $0.28 exceeding expectations, the company's guidance for operating income and earnings per share (EPS) for the full year 2026 fell short of consensus. This signaled potential challenges in meeting investor expectations regarding sustainable profitability. Furthermore, GAAP gross profit margin declined to 73.6% in Q4 2025 from 76.4% in Q4 2024, and non-GAAP gross profit margin decreased from 78.7% in fiscal year 2024 to 75.8% in fiscal year 2025, indicating a modest contraction in profitability margins.
2. Significant insider selling activity by executives raised investor concerns.
Between late December 2025 and mid-March 2026, Cloudflare experienced substantial insider selling, with executives, including CEO Matthew Prince and CFO Thomas Seifert, offloading approximately $97.3 million worth of shares. For example, CEO Matthew Prince sold shares across multiple transactions in early January 2026 at prices ranging from approximately $185.87 to $204.525. Such significant selling by key company figures can be interpreted by investors as a signal of a lack of confidence in the company's near-term stock trajectory or a belief that the stock is fully valued.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -15.3% change in NET stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 197.15 | 166.99 | -15.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,013 | 2,168 | 7.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 34.2 | 27.0 | -20.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 349 | 351 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -15.3% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NET | -15.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 28.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | -0.9% | 37.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -22.2% change in NET stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -31.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 214.59 | 166.99 | -22.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,881 | 2,168 | 15.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 39.6 | 27.0 | -31.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 347 | 351 | -1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -22.2% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NET | -22.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 40.2% |
| Sector (XLK) | 1.4% | 45.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 48.2% change in NET stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 112.69 | 166.99 | 48.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,670 | 2,168 | 29.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 23.2 | 27.0 | 16.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 344 | 351 | -2.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 48.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NET | 48.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 57.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 38.8% | 60.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 170.8% change in NET stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 122.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 61.66 | 166.99 | 170.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 975 | 2,168 | 122.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 20.8 | 27.0 | 30.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 329 | 351 | -6.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 170.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NET | 170.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 50.2% |
| Sector (XLK) | 92.6% | 51.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NET Return | 73% | -66% | 84% | 29% | 83% | -2% | 154% |
| Peers Return | 42% | -45% | 77% | 0% | 2% | 32% | 86% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NET Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 75% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 32% | 65% | 50% | 52% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NET Max Drawdown | -19% | -71% | -14% | -19% | -10% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -48% | -9% | -28% | -23% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AKAM, ZS, PANW, FTNT, FSLY. See NET Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NET | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -82.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 474.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,034 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 14 days | 148 days |
Compare to AKAM, ZS, PANW, FTNT, FSLY
In The Past
Cloudflare's stock fell -82.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -82.6% loss requires a 474.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Cloudflare (NET)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Cloudflare:
- Akamai for internet security, performance, and developer services.
- AWS for securing and accelerating internet applications and websites.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cloudflare (NET) provides a wide range of cloud services, which can be categorized as follows:
- Security Services: An integrated suite offering cloud firewall, bot management, distributed denial of service (DDoS) protection, IoT security, SSL/TLS encryption, and rate limiting to secure various online assets.
- Performance Services: Solutions designed to accelerate web content delivery and optimize user experience through intelligent routing, content delivery networks (CDN), and mobile/image optimization.
- Reliability Services: Products like load balancing, Anycast network, DNS services, and virtual waiting room solutions ensure high availability and continuous uptime for websites and applications.
- Developer & Infrastructure Services: Provides serverless computing, website development tools, domain registration, and internal infrastructure solutions for connecting users and protecting data within their network.
- Consumer Services: Offers a public DNS Resolver for faster and more private internet browsing, along with a Consumer VPN to secure and accelerate mobile device traffic.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Matthew Prince, Co-founder, Chief Executive Officer, and Co-Chair of the Board
Matthew Prince co-founded Cloudflare in 2009. He also co-founded Unspam Technologies, a software and services company focused on helping governments implement and enforce laws to control unwanted messages. Prince holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and a JD from the University of Chicago Law School, in addition to a BA in English and Computer Science from Trinity College. He previously served as an adjunct professor of law at The John Marshall Law School. Prince is recognized as a World Economic Forum Technology Pioneer and is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations.
Thomas Seifert, Chief Financial Officer
Thomas Seifert joined Cloudflare as its first Chief Financial Officer on June 1, 2017. Before joining Cloudflare, he held executive positions at several technology companies, including Executive Vice President and CFO at Symantec, where he oversaw the company's financial and strategic transformation and the acquisition of BlueCoat. Prior to Symantec, he was Executive Vice President and CFO at Brightstar Corp. Seifert also served as CFO, Chief Accounting Officer, and interim CEO for eight months at Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). He has held other executive roles at Qimonda AG, Infineon Technologies AG, and Wirelines Communications Business Group. Cloudflare was backed by venture capital firms when Seifert was appointed. He earned an MBA from Friedrich Alexander University and an MA in Economics from Wayne State University.
Michelle Zatlyn, Co-founder, President, and Chief Operating Officer
Michelle Zatlyn co-founded Cloudflare in 2009 with Matthew Prince and Lee Holloway. Before Cloudflare, she was part of the founding team of I Love Rewards (later Achievers) and had a summer internship at Google, as well as working as a product manager at Toshiba. Zatlyn holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and a Bachelor of Science degree in chemistry from McGill University. She currently serves on the board of directors for Atlassian and the World Economic Forum Young Global Leaders Foundation.
Mark Anderson, President of Revenue
Mark Anderson assumed the role of President of Revenue at Cloudflare. He previously served as President of Palo Alto Networks, where he was responsible for sales, go-to-market strategy, customer satisfaction, and business and corporate development, helping to scale the company from pre-IPO to over $2.5 billion in annualized revenue. Before Palo Alto Networks, Anderson led worldwide sales activities at F5 Networks, contributing to more than $1 billion in annual revenue, and held leadership positions at Lucent Technologies and Cisco Systems. He has also been a member of Cloudflare's Board of Directors since August 2019. Anderson holds a B.A. in Business and Economics from York University.
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Cybersecurity Risks, Service Outages, and Third-Party Dependencies
Cloudflare, as a prominent internet infrastructure and security provider, faces a significant and inherent risk from cyberattacks targeting its own systems. Any breach of its infrastructure or services could severely damage its reputation and erode customer trust. Given its critical role in the internet's foundation, service outages at Cloudflare can trigger widespread, cascading disruptions across numerous businesses and online services, highlighting a "digital concentration risk" and resulting in substantial operational and financial impacts for its customers and the broader digital ecosystem. The company is also susceptible to supply chain attacks, where security incidents affecting its third-party vendors can expose customer data and interrupt operations, as demonstrated by past events. The rapidly evolving threat landscape, including the emergence of AI-enhanced cyberattacks, further necessitates continuous and sophisticated advancements in Cloudflare's security measures.
2. Intense Competition and Market Disruption
Cloudflare operates within a highly competitive and dynamic market for web security, performance, and edge computing solutions. The company confronts significant competition from well-established technology giants, including Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud Platform, Akamai, Zscaler, and Palo Alto Networks, alongside numerous specialized providers. These competitors frequently offer comparable services and possess substantial resources, leading to intense pricing pressures and a continuous demand for Cloudflare to innovate and differentiate its product offerings. The ability of hyperscalers to bundle similar services with deep discounts presents a particular threat to Cloudflare's market share and overall profitability.
3. Regulatory and Geopolitical Challenges
Due to its global operations, Cloudflare must navigate a complex and constantly evolving array of international laws and regulations. These encompass various aspects such as data privacy, data protection, information security, and content moderation across diverse jurisdictions. Non-compliance with these numerous legal requirements, including regulations like GDPR or other regional data sovereignty laws, could lead to significant fines, reputational harm, and restrictions on its operational capabilities. Furthermore, geopolitical events, trade restrictions, tariffs, and differing governmental stances on internet governance can introduce considerable uncertainty and negatively affect Cloudflare's business costs and operational presence in various regions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The continuous and aggressive expansion of edge computing, security, and networking services by hyper-scale cloud providers such as Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform (GCP). These providers are increasingly offering integrated solutions including content delivery networks (CDNs), web application firewalls (WAFs), distributed denial of service (DDoS) protection, DNS services, and serverless computing functions directly within their platforms. As these major cloud vendors enhance and bundle their native offerings, they can diminish the need for businesses to utilize a separate, specialized provider like Cloudflare, particularly for customers already deeply integrated into their respective cloud ecosystems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cloudflare (NET) operates in several large and growing addressable markets globally.
Overall Total Addressable Market (TAM)
- Cloudflare estimates its total addressable market (TAM) to be approximately $176 billion in 2024, projected to grow to $222 billion by 2027.
Addressable Markets for Main Products and Services
- Cloud Security: The global cloud security market was valued at USD 51.11 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 224.16 billion by 2034, registering a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.80% over the forecast period.
- Zero Trust Security: The global zero trust security market size is calculated at USD 40.01 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 182.59 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 16.39% from 2026 to 2035.
- Secure Access Service Edge (SASE): The global secure access service edge market size was valued at USD 4.94 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 44.11 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 27.54% during the forecast period.
- Content Delivery Network (CDN): The global content delivery network (CDN) market size is calculated at USD 32.70 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 164.06 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 17.50% from 2026 to 2035.
- Edge Computing: The global edge computing market size was estimated at USD 23.65 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 327.79 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 33.0% from 2025 to 2033.
- Serverless Computing: The global serverless computing market size is calculated at USD 28.02 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 92.22 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 14.15% from 2025 to 2034.
- Domain Name System (DNS) Services: The global DNS services market size was estimated at USD 710.23 million in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 3424.58 million by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 19.10% from 2026 to 2034.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cloudflare (NET) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:
- Growth in Large Enterprise Customers: Cloudflare is demonstrating strong momentum in attracting and expanding relationships with high-value enterprise customers. The company has seen record additions of customers spending over $100,000, $500,000, and $1 million annually, supported by successful enterprise sales initiatives and large contract wins. For instance, revenue from large customers (over $100,000 annual spend) increased 42% year-over-year in Q4 2025. Cloudflare also closed its largest deal ever in Q4 2025, valued at $42.5 million annually.
- AI-driven Demand and the Workers Platform: The increasing adoption of artificial intelligence, particularly AI inference workloads and the proliferation of AI agents, is a significant tailwind for Cloudflare. The company's Workers platform is a key enabler for these AI-driven applications, positioning Cloudflare as a foundational platform for the "agentic internet" and driving demand for its core performance, security, and networking services.
- Expansion of Product Offerings and Total Addressable Market (TAM): Cloudflare continues to expand and enhance its diverse portfolio of cloud services, including security solutions like its Zero Trust platform and its SASE (Secure Access Service Edge) offering. The company is also tapping into new market opportunities, with its total addressable market (TAM) expected to rise from $181 billion in 2025 to $231 billion by 2028, supported by opportunities in areas such as AI, IoT, databases, and 5G services.
- Geographic Expansion: Cloudflare is experiencing notable growth in certain geographic regions. For example, the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region saw a 50% year-over-year increase in revenue in Q4 2025, indicating successful market penetration and expansion in these areas.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Cloudflare's shares outstanding have consistently increased over the last few years, rising from 0.334 billion in 2023 to 0.341 billion in 2024, and further to 0.348 billion in 2025.
- The company's 3-Year Share Buyback Ratio was -2.10% as of September 2025, indicating net share issuance rather than repurchases.
- Quarterly stock buybacks showed a negative value of -16.05 million for December 31, 2025, reinforcing the trend of share issuance.
Outbound Investments
- Cloudflare acquired Area 1 Security for $162 million on February 23, 2022.
- Other acquisitions made by Cloudflare in the past few years include Zaraz (December 2021), Vectrix (February 2022), Nefeli (March 2024), Baselime (April 2024), PartyKit (April 2024), BastionZero (May 2024), Kivera (October 2024), Outerbase (April 2025), Replicate (November 2025), Human Native AI (January 2026), and Astro (January 2026), though the financial terms for most were undisclosed.
- Recent acquisitions, such as Human Native AI and Astro Technology, are strategically aimed at enhancing Cloudflare's position in the AI market and bolstering its web development frameworks.
Capital Expenditures
- Cloudflare's capital expenditures have shown a fluctuating but upward trend, with reported figures of approximately $107.74 million in 2021, $163.36 million in 2022, $134.94 million in 2023, $185.04 million in 2024, and $315.62 million in 2025.
- In Q2 2023, about 11% or $34 million of operating cash flow was allocated to network CapEx, focused on investments in its global network of data centers, with an additional $10 million for facilities and capitalized software.
- For the full year 2026, Cloudflare anticipates network CapEx to be between 12% and 15% of its revenue, primarily directed towards maintaining technological innovation, including adding servers with storage capabilities and GPUs to support AI-related developer platform products.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 104.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 37.9 |
| Rev LTM | 3,605 |
| Op Inc LTM | 255 |
| FCF LTM | 787 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 703 |
| CFO LTM | 1,316 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,173 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 36.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 22.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 37.9 |
| P/S | 7.3 |
| P/EBIT | -5.9 |
| P/E | 0.3 |
| P/CFO | 24.8 |
| Total Yield | 0.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -14.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 7.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -39.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $166.99 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 58.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/13/2019 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -34.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $193.57 | $202.09 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -13.7% | -17.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 71.3% | 51.0% |
| Downside Capture | 1.30 | 1.03 |
| Upside Capture | 313.72 | 202.89 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 27.5% | 41.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.85 | 1.57 | 1.43 | 1.75 | 1.58 | 1.79 |
| Up Beta | -3.43 | 0.70 | -0.10 | 1.12 | 1.51 | 1.54 |
| Down Beta | 0.92 | 2.02 | 0.76 | 1.20 | 1.56 | 1.79 |
| Up Capture | 382% | 287% | 293% | 273% | 314% | 1522% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 23 | 33 | 61 | 141 | 391 |
| Down Capture | -37% | 70% | 152% | 174% | 127% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 30 | 65 | 109 | 356 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NET | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET | 65.3% | 53.3% | 1.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 59.7% | 25.3% | 1.80 | 57.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 53.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | -4.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | 12.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 18.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -4.3% | 43.7% | 0.02 | 32.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NET | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET | 17.7% | 67.6% | 0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 16.5% | 24.7% | 0.60 | 58.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 55.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 4.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 10.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 37.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.3% | 56.5% | 0.30 | 30.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NET | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET | 24.5% | 67.2% | 0.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 21.7% | 24.3% | 0.82 | 52.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 45.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 6.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 12.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 28.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.6% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 26.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/10/2026 | 5.2% | 6.4% | 17.9% |
| 10/30/2025 | 13.8% | 1.5% | -9.5% |
| 7/31/2025 | -3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 5/8/2025 | 6.5% | 22.9% | 43.0% |
| 2/6/2025 | 17.8% | 24.7% | -17.6% |
| 11/7/2024 | -4.6% | -3.9% | 19.0% |
| 8/1/2024 | 6.8% | 3.3% | 10.4% |
| 5/2/2024 | -16.4% | -17.6% | -24.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.1% |
| Median Negative | -7.7% | -6.1% | -16.8% |
| Max Positive | 27.1% | 28.3% | 43.0% |
| Max Negative | -21.0% | -32.1% | -30.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/10/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 620.00 Mil | 620.50 Mil | 621.00 Mil | 5.3% | Higher New | Actual: 589.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Non-GAAP income from operations | 70.00 Mil | 70.50 Mil | 71.00 Mil | -15.6% | Lower New | Actual: 83.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Non-GAAP net income per share | 0.23 | -14.8% | Lower New | Actual: 0.27 for Q4 2025 | |||
| 2026 Revenue | 2.79 Bil | 2.79 Bil | 2.79 Bil | 30.2% | Higher New | Actual: 2.14 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP income from operations | 378.00 Mil | 380.00 Mil | 382.00 Mil | 27.7% | Higher New | Actual: 297.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP net income per share | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.12 | 22.5% | Higher New | Actual: 0.91 for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | 588.50 Mil | 589.00 Mil | 589.50 Mil | 8.3% | Raised | Guidance: 544.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Non-GAAP income from operations | 83.00 Mil | 83.50 Mil | 84.00 Mil | 10.6% | Raised | Guidance: 75.50 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Non-GAAP net income per share | 0.27 | 17.4% | Raised | Guidance: 0.23 for Q3 2025 | |||
| 2025 Revenue | 2.14 Bil | 2.14 Bil | 2.14 Bil | 1.3% | Raised | Guidance: 2.11 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Non-GAAP income from operations | 297.00 Mil | 297.50 Mil | 298.00 Mil | 4.4% | Raised | Guidance: 285.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Non-GAAP net income per share | 0.91 | 6.4% | Raised | Guidance: 0.85 for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ledbetter, Carl | See footnote | Sell | 1062026 | 198.26 | 6,134 | 1,216,136 | 191,931,641 | Form | |
| 2 | Graham-Cumming, John | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 200.27 | 2,520 | 504,676 | 99,171,037 | Form | |
| 3 | Hawkins, Mark J | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 198.90 | 134 | 26,653 | 2,132,606 | Form | |
| 4 | Kramer, Douglas James | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 198.54 | 9,000 | 1,786,861 | 20,668,224 | Form |
| 5 | Ledbetter, Carl | See footnote | Sell | 12302025 | 201.46 | 8,674 | 1,747,501 | 196,306,551 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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