Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA)
Market Price (2/21/2026): $10.65 | Market Cap: $206.5 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA)
Market Price (2/21/2026): $10.65Market Cap: $206.5 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 86% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 106x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Electrification of Everything, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Automotive Parts Remanufacturing, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.9% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4% | ||
| Key risksMPAA key risks include [1] a significant debt load and persistent financial underperformance, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Electrification of Everything, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Automotive Parts Remanufacturing, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 86% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 106x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.9% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4% |
| Key risksMPAA key risks include [1] a significant debt load and persistent financial underperformance, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA) stock has lost about 40% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant Miss in Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings: Motorcar Parts of America reported a substantial miss in its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on November 10, 2025. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.16, significantly below the anticipated $0.50, marking a 68% surprise to the downside. This news immediately caused the stock to drop 25.46% in pre-market trading.
2. Disappointing Fiscal Q3 2026 Results and Reduced Full-Year Guidance: On February 9, 2026, the company again reported weaker-than-expected fiscal Q3 2026 results. EPS came in at $0.09 per diluted share, or an adjusted $0.12 per share, missing analyst forecasts of $0.23 to $0.36. Revenue for the quarter was $167.7 million, falling short of projections between $189.0 million and $202.5 million. This announcement led to a further pre-market stock decline of 20.62%. Furthermore, the company revised its fiscal 2026 sales guidance downwards to between $750 million and $760 million, a reduction from an earlier range of $800-$820 million.
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1. Significant Miss in Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings: Motorcar Parts of America reported a substantial miss in its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on November 10, 2025. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.16, significantly below the anticipated $0.50, marking a 68% surprise to the downside. This news immediately caused the stock to drop 25.46% in pre-market trading.
2. Disappointing Fiscal Q3 2026 Results and Reduced Full-Year Guidance: On February 9, 2026, the company again reported weaker-than-expected fiscal Q3 2026 results. EPS came in at $0.09 per diluted share, or an adjusted $0.12 per share, missing analyst forecasts of $0.23 to $0.36. Revenue for the quarter was $167.7 million, falling short of projections between $189.0 million and $202.5 million. This announcement led to a further pre-market stock decline of 20.62%. Furthermore, the company revised its fiscal 2026 sales guidance downwards to between $750 million and $760 million, a reduction from an earlier range of $800-$820 million.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -37.6% change in MPAA stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -46.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.06 | 10.64 | -37.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 776 | 771 | -0.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.2% | 0.3% | 18.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 199.4 | 105.9 | -46.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 19 | 19 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -37.6% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPAA | -37.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | 3.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.1% | 12.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.6% change in MPAA stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 1.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.37 | 10.64 | 2.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 757 | 771 | 1.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 19 | 0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.6% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPAA | 2.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.4% | 13.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 6.3% | 23.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 60.5% change in MPAA stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 51.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.63 | 10.64 | 60.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 739 | 771 | 4.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.3 | 51.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 19 | 1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 60.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPAA | 60.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 22.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.8% | 23.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.9% change in MPAA stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.56 | 10.64 | -26.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 662 | 771 | 16.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.3 | -36.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 19 | 19 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPAA | -26.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.9% | 25.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 61.7% | 23.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MPAA Return | -13% | -31% | -21% | -19% | 62% | -14% | -46% |
| Peers Return | 39% | -10% | -1% | -2% | 11% | 13% | 53% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 0% | 83% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MPAA Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 70% | 40% | 42% | 47% | 53% | 90% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MPAA Max Drawdown | -18% | -42% | -63% | -49% | -26% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -3% | -29% | -16% | -19% | -19% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DORM, SMP, LKQ, GPC, BWA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MPAA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -83.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 498.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 245 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -56.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -79.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 375.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 678 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to DORM, SMP, LKQ, GPC, BWA
In The Past
Motorcar Parts of America's stock fell -83.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -83.3% loss requires a 498.0% gain to breakeven.
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About Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA)
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. manufactures, remanufactures, and distributes heavy-duty truck, industrial, marine, and agricultural application replacement parts. The company offers rotating electrical products, including alternators and starters; wheel hub assemblies and bearings; and brake-related products comprising brake calipers, brake boosters, brake rotors, brake pads, and brake master cylinders. It also offers test solutions and diagnostic equipment for electric vehicle powertrain development and manufacturing, including electric motor test systems, e-axle test systems, advanced power emulators, and charging unit test systems, as well as test systems for alternators, starters, belt starter generator, and bench-top testers used in the automotive retail segment and turbochargers. The company sells its products to automotive retail chain stores and warehouse distributors, as well as various automobile manufacturers for their aftermarket programs and warranty replacement programs in North America. Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Torrance, California.
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Analogy 1: Like Michelin, but for critical internal engine, brake, and electrical components instead of tires.
Analogy 2: The 'Intel Inside' for your car's maintenance parts.
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- Remanufactured Alternators and Starters: These provide essential electrical components for vehicle starting and charging systems in the automotive aftermarket.
- Wheel Bearing & Hub Assemblies: Critical components that connect a vehicle's wheels to its axle, impacting steering, handling, and braking.
- Brake Calipers: Key parts of disc brake systems that clamp brake pads onto rotors to slow or stop a vehicle.
- Diagnostic and Testing Equipment: Tools and devices used for analyzing, troubleshooting, and testing automotive systems and industrial applications.
- Electric Vehicle (EV) Charging Solutions: Products and infrastructure designed for charging electric vehicles.
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Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA) sells primarily to other companies (B2B), specifically large automotive aftermarket retailers and distributors. The company's major customers, based on recent financial filings (such as their Form 10-K), include the following public companies:
- Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE: AAP)
- O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ: ORLY)
- AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE: AZO)
- Genuine Parts Company (operates NAPA Auto Parts) (NYSE: GPC)
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Selwyn Joffe, Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer
Selwyn Joffe has served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. since February 2003. He has been the Chairman of the Board since November 1999 and a director of the company since 1994. Prior to his current role, Mr. Joffe was Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Protea Group, Inc., a firm specializing in consulting and acquisition services. From September 2000 to December 2001, he held the position of President and Chief Executive Officer of Netlock Technologies. In 1997, Mr. Joffe co-founded Palace Entertainment, Inc., a "roll-up" of amusement parks, serving as its President and Chief Operating Officer until August 2000. Before that, he was President and Chief Executive Officer of Wolfgang Puck Food Company from 1989 to 1996, where he oversaw a significant increase in sales. He began his career at Deloitte & Touche and later worked at Arthur Young & Co. Mr. Joffe is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) and holds degrees in Business and Law from Emory University.
David Lee, Chief Financial Officer
David Lee serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Motorcar Parts of America. No further specific background information regarding his past leadership roles in other companies, involvement in company sales, or patterns of managing private equity-backed companies is publicly available in the provided sources.
Kamlesh Shah, Chief Accounting Officer
Kamlesh Shah holds the position of Chief Accounting Officer at Motorcar Parts of America.
Douglas Schooner, Chief Manufacturing Officer & Senior Vice President
Douglas Schooner is the Chief Manufacturing Officer and Senior Vice President for Motorcar Parts of America.
Juliet Stone, Senior Vice President of Government Affairs & Special Projects
Juliet Stone serves as the Senior Vice President of Government Affairs & Special Projects at Motorcar Parts of America.
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Key Risks to Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA)
The key risks to Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA) include a significant debt load coupled with persistent financial underperformance, high customer concentration, and vulnerability to broader economic and industry-specific pressures.
- Significant Debt Load and Persistent Financial Underperformance: Motorcar Parts of America has struggled with long-standing financial issues, including substantial net losses and a significant decline in its stock performance, which has plummeted over 83% since 2016. The company carries a considerable debt load, with its total liabilities outweighing its cash reserves and near-term receivables, raising concerns about its ability to manage debt and potential shareholder dilution. Persistent non-cash charges and erratic cash flows further obscure true profitability.
- High Customer Concentration: MPAA is highly dependent on a small number of major customers. Sales to its three largest customers collectively accounted for 84% to 85% of net sales in fiscal years 2018-2020, with AutoZone alone representing 38% to 41% during those periods. Any significant reduction in sales, deterioration in the financial health, or loss of any of these key customers could have a materially adverse impact on the company's business, results of operations, and financial condition.
- Vulnerability to Economic and Industry-Specific Pressures: The company is exposed to various industry and economic challenges, including fluctuating retail inventory demand as consumers defer vehicle maintenance due to economic pressures, which can slow short-term sales growth. Additionally, the business is impacted by foreign exchange losses, particularly due to the strength of the U.S. dollar against the Mexican peso, and challenges related to the geopolitical environment, such as tariffs and pricing adjustments.
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The clear emerging threat for Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA) is the rapid global transition to Electric Vehicles (EVs).
MPAA primarily manufactures and remanufactures automotive aftermarket parts such as starters, alternators, brake calipers, and brake master cylinders, which are predominantly components for Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) vehicles. Electric vehicles, by their nature, have significantly fewer moving parts, particularly in the powertrain, and drastically reduce or eliminate the need for many traditional aftermarket components that MPAA produces. For example, EVs do not require starters or alternators. Regenerative braking in EVs also significantly reduces wear on traditional friction brake components, extending their lifespan and reducing replacement frequency.
The accelerating adoption of EVs, driven by consumer demand, government regulations, and significant investments by major automotive manufacturers, represents a fundamental shift in the automotive industry. As the vehicle fleet gradually transitions from ICE to EV, the addressable market for MPAA's core product lines will contract over time, posing a direct and existential long-term threat to the company's established business model.
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Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA) operates within several segments of the automotive aftermarket, addressing various product and service needs. The addressable markets for their main products and services are identified as follows:
- Overall North American Automotive Aftermarket Hard Parts: This broad market, which encompasses many of MPAA's products, is estimated at $130 billion in North America.
- Light Duty Rotating Electrical Products (Alternators and Starters): The global automotive starter motor and alternator market size was $31.76 billion in 2024, projected to grow to $32.84 billion in 2025.
- Wheel Hub Products (Wheel Hub Assemblies and Bearings): The North American market for wheel hubs is sized at $940 million. Globally, the automotive wheel hub bearing aftermarket is expected to reach $1.2 billion in 2025 and grow to $2.3 billion by 2035. North America holds a significant share, accounting for 35% of the global market.
- Brake-Related Products:
- Brake Calipers: The market for brake calipers in North America is $1.27 billion. The global automotive brake caliper market is projected to increase from $10.1 billion in 2025 to $14.1 billion by 2035.
- Brake Master Cylinders: The North American market for brake master cylinders is $638 million.
- Power Brake Boosters: The North American market for power brake boosters is $358 million.
- Brake Pads and Rotors (combined market MPAA operates in): The industry for brake pads and rotors is estimated at $9.81 billion. More specifically, the global automotive brake pad market is valued at $13.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $20.1 billion by 2030. The global automotive aftermarket brake rotor market is approximately $15 billion in 2025. In the U.S., the automotive aftermarket brake friction parts market (which includes brake pads, shoes, rotors, and drums) is estimated at $837.7 million in 2024.
- Test Solutions and Diagnostic Equipment: The global market for automotive test solutions and diagnostic equipment is estimated to be around $11 billion. Another source indicates the global automotive test equipment market was $3.43 billion in 2024, projected to grow to $4.977 billion by 2035. North America holds the largest market share in automotive test equipment, accounting for more than 38.6% of total revenue in 2023.
- Heavy Duty Aftermarket Replacement Parts: The market for medium and heavy-duty automotive aftermarket replacement parts for truck, industrial, marine, and agricultural applications is approximately $700 million in North America.
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Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA) is anticipated to experience future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and favorable market trends.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Aging U.S. Vehicle Fleet and Increased Demand for Aftermarket Parts: The sustained increase in the average age of vehicles in the U.S., currently at 12.8 years, is a significant driver. This trend leads to a higher demand for nondiscretionary automotive replacement parts, benefiting Motorcar Parts of America's core business.
- Expansion of Product Coverage and New Product Offerings: MPAA is actively expanding its product coverage programs, including over 120 new part numbers for starters, alternators, brake calipers, brake pads, and brake rotors, which are expected to cover an additional thirty million vehicles in operation. The success of these newer product offerings contributes to increased sales volume.
- Market Share Gains in Brake and Rotating Electrical Categories: The company has reported continuous market share gains in both its hard parts and brake categories. Strategic operational improvements and increased production volumes in the brake-related products sector are enhancing its market position.
- Geographic Expansion in Mexico and Heavy-Duty Market: Motorcar Parts of America is focusing on further expansion, particularly in Mexico and the heavy-duty rotating electrical market. The company sees continuous growth opportunities in Mexico due to rising discretionary income.
- Growth in Diagnostics and Electric Vehicle (EV) Component Testing Solutions: The company is capitalizing on the growth in diagnostics and services related to its installed JBT-1 Bench Top testers, contributing to service-related revenue streams. Additionally, MPAA has a subsidiary dedicated to designing and manufacturing testing solutions for electric vehicle components, positioning it for future growth in the evolving EV market.
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Share Repurchases
- Motorcar Parts of America has a $37 million share repurchase authorization in place, with $16.2 million remaining as of December 31, 2024.
- In fiscal year 2025 (ended March 31, 2025), the company repurchased 542,134 shares for $4.8 million at an average price of $8.91 per share.
- During the fiscal third quarter ended December 31, 2024, MPAA repurchased 268,130 shares for $2.1 million at an average price of $7.82 per share.
Share Issuance
- The number of common shares outstanding decreased from 19.78 million in fiscal year 2024 to 19.369 million as of November 2025, indicating net share repurchases rather than significant issuance during this period.
- Between fiscal years 2021 and 2024, the number of shares outstanding generally saw slight increases, from 19.18 million in 2021 to 19.78 million in 2024.
Inbound Investments
- On September 30, 2024, Donald Smith & Co acquired 1,040,545 shares of Motorcar Parts of America at a price of $7.39 per share, increasing their stake to 5.27%.
- A director, Bryan David, purchased 2,000 shares of the company's common stock for approximately $13,668 on November 26, 2024, bringing his direct ownership to 54,354 shares.
Capital Expenditures
- For the nine months ended December 31, 2022, total capital expenditures, including finance leases and non-cash capital expenditures, were $3.632 million.
- Capital expenditures for the nine months ended December 31, 2021, amounted to $5.248 million, primarily for the purchase of equipment for current operations and the expansion of operations in Mexico.
- Motorcar Parts of America expected to incur approximately $1.5 million in capital expenditures, mainly for supporting current operations and equipment purchases, during the remainder of fiscal year 2023.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Motorcar Parts of America Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.4 |
| Rev LTM | 8,221 |
| Op Inc LTM | 805 |
| FCF LTM | 119 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 382 |
| CFO LTM | 405 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 657 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.4 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 9.4 |
| P/E | 25.9 |
| P/CFO | 10.4 |
| Total Yield | 6.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 3.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.2% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $10.64 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/23/1994 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -40.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $12.43 | $13.06 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -14.4% | -18.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 58.5% | 66.4% |
| Downside Capture | 237.01 | 93.47 |
| Upside Capture | 66.67 | 86.65 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 25.3% | 23.1% |
MPAA Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.97 | 1.14 | -0.21 | 0.65 | 0.81 | 1.14 |
| Up Beta | 1.94 | 3.01 | -4.33 | -0.19 | 0.58 | 0.64 |
| Down Beta | 1.32 | 0.27 | 0.61 | 1.57 | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Up Capture | 227% | 86% | -57% | 65% | 123% | 169% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 17 | 28 | 67 | 127 | 365 |
| Down Capture | 279% | 173% | 128% | 25% | 71% | 109% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 24 | 33 | 58 | 123 | 375 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MPAA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPAA | 4.1% | 66.4% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 4.5% | 24.2% | 0.13 | 24.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 19.4% | 0.53 | 23.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 74.5% | 25.6% | 2.15 | -5.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.2% | 16.9% | 0.25 | 6.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.1% | 16.7% | 0.24 | 19.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.6% | 44.9% | -0.68 | 9.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MPAA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPAA | -12.7% | 61.1% | 0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.5% | 23.7% | 0.28 | 26.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.0% | 0.62 | 29.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.6% | 17.1% | 1.08 | -3.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 19.0% | 0.46 | 8.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 25.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.2% | 57.1% | 0.35 | 9.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MPAA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPAA | -9.9% | 54.4% | 0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 14.3% | 21.9% | 0.60 | 32.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.1% | 17.9% | 0.77 | 34.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.8% | 15.6% | 0.79 | -3.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 14.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.0% | 20.7% | 0.30 | 29.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.7% | 1.07 | 9.0% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/9/2026 | -17.5% | -23.6% | |
| 11/10/2025 | -26.0% | -24.7% | -21.9% |
| 6/9/2025 | -18.5% | -10.2% | 0.1% |
| 2/10/2025 | 10.6% | 61.7% | 84.5% |
| 11/12/2024 | 14.7% | 12.5% | 33.5% |
| 6/11/2024 | -8.7% | 17.1% | 22.3% |
| 2/9/2024 | -10.2% | 1.3% | -13.8% |
| 11/9/2023 | -1.3% | 8.8% | 14.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 10.6% | 12.5% | 18.4% |
| Median Negative | -10.4% | -14.6% | -17.9% |
| Max Positive | 16.9% | 61.7% | 84.5% |
| Max Negative | -26.0% | -26.3% | -44.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/09/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 06/09/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 06/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 06/14/2022 | 10-K |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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