Tearsheet

National CineMedia (NCMI)


Market Price (5/18/2026): $2.805 | Market Cap: $261.5 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising

National CineMedia (NCMI)


Market Price (5/18/2026): $2.805
Market Cap: $261.5 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Advertising

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.9%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, and Digital Out-of-Home Advertising.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.0%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.6%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5%

Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 23.38

Key risks
NCMI key risks include [1] its challenging financial recovery following a 2023 Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing and [2] a business model entirely dependent on movie theater attendance levels.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.9%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, and Digital Out-of-Home Advertising.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.0%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.6%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 23.38
10 Key risks
NCMI key risks include [1] its challenging financial recovery following a 2023 Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing and [2] a business model entirely dependent on movie theater attendance levels.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia (NCMI) stock has lost about 20% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weak First Quarter 2026 Financial Performance and Cautious Guidance.

National CineMedia reported a 2.6% year-over-year decrease in total revenue to $34.0 million for the first quarter ended April 2, 2026, compared to $34.9 million in Q1 2025. The company's operating loss widened to $26.9 million from $23.9 million in the prior year. Although NCMI's Q1 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of -$0.23 beat analyst estimates of -$0.26 and revenue of $34.0 million surpassed estimates of $33.48 million, the GAAP diluted EPS of -$0.31 missed expectations. Furthermore, the company's initial guidance provided in late February 2026 for Q1 2026 projected a negative Adjusted OIBDA in the range of $(13.0) million to $(10.0) million, signaling a challenging start to the year for investors.

2. Decline in Revenue per Attendee Despite Increased Attendance.

Despite a 15% year-over-year increase in network attendance to 83.2 million moviegoers in Q1 2026, National CineMedia experienced a decline in its ability to monetize this audience. Total revenue per attendee decreased to $0.409 in Q1 2026 from $0.483 in Q1 2025. This reduction was attributed to "mix and pricing headwinds," with specific declines noted in local and regional advertising revenue (from $4.9 million to $4.4 million) and ESA beverage-related revenue (from $2.6 million to $2.1 million).

Show more
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -21.8% change in NCMI stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265172026Change
Stock Price ($)3.582.80-21.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2362422.5%
P/S Multiple1.41.1-24.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)94930.5%
Cumulative Contribution-21.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCMI-21.8% 
Market (SPY)7.1%39.4%
Sector (XLC)-3.0%34.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -35.6% change in NCMI stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -37.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255172026Change
Stock Price ($)4.352.80-35.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2362422.5%
P/S Multiple1.71.1-37.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)94930.5%
Cumulative Contribution-35.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCMI-35.6% 
Market (SPY)9.0%36.9%
Sector (XLC)1.8%32.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -49.7% change in NCMI stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -50.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255172026Change
Stock Price ($)5.572.80-49.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2412420.7%
P/S Multiple2.21.1-50.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)95931.8%
Cumulative Contribution-49.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCMI-49.7% 
Market (SPY)34.8%35.5%
Sector (XLC)23.1%35.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.4% change in NCMI stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -91.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020235172026Change
Stock Price ($)2.872.80-2.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)249242-2.7%
P/S Multiple0.11.11016.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)893-91.0%
Cumulative Contribution-2.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCMI-2.4% 
Market (SPY)84.7%24.8%
Sector (XLC)100.3%23.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NCMI Return-20%-92%88%60%-40%-24%-91%
Peers Return273%-49%13%24%6%13%219%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%100%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NCMI Win Rate50%17%50%50%17%20% 
Peers Win Rate63%37%48%55%48%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NCMI Max Drawdown-57%-93%-70%-25%-45%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-58%-51%-28%-39%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CNK, AMC, LAMR, OUT, CCO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/15/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNCMIS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-12.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven2 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-59.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven147.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven26 days31 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-38.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven424 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-10.8%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven54 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-14.8%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.4%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven56 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-23.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven118 days123 days

Compare to CNK, AMC, LAMR, OUT, CCO

In The Past

National CineMedia's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNCMIS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-59.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven147.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven26 days31 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-38.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven424 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-23.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven118 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-78.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven362.9%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven1815 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-20.8%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.3%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven79 days47 days

Compare to CNK, AMC, LAMR, OUT, CCO

In The Past

National CineMedia's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About National CineMedia (NCMI)

National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment pre-show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically-placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. The company is also engaged in the sale of online and mobile advertising through its Noovie Audience Accelerator product, as well as a suite of Noovie digital properties, such as Noovie Shuffle, Noovie Trivia, Name That Movie, and Noovie Arcade to reach entertainment audiences beyond the theater. It offers its services to third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for National CineMedia (NCMI):

  • Lamar Advertising for movie theaters: Like Lamar Advertising sells ad space on billboards and other out-of-home displays, National CineMedia sells advertising on screens within movie theaters (pre-shows and lobby displays).
  • Spotify for movie pre-show advertising: Similar to how Spotify sells ads that play before or during free music and podcasts, National CineMedia sells ads that run during its "Noovie" pre-show entertainment segment before movies and across its digital properties, reaching entertainment audiences.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Noovie Cinema Advertising: Sells advertising slots displayed during the "Noovie" pre-show on movie screens within its cinema advertising network.
  • Lobby Entertainment Network Advertising: Provides advertising opportunities on screens and other promotional spaces located in movie theater lobbies.
  • Noovie Digital Advertising: Offers online and mobile advertising solutions through its "Noovie Audience Accelerator" product and a suite of Noovie digital entertainment properties.

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia (NCMI) sells primarily to other companies.

Its major customers are businesses that purchase advertising space and services across its cinema network, Lobby Entertainment Network, and digital properties. Based on the company description, these customers can be categorized as:

  • National businesses: Large corporations and brands seeking to reach a broad audience across NCMI's advertising network throughout North America.
  • Regional businesses: Companies operating within specific geographic regions that aim to target audiences in those areas through NCMI's advertising platforms.
  • Local businesses: Smaller, community-based enterprises looking to reach local moviegoers and digital entertainment audiences within their immediate vicinities.

The provided company description does not name specific customer companies that purchase advertising from NCMI.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (Symbol: AMC)
  • Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (Symbol: CNK)
  • Cineworld Group plc (Symbol: CINE)

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia (NCMI) has a management team with extensive experience in the entertainment, media, and advertising industries.

Thomas F. Lesinski, Chief Executive Officer

Thomas F. Lesinski was appointed Chief Executive Officer of National CineMedia in August 2019, having previously served as Chairman of the Board since August 2018 and an independent Director since December 2014. From 2015 to 2019, he was the CEO of Sonar Entertainment, a television production company, after serving as a Board Director since 2013. Mr. Lesinski also founded and served as CEO of Energi Entertainment. His extensive 25-year career in Hollywood includes leadership positions such as President of Digital Content & Distribution with Legendary Entertainment, President of Paramount Pictures Digital Entertainment, President of Worldwide Home Entertainment for Paramount, and Executive Vice President and General Manager of Home Entertainment, as well as Executive Vice President, Worldwide Marketing & Development at Warner Bros. He began his career in advertising, working at firms like BBDO, Foote, Cone & Belding, and Clairol Inc. Mr. Lesinski holds a bachelor's degree in Journalism and a master's degree in Advertising from Northwestern University.

Ronnie Ng, Chief Financial Officer

Ronnie Ng joined National CineMedia as Chief Financial Officer in September 2021. With two decades of experience in finance, investment banking, accounting, and management, Mr. Ng previously held the position of CFO and head of corporate development at Allen Media Group, LLC (AMG), a diversified media and entertainment company. At AMG, he was responsible for the company's finance organization and oversaw numerous large-scale acquisitions and the refinancing of its capital structure. Prior to AMG, Mr. Ng was a Vice President in the fixed income group for TCW Group, Inc., where he evaluated investments in the media and technology sectors, including corporate bonds, high-yield bonds, and leveraged loans. He also spent approximately 10 years as an investment banker, serving as an executive director in UBS Investment Bank's Global Media Group, where he managed and structured various financings and merger and acquisition transactions. His earlier experience includes roles at Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., Houlihan Lokey, Inc., and Arthur Andersen LLP. Mr. Ng earned a Bachelor of Science degree in finance from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

Maria Woods, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

Maria Woods rejoined National CineMedia as Executive Vice President and General Counsel in September 2021, having previously served in key leadership roles on NCM's legal team from 2010 to 2015, rising to EVP and General Counsel of National CineMedia, LLC. Before her return to NCM, she was General Counsel and Secretary at JumpCloud, Inc., providing strategic legal counsel for the company's SaaS identity management business, which encompassed corporate governance, merger and acquisition activities, financing, and commercial contracting. Ms. Woods also served as Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary at ONE Group Hospitality, Inc., General Counsel for Lucky's Market, Associate General Counsel at Einstein Noah Restaurant Group, Inc., and Assistant General Counsel at Sun Microsystems, Inc. She began her legal career as an associate at Holme Roberts & Owen (now Bryan Cave), working on public and private equity offerings. Notably, her experience includes completing several securities offerings during her previous tenure at NCM and supporting the 2013 sale of the Fathom business division. She holds a Bachelor of Arts in Communications Studies from the University of Iowa and a Juris Doctorate from the University of Denver Sturm College of Law.

Mike Rosen, Chief Revenue Officer

Mike Rosen serves as the Chief Revenue Officer of National CineMedia.

Adam Johnson, Senior Vice President, Operations And Technology

Adam Johnson holds the position of Senior Vice President, Operations And Technology at National CineMedia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to National CineMedia (NCMI)

  1. Declining Movie Theater Attendance: National CineMedia's core business is selling advertising primarily within movie theaters. A sustained decline in movie theater attendance directly reduces the reach and value of their advertising network, impacting their ability to attract advertisers and generate revenue. Factors such as competition from streaming services, rising ticket prices, and economic downturns can contribute to reduced patronage.

  2. Increased Competition from Digital Advertising and Shifting Media Consumption: The advertising landscape is highly competitive, with a significant shift towards digital platforms offering highly targeted and measurable advertising solutions. As consumers increasingly engage with content on streaming services, social media, and other digital channels, advertisers may reallocate their budgets away from traditional cinema advertising towards these platforms, challenging NCMI's market share and pricing power.

  3. Changes in Film Release Strategies: A fundamental shift in how major studios release films, such as shorter theatrical windows or more direct-to-streaming premieres, could further erode the exclusivity and event nature of the cinema experience. This could accelerate declines in movie theater attendance and diminish the perceived value of cinema as a premier advertising medium for businesses targeting entertainment audiences.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat to National CineMedia is the ongoing and accelerating shift in media consumption habits, particularly the rise of streaming services and alternative film distribution models that diminish the exclusivity and importance of the theatrical experience. This trend directly impacts cinema attendance, thereby reducing the audience reach and value of NCMI's core cinema advertising network and its Lobby Entertainment Network.

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia's addressable markets for its main products and services are sized as follows:

  • Cinema Advertising Network (Noovie pre-show on movie screens): The global cinema advertising market is valued at approximately $4.9 billion in 2025. While a specific North American cinema advertising market size for 2025 was not explicitly available, North America is noted for sustaining high revenue levels within the overall cinema market through upgrades and premium formats.

  • Lobby Entertainment Network (strategically-placed screens in movie theater lobbies): Null

  • Online and mobile advertising (Noovie Audience Accelerator, Noovie digital properties): The addressable market for online and mobile advertising targeting entertainment audiences in North America is estimated to be approximately $33.68 billion in 2025. This is derived from the North American online advertising market, which is projected to be around $129.56 billion in 2025 (approximately 36% of the global online advertising market of $359.88 billion), with the Media & Entertainment sector accounting for about 26% of that market share.

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia (NCMI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Increased Monetization of Advertising Inventory and Premium Placements: National CineMedia is focused on optimizing its existing advertising inventory, as evidenced by a 10% increase in national revenue per attendee in Q4 2025. This growth is driven by robust advertiser demand and expanded utilization of premium and post-show placements. The company's strategies aim to enhance monetization per attendee.
  2. Expansion of Programmatic and Self-Serve Advertising Platforms: The company is seeing significant growth in programmatic advertising, with revenue doubling year-over-year in Q4 2025 and the number of programmatic advertisers increasing 2.4 times. Similarly, self-serve platform revenue grew by 64% year-over-year, supported by investments in generative AI-enabled creative tools that enhance accessibility and turnaround for advertisers. This makes cinema advertising easier to access and is a key driver for both national and local demand.
  3. Strategic Acquisitions and Network Expansion: Acquisitions, such as the Spotlight acquisition in 2025, are contributing to revenue growth by broadening NCM's reach with new high-end luxury networks. This strategy diversifies the company's appeal to new advertisers.
  4. Rebounding Cinema Attendance and Strong Film Slates: Future revenue growth is also anticipated from a strong upcoming film slate and a rebound in cinema attendance. Increased attendance directly correlates with higher advertiser interest and engagement, which is fundamental for a cinema advertising platform.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • National CineMedia authorized a new share repurchase program in March 2024, permitting the purchase of up to $100 million of its common stock through April 1, 2027. The company also plans to accelerate share repurchases under this program.
  • In 2025, National CineMedia repurchased 4.1 million shares for approximately $22.3 million at an average price of $5.41 per share.
  • As of February 2026, a total of 6.6 million shares have been bought back and retired under the $100 million authorization.

Share Issuance

  • As part of its Chapter 11 bankruptcy restructuring, which concluded in August 2023, National CineMedia, Inc. issued 83,421,135 shares to secured creditors with a fair value of $245.3 million.
  • A one-for-ten reverse stock split of its common stock was effected on August 3, 2023.

Outbound Investments

  • National CineMedia acquired Spotlight Cinema Networks on November 14, 2025, for $8.4 million. This acquisition included $7.1 million in cash and a $1.3 million contingent payment.
  • The acquisition of Spotlight Cinema Networks is expected to enhance NCMI's platform with high-end luxury screens, increasing its national market share by approximately 6% and expanding its theater presence by 30% in key markets.

Capital Expenditures

  • National CineMedia's capital expenditures were -$5.6 million for the fiscal year ending January 1, 2026 (fiscal year 2025), -$5.8 million in 2024, and -$3.3 million in 2023.
  • Capital expenditures primarily focus on digital applications, capitalized software development for systems like audience targeting, data management, and cinema advertising, as well as equipment for content production and office improvements.
  • The company continues to invest capital to grow its advertising network through strategic initiatives, including new innovations such as programmatic and self-serve offerings.

Better Bets vs. National CineMedia (NCMI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NCMI.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CMCSA_4242026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04242026CMCSAComcastDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-2.9%
TTD_4022026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE04022026TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.0%7.0%-8.9%
META_3272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03272026METAMeta PlatformsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
16.4%16.4%0.0%
CARG_3062026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203062026CARGCarGurusInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
8.3%8.3%-8.3%
YELP_2132026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02132026YELPYelpDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
31.6%31.6%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NCMICNKAMCLAMROUTCCOMedian
NameNational.Cinemark AMC Ente.Lamar Ad.Outfront.Clear Ch. 
Mkt Price2.8025.961.28145.5431.512.3914.38
Mkt Cap0.33.00.714.85.51.22.1
Rev LTM2423,2175,0322,2891,8711,6442,080
Op Inc LTM-17392139710354305330
FCF LTM15260-12470023630133
FCF 3Y Avg19249-348695213-50116
CFO LTM20495122884349103236
CFO 3Y Avg23426-10885330973191

Growth & Margins

NCMICNKAMCLAMROUTCCOMedian
NameNational.Cinemark AMC Ente.Lamar Ad.Outfront.Clear Ch. 
Rev Chg LTM1.7%6.9%10.6%3.4%3.2%8.7%5.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.8%7.5%7.7%3.7%1.4%3.5%3.8%
Rev Chg Q-2.6%18.9%21.2%4.5%10.0%11.9%10.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.4%3.3%3.8%1.0%2.1%2.5%2.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM18.8%22.2%438.0%35.3%29.6%8.9%25.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-553.5%52.5%115.0%11.3%10.9%6.5%11.1%
Op Mgn LTM-7.0%12.2%2.8%31.0%18.9%18.6%15.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-9.1%11.6%0.9%28.8%16.3%19.2%14.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.3%1.2%1.9%0.2%1.9%-0.8%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM8.5%15.4%2.4%38.6%18.7%6.3%11.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.1%13.8%-2.4%38.5%16.8%4.6%11.9%
FCF/Rev LTM6.3%8.1%-2.5%30.6%12.6%1.8%7.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.9%8.1%-7.4%31.4%11.6%-3.9%8.0%

Valuation

NCMICNKAMCLAMROUTCCOMedian
NameNational.Cinemark AMC Ente.Lamar Ad.Outfront.Clear Ch. 
Mkt Cap0.33.00.714.85.51.22.1
P/S1.10.90.16.43.00.71.0
P/Op Inc-15.47.65.020.815.63.96.3
P/EBIT-33.58.579.420.217.64.113.0
P/E-31.117.4-1.326.829.6-13.18.1
P/CFO12.76.05.716.715.811.512.1
Total Yield-3.2%6.4%-79.2%3.7%5.3%-7.7%0.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%0.0%0.0%1.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.2%9.3%-35.8%5.7%6.6%-7.0%5.0%
D/E0.11.011.50.30.85.40.9
Net D/E-0.10.911.00.30.75.30.8

Returns

NCMICNKAMCLAMROUTCCOMedian
NameNational.Cinemark AMC Ente.Lamar Ad.Outfront.Clear Ch. 
1M Rtn-22.9%-13.5%-31.2%7.8%5.0%0.4%-6.5%
3M Rtn-14.2%4.7%4.1%11.8%27.1%0.0%4.4%
6M Rtn-29.2%-12.6%-43.9%15.3%46.1%25.8%1.3%
12M Rtn-43.9%-17.5%-56.6%27.9%102.5%102.5%5.2%
3Y Rtn-9.5%55.0%-97.1%78.7%168.8%97.5%66.9%
1M Excs Rtn-24.8%-18.7%-25.7%2.5%1.5%-5.2%-11.9%
3M Excs Rtn-22.5%-3.7%-4.3%3.4%18.8%-8.4%-4.0%
6M Excs Rtn-40.3%-21.1%-56.1%8.5%42.1%15.1%-6.3%
12M Excs Rtn-69.4%-41.4%-79.0%6.7%80.9%76.8%-17.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-87.7%-24.5%-176.4%-1.6%88.5%48.6%-13.0%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Advertising24116524911590
Total24116524911590


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$2.80 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.3 
First Trading Date02/08/2007 
Distance from 52W High-47.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$3.35$3.88
DMA Trenddownindeterminate
Distance from DMA-16.5%-27.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility47.4%43.2%
Downside Capture170.64190.03
Upside Capture61.3169.51
Correlation (SPY)29.4%38.8%
NCMI Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.061.241.461.321.320.95
Up Beta0.020.130.770.761.580.93
Down Beta1.610.070.870.661.281.08
Up Capture167%186%191%164%57%60%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days11203053110344
Down Capture495%208%183%170%145%98%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days8192759125376

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCMI
NCMI-43.8%43.0%-1.22-
Sector ETF (XLC)16.8%13.1%0.9237.3%
Equity (SPY)27.4%12.1%1.7139.9%
Gold (GLD)42.5%26.8%1.305.2%
Commodities (DBC)45.4%18.5%1.88-6.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.5%13.5%0.5631.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-23.7%41.8%-0.5428.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCMI
NCMI-40.7%92.3%-0.21-
Sector ETF (XLC)9.7%20.7%0.3823.3%
Equity (SPY)13.6%17.1%0.6323.3%
Gold (GLD)19.4%17.9%0.885.5%
Commodities (DBC)10.9%19.4%0.455.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.8%0.0621.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.2%55.9%0.349.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCMI
NCMI-28.2%81.2%-0.08-
Sector ETF (XLC)9.6%22.2%0.5124.9%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7426.3%
Gold (GLD)13.0%16.0%0.671.6%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%17.9%0.3811.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2125.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.4%66.9%1.069.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 4152026-1.6%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest23.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity93.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/26/20261.4%0.6%-12.7%
10/30/20259.4%2.5%2.5%
8/5/20253.3%2.4%-4.6%
3/6/2025-17.8%-10.1%-9.4%
11/5/2024-10.5%-7.4%-2.6%
8/5/202419.1%12.1%28.8%
3/18/202419.9%26.8%5.5%
11/7/202311.8%12.5%2.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10128
# Negative9711
Median Positive10.6%18.2%17.3%
Median Negative-8.9%-8.2%-12.7%
Max Positive114.6%69.8%97.2%
Max Negative-21.6%-25.4%-35.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/12/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202403/06/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202303/18/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202204/13/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue32.50 Mil34.50 Mil36.50 Mil-63.5% Lower NewGuidance: 94.50 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted OIBDA-13.00 Mil-11.50 Mil-10.00 Mil-135.4% Lower NewGuidance: 32.50 Mil for Q4 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue91.00 Mil94.50 Mil98.00 Mil46.5% Higher NewGuidance: 64.50 Mil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Adjusted OIBDA30.00 Mil32.50 Mil35.00 Mil242.1% Higher NewGuidance: 9.50 Mil for Q3 2025

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Woods, Maria VGChief Legal OfficerDirectSell50520263.455,50918,986514,847Form
2Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell50520263.4512,92544,545705,675Form
3Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell50520263.4520,18169,5521,959,482Form
4Woods, Maria VGEVP - General CounselDirectSell40220263.0412,06636,681435,015Form
5Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell40220263.0432,35098,344598,980Form