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Cloudflare (NET)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $202.77 | Market Cap: $70.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Cloudflare (NET)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $202.77
Market Cap: $70.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -193 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 139x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Cloud Security, Show more.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Cloud Security, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -193 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.6%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 139x
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NET Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Cloudflare (NET) stock experienced a -3% movement in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 13, 2025. Several key factors likely contributed to this decline.

1. Multiple Service Outages: Cloudflare experienced significant service disruptions during this period. A major global outage occurred on November 18, 2025, affecting numerous high-profile websites including X (formerly Twitter), ChatGPT, Spotify, and OpenAI due to an internal configuration error. This was followed by another outage on December 5, 2025, which impacted services like LinkedIn, Zoom, and Discord, caused by an erroneous Web Application Firewall (WAF) rule. These repeated incidents likely raised concerns among investors about the reliability and resilience of Cloudflare's services.

2. Insider Stock Sales Exceeding USD 5 Million: Cloudflare's President and Board Co-Chair, Michelle Zatlyn, conducted multiple significant stock sales. For instance, on December 9, 2025, she sold 25,641 shares for $5.26 million. Additionally, between December 9 and December 11, 2025, she sold a total of 71,441 shares for approximately $15.89 million. Such substantial insider selling, particularly after recent outages, could be interpreted negatively by the market, suggesting a lack of confidence from leadership.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NET Return345%73%-66%84%29%93%1119%
Peers Return156%42%-45%77%0%5%271%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NET Win Rate92%50%42%58%50%83% 
Peers Win Rate65%65%32%65%50%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NET Max Drawdown-7%-19%-71%-14%-19%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-22%-48%-9%-28%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AKAM, ZS, PANW, FTNT, FSLY. See NET Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNETS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-82.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven474.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1034 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven14 days148 days

Compare to TTWO, JKHY, FDS, CHOW, ECST


In The Past

Cloudflare's stock fell -82.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -82.6% loss requires a 474.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cloudflare (NET)

Better Bets than Cloudflare (NET)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NET. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cloudflare

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NETAKAMZSPANWFTNTFSLYMedian
NameCloudfla.Akamai T.Zscaler Palo Alt.Fortinet Fastly  
Mkt Price202.4485.88236.28191.6982.2210.08138.78
Mkt Cap70.712.347.5138.362.11.554.8
Rev LTM2,0134,1332,8339,5576,5555923,483
Op Inc LTM-193637-1331,2652,033-137252
FCF LTM2097188483,6912,02834783
FCF 3Y Avg1607406543,2311,919-16697
CFO LTM5401,4961,0893,9772,448771,293
CFO 3Y Avg3751,4548453,4282,231261,149

Growth & Margins

NETAKAMZSPANWFTNTFSLYMedian
NameCloudfla.Akamai T.Zscaler Palo Alt.Fortinet Fastly  
Rev Chg LTM28.1%4.2%23.2%15.3%14.8%9.4%15.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg31.1%4.8%32.9%18.1%17.1%13.0%17.6%
Rev Chg Q30.7%5.0%25.5%15.7%14.4%15.3%15.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.0%1.2%6.0%3.6%3.4%3.7%3.7%
Op Mgn LTM-9.6%15.4%-4.7%13.2%31.0%-23.2%4.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-12.0%16.8%-7.1%10.2%27.6%-31.4%1.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.0%0.1%-0.2%0.1%1.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM26.8%36.2%38.5%41.6%37.3%13.0%36.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.9%36.8%36.4%41.1%38.6%4.3%36.6%
FCF/Rev LTM10.4%17.4%29.9%38.6%30.9%5.8%23.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.9%18.7%28.2%38.8%33.3%-3.6%23.5%

Valuation

NETAKAMZSPANWFTNTFSLYMedian
NameCloudfla.Akamai T.Zscaler Palo Alt.Fortinet Fastly  
Mkt Cap70.712.347.5138.362.11.554.8
P/S37.22.616.814.59.72.112.1
P/EBIT-874.515.8--28.0-10.12.9
P/E-727.521.5-1,158.0123.833.9-9.16.2
P/CFO138.87.343.634.825.916.430.4
Total Yield-0.1%4.7%-0.1%0.8%2.9%-11.0%0.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.5%5.4%--3.5%-0.8%2.0%
D/E0.00.5--0.00.30.2
Net D/E-0.00.4---0.00.10.0

Returns

NETAKAMZSPANWFTNTFSLYMedian
NameCloudfla.Akamai T.Zscaler Palo Alt.Fortinet Fastly  
1M Rtn-10.3%-4.7%-25.5%-8.7%0.1%-15.3%-9.5%
3M Rtn-8.5%11.8%-16.6%-2.3%3.2%30.4%0.4%
6M Rtn17.7%11.5%-21.7%-2.3%-18.5%43.6%4.6%
12M Rtn76.2%-14.1%14.5%-4.2%-16.6%-4.9%-4.6%
3Y Rtn291.3%-4.7%90.9%138.5%50.3%4.5%70.6%
1M Excs Rtn-10.0%-4.3%-25.1%-8.4%0.4%-15.0%-9.2%
3M Excs Rtn-13.6%9.1%-20.5%-8.0%-1.7%11.9%-4.8%
6M Excs Rtn3.5%-2.7%-36.0%-16.6%-32.7%29.4%-9.7%
12M Excs Rtn68.9%-26.2%4.2%-14.8%-28.5%-15.5%-15.1%
3Y Excs Rtn283.7%-77.8%33.3%59.2%-14.2%-68.4%9.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,297975656431287
Total1,297975656431287


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment-184    
Total-184    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,130,458
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.1%
Average Daily Volume3,811,054
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.40
Basic Shares Quantity349,312,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/202513.8%1.5%-9.5%
7/31/2025-3.6%1.3%0.5%
5/8/20256.5%22.9%43.0%
2/6/202517.8%24.7%-17.6%
11/7/2024-4.6%-3.9%19.0%
8/1/20246.8%3.3%10.4%
5/2/2024-16.4%-17.6%-24.2%
2/8/202419.5%12.1%7.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121312
# Negative131213
Median Positive9.0%10.6%10.9%
Median Negative-5.8%-6.1%-15.9%
Max Positive27.1%28.3%43.0%
Max Negative-21.0%-32.1%-30.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021