Merlin (MRLN)


Market Price (9/3/2026): $2.87 | Market Cap: $262.1 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Merlin (MRLN)


Market Price (9/3/2026): $2.87
Market Cap: $262.1 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -70%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -59%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Travel & Leisure Tech.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -161%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -88 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1072%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 32x

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 93%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -982%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1031%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -78%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 120%

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -70%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -59%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Travel & Leisure Tech.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -161%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -88 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1072%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 32x
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 93%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -982%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1031%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -78%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 120%

MRLN in ETFs

Weight = MRLN's share of each fund

SCHA0.00%
SCHB0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/1/2026

Merlin (MRLN) stock has lost about 65% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Merlin, Inc. experienced a significant earnings per share (EPS) miss in fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. The company reported an EPS of -$1.40 USD, substantially missing analyst estimations of -$0.28 USD, representing a -409.09% surprise. While revenue increased to $2.2 million in fiscal Q2 2026 from $1.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026, the larger-than-expected loss likely eroded investor confidence.

2. The stock's decline is attributed to its inherent volatility and the elevated risks associated with an early-stage aerospace and defense technology company. Merlin, Inc. (MRLN) reached an all-time high of $17.00 USD on April 15, 2026, before plummeting to an all-time low of $2.76 USD by August 31, 2026. The company has a high beta coefficient of 1.91, indicating significant price fluctuations. Despite positive developmental milestones, such as its first fully autonomous landing on July 17, 2026, and progress on contracts, the speculative nature of its technology and business model contributes to its price instability.

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Updated on 9/1/2026

Merlin (MRLN) stock has lost about 65% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Merlin, Inc. experienced a significant earnings per share (EPS) miss in fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. The company reported an EPS of -$1.40 USD, substantially missing analyst estimations of -$0.28 USD, representing a -409.09% surprise. While revenue increased to $2.2 million in fiscal Q2 2026 from $1.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026, the larger-than-expected loss likely eroded investor confidence.

2. The stock's decline is attributed to its inherent volatility and the elevated risks associated with an early-stage aerospace and defense technology company. Merlin, Inc. (MRLN) reached an all-time high of $17.00 USD on April 15, 2026, before plummeting to an all-time low of $2.76 USD by August 31, 2026. The company has a high beta coefficient of 1.91, indicating significant price fluctuations. Despite positive developmental milestones, such as its first fully autonomous landing on July 17, 2026, and progress on contracts, the speculative nature of its technology and business model contributes to its price instability.

3. Analyst sentiment, while generally positive, saw a notable price target revision. On August 14, 2026, Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated an "Overweight" rating but lowered its price target for MRLN from $11 to $9. This adjustment, even within a positive rating, signals a more cautious outlook from a prominent firm, potentially dampening investor enthusiasm and contributing to the downward trend in the stock price.

4. Persistent cash burn and ongoing funding requirements pose a significant concern for Merlin, Inc. Despite completing an equity financing deal on May 1, 2026, which boosted cash and equivalents to $183.9 million by June 30, 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), the company's adjusted EBITDA loss increased to $(27.8) million in fiscal Q2 2026 from $(23.3) million in fiscal Q1 2026. Cash flow from operations also remained negative at $27.3 million for fiscal Q2 2026. This continued cash consumption, coupled with analysts highlighting a "short cash runway (~2 quarters)" and the "need for additional financing," suggests that future funding rounds might be necessary, potentially diluting existing shareholder value.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -64.6% change in MRLN stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)53120269022026Change
Stock Price ($)8.052.85-64.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.0%
Net Income Margin (%)0.0%
P/E Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)71710.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MRLN-64.6% 
Market (SPY)1.1%20.0%
Sector (XLI)-0.2%22.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -87.9% change in MRLN stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820269022026Change
Stock Price ($)23.492.85-87.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.0%
Net Income Margin (%)0.0%
P/E Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)71710.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MRLN-87.9% 
Market (SPY)11.8%26.0%
Sector (XLI)-2.2%29.1%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MRLN-87.9% 
Market (SPY)19.6%26.0%
Sector (XLI)14.8%29.1%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MRLN-87.9% 
Market (SPY)75.9%26.0%
Sector (XLI)66.3%29.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MRLN Return96%1%0%0%0%-88%-76%
Peers Return-26%-18%93%29%57%-27%71%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MRLN Win Rate67%8%0%0%0%11% 
Peers Win Rate37%45%62%50%52%33% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MRLN Max Drawdown-23%-0%0%0%0%-88% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-48%-30%-33%-39%-54% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: JOBY, ACHR, AVAV, KTOS, LMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMRLNS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-74.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven284.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven360 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-10.7%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.0%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven10 days6 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-33.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.5%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven53 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-21.1%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.8%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven553 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-24.3%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven81 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-24.0%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.6%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven90 days125 days

Compare to JOBY, ACHR, AVAV, KTOS, LMT

In The Past

Merlin's stock fell -0.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening. Such a loss loss requires a 0.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMRLNS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-74.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven284.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven360 days140 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-33.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.5%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven53 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-21.1%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.8%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven553 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-24.3%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven81 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-24.0%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.6%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven90 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-88.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven765.4%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven510 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-28.2%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.2%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven1837 days47 days

Compare to JOBY, ACHR, AVAV, KTOS, LMT

In The Past

Merlin's stock fell -0.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening. Such a loss loss requires a 0.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Merlin (MRLN)

Marlin Business Services Corp. (MRLN) is a financial services company that specializes in providing equipment financing solutions to small and mid-sized businesses throughout the United States. The company essentially helps these businesses acquire essential commercial equipment without significant upfront capital investment by offering leasing and loan options.

Marlin's main product is financing a diverse range of commercial equipment, encompassing approximately 100 different categories. This includes items such as copiers, security systems, computers, software, telecommunications equipment, and various commercial and industrial machinery. Additionally, through its subsidiaries, Marlin provides property insurance coverage for the equipment it finances and raises capital by issuing FDIC-insured deposits and money market demand accounts.

The company reaches its primary customers through a multi-faceted approach. It leverages a network of independent commercial equipment dealers, engages in national account programs, conducts direct solicitation, and partners with select lease and loan brokers to deliver its financing solutions across the country.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Like Ally Financial, but for business equipment financing instead of consumer auto loans.

They're a specialized bank, much like Silicon Valley Bank focused on tech startups, but Marlin provides equipment financing to small and mid-sized businesses.

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  • Equipment Financing Solutions: Marlin provides financing for various types of commercial equipment to small and mid-sized businesses in the U.S.
  • Property Insurance Coverage: The company offers property insurance specifically for the equipment it finances.
  • FDIC-Insured Deposits and Money Market Accounts: Marlin issues FDIC-insured deposits and money market demand accounts through its subsidiaries.

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Merlin (MRLN) primarily sells its equipment financing solutions to other companies.

The company's major customers are identified as a broad category of businesses:

  • Small and mid-sized businesses in the United States.

Marlin Business Services Corp. serves a diverse range of these businesses by providing financing for commercial equipment across approximately 100 categories, including copiers, security systems, computers and software, and telecommunications equipment. Specific names of individual customer companies are not disclosed in the provided information, as the company serves a wide and varied customer base of small and mid-sized enterprises.

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Jeffrey A. Hilzinger, President and Chief Executive Officer

Jeffrey A. Hilzinger served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Marlin Business Services Corp. until its acquisition by funds managed by affiliates of HPS Investment Partners LLC in January 2022. He joined Marlin in 2007 and was appointed CEO in June 2016. Under his leadership, Marlin underwent a significant transformation, evolving into a comprehensive provider of credit products and services for small businesses over five years leading up to the acquisition.

Prior to joining Marlin, Mr. Hilzinger co-founded US Express Leasing (USXL) in 2004, a small ticket vendor finance startup that was later acquired by Tygris Commercial Finance Group in 2008. He also held the position of Chief Financial Officer at Tygris Vendor Finance. After EverBank acquired Tygris Commercial Finance Group in 2010, Mr. Hilzinger led its restructuring into EverBank Commercial Finance, where he served as President and oversaw its growth into a $4 billion diversified commercial finance platform. His extensive career includes over 20 years at Heller Financial, Inc., where he held various senior finance, credit, and operational leadership roles in asset-based lending, leveraged lending, and vendor equipment finance businesses. Additionally, he co-founded Aternus Partners, LLC, a management consulting firm.

Michael R. Bogansky, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Michael R. Bogansky was the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Marlin Business Services Corp., a position he assumed on February 1, 2019, and held until the company's acquisition in January 2022. In this role, he was responsible for overseeing Marlin’s accounting, financial reporting and planning, treasury, tax, and investor relations activities.

Before his tenure at Marlin, Mr. Bogansky served as the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of PHH Corporation (formerly NYSE:PHH) from March 2017 until its acquisition by Ocwen Financial Corporation in October 2018. He also held other leadership positions at PHH Corporation, including Senior Vice President, Corporate Controller & Principal Accounting Officer. Earlier in his career, he worked as a Senior Audit Associate with Deloitte & Touche, LLP, and as a Staff Auditor at Ernst & Young.

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The widespread shift towards Software-as-a-Service (SaaS), Hardware-as-a-Service (HaaS), and other subscription-based or managed service models for equipment and software traditionally financed through leases. This trend moves business spending from capital expenditure (CapEx), which Marlin facilitates, to operational expenditure (OpEx), thereby reducing the demand for traditional equipment financing for items such as computers, software, security systems, and telecommunications equipment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Merlin Business Services Corp. (MRLN) operates within several significant addressable markets in the United States.

Equipment Financing Solutions

The U.S. equipment finance industry is a substantial market. In 2023, the industry expanded to an estimated $1.34 trillion. This market is projected to continue its growth, reaching approximately $1.59 trillion in 2026, from $1.43 trillion in 2025, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.7%. A significant portion of this market is accessible to Merlin, as small-ticket financing constituted 22.9% and middle-ticket financing accounted for 55.5% of new business volume in 2023. Merlin's focus on small and mid-sized businesses aligns with the broader U.S. middle market, which comprises 300,000 midsize businesses generating $13 trillion in annual revenue. Businesses with revenues between $11 million and $100 million alone contribute $5.4 trillion in annual revenue and represent nearly 90% of the total number of midsize businesses, indicating a robust segment for equipment financing solutions.

Property Insurance Coverage

Merlin also provides property insurance coverage on its financed equipment. The U.S. property and casualty insurance market is substantial, estimated at USD 1.14 trillion in 2026. This market is forecast to grow to USD 1.39 trillion by 2031, with a CAGR of 3.91% from 2026-2031. Specifically, the U.S. property insurance market is projected to experience a 9.93% CAGR from 2025 to 2035. The small commercial business segment within the property and casualty insurance market is anticipated to expand at a 4.49% CAGR through 2031, highlighting a targeted growth area for Merlin. The overall U.S. market for property and casualty insurance is projected to reach USD 758.71 billion by 2026.

FDIC-Insured Deposits and Money Market Demand Accounts

Merlin issues Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC)-insured deposits and money market demand accounts. The total deposits held by U.S. banks currently amount to $18 trillion, with approximately half of these deposits being FDIC-insured. While the standard FDIC insurance limit is $250,000 per depositor per insured bank, many businesses, particularly small and mid-sized ones, often require larger insured balances. For instance, nearly half of small businesses with 50-99 employees have monthly payrolls exceeding the $250,000 FDIC threshold. This indicates a demand among businesses for secure and insured deposit solutions. The small business banking sector in the U.S., which includes various banking services for small businesses, was valued at USD 118.45 million in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 165 million by 2033. This broad market for business deposits and related banking services represents the addressable market for Merlin's FDIC-insured deposit and money market demand accounts.

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Marlin Business Services Corp. (MRLN) was acquired by funds managed by HPS Investment Partners LLC in an all-cash transaction, effective January 20, 2022. Following the completion of this acquisition, Marlin became a wholly-owned subsidiary of HPS Investment Partners LLC, and its common stock is no longer listed on the Nasdaq Global Select Market. As such, Marlin Business Services Corp. is no longer a public company, and information regarding forward guidance, earnings transcripts, or analyst commentary for a publicly traded entity is not available.

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Inbound Investments

  • Marlin Business Services Corp. entered into a definitive agreement on April 19, 2021, to be acquired by funds managed by HPS Investment Partners LLC.
  • The acquisition involved an all-cash transaction where Marlin shareholders received $23.50 per share, representing a 65% premium over the company's closing stock price on April 16, 2021.
  • The acquisition was completed on January 20, 2022, resulting in Marlin Business Services Corp. becoming a privately held company and its shares no longer being listed on NASDAQ.

Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense

MRLN has trailed 89% of its 54 Aerospace & Defense peers over 5Y. Aerospace & Defense ranks 4th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return.
Share of Aerospace & Defense constituents that MRLN has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
3%
of 70 industry peers · -87.9% return
3Y
8%
of 60 industry peers · -87.9% return
5Y
11%
of 54 industry peers · -87.1% return
No Aerospace & Defense peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten MRLN by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Aerospace & Defense is MRLN's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 31 18.6%98.4%189.5% CDNL 2626% · FIX 1982% · STRL 1880%
Marine Transportation 5 69.0%68.3%166.3% HOS 54268% · MATX 179% · KEX 166%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 12.7%54.2%112.5% CAT 310% · ALSN 257% · WAB 219%
Aerospace & Defense ← 55 -1.8%55.4%70.7% ATI 1024% · FTAI 832% · HWM 718%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -14.5%40.6%57.1% UBER 90% · CAR 57% · LYFT -64%
Rail Transportation 7 28.9%65.6%46.4% FSTR 129% · CSX 63% · UNP 51%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 7.3%43.7%42.5% CRS 1365% · PSIX 827% · EROC 544%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 35.2%-1.9%30.6% XPO 245% · R 244% · CVLG 194%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 0.2%28.5%29.2% DXPE 521% · AIT 281% · WCC 197%
Diversified Support Services 33 11.8%29.3%26.9% LIME 4741% · WLFC 350% · TH 344%
Electrical Components & Equipment 41 15.2%44.2%18.9% POWL 2066% · BE 893% · VRT 815%
Building Products 33 -9.0%1.8%15.8% LMB 557% · GFF 379% · PPIH 284%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -10.2%-20.0%-5.1% HURN 217% · CRAI 89% · GRNQ 82%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 8.1%10.6%-6.2% RCMT 687% · CSW 136% · CSL 74%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 12.2%-1.9%-11.2% BLBD 204% · DE 92% · GENC 57%
Environmental & Facilities Services 29 -7.3%17.3%-12.2% CECO 841% · ADUR 569% · NVRI 351%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -31.3%-12.9%-25.9% EXLS 50% · BR 13% · G -23%
Passenger Airlines 11 -0.2%-5.0%-27.2% LTM 2443% · UAL 134% · SKYW 108%
Office Services & Supplies 9 12.8%22.2%-29.7% PBI 186% · TILE 154% · HNI 54%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 8.9%-20.2%-37.8% BBSI 85% · ADP 51% · KFY 28%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -9.5%-27.2%-40.0% CHRW 81% · FDX 64% · EXPD 60%
Security & Alarm Services 10 -32.9%7.6%-44.3% CIX 135% · MG 98% · NL 47%
Airport Services 3 -67.6%-76.1%-60.0% JOBY -33% · ASLE -60% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MRLNJOBYACHRAVAVKTOSLMTMedian
NameMerlin Joby Avi.Archer A.AeroViro.Kratos D.Lockheed. 
Mkt Price2.856.825.65145.3947.78531.5527.30
Mkt Cap0.36.64.47.29.0122.46.9
Rev LTM811671,6101,52277,014819
Op Inc LTM-88-883-943-95239,153-92
FCF LTM-85-743-681-246-1298,729-188
FCF 3Y Avg--548-513-91-626,336-91
CFO LTM-81-610-540-174-4010,402-128
CFO 3Y Avg--476-419-52128,080-52

Growth & Margins

MRLNJOBYACHRAVAVKTOSLMTMedian
NameMerlin Joby Avi.Archer A.AeroViro.Kratos D.Lockheed. 
Rev Chg LTM-118,568.4%-116.9%25.5%7.2%71.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg---55.7%16.6%4.6%16.6%
Rev Chg Q152.8%257,493.3%-143.4%30.5%10.5%143.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM19.2%49.7%263.2%17.5%7.6%2.5%18.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM--38.4%-66.5%-388.7%13.2%53.7%-38.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg--29.0%-29.6%58,379.5%109.1%7.5%7.5%
Op Mgn LTM-1,071.7%-759.2%-13,666.7%-5.9%1.5%11.9%-382.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--233,956.4%-2.2%2.3%10.7%2.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-114.8%257.8%30,538.6%-0.8%-0.4%2.0%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-982.5%-524.5%-7,831.9%-10.8%-2.6%13.5%-267.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--164,003.8%--2.8%1.4%11.0%-0.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-1,031.2%-639.2%-9,869.6%-15.3%-8.5%11.3%-327.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--182,830.8%--6.3%-4.4%8.6%-5.3%

Valuation

MRLNJOBYACHRAVAVKTOSLMTMedian
NameMerlin Joby Avi.Archer A.AeroViro.Kratos D.Lockheed. 
Mkt Cap0.36.64.47.29.0122.46.9
P/S31.656.9640.14.55.91.618.8
P/Op Inc-3.0-7.5-4.7-76.1388.413.4-3.8
P/EBIT-1.4-7.5-4.7-65.7230.514.3-3.0
P/E-1.4-7.5-5.5-23.2291.619.5-3.4
P/CFO-3.2-10.8-8.2-41.5-227.611.8-9.5
Total Yield-73.7%-13.3%-18.1%-4.3%0.3%7.7%-8.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.6%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--8.6%-19.5%-1.1%-0.7%5.6%-1.1%
D/E0.00.10.00.10.00.20.1
Net D/E-0.7-0.2-0.30.0-0.10.1-0.2

Returns

MRLNJOBYACHRAVAVKTOSLMTMedian
NameMerlin Joby Avi.Archer A.AeroViro.Kratos D.Lockheed. 
1M Rtn-26.7%-7.6%16.7%-8.7%-2.9%-8.8%-8.1%
3M Rtn-60.8%-40.3%-13.5%-24.1%-18.2%4.5%-21.1%
6M Rtn-87.9%-31.0%-16.4%-35.8%-46.4%-19.0%-33.4%
12M Rtn-87.9%-49.0%-34.3%-39.4%-27.7%20.5%-36.9%
3Y Rtn-87.9%-7.0%-12.5%48.3%194.8%28.5%10.8%
1M Excs Rtn-31.9%-13.5%7.3%-13.1%-7.0%-8.3%-10.7%
3M Excs Rtn-62.3%-41.8%-15.0%-25.6%-19.7%3.0%-22.6%
6M Excs Rtn-99.5%-42.6%-28.0%-47.4%-58.0%-30.6%-45.0%
12M Excs Rtn-107.4%-68.5%-53.8%-58.9%-47.2%1.0%-56.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-160.8%-78.5%-84.5%-20.5%131.8%-44.8%-61.6%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Single Segment11
Total11


Price Behavior

null
MRLN Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta5.023.731.362.411.430.33
Up Beta6.096.444.643.962.820.44
Down Beta-1.27-2.67-5.59-1.88-0.84-0.25
Up Capture271%148%52%18%8%1%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days91521454545
Down Capture869%581%371%287%180%100%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days112642707070

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MRLN
MRLN-68.6%151.4%-0.93-
Sector ETF (XLI)16.0%17.1%0.7029.1%
Equity (SPY)20.6%12.8%1.1926.0%
Gold (GLD)23.8%29.1%0.736.5%
Commodities (DBC)41.7%20.4%1.60-23.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)9.7%13.6%0.4311.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.7%43.5%-0.72-1.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MRLN
MRLN-19.5%110.8%-0.62-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.2%17.6%0.5323.6%
Equity (SPY)12.7%17.2%0.5719.0%
Gold (GLD)19.2%18.8%0.836.3%
Commodities (DBC)10.8%19.5%0.43-18.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.9%18.9%-0.018.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.5%52.6%0.37-0.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MRLN
MRLN-7.1%71.4%0.14-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.2%20.0%0.5836.5%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.7233.7%
Gold (GLD)12.2%16.3%0.612.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%18.1%0.359.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.1934.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.0%66.1%1.033.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8142026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7312026-2.3%
Average Daily Volume1.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity91.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares9.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/24/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/13/2026-15.0%-23.8% 
5/14/2026-9.4%-14.8%-12.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative221
Median Positive   
Median Negative-12.2%-19.3%-12.6%
Max Positive   
Max Negative-15.0%-23.8%-12.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/13/2026-15.0%-23.8% 
5/14/2026-9.4%-14.8%-12.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative221
Median Positive   
Median Negative-12.2%-19.3%-12.6%
Max Positive   
Max Negative-15.0%-23.8%-12.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/14/202610-Q
03/31/202605/15/202610-Q
09/30/202502/12/2026424B3
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/14/202610-Q
03/31/202605/15/202610-Q
09/30/202502/12/2026424B3

Insider Activity

Updated 5/22/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Goldman, Sachs Group Inc See footnotesBuy226202610.9655535,641,748Form
2Goldman, Sachs Group Inc See footnotesSell226202610.9533335,602,699Form
3Goldman, Sachs Group Inc See footnotesBuy226202610.993794,16635,756,645Form
4Goldman, Sachs Group Inc See footnotesSell226202611.003794,16835,763,291Form
5Goldman, Sachs Group Inc See footnotesBuy226202610.793,94442,55135,497,076Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Goldman, Sachs Group Inc See footnotesBuy226202610.9655535,641,748Form
2Goldman, Sachs Group Inc See footnotesSell226202610.9533335,602,699Form
3Goldman, Sachs Group Inc See footnotesBuy226202610.993794,16635,756,645Form
4Goldman, Sachs Group Inc See footnotesSell226202611.003794,16835,763,291Form
5Goldman, Sachs Group Inc See footnotesBuy226202610.793,94442,55135,497,076Form
6Goldman, Sachs Group Inc See footnotesSell226202610.804,44448,01335,498,650Form
7Goldman, Sachs Group Inc See footnotesSell226202610.734649330,395,328Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/2/2026