National CineMedia (NCMI)


Market Price (8/12/2026): $3.2 | Market Cap: $298.3 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising

National CineMedia (NCMI)


Market Price (8/12/2026): $3.2
Market Cap: $298.3 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Advertising

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.0%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, and Digital Out-of-Home Advertising.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.0%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.6%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7%

Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 24.18

Key risks
NCMI key risks include [1] its challenging financial recovery following a 2023 Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing and [2] a business model entirely dependent on movie theater attendance levels.

0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.0%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, and Digital Out-of-Home Advertising.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.0%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.6%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 24.18
8 Key risks
NCMI key risks include [1] its challenging financial recovery following a 2023 Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing and [2] a business model entirely dependent on movie theater attendance levels.

NCMI in ETFs

Weight = NCMI's share of each fund

IWN0.02%
SCHA0.01%
VTWO0.01%
DFAS0.01%
DFAC0.00%
IWV0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/10/2026

National CineMedia (NCMI) stock has gained about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Beat Fueled Positive Sentiment. National CineMedia reported its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on May 12, 2026, exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.23, outperforming the consensus estimate of -$0.26 by $0.03. Additionally, revenue reached $34 million, surpassing the estimated $32.92 million. This performance, coupled with management's commentary on strong attendance growth, operational transformation, and digital expansion, provided a significant boost to investor confidence and set a positive tone for the subsequent period.

2. Positive Analyst Outlook and Elevated Price Targets. Despite some mixed analyst ratings, the overall sentiment leaned positive, with a consensus "Buy" rating from several analysts. As of August 7, 2026, four analysts polled by S&P Global assigned NCMI a "Buy" consensus rating and an average price target of $5.25, representing a potential upside of 26.35% from a recent trading price. This average target price signals significant potential for growth and likely contributed to the stock's upward movement. For example, Wedbush, on May 12, 2026, maintained an "outperform" rating with a target price of $6.00.

Show more
Updated on 8/10/2026

National CineMedia (NCMI) stock has gained about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Beat Fueled Positive Sentiment. National CineMedia reported its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on May 12, 2026, exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.23, outperforming the consensus estimate of -$0.26 by $0.03. Additionally, revenue reached $34 million, surpassing the estimated $32.92 million. This performance, coupled with management's commentary on strong attendance growth, operational transformation, and digital expansion, provided a significant boost to investor confidence and set a positive tone for the subsequent period.

2. Positive Analyst Outlook and Elevated Price Targets. Despite some mixed analyst ratings, the overall sentiment leaned positive, with a consensus "Buy" rating from several analysts. As of August 7, 2026, four analysts polled by S&P Global assigned NCMI a "Buy" consensus rating and an average price target of $5.25, representing a potential upside of 26.35% from a recent trading price. This average target price signals significant potential for growth and likely contributed to the stock's upward movement. For example, Wedbush, on May 12, 2026, maintained an "outperform" rating with a target price of $6.00.

3. Optimistic Projections for Fiscal Q2 2026 and Increased Advertising Revenue. Anticipation for robust fiscal Q2 2026 results, scheduled for release on August 11, 2026, contributed to the stock's upward trend. Analysts projected Q2 2026 revenue to reach $59.34 million and expected an improved EPS of -$0.09. Furthermore, analysts forecasted significant year-over-year increases in advertising revenue, with local and regional advertising revenue expected to rise by 42.2% to $9.10 million, and national advertising revenue by 16.4% to $47.97 million. These projections, along with an expected increase in total attendance to 122.15 million from 115.30 million in the prior year's same quarter, indicated a healthy operational recovery and growing demand for cinema advertising.

4. Significant Institutional Investment in Q1 2026. A notable institutional investment was observed in fiscal Q1 2026, with Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC adding an estimated $5,977,817 worth of shares to their portfolio. This substantial increase in holdings by a major institutional investor demonstrates a strong vote of confidence in National CineMedia's future prospects and likely influenced other market participants, contributing to the stock's positive performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 12.9% change in NCMI stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268112026Change
Stock Price ($)3.363.7912.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)243242-0.4%
P/S Multiple1.31.512.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)94930.5%
Cumulative Contribution12.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCMI12.9% 
Market (SPY)7.2%-2.5%
Sector (XLC)-4.5%23.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.0% change in NCMI stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 3.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268112026Change
Stock Price ($)3.543.797.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2362422.5%
P/S Multiple1.41.53.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)94930.5%
Cumulative Contribution7.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCMI7.0% 
Market (SPY)11.7%19.1%
Sector (XLC)-7.0%30.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.6% change in NCMI stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -21.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258112026Change
Stock Price ($)4.653.79-18.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2382421.7%
P/S Multiple1.91.5-21.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)95932.3%
Cumulative Contribution-18.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCMI-18.6% 
Market (SPY)22.9%25.4%
Sector (XLC)4.6%32.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 18.1% change in NCMI stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 674.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238112026Change
Stock Price ($)3.213.7918.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)248242-2.3%
P/S Multiple0.21.5674.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1593-84.4%
Cumulative Contribution18.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCMI18.1% 
Market (SPY)74.3%23.7%
Sector (XLC)66.9%24.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NCMI Return-20%-92%88%60%-40%3%-88%
Peers Return273%-49%13%24%6%36%286%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NCMI Win Rate50%17%50%50%17%38% 
Peers Win Rate63%37%48%55%48%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NCMI Max Drawdown-57%-93%-70%-25%-45%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-58%-51%-28%-39%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CNK, AMC, LAMR, OUT, CCO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/11/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNCMIS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-12.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven2 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-59.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven147.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven26 days31 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-38.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven424 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-10.8%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven54 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-14.8%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.4%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven56 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-23.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven118 days123 days

Compare to CNK, AMC, LAMR, OUT, CCO

In The Past

National CineMedia's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNCMIS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-59.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven147.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven26 days31 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-38.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven424 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-23.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven118 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-78.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven362.9%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven1815 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-20.8%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.3%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven79 days47 days

Compare to CNK, AMC, LAMR, OUT, CCO

In The Past

National CineMedia's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About National CineMedia (NCMI)

National CineMedia (NCMI) operates as a prominent cinema advertising network throughout North America. The company specializes in connecting advertisers with movie audiences through various platforms, primarily leveraging the captive environment of movie theaters. Essentially, NCMI helps national, regional, and local businesses reach consumers directly before, during, and after their movie-going experience.

The company's main products and services revolve around its "Noovie" brand. This includes the "Noovie" pre-show, an advertising and entertainment program displayed on movie screens before feature films. Beyond the main screen, NCMI sells advertising space on its "Lobby Entertainment Network"—strategically placed screens in theater lobbies—and offers other promotional opportunities within these public areas. Extending its reach digitally, NCMI also provides online and mobile advertising through its "Noovie Audience Accelerator" product, alongside a suite of "Noovie" digital properties like Noovie Shuffle and Noovie Trivia, aimed at engaging entertainment audiences beyond the physical theater.

NCMI's primary customers are businesses of all sizes looking to advertise, from large national brands to local enterprises, all seeking to tap into the entertainment demographic. The company delivers these advertising services by forming long-term network affiliate agreements with numerous third-party theater circuits across North America, which serve as the venues for its extensive advertising network.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for National CineMedia (NCMI):

  • Lamar Advertising for movie theaters: Like Lamar Advertising sells ad space on billboards and other out-of-home displays, National CineMedia sells advertising on screens within movie theaters (pre-shows and lobby displays).
  • Spotify for movie pre-show advertising: Similar to how Spotify sells ads that play before or during free music and podcasts, National CineMedia sells ads that run during its "Noovie" pre-show entertainment segment before movies and across its digital properties, reaching entertainment audiences.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Noovie Cinema Advertising: Sells advertising slots displayed during the "Noovie" pre-show on movie screens within its cinema advertising network.
  • Lobby Entertainment Network Advertising: Provides advertising opportunities on screens and other promotional spaces located in movie theater lobbies.
  • Noovie Digital Advertising: Offers online and mobile advertising solutions through its "Noovie Audience Accelerator" product and a suite of Noovie digital entertainment properties.

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia (NCMI) sells primarily to other companies.

Its major customers are businesses that purchase advertising space and services across its cinema network, Lobby Entertainment Network, and digital properties. Based on the company description, these customers can be categorized as:

  • National businesses: Large corporations and brands seeking to reach a broad audience across NCMI's advertising network throughout North America.
  • Regional businesses: Companies operating within specific geographic regions that aim to target audiences in those areas through NCMI's advertising platforms.
  • Local businesses: Smaller, community-based enterprises looking to reach local moviegoers and digital entertainment audiences within their immediate vicinities.

The provided company description does not name specific customer companies that purchase advertising from NCMI.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (Symbol: AMC)
  • Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (Symbol: CNK)
  • Cineworld Group plc (Symbol: CINE)

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia (NCMI) has a management team with extensive experience in the entertainment, media, and advertising industries.

Thomas F. Lesinski, Chief Executive Officer

Thomas F. Lesinski was appointed Chief Executive Officer of National CineMedia in August 2019, having previously served as Chairman of the Board since August 2018 and an independent Director since December 2014. From 2015 to 2019, he was the CEO of Sonar Entertainment, a television production company, after serving as a Board Director since 2013. Mr. Lesinski also founded and served as CEO of Energi Entertainment. His extensive 25-year career in Hollywood includes leadership positions such as President of Digital Content & Distribution with Legendary Entertainment, President of Paramount Pictures Digital Entertainment, President of Worldwide Home Entertainment for Paramount, and Executive Vice President and General Manager of Home Entertainment, as well as Executive Vice President, Worldwide Marketing & Development at Warner Bros. He began his career in advertising, working at firms like BBDO, Foote, Cone & Belding, and Clairol Inc. Mr. Lesinski holds a bachelor's degree in Journalism and a master's degree in Advertising from Northwestern University.

Ronnie Ng, Chief Financial Officer

Ronnie Ng joined National CineMedia as Chief Financial Officer in September 2021. With two decades of experience in finance, investment banking, accounting, and management, Mr. Ng previously held the position of CFO and head of corporate development at Allen Media Group, LLC (AMG), a diversified media and entertainment company. At AMG, he was responsible for the company's finance organization and oversaw numerous large-scale acquisitions and the refinancing of its capital structure. Prior to AMG, Mr. Ng was a Vice President in the fixed income group for TCW Group, Inc., where he evaluated investments in the media and technology sectors, including corporate bonds, high-yield bonds, and leveraged loans. He also spent approximately 10 years as an investment banker, serving as an executive director in UBS Investment Bank's Global Media Group, where he managed and structured various financings and merger and acquisition transactions. His earlier experience includes roles at Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., Houlihan Lokey, Inc., and Arthur Andersen LLP. Mr. Ng earned a Bachelor of Science degree in finance from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

Maria Woods, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

Maria Woods rejoined National CineMedia as Executive Vice President and General Counsel in September 2021, having previously served in key leadership roles on NCM's legal team from 2010 to 2015, rising to EVP and General Counsel of National CineMedia, LLC. Before her return to NCM, she was General Counsel and Secretary at JumpCloud, Inc., providing strategic legal counsel for the company's SaaS identity management business, which encompassed corporate governance, merger and acquisition activities, financing, and commercial contracting. Ms. Woods also served as Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary at ONE Group Hospitality, Inc., General Counsel for Lucky's Market, Associate General Counsel at Einstein Noah Restaurant Group, Inc., and Assistant General Counsel at Sun Microsystems, Inc. She began her legal career as an associate at Holme Roberts & Owen (now Bryan Cave), working on public and private equity offerings. Notably, her experience includes completing several securities offerings during her previous tenure at NCM and supporting the 2013 sale of the Fathom business division. She holds a Bachelor of Arts in Communications Studies from the University of Iowa and a Juris Doctorate from the University of Denver Sturm College of Law.

Mike Rosen, Chief Revenue Officer

Mike Rosen serves as the Chief Revenue Officer of National CineMedia.

Adam Johnson, Senior Vice President, Operations And Technology

Adam Johnson holds the position of Senior Vice President, Operations And Technology at National CineMedia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to National CineMedia (NCMI)

  1. Declining Movie Theater Attendance: National CineMedia's core business is selling advertising primarily within movie theaters. A sustained decline in movie theater attendance directly reduces the reach and value of their advertising network, impacting their ability to attract advertisers and generate revenue. Factors such as competition from streaming services, rising ticket prices, and economic downturns can contribute to reduced patronage.

  2. Increased Competition from Digital Advertising and Shifting Media Consumption: The advertising landscape is highly competitive, with a significant shift towards digital platforms offering highly targeted and measurable advertising solutions. As consumers increasingly engage with content on streaming services, social media, and other digital channels, advertisers may reallocate their budgets away from traditional cinema advertising towards these platforms, challenging NCMI's market share and pricing power.

  3. Changes in Film Release Strategies: A fundamental shift in how major studios release films, such as shorter theatrical windows or more direct-to-streaming premieres, could further erode the exclusivity and event nature of the cinema experience. This could accelerate declines in movie theater attendance and diminish the perceived value of cinema as a premier advertising medium for businesses targeting entertainment audiences.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat to National CineMedia is the ongoing and accelerating shift in media consumption habits, particularly the rise of streaming services and alternative film distribution models that diminish the exclusivity and importance of the theatrical experience. This trend directly impacts cinema attendance, thereby reducing the audience reach and value of NCMI's core cinema advertising network and its Lobby Entertainment Network.

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia's addressable markets for its main products and services are sized as follows:

  • Cinema Advertising Network (Noovie pre-show on movie screens): The global cinema advertising market is valued at approximately $4.9 billion in 2025. While a specific North American cinema advertising market size for 2025 was not explicitly available, North America is noted for sustaining high revenue levels within the overall cinema market through upgrades and premium formats.

  • Lobby Entertainment Network (strategically-placed screens in movie theater lobbies): Null

  • Online and mobile advertising (Noovie Audience Accelerator, Noovie digital properties): The addressable market for online and mobile advertising targeting entertainment audiences in North America is estimated to be approximately $33.68 billion in 2025. This is derived from the North American online advertising market, which is projected to be around $129.56 billion in 2025 (approximately 36% of the global online advertising market of $359.88 billion), with the Media & Entertainment sector accounting for about 26% of that market share.

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia (NCMI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Increased Monetization of Advertising Inventory and Premium Placements: National CineMedia is focused on optimizing its existing advertising inventory, as evidenced by a 10% increase in national revenue per attendee in Q4 2025. This growth is driven by robust advertiser demand and expanded utilization of premium and post-show placements. The company's strategies aim to enhance monetization per attendee.
  2. Expansion of Programmatic and Self-Serve Advertising Platforms: The company is seeing significant growth in programmatic advertising, with revenue doubling year-over-year in Q4 2025 and the number of programmatic advertisers increasing 2.4 times. Similarly, self-serve platform revenue grew by 64% year-over-year, supported by investments in generative AI-enabled creative tools that enhance accessibility and turnaround for advertisers. This makes cinema advertising easier to access and is a key driver for both national and local demand.
  3. Strategic Acquisitions and Network Expansion: Acquisitions, such as the Spotlight acquisition in 2025, are contributing to revenue growth by broadening NCM's reach with new high-end luxury networks. This strategy diversifies the company's appeal to new advertisers.
  4. Rebounding Cinema Attendance and Strong Film Slates: Future revenue growth is also anticipated from a strong upcoming film slate and a rebound in cinema attendance. Increased attendance directly correlates with higher advertiser interest and engagement, which is fundamental for a cinema advertising platform.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • National CineMedia authorized a new share repurchase program in March 2024, permitting the purchase of up to $100 million of its common stock through April 1, 2027. The company also plans to accelerate share repurchases under this program.
  • In 2025, National CineMedia repurchased 4.1 million shares for approximately $22.3 million at an average price of $5.41 per share.
  • As of February 2026, a total of 6.6 million shares have been bought back and retired under the $100 million authorization.

Share Issuance

  • As part of its Chapter 11 bankruptcy restructuring, which concluded in August 2023, National CineMedia, Inc. issued 83,421,135 shares to secured creditors with a fair value of $245.3 million.
  • A one-for-ten reverse stock split of its common stock was effected on August 3, 2023.

Outbound Investments

  • National CineMedia acquired Spotlight Cinema Networks on November 14, 2025, for $8.4 million. This acquisition included $7.1 million in cash and a $1.3 million contingent payment.
  • The acquisition of Spotlight Cinema Networks is expected to enhance NCMI's platform with high-end luxury screens, increasing its national market share by approximately 6% and expanding its theater presence by 30% in key markets.

Capital Expenditures

  • National CineMedia's capital expenditures were -$5.6 million for the fiscal year ending January 1, 2026 (fiscal year 2025), -$5.8 million in 2024, and -$3.3 million in 2023.
  • Capital expenditures primarily focus on digital applications, capitalized software development for systems like audience targeting, data management, and cinema advertising, as well as equipment for content production and office improvements.
  • The company continues to invest capital to grow its advertising network through strategic initiatives, including new innovations such as programmatic and self-serve offerings.

Better Bets vs. National CineMedia (NCMI)

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

NCMICNKAMCLAMROUTCCOMedian
NameNational.Cinemark AMC Ente.Lamar Ad.Outfront.Clear Ch. 
Mkt Price3.7936.662.40153.8229.922.4116.86
Mkt Cap0.44.21.715.65.31.23.0
Rev LTM2423,3635,2312,3261,9331,6792,130
Op Inc LTM-17452274722394317355
FCF LTM15313-2271829184188
FCF 3Y Avg19277-264716223-8121
CFO LTM20579219907391160305
CFO 3Y Avg23465-25871319109214

Growth & Margins

NCMICNKAMCLAMROUTCCOMedian
NameNational.Cinemark AMC Ente.Lamar Ad.Outfront.Clear Ch. 
Rev Chg LTM1.7%4.5%6.4%4.4%7.6%9.1%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.8%6.4%7.1%3.9%2.2%8.1%5.1%
Rev Chg Q-2.6%15.5%14.2%6.5%13.5%8.7%11.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.4%4.5%4.0%1.6%3.3%2.1%2.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM18.8%9.5%151.1%34.9%47.0%9.5%26.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-553.5%23.7%140.1%11.2%17.1%15.0%16.1%
Op Mgn LTM-7.0%13.4%5.2%31.0%20.4%18.9%16.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-9.1%11.9%1.8%28.9%16.9%20.7%14.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.3%1.2%2.5%0.0%1.4%0.3%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM8.5%17.2%4.2%39.0%20.2%9.6%13.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.1%14.7%-0.8%38.9%17.1%7.4%12.4%
FCF/Rev LTM6.3%9.3%-0.4%30.9%15.1%5.0%7.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.9%8.8%-5.7%32.0%12.0%-1.1%8.4%

Valuation

NCMICNKAMCLAMROUTCCOMedian
NameNational.Cinemark AMC Ente.Lamar Ad.Outfront.Clear Ch. 
Mkt Cap0.44.21.715.65.31.23.0
P/S1.51.30.36.72.70.71.4
P/Op Inc-20.99.36.321.613.43.97.8
P/EBIT-45.310.4163.521.114.14.512.3
P/E-42.119.5-3.128.121.5-11.68.2
P/CFO17.27.37.917.213.57.610.7
Total Yield1.6%6.1%-32.0%7.8%8.7%-8.6%3.9%
Dividend Yield4.0%1.0%0.0%4.3%4.0%0.0%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.4%8.6%-17.8%5.4%6.7%-3.4%4.9%
D/E0.10.74.50.30.85.30.7
Net D/E-0.10.64.00.30.85.10.7

Returns

NCMICNKAMCLAMROUTCCOMedian
NameNational.Cinemark AMC Ente.Lamar Ad.Outfront.Clear Ch. 
1M Rtn-2.8%26.2%27.0%-0.9%-9.4%0.4%-0.2%
3M Rtn13.3%40.0%79.1%5.3%-5.1%0.8%9.3%
6M Rtn9.7%43.3%80.5%16.1%15.6%2.1%15.8%
12M Rtn-13.9%46.8%-20.8%40.5%86.2%136.3%43.6%
3Y Rtn11.0%113.3%-94.8%98.2%217.6%57.5%77.9%
1M Excs Rtn-7.8%22.9%25.5%-5.0%-12.6%-2.8%-3.9%
3M Excs Rtn5.8%33.2%66.0%-2.2%-10.6%-3.0%1.8%
6M Excs Rtn-0.0%31.9%68.1%7.8%4.7%-0.9%6.3%
12M Excs Rtn-32.3%28.7%-39.0%18.9%66.7%104.3%23.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-48.0%40.5%-167.1%27.0%131.7%-29.1%-1.1%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262024202320222021
Advertising243241165249115
Total243241165249115


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2015201320122011
Advertising239269257254
Network,Administrative and Unallocated Costs-88-73-71-67
Fathom Events and Other 656
Total152202192194


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$3.79 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.4 
First Trading Date02/08/2007 
Distance from 52W High-20.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$3.78$3.63
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA0.2%4.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility55.6%44.5%
Downside Capture-58.15106.07
Upside Capture7.0564.47
Correlation (SPY)-5.3%24.0%
NCMI Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.27-0.37-0.240.630.860.80
Up Beta-2.25-1.63-0.750.250.720.66
Down Beta1.930.580.920.931.051.00
Up Capture4%42%-5%69%55%44%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days13223363116350
Down Capture-84%-133%-123%62%101%93%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days9172451115366

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCMI
NCMI-11.4%44.5%-0.15-
Sector ETF (XLC)4.4%14.9%0.0831.9%
Equity (SPY)22.1%12.8%1.2824.2%
Gold (GLD)28.2%28.4%0.865.3%
Commodities (DBC)37.4%20.1%1.47-5.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.5%13.8%0.6122.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.3%42.9%-1.2821.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCMI
NCMI-32.9%92.1%-0.08-
Sector ETF (XLC)7.4%20.9%0.2723.2%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.2%0.6022.7%
Gold (GLD)18.8%18.6%0.824.7%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%19.6%0.364.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.9%18.9%-0.0020.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.9%52.8%0.398.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCMI
NCMI-26.9%81.5%-0.06-
Sector ETF (XLC)9.2%22.2%0.4724.9%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7325.8%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.2%0.611.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%18.0%0.3511.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%20.7%0.1825.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.4%66.1%0.999.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-1.6%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest24.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity93.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/11/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/12/2026-11.8%-11.8%7.0%
2/26/20261.4%-0.3%-12.7%
10/30/20259.4%2.5%2.5%
8/5/20253.3%2.4%-4.6%
5/6/2025-11.6%-8.8%-12.6%
3/6/2025-17.8%-10.1%-9.4%
11/5/2024-10.5%-7.4%-2.6%
8/5/202419.1%12.1%28.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101110
# Negative121112
Median Positive10.6%23.9%12.2%
Median Negative-9.7%-8.2%-12.6%
Max Positive114.6%69.8%97.2%
Max Negative-21.6%-25.4%-35.9%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/12/2026-11.8%-11.8%7.0%
2/26/20261.4%-0.3%-12.7%
10/30/20259.4%2.5%2.5%
8/5/20253.3%2.4%-4.6%
5/6/2025-11.6%-8.8%-12.6%
3/6/2025-17.8%-10.1%-9.4%
11/5/2024-10.5%-7.4%-2.6%
8/5/202419.1%12.1%28.8%
5/6/2024-4.6%-6.2%5.4%
3/18/202419.9%26.8%5.5%
11/7/202311.8%12.5%2.3%
4/12/2023114.6%69.8%53.9%
11/7/202226.2%35.6%-9.7%
8/8/2022-21.6%-2.2%-35.9%
5/9/2022-16.3%-25.4%-31.6%
3/3/2022-8.9%-8.2%-13.3%
11/8/2021-4.6%-3.9%-27.0%
8/9/2021-2.6%-12.0%-15.2%
5/10/2021-3.0%1.8%17.5%
3/8/2021-2.7%23.9%-4.2%
11/2/20203.4%45.1%97.2%
8/3/20207.9%25.8%33.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101110
# Negative121112
Median Positive10.6%23.9%12.2%
Median Negative-9.7%-8.2%-12.6%
Max Positive114.6%69.8%97.2%
Max Negative-21.6%-25.4%-35.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/12/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202403/06/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202303/18/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202204/13/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/12/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202403/06/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202303/18/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202204/13/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q
12/31/202103/03/202210-K
09/30/202111/08/202110-Q
06/30/202108/09/202110-Q
03/31/202105/10/202110-Q
12/31/202003/09/202110-K
09/30/202011/02/202010-Q
06/30/202008/03/202010-Q
03/31/202005/05/202010-Q
12/31/201902/20/202010-K
09/30/201911/04/201910-Q
06/30/201908/05/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/11/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/11/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Annual run-rate cost synergies 3.50 Mil    

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue57.00 Mil60.00 Mil63.00 Mil73.9% Higher NewGuidance: 34.50 Mil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Adjusted OIBDA1.00 Mil3.00 Mil5.00 Mil-126.1% Higher NewGuidance: -11.50 Mil for Q1 2026
2026 Annualized Cost Savings 11.00 Mil    
2026 Realized Cost Savings 6.00 Mil    

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue32.50 Mil34.50 Mil36.50 Mil-63.5% Lower NewGuidance: 94.50 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted OIBDA-13.00 Mil-11.50 Mil-10.00 Mil-135.4% Lower NewGuidance: 32.50 Mil for Q4 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue91.00 Mil94.50 Mil98.00 Mil46.5% Higher NewGuidance: 64.50 Mil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Adjusted OIBDA30.00 Mil32.50 Mil35.00 Mil242.1% Higher NewGuidance: 9.50 Mil for Q3 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/4/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell80420264.051,0004,050826,585Form
2Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell80420264.1850,623211,7662,303,525Form
3Woods, Maria VGChief Legal OfficerDirectSell70220263.7712,05845,488615,512Form
4Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell70220263.7732,328121,954773,700Form
5Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell70220263.7770,168264,7021,987,014Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell80420264.051,0004,050826,585Form
2Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell80420264.1850,623211,7662,303,525Form
3Woods, Maria VGChief Legal OfficerDirectSell70220263.7712,05845,488615,512Form
4Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell70220263.7732,328121,954773,700Form
5Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell70220263.7770,168264,7021,987,014Form
6Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell62920263.6228,900104,6181,786,684Form
7Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell62920263.5546,100163,6921,855,147Form
8Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell62320263.4219,00064,948634,973Form
9Woods, Maria VGChief Legal OfficerDirectSell50520263.455,50918,986514,847Form
10Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell50520263.4512,92544,545705,675Form
11Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell50520263.4520,18169,5521,959,482Form
12Woods, Maria VGEVP - General CounselDirectSell40220263.0412,06636,681435,015Form
13Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell40220263.0432,35098,344598,980Form
14Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell40220263.0464,699196,6851,699,454Form
15Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell30420263.5531,106110,4261,847,409Form
16Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell123020253.8937,847147,2251,951,990Form
17Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell123020253.8920,99181,655691,319Form
18Woods, Maria VGEVP - General CounselDirectSell123020253.899,04335,177503,094Form
19Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell111220253.8921,19482,440622,205Form
20Sullivan, CatherinePresident - Sales & MarketingDirectSell100620254.317343,162110,880Form
21Woods, Maria VGEVP - General CounselDirectSell100220254.449,03940,162528,732Form
22Sullivan, CatherinePresident - Sales & MarketingDirectSell100220254.441,8358,153117,616Form
23Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell100220254.4420,93893,032804,895Form
24Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell100220254.4437,834168,1042,053,398Form
25Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell92920254.6830,971145,0871,979,140Form
26Woods, Maria VGEVP - General CounselDirectSell91820255.002,58412,923543,419Form
27Sullivan, CatherinePresident - Sales & MarketingDirectSell82520254.197343,07598,612Form
28Hill, Juliana F DirectSell81820254.4413,37259,401179,309Form
29Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell80420254.673,86218,0492,119,239Form
30Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell80420254.6536,393169,3442,091,148Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 12, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Luxor Capital Group, LP$5.6 Mil0.9%38ADD +61.3%13F
Glendon Capital Management LP$5.1 Mil0.6%25Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Luxor Capital Group, LP$5.6 Mil0.9%38ADD +61.3%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Luxor Capital Group, LP$5.6 Mil0.9%38ADD +61.3%13F
Glendon Capital Management LP$5.1 Mil0.6%25Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/11/2026