Tearsheet

Newegg Commerce (NEGG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $76.98 | Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Newegg Commerce (NEGG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $76.98
Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 44%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -58 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Specialized Technology Commerce, and Digital Infrastructure Enablement. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 1113%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 558%
2  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -34%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -27%
3  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 5059%
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26%
5  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 2081%
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 44%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Specialized Technology Commerce, and Digital Infrastructure Enablement. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -58 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 1113%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 558%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -34%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -27%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 5059%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 2081%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NEGG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Newegg Commerce (NEGG) stock moved by 81.6% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Strong First Half 2025 Financial Performance and Positive Outlook: Newegg's Q2 2025 earnings report, released just before the start of this period on August 21, 2025, demonstrated significant year-over-year growth. The company reported a 12.6% increase in net sales to $695.7 million and a 13.7% rise in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) to $849.1 million. Gross profit also saw a substantial increase of 26.5%, and the net loss was significantly reduced, with adjusted EBITDA improving from a negative to a positive figure. This strong performance, driven by demand for GPUs and CPUs following new product launches, set a positive market sentiment for the ensuing months.

2. Significant Insider Confidence through Major Share Acquisitions: Insider transactions by Vladimir Galkin in July and August 2025 demonstrated strong confidence in Newegg's prospects. His acquisition of 416,799 shares for approximately $12.37 million in August 2025 and an additional 222,222 shares for about $6.397 million in July 2025, significantly boosted investor confidence and exceeded the specified $5 million threshold for inclusion as an explanatory factor.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NEGG Return53%150%-87%-4%-69%786%29%
Peers Return32%23%-11%17%-1%13%90%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NEGG Win Rate42%50%25%33%25%70% 
Peers Win Rate27%27%13%20%15%39% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NEGG Max Drawdown-6%0%-89%-59%-69%-97% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-7%-19%-10%-8%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MELI, M, BBBY, BGO, SBDS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNEGGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven12403.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven646 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-89.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven806.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven477 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-90.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven955.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven554 days120 days

Compare to MELI, M, BBBY, BGO, SBDS


In The Past

Newegg Commerce's stock fell -99.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/7/2021. A -99.2% loss requires a 12403.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Newegg Commerce (NEGG)

Better Bets than Newegg Commerce (NEGG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NEGG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Newegg Commerce

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NEGGMELIMBBBYBGOSBDSMedian
NameNewegg C.MercadoL.Macy's Bed Bath.Bialgo C.Solo Bra. 
Mkt Price76.162,119.8322.466.59-7.6522.46
Mkt Cap1.4107.56.10.4--3.8
Rev LTM1,60326,19322,7021,074-4071,603
Op Inc LTM-583,132849-105--39-39
FCF LTM1358,610603-95--67135
FCF 3Y Avg-6,370406-121-6206
CFO LTM1419,8311,396-72--51141
CFO 3Y Avg-7,1691,383-91-18700

Growth & Margins

NEGGMELIMBBBYBGOSBDSMedian
NameNewegg C.MercadoL.Macy's Bed Bath.Bialgo C.Solo Bra. 
Rev Chg LTM-33.8%36.9%-3.4%-27.2%--17.3%-17.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-39.5%-4.5%-20.0%--3.5%-4.0%
Rev Chg Q-27.4%39.5%-1.9%-17.4%--29.9%-17.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-9.7%8.7%-0.4%-4.8%--8.8%-4.8%
Op Mgn LTM-3.6%12.0%3.7%-9.8%--9.5%-3.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.1%4.6%-9.3%--0.6%2.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.5%-0.3%-0.1%2.4%--1.2%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM8.8%37.5%6.1%-6.7%--12.5%6.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-35.9%5.9%-6.7%-2.5%4.2%
FCF/Rev LTM8.4%32.9%2.7%-8.9%--16.4%2.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-32.1%1.7%-8.9%--0.0%0.9%

Valuation

NEGGMELIMBBBYBGOSBDSMedian
NameNewegg C.MercadoL.Macy's Bed Bath.Bialgo C.Solo Bra. 
Mkt Cap1.4107.56.10.4--3.8
P/S0.24.50.10.5--0.4
P/EBIT-6.339.84.2-3.5--0.4
P/E-4.557.06.4-4.1--1.2
P/CFO2.212.12.3-8.2--2.2
Total Yield-22.1%1.8%21.8%-24.5%---10.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%6.2%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.7%10.6%---8.6%
D/E0.30.11.70.0--0.2
Net D/E-0.00.01.5-0.2--0.0

Returns

NEGGMELIMBBBYBGOSBDSMedian
NameNewegg C.MercadoL.Macy's Bed Bath.Bialgo C.Solo Bra. 
1M Rtn-9.8%-8.5%12.6%-13.6%--49.0%-9.8%
3M Rtn145.9%-10.7%39.5%-22.9%--27.1%-10.7%
6M Rtn1,112.7%-17.6%101.4%---101.4%
12M Rtn557.6%9.9%43.3%---43.3%
3Y Rtn105.8%124.3%9.0%---105.8%
1M Excs Rtn-9.8%-8.5%12.7%-13.6%--49.0%-9.8%
3M Excs Rtn83.9%-17.7%26.3%-30.1%--40.5%-17.7%
6M Excs Rtn1,098.0%-32.4%86.7%---86.7%
12M Excs Rtn529.0%-6.8%31.9%---31.9%
3Y Excs Rtn55.2%57.3%-62.3%---55.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity221,121
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202540.4%
Average Daily Volume606,467
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity19,020,674
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202582120256-K 6/30/2025
12312024428202520-F 12/31/2024
630202482920246-K 6/30/2024
12312023424202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023122220236-K 9/30/2023
630202382920236-K 6/30/2023
12312022427202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022120120226-K 9/30/2022
630202283020226-K 6/30/2022
12312021428202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021112220216-K 9/30/2021
630202182720216-K 6/30/2021
6302020111520216-K/A 6/30/2020