Mega Matrix (MPU)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $1.05 | Market Cap: $53.5 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment
Mega Matrix (MPU)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $1.05Market Cap: $53.5 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Movies & Entertainment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -47% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -41% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 149% | |
| Key risksMPU key risks include [1] an unprofitable and unproven streaming app business model with a weak financial foundation, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -47% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -41% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 149% |
| Key risksMPU key risks include [1] an unprofitable and unproven streaming app business model with a weak financial foundation, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Based on the most recent available information leading up to December 25, 2025, Mega Matrix (MPU) has experienced significant negative stock performance. While a precise -56.4% movement from August 31, 2025, to today cannot be directly confirmed from the provided data, several factors indicate a challenging period for the company's stock, contributing to substantial declines.1. Negative One-Year Stock Performance: Mega Matrix Inc. exhibited a significant decrease in its stock price over the last year, with a reported decline of -43.58% and -36.57% leading up to late December 2025. This sustained negative trend suggests underlying issues affecting investor confidence.
2. Decline in Fiscal Q3 2025 Revenue: The company's revenue for Fiscal Q3 2025, which ended on September 30, 2025, saw a substantial year-over-year decrease of -40.93%, totaling $6.11 million. A significant drop in revenue can signal weakening business performance and directly impact stock valuation.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -30.5% change in MPU stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -46.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 9242025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.51 | 1.05 | -30.46% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 35.23 | 31.14 | -11.61% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.49 | 1.72 | 15.36% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 34.75 | 50.96 | -46.65% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -45.59% |
Market Drivers
9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPU | -30.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.4% | 37.9% |
| Sector (XLC) | 0.6% | 35.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.1% change in MPU stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 77.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6252025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.98 | 1.05 | 7.14% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 35.23 | 31.14 | -11.61% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.97 | 1.72 | 77.76% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 34.75 | 50.96 | -46.65% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.17% |
Market Drivers
6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPU | 7.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.0% | 18.2% |
| Sector (XLC) | 12.6% | 5.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -27.6% change in MPU stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -30.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 12242024 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.45 | 1.05 | -27.59% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 25.95 | 31.14 | 19.98% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.19 | 1.72 | -21.56% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 39.21 | 50.96 | -29.96% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -34.09% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPU | -27.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 16.2% |
| Sector (XLC) | 20.1% | 9.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPU | ||
| Market (SPY) | 48.9% | 14.8% |
| Sector (XLC) | 65.9% | 9.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MPU Return | � | � | � | � | � | -27% | -27% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MPU Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MPU Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -64% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFLX, ANGX, PSKY, DIS, WMG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
MPU has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.
| Event | XLC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 602 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
Compare to
In The Past
The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.5% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Mega Matrix (MPU):
- Like Marathon Digital (MARA) for its crypto mining operations, but also building out Web3 applications for gaming and the metaverse.
- Think of it as a startup aiming to be the Amazon Web Services (AWS) for the decentralized Web3 economy, also engaged in crypto mining.
- An early-stage Meta Platforms (META), but exclusively focused on building a decentralized Web3 metaverse and its underlying blockchain infrastructure.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Electric Vehicle Rideshare Platform (Flex Fleet): Provides on-demand transportation services through a fleet of electric vehicles.
- Blockchain Media and Data Services (Mars Finance): Offers comprehensive news, analysis, and data solutions related to the blockchain and cryptocurrency industry.
- AI-Powered Enterprise Solutions (Aegis Systems Limited / Digital Twin Technology): Develops and implements artificial intelligence tools and platforms for businesses to optimize operations and decision-making.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Mega Matrix Corp. (symbol: MPU) operates through two main business segments: short-distance transportation in Hong Kong and blockchain/metaverse initiatives.
While the company serves a mix of individual and business customers across its segments, its customer base is primarily composed of individuals and smaller entities, making it more appropriate to describe customer categories rather than identifying specific major corporate customers.
The major categories of customers that Mega Matrix (MPU) serves include:
- Individual Passengers and Tourists: These customers primarily utilize Mega Matrix's short-distance transportation services in Hong Kong for daily commutes, sightseeing, and general travel needs.
- Web3 Enthusiasts and Digital Asset Collectors: For its blockchain and metaverse initiatives, this category includes individuals interested in purchasing Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), engaging with decentralized applications (dApps), and participating in virtual economies and experiences.
- Small to Medium-sized Businesses and Developers: This category encompasses local businesses in Hong Kong that may use Mega Matrix's transportation services (e.g., for staff or deliveries), as well as businesses and developers seeking blockchain-related services, development partnerships, or solutions within the metaverse space.
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Yucheng Hu, Chief Executive Officer and President
Mr. Yucheng Hu has over 15 years of experience in the online industry. He founded Chengdu Quleduo Technology Co., Ltd. and established the Xiyou online mobile gaming platform (www.52xiyou.com). He has also developed software programming studios and mini-programs for social media. Mr. Hu was appointed CEO in September 2021.
Qin (Carol) Wang, Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer & Secretary
Ms. Qin (Carol) Wang has served as CFO, secretary, and treasurer of Mega Matrix since September 2021. Her previous roles include VP of Finance and advisor at Bit Digital, Inc. (Nasdaq: BTBT), finance controller and financial advisor at TD Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: GLG), senior investment manager for Yikuan Asset Management Company, and senior auditor at Ernst & Young. She possesses expertise in M&A transactions, US GAAP, IFRS financial reporting, corporate financial management, and planning.
Xiangchen Gao, Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Gao is listed as the Chief Operating Officer of Mega Matrix.
Xiao Ling, Chief Investment Officer
Mr. Ling serves as the Chief Investment Officer for Mega Matrix.
Songtao Jia, Chief Strategy Officer
Mr. Jia holds the position of Chief Strategy Officer at Mega Matrix.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company Mega Matrix (MPU) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its nascent business model and financial instability.- Lack of Established Business and Unprofitability: Mega Matrix is a speculative company transitioning into the short-form streaming app market with FlexTV, but it currently lacks meaningful revenue, a substantial user base, or a robust content library. The company is unprofitable, burning through cash, and its financial foundation appears unstable, raising concerns that its business concept may not materialize into a viable product. Its operating margins have been consistently and deeply negative, and it has generated negative free cash flow in multiple recent years, necessitating reliance on capital markets.
- Shareholder Dilution and Stock Volatility: The company has a history of significant stock price volatility and substantial shareholder dilution, which has negatively impacted shareholder returns. The stock's price has been volatile compared to the broader US market.
- Untested and Speculative Stablecoin Strategy: Mega Matrix has embarked on a "dual-engine" digital asset treasury strategy focused on stablecoins, aiming to raise capital and capitalize on stablecoin growth. However, this pivot into stablecoin strategies has generated skepticism among investors regarding its execution risk and capital allocation, particularly because it is an untested approach without clear sector alignment. This adds another layer of speculative risk to the company's profile.
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Increasing global regulatory scrutiny and potential restrictions or outright bans on energy-intensive Proof-of-Work (PoW) cryptocurrency mining due to environmental concerns.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Mega Matrix (MPU) operates in two primary markets:
- Stablecoin Market: Mega Matrix is strategically expanding into the stablecoin governance tokens treasury reserve (DAT) and offers investors direct exposure to the stablecoin market. This market is projected to reach $2.0 trillion globally by 2030.
- Vertical Screen Entertainment (FlexTV): Mega Matrix operates FlexTV, a short drama streaming platform that produces and distributes content in English, Japanese, and Thai, translated for users across Europe, America, and Southeast Asia. The company also acquires third-party content licenses and provides online advertising services. However, a specific addressable market size in monetary value for this product is not available.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Mega Matrix (MPU) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key initiatives and market trends:
- Growth in FlexTV's Membership and Streaming Services: The company's short-video streaming platform, FlexTV, is a significant revenue contributor. In Q3 2024, unaudited revenue from membership and top-up streaming services reached $9.3 million, marking a 47.6% quarter-over-quarter growth. FlexTV also expanded its user base to 3.2 million quarterly active users in Q3 2024 and continues to release new short drama series, with 56 new series launched in Q3 2024, including 16 self-produced titles. This sustained content creation and user acquisition are expected to fuel continued growth in subscription and streaming revenue.
- Expansion and Monetization of Online Advertising Services: Mega Matrix's online advertising services demonstrated strong quarter-over-quarter growth of 66.7% in Q3 2024, contributing approximately $1.0 million to total revenue. As FlexTV's user base and engagement grow, the company has an opportunity to further expand its online advertising offerings and increase monetization, driving additional revenue streams.
- Income Generation from Diversified Stablecoin Holdings (Stable Yield): A significant strategic shift for Mega Matrix, announced in October 2025, involves its Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) strategy. The company is transitioning to a diversified basket of leading stablecoins and their governance tokens, implementing a "dual-engine" model. One aspect of this model focuses on generating "Stable Yield" by holding stablecoins and deploying them in low-risk DeFi strategies. This strategy aims to provide consistent income from its digital asset holdings.
- Capital Appreciation from Stablecoin Governance Tokens (Growth Potential): The second component of Mega Matrix's DAT strategy, the "Growth Potential" engine, involves allocating investments to governance tokens of leading stablecoin protocols. The company anticipates participating in protocol cash flows, such as validator rewards and staking stablecoin yield, and benefiting from the long-term upside as stablecoin adoption accelerates. The stablecoin market is projected to reach $2 trillion by 2028, presenting a substantial growth opportunity.
- Strategic Acquisitions in the Stablecoin Sector: Mega Matrix is actively building its treasury strategy through "negotiated and opportunistic acquisitions" of leading stablecoin governance tokens. This approach allows the company to strategically acquire assets at potentially compelling entry points, such as securing exclusive access to ENA tokens at a discount in January 2025, and positions it for long-term value alignment. Further strategic acquisitions within this rapidly expanding digital asset ecosystem could be a key driver of asset and revenue growth.
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Share Issuance
- Mega Matrix completed a private placement of US$16 million in July 2025, issuing 16 million Class A ordinary shares at US$1.00 per share.
Inbound Investments
- In July 2025, Mega Matrix received a US$16 million investment through a private placement from qualified institutional and accredited investors, primarily crypto funds and industry professionals, to fund its strategic expansion into the stablecoin sector.
Outbound Investments
- By September 2025, Mega Matrix announced an accumulated purchase of US$6 million worth of ENA tokens as part of its Stablecoin Governance Tokens DAT Strategy.
- In September 2025, the company made a first purchase of US$3 million worth of ENA tokens, betting US$2 billion on ENA as its next treasury asset.
- Mega Matrix secured exclusive access to ENA tokens at a 30-35% discount and was preparing for a US$1.0 billion PIPE financing to fund stablecoin infrastructure expansion in January 2025, indicating planned future investments in the stablecoin ecosystem.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Mega Matrix Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return |
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MPU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.5% | -4.5% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.7% | -2.7% | -5.1% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.5% | 4.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -26.1% | -26.1% | -29.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Mega Matrix
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.79 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.4 |
| Rev LTM | 17,732 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,669 |
| FCF LTM | 426 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 414 |
| CFO LTM | 725 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 706 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Short drama streaming platform business | 0 | |||
| Finance lease revenue | 1 | |||
| Maintenance reserves revenue, net | 17 | |||
| Operating lease revenue | 26 | |||
| Total | 0 | 43 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Short drama streaming platform business | 13 | |||
| Ethereum (ETH) Staking Business | 11 | |||
| Lease Business | 1 | 3 | ||
| GameFi Business | 7 | |||
| Unallocated | 5 | |||
| Total | 13 | 13 | 15 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.05 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/09/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -73.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.11 | $1.39 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -5.2% | -24.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 111.3% | 149.1% |
| Downside Capture | 442.26 | 76.09 |
| Upside Capture | 187.32 | 32.65 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 37.3% | 15.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.33 | 4.46 | 4.75 | 2.91 | 1.24 | 0.72 |
| Up Beta | 7.72 | 7.83 | 9.38 | 5.05 | 1.04 | 0.27 |
| Down Beta | -4.38 | 1.39 | 1.19 | 7.76 | 2.46 | 0.60 |
| Up Capture | 555% | 636% | 287% | 73% | 31% | 6% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 17 | 25 | 55 | 107 | 124 |
| Down Capture | 206% | 376% | 460% | -14% | 89% | 53% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 23 | 36 | 67 | 132 | 150 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
nullBased On 5-Year Data
nullBased On 10-Year Data
nullReturns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 12052025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 9292025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 6242025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3282025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3182024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8222022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3302022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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