Cloudflare (NET)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $204.16 | Market Cap: $71.3 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Cloudflare (NET)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $204.16Market Cap: $71.3 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -193 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 139x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Cloud Security, Show more. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Cloud Security, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -193 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.6% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 139x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NET Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
From August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, Cloudflare (NET) experienced a -2.2% stock movement. Several factors during this approximate period may have contributed to this decline:
1. Global Outage on November 18, 2025. Cloudflare experienced a significant global outage lasting approximately two hours, which disrupted a wide array of internet services, including major platforms like ChatGPT, X, and Shopify. The incident, caused by a configuration file growing beyond its expected size and leading to a software crash, raised concerns about the reliability of critical internet infrastructure and Cloudflare's role within it.
2. Insider Selling Exceeding $5 Million. Cloudflare's CEO, Matthew Prince, sold 52,384 shares for over $11.86 million on September 11, 2025. Additionally, CFO Thomas Seifert sold 41,555 shares for more than $8.06 million on November 20, 2025. These significant insider transactions, surpassing the $5 million threshold, could be interpreted by investors as a lack of confidence from company leadership.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NET Return | 345% | 73% | -66% | 84% | 29% | 90% | 1097% |
| Peers Return | 27% | 9% | -13% | 17% | 6% | -1% | 49% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NET Win Rate | 92% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 44% | 29% | 46% | 42% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NET Max Drawdown | -7% | -19% | -71% | -14% | -19% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -13% | -20% | -7% | -9% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TTWO, JKHY, FDS, CHOW, ECST. See NET Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NET | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -82.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 474.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1034 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 14 days | 148 days |
Compare to TTWO, JKHY, FDS, CHOW, ECST
In The Past
Cloudflare's stock fell -82.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -82.6% loss requires a 474.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Would You Still Hold Cloudflare Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return | ||
| Is 22.4% Fall In Cloudflare (NET) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| Is 20.2% Fall In Cloudflare (NET) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| Cloudflare Stock Surged 140%, Here's Why | |||
| Cloudflare Stock Surged 140%, Here's Why | |||
| Why Cloudflare Stock Jumped 140%? | |||
| Wait For A Dip To Buy Cloudflare Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| How Does Cloudflare Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | |||
| NET Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Cloudflare (NET) Stock: 48% of days in last 3 months had 1% or greater fluctuation | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| With Cloudflare Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Cloudflare Stock To $138? | November 19th, 2025 | ||
| Cloudflare Stock To $142? | November 18th, 2025 | ||
| What Is Happening With Cloudflare Stock? | November 8th, 2025 | ||
| How Will Cloudflare Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | October 29th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NET. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cloudflare
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 204.15 |
| Mkt Cap | 29.4 |
| Rev LTM | 2,370 |
| Op Inc LTM | 204 |
| FCF LTM | 311 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 229 |
| CFO LTM | 593 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 450 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 19.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 29.4 |
| P/S | 6.2 |
| P/EBIT | 1.0 |
| P/E | 3.1 |
| P/CFO | 75.0 |
| Total Yield | 2.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 65.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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