Tearsheet

National CineMedia (NCMI)


Market Price (3/9/2026): $3.6 | Market Cap: $337.2 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising

National CineMedia (NCMI)


Market Price (3/9/2026): $3.6
Market Cap: $337.2 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Advertising

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -3.6%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, and Digital Out-of-Home Advertising.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 40x
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3%
3   Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 20.96
4   Key risks
NCMI key risks include [1] its challenging financial recovery following a 2023 Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing and [2] a business model entirely dependent on movie theater attendance levels.
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, and Digital Out-of-Home Advertising.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -3.6%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.7%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 40x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3%
6 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 20.96
7 Key risks
NCMI key risks include [1] its challenging financial recovery following a 2023 Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing and [2] a business model entirely dependent on movie theater attendance levels.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia (NCMI) stock has lost about 20% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Analyst Downgrades and Reduced Price Targets.

Between November 30, 2025, and early March 2026, several financial analysts downgraded their ratings or significantly cut their price targets for National CineMedia. For instance, Benchmark lowered its price target from $7.00 to $6.00 in January 2026, and Wedbush also cut its target from $7.00 to $6.00. Barrington Research reduced its target from $6.50 to $5.50. This collective re-evaluation by analysts contributed to a consensus rating shift from "Buy" to "Hold" during this period, signaling decreased confidence in the stock's near-term upside.

2. Cautious Q1 2026 Financial Guidance.

Despite reporting strong fourth-quarter 2025 results that beat revenue and EPS estimates, National CineMedia issued a weak outlook for the first quarter of 2026. The company projected Q1 2026 revenue to be between $32.5 million and $36.5 million, with an anticipated adjusted OIBDA between negative $13 million and negative $10 million. This guidance, provided in late February 2026, was attributed to factors such as the absence of the first week of January, reduced beverage revenue, and the Winter Olympics impacting February advertiser demand, likely overshadowing the positive Q4 performance and contributing to investor apprehension.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -17.6% change in NCMI stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253082026Change
Stock Price ($)4.313.55-17.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2362432.9%
P/S Multiple1.71.4-20.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)94940.0%
Cumulative Contribution-17.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCMI-17.6% 
Market (SPY)-1.6%41.0%
Sector (XLC)1.8%33.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.5% change in NCMI stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -21.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253082026Change
Stock Price ($)4.363.55-18.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2352433.4%
P/S Multiple1.71.4-21.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)94940.3%
Cumulative Contribution-18.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCMI-18.5% 
Market (SPY)4.5%39.3%
Sector (XLC)5.8%37.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -45.6% change in NCMI stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -46.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253082026Change
Stock Price ($)6.523.55-45.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)245243-0.8%
P/S Multiple2.51.4-46.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)95941.7%
Cumulative Contribution-45.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCMI-45.6% 
Market (SPY)14.2%31.4%
Sector (XLC)16.2%33.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 58.4% change in NCMI stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 1551.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233082026Change
Stock Price ($)2.243.5558.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)22124310.1%
P/S Multiple0.11.41551.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)894-91.3%
Cumulative Contribution58.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCMI58.4% 
Market (SPY)76.0%14.5%
Sector (XLC)126.0%11.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NCMI Return-20%-92%88%60%-40%-10%-89%
Peers Return273%-49%13%24%6%8%206%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NCMI Win Rate50%17%50%50%17%0% 
Peers Win Rate63%37%48%55%48%73% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NCMI Max Drawdown-31%-92%-52%-10%-41%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-12%-53%-29%-22%-34%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CNK, AMC, LAMR, OUT, CCO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNCMIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5604.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-80.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven403.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-65.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven192.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven453.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to CNK, AMC, LAMR, OUT, CCO

In The Past

National CineMedia's stock fell -98.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -98.2% loss requires a 5604.8% gain to breakeven.

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About National CineMedia (NCMI)

National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment pre-show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically-placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. The company is also engaged in the sale of online and mobile advertising through its Noovie Audience Accelerator product, as well as a suite of Noovie digital properties, such as Noovie Shuffle, Noovie Trivia, Name That Movie, and Noovie Arcade to reach entertainment audiences beyond the theater. It offers its services to third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe National CineMedia (NCMI):

  • NCMI is like Clear Channel Outdoor or Lamar Advertising for movie screens, selling ad space before films.
  • NCMI is like NBC or Fox's ad sales but for movie theaters nationwide.

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia (NCMI) primarily offers the following services:

  • Cinema Advertising: Sells advertising time on movie screens to national, regional, and local brands during the pre-show segment before feature films.
  • Digital Out-of-Home Advertising: Provides advertising opportunities on digital screens located in movie theater lobbies and common areas.
  • Experiential Marketing: Facilitates customized brand activations and events within cinema environments for advertisers to engage with audiences.

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia (NCMI) sells primarily to other companies. Its major customers are a diverse group of advertisers and their representing agencies.

Given the nature of the advertising business, NCMI's customer base is highly fragmented, with revenue generated from a broad range of national, regional, and local advertisers across various industries. As such, NCMI does not typically disclose specific "major customers" by name that consistently account for a significant portion of its revenue in its public filings, as advertising clients often rotate and their spending fluctuates.

However, the companies that are NCMI's customers generally fall into two categories:

  • Advertising Agencies: These firms purchase advertising time and services on behalf of their brand clients. Major global advertising holding companies, which represent a vast array of brands across all sectors, are significant buyers of cinema advertising. Examples of such public companies include:
    • Omnicom Group (Symbol: OMC)
    • WPP plc (Symbol: WPP)
    • The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. (Symbol: IPG)
    • Publicis Groupe S.A. (Symbol: PUB.PA)

    (Note: While these holding companies are listed, NCMI's direct customers are often their specific agencies or media-buying units rather than the parent company itself, but they operate under these umbrellas.)

  • Direct Advertisers/Brands: Numerous companies from diverse industries (e.g., automotive, consumer packaged goods, telecommunications, entertainment, financial services, quick-service restaurants) that buy advertising space directly from NCMI, or whose agencies purchase it on their behalf. Due to the vast number and varied nature of these brands, it is not feasible to list specific major customer companies by name without specific proprietary data from NCMI, which is not publicly disclosed.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC)
  • Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Thomas F. Lesinski Chief Executive Officer

Thomas F. (“Tom”) Lesinski was appointed CEO of National CineMedia (NCMI) in August 2019, having previously served as an Independent Director since 2014 and Chairman of the Board since 2018. His career spans over 25 years in the entertainment, digital media, sales, marketing, and advertising industries. Prior to NCMI, he served as CEO of Sonar Entertainment, a TV production company, from 2015, and was a Board Director there since 2013. Lesinski's extensive experience includes leadership roles such as CEO and founder of Energi Entertainment, President of Digital Content & Distribution with Legendary Entertainment, President of Paramount Pictures Digital Entertainment, President of Worldwide Home Entertainment for Paramount, and both Executive Vice President and General Manager of Home Entertainment and Executive Vice President, Worldwide Marketing & Development at Warner Bros. He began his career in advertising at firms like BBDO, Foote, Cone & Belding, and Clairol Inc. He holds bachelor's and master's degrees from Northwestern University.

Ronnie Y. Ng Chief Financial Officer

Ronnie Y. Ng became Chief Financial Officer of National CineMedia in September 2021. He brings 20 years of experience in finance, investment banking, accounting, and management. Before joining NCM, Ng was the CFO and head of corporate development at Allen Media Group, LLC (AMG), where he managed the finance organization and oversaw significant acquisitions and capital structure refinancing. Prior to AMG, he served as Vice President in the fixed income group for TCW Group, Inc., where he evaluated investments in the media and technology sectors, including high-yield bonds and leveraged loans. Ng also spent about 10 years as an investment banker, notably as Executive Director of UBS Investment Bank’s Global Media Group, and held positions at Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., Houlihan Lokey, Inc., and Arthur Andersen LLP. His contract was extended until September 2027 in September 2024. He earned a Bachelor of Science degree in finance from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

Catherine Sullivan President, Sales, Marketing & Partnerships

Catherine Sullivan joined National CineMedia as President, Sales, Marketing & Partnerships in May 2024. In this role, she is responsible for the company's sales and marketing strategy and initiatives to drive momentum. Before NCM, Sullivan held several prominent positions in the media industry. She was President of Peacock, NBCUniversal's streaming service, from November 2021 to March 2025. Prior to that, she was President of Hulu from February 2020 to October 2021 and served as Chief Marketing Officer of Hulu from August 2017 to February 2020. From 2005 to 2017, Sullivan worked at Google, holding various roles across the Google Ads and Google Cloud businesses.

Maria Woods Executive Vice President and General Counsel

Maria Woods serves as the Executive Vice President and General Counsel for National CineMedia, having rejoined the company in this capacity. She previously held several key leadership roles within NCM’s legal team from 2010 through 2015, eventually rising to the position of Executive Vice President and General Counsel of National CineMedia, LLC.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The public company National CineMedia (symbol: NCMI) faces several key business risks, primarily stemming from the evolving media landscape and the inherent challenges of the cinema industry. The most significant risks include: * Dependence on Cinema Attendance and Competition from Streaming Services: National CineMedia's core business, cinema advertising, is heavily reliant on movie theater attendance. The company's revenue directly correlates with the number of people going to the movies. The rise of streaming services, which saw a significant increase in subscriptions during the pandemic, poses a substantial competitive threat to traditional cinema, potentially leading to reduced attendance and, consequently, lower advertising revenue for NCMI. While exclusive partnerships with major theater chains like AMC, Cinemark, and Regal provide some stability, the overall health and attendance trends of the cinema industry remain a critical vulnerability. * Financial Health and Recovery from Past Losses: NCMI has a history of net losses and has experienced a slow financial recovery following the pandemic, which led to a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing in April 2023. Although the company has since emerged from bankruptcy and eliminated approximately $1.2 billion in debt, its financial health remains a concern, with a stagnant stock price and fluctuating margins. The ability to achieve sustained profitability and consistent revenue growth is crucial for its long-term stability. * Challenges in the Advertising Market: National CineMedia operates in a competitive advertising market, contending with various digital media platforms, streaming TV, and other out-of-home media for advertising spend. The company has faced challenges such as reduced government ad spending and delayed ad spend decisions due to economic uncertainties. While NCMI is expanding its programmatic advertising offerings, it must continuously innovate and demonstrate the value of in-theater advertising to attract and retain advertisers amidst shifting market dynamics and intense competition.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The continued and accelerating shift in consumer entertainment consumption habits towards high-quality, abundant, and accessible streaming content at home, which reduces the frequency and necessity of movie theater attendance and thus erodes the captive audience that National CineMedia sells to advertisers.

The ongoing and increasing competition for advertising budgets from highly targeted, measurable, and often more cost-effective digital advertising platforms (e.g., connected TV, social media, streaming service ads), which offer capabilities that traditional cinema advertising cannot match and incentivize advertisers to reallocate spending.

AI Analysis | Feedback

National CineMedia (NCMI) primarily operates in the cinema advertising market, offering various products and services to advertisers.

Main Products and Services:

  • Cinema Advertising (Noovie pre-show): NCMI's core business involves selling advertising slots within its "Noovie" pre-show, displayed on movie screens in theaters across North America.
  • Lobby Entertainment Network (LEN): The company also sells advertising on screens located in movie theater lobbies.
  • Digital Advertising: This includes offerings like NCM Boost, Boomerang, the Noovie Trivia app, and integrated marketing programs that extend campaigns to entertainment-related websites and mobile applications. NCMI has also introduced programmatic and self-serve buying options for its cinema ad inventory.

Addressable Market Sizes:

The addressable markets for National CineMedia's main products and services are as follows:

  • Global Cinema Advertising Market: This market was valued at approximately $4.9 billion in 2025. It is projected to reach $7.8 billion by 2033, growing from $4.2 billion in 2024.
  • North American Cinema Advertising Market: North America holds a significant share, accounting for over 35% of the global cinema advertising market in 2024. Based on the 2024 global market size of $4.2 billion, this translates to an addressable market of approximately $1.47 billion for the North American region.
  • Lobby Entertainment Network (LEN) and Digital Advertising (NCM Boost, Boomerang, Noovie Trivia app, web/mobile applications): A specific, segregated addressable market size for these particular NCMI products is currently null. These services fall under broader digital and out-of-home (OOH) advertising categories, for which distinct market sizes directly attributable to NCMI's specific offerings are not readily available in the provided information.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for National CineMedia (NCMI)

National CineMedia (NCMI) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key initiatives and market trends:

  • Growth in Programmatic and Self-Serve Advertising: NCM has demonstrated significant success with its programmatic sales, experiencing a fourfold increase year-over-year and an 82% sequential increase in a recent quarter, marking its strongest programmatic performance to date. The company's self-serve platform also saw a substantial 23% quarter-over-quarter revenue increase, indicating strong adoption by regional and middle-sized advertisers. Analysts anticipate that programmatic and self-serve advertising volume on NCM's platform will triple by year-end, maximizing revenue per screen.
  • Increased National Advertising Demand and Inventory Utilization: The company has observed a stabilization and rebound in advertiser demand across key categories such as retail, automotive, wireless, and government. This has translated into stronger national advertising revenue, which rose by 6.6% year-over-year in Q3 2025. NCM has also highlighted improved inventory utilization as a significant contributor to its revenue growth, achieving its highest third-quarter national advertising revenue per attendee in the last five years.
  • Strong Box Office Performance and Audience Re-engagement: NCM is optimistic about a strong holiday film slate and expects box office growth to continue into 2026, which is anticipated to reignite theater attendance. The company projects total attendance growth to outpace industry trends in the fourth quarter due to an additional week in its fiscal calendar and a consistent cadence of film releases. This increased attendance is crucial for attracting advertisers to NCM's platform.
  • Success of Platinum Spot Product: NCM's "Platinum Spot" product has shown impressive results, with a 19% revenue increase compared to the prior year and achieving the highest third-quarter Platinum sales in the company's history. This product boasts an 89% ad recall, underscoring its effectiveness in engaging audiences and driving monetization.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In March 2024, National CineMedia's Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $100 million of its common stock through April 1, 2027.
  • This repurchase program is intended to be funded by operating cash flow distributions from NCM LLC.
  • As of September 25, 2025, NCM had repurchased approximately 3.3 million shares for about $18.8 million, with additional repurchases occurring after the quarter end.

Share Issuance

  • National CineMedia, LLC, the company's operating subsidiary, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in April 2023. Upon its emergence on August 7, 2023, the funded debt was converted into equity, resulting in secured lenders becoming the new owners.
  • As part of the reorganization, National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) retained approximately a 13.8% ownership stake in the reorganized NCM LLC after contributing $15 million cash and executing a 1-for-10 reverse stock split on August 4, 2023.
  • As of October 31, 2024, there were 94,915,077 shares of common stock outstanding, and 93.83 million shares outstanding as of October 30, 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • Upon emerging from Chapter 11 bankruptcy on August 7, 2023, NCM LLC's secured lenders converted all of the company's debt into equity, effectively recapitalizing the company and establishing new ownership.
  • NCM Inc. made a $15 million cash contribution to secure its 13.8% equity interest in the reorganized NCM LLC.
  • The company secured an approximately $55 million exit financing facility upon emergence from bankruptcy to support operations and future growth initiatives, which later evolved into a new $45 million credit facility in January 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • National CineMedia prioritizes capital allocation towards investments in technology and talent to enhance its advertising platform.
  • The focus of these investments includes expanding inventory monetization tools, improving self-serve and programmatic capabilities, and strengthening advertiser relationships.
  • For the 12 months leading up to the fiscal third quarter of 2025, capital expenditures amounted to -$5.80 million. Year-to-date through September 25, 2025, capital expenditures showed a slight increase year-over-year.

Better Bets vs. National CineMedia (NCMI)

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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NCMI.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
YELP_2132026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02132026YELPYelpDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
6.2%6.2%-5.7%
TRIP_2132026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG02132026TRIPTripadvisorDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%0.0%
OMC_2062026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02062026OMCOmnicomDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.1%22.1%-3.7%
MGNI_2062026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02062026MGNIMagniteDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
20.6%20.6%-0.8%
RBLX_1302026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE01302026RBLXRobloxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.4%4.4%-7.9%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NCMICNKAMCLAMROUTCCOMedian
NameNational.Cinemark AMC Ente.Lamar Ad.Outfront.Clear Ch. 
Mkt Price3.5527.651.17136.0428.632.3715.60
Mkt Cap0.33.20.613.84.91.22.2
Rev LTM2433,1154,8492,2661,8321,6042,049
Op Inc LTM-1434240698311311311
FCF LTM3177-36668319932105
FCF 3Y Avg16262-369679192-55104
CFO LTM8396-120864308115211
CFO 3Y Avg21435-12984028775181

Growth & Margins

NCMICNKAMCLAMROUTCCOMedian
NameNational.Cinemark AMC Ente.Lamar Ad.Outfront.Clear Ch. 
Rev Chg LTM1.0%2.1%4.6%2.7%0.0%6.6%2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.4%8.8%8.0%3.7%1.1%0.3%4.0%
Rev Chg Q8.0%-4.7%-1.4%2.8%4.1%8.2%3.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%-1.2%-0.4%0.7%1.1%2.2%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM-5.7%11.0%0.8%30.8%17.0%19.4%14.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-10.1%11.7%0.5%28.8%15.6%17.7%13.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.8%-0.7%1.4%6.9%1.2%0.0%1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM3.5%12.7%-2.5%38.1%16.8%7.2%9.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.1%14.2%-2.7%38.3%15.7%4.9%11.2%
FCF/Rev LTM1.2%5.7%-7.5%30.1%10.9%2.0%3.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.9%8.5%-7.7%30.9%10.5%-3.9%7.2%

Valuation

NCMICNKAMCLAMROUTCCOMedian
NameNational.Cinemark AMC Ente.Lamar Ad.Outfront.Clear Ch. 
Mkt Cap0.33.20.613.84.91.22.2
P/S1.41.00.16.12.70.71.2
P/EBIT-33.610.1-6.117.818.04.07.0
P/E-31.723.2-0.923.533.259.123.3
P/CFO39.68.1-5.015.915.910.313.1
Total Yield-3.2%4.9%-105.3%4.3%5.2%1.7%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.0%0.0%2.2%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.3%10.9%-32.7%5.6%6.4%-7.3%4.0%
D/E0.10.913.50.40.85.50.9
Net D/E-0.00.812.80.40.85.30.8

Returns

NCMICNKAMCLAMROUTCCOMedian
NameNational.Cinemark AMC Ente.Lamar Ad.Outfront.Clear Ch. 
1M Rtn-0.8%7.6%-20.9%2.1%7.6%9.2%4.8%
3M Rtn-14.3%26.4%-48.5%3.9%24.1%19.1%11.5%
6M Rtn-18.5%7.5%-57.5%9.2%60.8%79.5%8.3%
12M Rtn-30.2%14.7%-61.8%14.6%69.0%85.2%14.6%
3Y Rtn60.9%119.0%-97.7%56.8%116.9%74.3%67.6%
1M Excs Rtn3.8%12.1%-18.3%8.1%13.2%12.8%10.1%
3M Excs Rtn-12.6%22.8%-47.1%6.0%27.0%20.7%13.3%
6M Excs Rtn-20.5%5.9%-60.6%5.5%56.3%80.1%5.7%
12M Excs Rtn-58.4%2.4%-77.0%-0.1%53.7%68.4%1.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-3.6%38.5%-168.6%-18.9%38.4%-25.2%-11.3%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Advertising16524911590445
Total16524911590445


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$3.55 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.3 
First Trading Date02/08/2007 
Distance from 52W High-40.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$3.64$4.30
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-2.5%-17.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility35.7%43.2%
Downside Capture163.65115.17
Upside Capture85.3158.88
Correlation (SPY)45.1%30.6%
NCMI Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.221.741.481.350.770.96
Up Beta3.753.302.911.510.780.75
Down Beta2.631.031.061.460.681.40
Up Capture177%134%63%80%29%79%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days10172252112339
Down Capture156%189%180%150%111%98%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days8183262126383

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCMI
NCMI-43.1%46.6%-1.06-
Sector ETF (XLC)16.9%18.6%0.7032.2%
Equity (SPY)16.4%19.2%0.6630.4%
Gold (GLD)77.1%26.1%2.174.8%
Commodities (DBC)19.6%17.1%0.899.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.1%16.6%0.0124.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-24.9%45.6%-0.4926.6%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCMI
NCMI-38.1%92.7%-0.16-
Sector ETF (XLC)10.9%20.8%0.4422.9%
Equity (SPY)13.0%17.0%0.6022.8%
Gold (GLD)24.2%17.2%1.144.8%
Commodities (DBC)11.9%19.0%0.516.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%18.8%0.1720.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.5%56.8%0.348.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCMI
NCMI-26.9%81.0%-0.06-
Sector ETF (XLC)9.7%22.4%0.5224.9%
Equity (SPY)15.0%17.9%0.7226.2%
Gold (GLD)15.1%15.6%0.801.1%
Commodities (DBC)9.0%17.6%0.4312.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.1%20.7%0.2625.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)65.9%66.8%1.058.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1312026-2.1%
Average Daily Volume0.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest21.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity93.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares8.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/26/20261.4%-0.3% 
10/30/20259.4%3.3%2.5%
8/5/20253.3%2.4%-4.6%
3/6/2025-17.8%-10.1%-9.4%
11/5/2024-10.5%-7.4%-2.6%
8/5/202419.1%12.1%28.8%
3/18/202419.9%26.8%5.4%
11/7/202311.8%12.5%2.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10118
# Negative9810
Median Positive10.6%23.9%17.3%
Median Negative-8.9%-7.8%-11.5%
Max Positive114.6%69.8%97.2%
Max Negative-21.6%-25.4%-35.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202403/06/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202303/18/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202204/13/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Lesinski, Thomas FChief Executive OfficerDirectSell123020253.8937,847147,2251,951,990Form
2Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell123020253.8920,99181,655691,319Form
3Woods, Maria VgEVP - General CounselDirectSell123020253.899,04335,177503,094Form
4Ng, Ronnie YChief Financial OfficerDirectSell111220253.8921,19482,440622,205Form
5Sullivan, CatherinePresident - Sales & MarketingDirectSell100620254.317343,162110,880Form