Tearsheet

Mega Matrix (MPU)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.19 | Market Cap: $60.6 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Mega Matrix (MPU)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.19
Market Cap: $60.6 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -47%
1  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -41%
2  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%
3  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 205%
4  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 148%
5  Key risks
MPU key risks include [1] an unprofitable and unproven streaming app business model with a weak financial foundation, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -47%
2 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -41%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 205%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 148%
6 Key risks
MPU key risks include [1] an unprofitable and unproven streaming app business model with a weak financial foundation, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MPU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Mega Matrix (MPU) experienced a significant decline in its stock price from late August 2025 to mid-December 2025 due to several key factors.

1. Poor Q3 2025 Financial Results: On December 5, 2025, Mega Matrix announced its financial results for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, reporting decreased revenue and significant losses from operations. This financial underperformance likely contributed to a negative investor reaction and a decline in stock value.

2. Ongoing Profitability Challenges and Unstable Revenue Growth: Throughout the period, analyses highlighted Mega Matrix's persistent profitability challenges and unstable revenue growth. This consistent struggle to generate consistent profits and expand revenue streams likely eroded investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MPU Return-19%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MPU Win Rate50%42% 
Peers Win Rate52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MPU Max Drawdown-64% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFLX, ANGX, PSKY, DIS, WMG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

MPU has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven602 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days

Compare to


In The Past

The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mega Matrix (MPU)

Better Bets than Mega Matrix (MPU)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MPU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mega Matrix

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MPUNFLXANGXPSKYDISWMGMedian
NameMega Mat.Netflix Angel St.Paramoun.Walt Dis.Warner M. 
Mkt Price1.2394.795.0013.05110.6328.5520.80
Mkt Cap0.1402.3-12.8198.917.817.8
Rev LTM3143,37918628,75694,4256,70717,732
Op Inc LTM-1512,643-1012,41013,8329281,669
FCF LTM-88,967-6050710,077344426
FCF 3Y Avg-37,256-987,844414414
CFO LTM-89,575-5677218,101678725
CFO 3Y Avg-37,706-39813,979706706

Growth & Margins

MPUNFLXANGXPSKYDISWMGMedian
NameMega Mat.Netflix Angel St.Paramoun.Walt Dis.Warner M. 
Rev Chg LTM20.0%15.4%-10.6%-1.8%3.4%4.4%3.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1,927.8%11.4%--1.1%4.5%4.3%4.5%
Rev Chg Q-40.9%17.2%431.0%0.5%-0.5%14.6%7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-12.0%4.0%61.8%0.1%-0.1%3.7%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM-47.4%29.1%-54.0%8.4%14.6%13.8%11.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-24.4%-4.3%12.6%14.0%13.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-25.1%-0.4%34.9%-0.1%-0.1%0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-26.6%22.1%-29.9%2.7%19.2%10.1%6.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-20.2%-1.4%15.2%11.1%13.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-26.6%20.7%-32.3%1.8%10.7%5.1%3.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.0%-0.4%8.5%6.5%7.5%

Valuation

MPUNFLXANGXPSKYDISWMGMedian
NameMega Mat.Netflix Angel St.Paramoun.Walt Dis.Warner M. 
Mkt Cap0.1402.3-12.8198.917.817.8
P/S2.0117.3-0.42.12.72.1
P/EBIT-396.8--14.4-205.6
P/E-3.7487.8--912.216.048.716.0
P/CFO-7.4531.5-16.511.026.216.5
Total Yield-27.2%0.2%-1.0%6.7%4.2%1.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%-1.1%0.5%2.2%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.3%--4.4%-2.3%
D/E-0.0--0.2-0.1
Net D/E-0.0--0.2-0.1

Returns

MPUNFLXANGXPSKYDISWMGMedian
NameMega Mat.Netflix Angel St.Paramoun.Walt Dis.Warner M. 
1M Rtn36.6%-14.1%-18.6%-17.0%5.4%-6.2%-10.1%
3M Rtn-16.9%-22.8%-43.2%-27.2%-4.1%-13.5%-19.9%
6M Rtn38.2%-22.4%---5.1%9.7%2.3%
12M Rtn-28.1%3.1%---1.0%-8.4%-4.7%
3Y Rtn-226.1%--25.7%-9.2%25.7%
1M Excs Rtn35.9%-14.8%-19.3%-17.8%4.6%-6.9%-10.9%
3M Excs Rtn-24.5%-22.9%-29.2%-28.3%-4.4%-16.4%-23.7%
6M Excs Rtn25.8%-34.8%---17.5%-2.7%-10.1%
12M Excs Rtn-39.6%-7.9%---12.0%-21.1%-16.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-132.3%---48.8%-76.8%-48.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Short drama streaming platform business0   
Finance lease revenue   1
Maintenance reserves revenue, net   17
Operating lease revenue   26
Total0  43


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Short drama streaming platform business13   
Ethereum (ETH) Staking Business 11  
Lease Business 13 
GameFi Business  7 
Unallocated  5 
Total131315 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,395,566
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-9.0%
Average Daily Volume219,739
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.35
Basic Shares Quantity50,955,828
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025120520256-K 9/30/2025
630202592920256-K 6/30/2025
331202562420256-K 3/31/2025
12312024328202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111220246-K 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023318202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022822202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021330202210-K 12/31/2021