Tearsheet

Marzetti (MZTI)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $167.38 | Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Marzetti (MZTI)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $167.38
Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86%
 
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.4%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.4%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MZTI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025, the stock of Marzetti (MZTI) experienced a decline, primarily influenced by factors stemming from its fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 results, which were reported just prior to the beginning of this period on August 21, 2025. These results set a negative tone for the stock.

1. Earnings Per Share Miss for Q4 Fiscal Year 2025: The Marzetti Company reported GAAP earnings of $1.18 per diluted share for its fiscal fourth quarter, which ended June 30, 2025. This figure fell below analysts' consensus estimates of $1.27 per share, representing an 11.4% miss and leading to investor disappointment.

2. Increase in Restructuring and Impairment Charges: A significant contributor to the earnings shortfall was an increase in restructuring and impairment charges. The company reported $5.1 million in such charges for the fiscal fourth quarter of 2025. These charges were mainly associated with plans to close its sauce and dressing facility in Milpitas, California.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MZTI Return17%-8%22%-14%6%-2%16%
Peers Return5%-1%16%-16%-3%-24%-25%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MZTI Win Rate67%67%58%58%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%45%63%43%52%32% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MZTI Max Drawdown-22%-19%-28%-18%-2%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-14%-14%-27%-11%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KHC, CAG, MKC, THS, CPB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMZTIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven151 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-24.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven63 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven579 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven72.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven165 days1480 days

Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, MEHA


In The Past

Marzetti's stock fell -40.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/16/2021. A -40.4% loss requires a 67.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Marzetti (MZTI)

Better Bets than Marzetti (MZTI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MZTI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Marzetti

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MZTIKHCCAGMKCTHSCPBMedian
NameMarzetti Kraft He.Conagra .McCormickTreehous.Campbell. 
Mkt Price166.9424.4517.7566.8024.0128.7426.59
Mkt Cap4.628.98.517.91.09.49.0
Rev LTM1,93625,16411,4506,7883,33610,1588,473
Op Inc LTM2304,8951,3481,0841841,2941,189
FCF LTM2553,6311,141655101687671
FCF 3Y Avg1843,0471,133736-25698717
CFO LTM3114,4741,5448792341,1301,004
CFO 3Y Avg2534,0661,5209941081,1521,073

Growth & Margins

MZTIKHCCAGMKCTHSCPBMedian
NameMarzetti Kraft He.Conagra .McCormickTreehous.Campbell. 
Rev Chg LTM3.2%-3.7%-4.1%1.6%-0.7%2.7%0.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.3%-0.8%-0.9%2.1%2.7%4.5%2.4%
Rev Chg Q5.8%-2.3%-5.8%2.7%0.1%-3.4%-1.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%-0.6%-1.4%0.7%0.0%-0.9%-0.3%
Op Mgn LTM11.9%19.5%11.8%16.0%5.5%12.7%12.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.9%19.6%15.1%15.6%4.5%12.9%14.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.9%-0.7%-0.0%0.8%-0.5%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM16.1%17.8%13.5%12.9%7.0%11.1%13.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.3%15.6%12.8%14.9%3.2%11.8%13.1%
FCF/Rev LTM13.2%14.4%10.0%9.7%3.0%6.8%9.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.7%11.7%9.6%11.0%-0.7%7.1%9.6%

Valuation

MZTIKHCCAGMKCTHSCPBMedian
NameMarzetti Kraft He.Conagra .McCormickTreehous.Campbell. 
Mkt Cap4.628.98.517.91.09.49.0
P/S2.51.20.82.60.30.91.1
P/EBIT20.6-5.55.716.3--11.0
P/E27.9-7.110.323.1-4.216.313.3
P/CFO15.26.95.720.44.48.37.6
Total Yield3.6%-8.0%17.3%7.0%-23.7%9.8%5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%6.2%7.6%2.6%0.0%3.7%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%8.3%9.5%3.7%--6.1%
D/E0.00.70.90.2--0.5
Net D/E-0.00.60.90.2--0.4

Returns

MZTIKHCCAGMKCTHSCPBMedian
NameMarzetti Kraft He.Conagra .McCormickTreehous.Campbell. 
1M Rtn-1.9%-0.0%1.7%2.3%0.6%-8.1%0.3%
3M Rtn-8.2%-4.9%-5.5%-2.4%37.5%-12.4%-5.2%
6M Rtn0.9%-3.4%-14.5%-8.6%15.9%-10.2%-6.0%
12M Rtn-13.9%-18.2%-32.7%-15.0%-30.5%-30.1%-24.2%
3Y Rtn-9.2%-28.7%-45.9%-15.4%-47.2%-43.8%-36.3%
1M Excs Rtn-3.2%0.7%2.7%1.7%2.1%-7.5%1.2%
3M Excs Rtn-11.1%-6.3%-6.2%-1.2%34.5%-14.7%-6.2%
6M Excs Rtn-13.4%-17.6%-28.7%-22.8%1.6%-24.4%-20.2%
12M Excs Rtn-23.3%-31.1%-45.0%-29.6%-42.5%-44.2%-36.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-85.8%-102.4%-119.4%-89.8%-123.0%-116.6%-109.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail988965915829714
Foodservice883857761638620
Total1,8721,8231,6761,4671,334


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail208139152188161
Foodservice97106838980
Nonallocated Restructuring and Impairment Charges-150-26 -1
Nonallocated Corporate Expenses-91-104-97-92-65
Total199142112186176


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail & Foodservice1,0159841,017878771
Corporate19112973223222
Total1,2071,1131,0901,101993


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity525,829
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.9%
Average Daily Volume110,317
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.77
Basic Shares Quantity27,455,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20259.4%9.0%4.7%
8/21/2025-0.2%1.9%-0.3%
4/30/2025-15.6%-16.3%-14.0%
2/4/20258.7%12.1%15.8%
10/31/2024-6.2%8.3%0.5%
8/22/2024-12.3%-14.5%-7.5%
5/2/20240.3%1.8%-3.1%
2/1/202411.0%2.1%12.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101311
# Negative12911
Median Positive7.2%6.4%6.8%
Median Negative-3.5%-4.2%-4.3%
Max Positive14.1%15.2%15.8%
Max Negative-15.6%-16.3%-19.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025821202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024204202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024822202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023201202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023823202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022825202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data