MP Materials (MP)
Market Price (6/24/2026): $59.0 | Market Cap: $10.5 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
MP Materials (MP)
Market Price (6/24/2026): $59.0Market Cap: $10.5 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -130 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -51% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 41x Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -123% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.9% Key risksMP key risks include [1] substantial execution risk in its vertical integration strategy to become a magnet producer and [2] significant customer concentration with a small group of key partners. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -130 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -51% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 41x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -123% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.9% |
| Key risksMP key risks include [1] substantial execution risk in its vertical integration strategy to become a magnet producer and [2] significant customer concentration with a small group of key partners. |
Qualitative Assessment
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MP Materials (MP) stock has remained largely at the same level since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Robust Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results. MP Materials reported strong financial performance for its fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, and was announced on May 7, 2026. The company delivered an Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.03, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of -$0.0032 by 1037.5%. Total revenue increased 49% year-over-year to $90.6 million, driven primarily by a 117% increase in NdPr sales volume, and Adjusted EBITDA grew by $39.3 million year-over-year to $36.6 million. This positive earnings surprise led to a 3.88% increase in the stock following the announcement.
2. Strategic Expansion and U.S. Government Partnerships for Supply Chain Security. MP Materials continued to advance its strategic initiatives to expand U.S. rare earth production and ensure supply chain independence. This includes the groundbreaking of its 10X magnetics facility, aimed at increasing downstream magnet manufacturing capabilities. The company has also secured critical long-term supply agreements, notably with the U.S. Department of Defense, which includes a 10-year purchase agreement for NdPr products at a guaranteed price floor of $110 per kilogram. These developments highlight a concerted effort to reduce reliance on foreign imports and strengthen the domestic supply chain for critical minerals used in electric vehicles and defense applications.
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MP Materials (MP) stock has remained largely at the same level since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Robust Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results. MP Materials reported strong financial performance for its fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, and was announced on May 7, 2026. The company delivered an Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.03, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of -$0.0032 by 1037.5%. Total revenue increased 49% year-over-year to $90.6 million, driven primarily by a 117% increase in NdPr sales volume, and Adjusted EBITDA grew by $39.3 million year-over-year to $36.6 million. This positive earnings surprise led to a 3.88% increase in the stock following the announcement.
2. Strategic Expansion and U.S. Government Partnerships for Supply Chain Security. MP Materials continued to advance its strategic initiatives to expand U.S. rare earth production and ensure supply chain independence. This includes the groundbreaking of its 10X magnetics facility, aimed at increasing downstream magnet manufacturing capabilities. The company has also secured critical long-term supply agreements, notably with the U.S. Department of Defense, which includes a 10-year purchase agreement for NdPr products at a guaranteed price floor of $110 per kilogram. These developments highlight a concerted effort to reduce reliance on foreign imports and strengthen the domestic supply chain for critical minerals used in electric vehicles and defense applications.
3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets. Wall Street analysts maintained a generally bullish outlook on MP Materials during this period. As of June 17, 2026, the company held a "Strong Buy" consensus rating. Recent analyst reports in June 2026 provided a median price target of $80.50, suggesting a potential upside of 41.1% from the stock's trading price of $57.05. This reflects confidence in the company's operational advancements and its pivotal role in the rare earth sector.
4. Favorable Macroeconomic Trends in the Rare Earths Market. The broader rare earth elements market exhibited positive momentum, with heavy rare earth prices, particularly terbium, rebounding sharply in June 2026 after a correction in May. The NdPr complex also began to recover during this period. This market growth is supported by increasing global demand from critical sectors such as electric vehicles and wind energy, coupled with a persistent structural supply deficit and geopolitical drivers pushing for more independent rare earth supply chains outside of China. These trends create a beneficial operating environment for MP Materials.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.1% change in MP stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 58.87 | 58.90 | 0.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 224 | 254 | 13.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 46.6 | 41.2 | -11.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 178 | 178 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.1% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MP | 0.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.2% | 51.0% |
| Sector (XLB) | -4.3% | 47.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.9% change in MP stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 61.95 | 58.90 | -4.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 233 | 254 | 9.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 46.6 | 41.2 | -11.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 175 | 178 | -1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.9% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MP | -4.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.0% | 41.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 14.9% | 36.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 170.3% change in MP stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 149.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.79 | 58.90 | 170.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 216 | 254 | 17.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 16.5 | 41.2 | 149.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 164 | 178 | -8.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 170.3% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MP | 170.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 25.9% | 24.2% |
| Sector (XLB) | 20.1% | 19.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 184.3% change in MP stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 414.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.72 | 58.90 | 184.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 457 | 254 | -44.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.0 | 41.2 | 414.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 177 | 178 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 184.3% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MP | 184.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 82.4% | 29.3% |
| Sector (XLB) | 43.8% | 31.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MP Return | 41% | -47% | -18% | -21% | 224% | 19% | 87% |
| Peers Return | 139% | -11% | 2% | -22% | 8052% | 40% | 19275% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MP Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 15% | 35% | 30% | 57% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MP Max Drawdown | -50% | -59% | -59% | -47% | -49% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -20% | -36% | -37% | -66% | -46% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: USAR, UUUU, NB, CODI, METC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/23/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -18.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 8 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -26.8% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.6% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 452 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 774 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1019 days | 427 days |
In The Past
MP Materials's stock fell -18.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | MP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -26.8% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.6% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 452 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 774 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1019 days | 427 days |
In The Past
MP Materials's stock fell -18.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About MP Materials (MP)
MP Materials Corp. is a U.S.-based company specializing in the mining and processing of rare earth minerals. The company owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth mine, a significant facility located in the Western Hemisphere, holding both the mineral rights and intellectual property related to its processing. This makes MP Materials a critical player in securing a domestic supply chain for these essential materials.
The company's main products are a range of individual rare earth elements, including cerium, lanthanum, neodymium, praseodymium, and samarium. These materials are fundamental inputs for various advanced and high-tech industries. MP Materials primarily serves manufacturers and industries that require these specific rare earth elements for critical applications in sectors such as electric vehicles, wind energy, consumer electronics, and defense systems.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for MP Materials:
- MP Materials is like the 'ExxonMobil' of rare earth minerals for the Western Hemisphere, extracting and processing these vital materials that are essential for modern technology and green energy.
- MP Materials is like the 'TSMC' of rare earth minerals, serving as a crucial, foundational supplier for high-tech manufacturing in the Western world.
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- Cerium: A rare earth mineral offered by the company.
- Lanthanum: A rare earth mineral offered by the company.
- Neodymium: A rare earth mineral offered by the company.
- Praseodymium: A rare earth mineral offered by the company.
- Samarium: A rare earth mineral offered by the company.
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Major Customers of MP Materials (MP)
MP Materials sells primarily to other companies (B2B model).
The company's major customer for its rare earth concentrate is:
- Shenghe Resources Holding Co., Ltd. (not publicly traded in the U.S.) - A Chinese rare earth company that purchases the majority of MP Materials' rare earth concentrate for further processing and distribution into the global rare earth supply chain.
As MP Materials expands its capabilities to produce separated rare earth oxides and metals (beyond concentrate), its customer base is expected to broaden to include magnet manufacturers and other industrial users in various high-tech sectors, particularly those seeking a Western supply chain for critical materials.
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James Litinsky
Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
James Litinsky has led MP Materials since its inception in 2017 as Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer. He also founded JHL Capital Group in 2006, a multibillion-dollar alternative investment firm, where he served as CEO and CIO. Litinsky was instrumental in the acquisition of the Mountain Pass mine in 2017 through a consortium that included JHL Capital Group. He previously worked at Fortress Investment Group, served as Director of Finance at Omnicom Group, Inc., and was a merchant banker at Allen & Company. He took MP Materials public in 2020 through a SPAC merger with Fortress Value Acquisition Corporation. JHL Capital Group was a key institutional investor in the acquisition and relaunch of the Mountain Pass mine, indicating his involvement with private equity-backed ventures.
Ryan Corbett
Chief Financial Officer
Ryan Corbett joined MP Materials as Chief Financial Officer in 2019. Prior to MP Materials, he was a Managing Director at JHL Capital Group, where he focused on the firm's initial investment in MP Materials. Before JHL, he led strategic investments at Brahman Capital Corp. and King Street Capital Management, focusing on special situations across the capital structure. He began his career in investment banking and corporate finance at Morgan Stanley. His roles at JHL Capital Group, Brahman Capital Corp., and King Street Capital Management suggest a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity or alternative investment firms.
Michael Rosenthal
Founder & Chief Operating Officer
Michael Rosenthal is a Founder and the Chief Operating Officer of MP Materials. He co-founded the company with James Litinsky and has managed the Mountain Pass operation since the company acquired the site in 2017. Before MP Materials, he was a Partner at QVT Financial, an investment management firm, where he focused on investments in the global automotive sector and in China. Prior to QVT, he worked as a senior high-yield credit analyst at Shenkman Capital Management. QVT Financial was also a key institutional investor in the acquisition and relaunch of the Mountain Pass mine.
Elliot Hoops
General Counsel and Secretary
Elliot Hoops joined MP Materials as its General Counsel and Secretary in May 2021. Prior to joining MP Materials, he served as Vice President and Deputy General Counsel at Penn National Gaming, Inc. (now PENN Entertainment, Inc.) from January 2019 to May 2021, where he was responsible for various legal matters, including commercial transactions, financings, corporate governance, securities law, and gaming regulatory compliance.
Zachary Lehman
Chief Technology Officer
Zachary Lehman serves as the Chief Technology Officer of MP Materials.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to MP Materials' business are primarily driven by the unique characteristics of the rare earth industry, including geopolitical factors, the complexities of vertical integration, and significant environmental and regulatory hurdles.
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Geopolitical and Market Volatility due to China's Dominance: MP Materials faces significant competitive and geopolitical headwinds due to China's continued dominance in the global rare earth supply chain. China controls a substantial portion of global rare earth processing, which can lead to market volatility, including fluctuations in the prices of rare earth elements like Neodymium-Praseodymium (NdPr) oxide. Historically, China has also implemented export quotas, causing price spikes and supply chain disruptions for critical materials.
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Operational and Financial Execution Risks of Vertical Integration: MP Materials is undertaking a strategic pivot towards a high-value, vertically integrated U.S. supply chain, which involves the commissioning of new downstream facilities, such as the Independence Facility in Texas for magnet manufacturing. The successful and timely completion of these complex technical processes and the associated substantial capital expenditures present significant operational and financial execution risks. Delays or failures in these projects could negatively impact the company's financial condition and its anticipated return to profitability.
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Environmental and Regulatory Compliance Costs: The rare earth mining and processing industry is highly capital-intensive and inherently carries significant environmental challenges. These include the generation of radioactive waste streams, the risk of water contamination, and heavy metal contamination. Operating in Western jurisdictions, MP Materials is subject to stringent environmental laws and regulations, which can impose substantial compliance costs, potentially adding a significant percentage to operational expenses compared to less regulated regions.
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MP Materials Corp. produces several rare earth elements. The addressable markets for their main products are as follows:
- Cerium: The global cerium market size was valued at approximately USD 2.92 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to about USD 4.29 billion by 2034.
- Lanthanum: The global lanthanum market was valued at USD 75 million in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 129.2 million by 2034.
- Neodymium: The global neodymium market size was valued at USD 6.07 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 9.76 billion by 2034.
- Praseodymium: The global praseodymium market size was approximately USD 4.5 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 7.2 billion by 2032.
- Samarium: The global samarium market size was valued at approximately USD 2.1 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 3.5 billion by 2032.
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MP Materials (MP) is expected to experience significant revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key initiatives and market dynamics:
- Vertical Integration into Rare Earth Magnet Manufacturing: MP Materials is strategically advancing its vertical integration by moving beyond the production of rare earth concentrates and oxides into the manufacturing of high-performance rare earth magnets (NdFeB magnets). This includes the commencement of NdPr metal production in the U.S. in December 2024 and trial production of automotive-grade magnets in Q4 2024, with initial deliveries anticipated by year-end 2025. The Fort Worth magnetics facility began pilot output in 2024 and aims for commercial sintered NdFeB shipments in 2025. Furthermore, the company plans to construct a second magnet manufacturing facility, known as the "10X Facility," with commissioning expected to begin in 2028, which could increase total U.S. rare earth magnet manufacturing capacity to an estimated 10,000 metric tons annually. Analysts project that the launch of the 10X facility could quadruple MP Materials' annual revenue to over $1 billion by 2028.
- Strategic Partnerships and Offtake Agreements: Key partnerships are set to secure demand and provide financial backing for MP Materials' expanded capabilities. A public-private partnership with the Department of Defense (DoD) involves a $400 million convertible preferred equity investment, a $150 million low-interest loan, and a price floor of $110 per kilogram for all NdPr-containing products, effective from Q4 2025. The DoD has also committed to purchasing 100% of the magnets produced at the new 10X Facility under a cost-plus arrangement, including a $140 million minimum EBITDA guarantee. Additionally, a long-term contract with Apple, valued at over $500 million, ensures demand for magnets starting in 2027, supported by $200 million in milestone-based prepayments to aid recycling and production expansion.
- Increased Production and Sales Volume of Separated Rare Earth Products: The company is focused on scaling up its production of higher-value separated rare earth products, particularly neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide. MP Materials reported record NdPr oxide output and a 226% year-over-year increase in NdPr sales volumes in Q2 2025. The Mountain Pass facility reached commercial NdPr separation in 2024 and aims for a steady-state separated NdPr oxide output of 5,000–6,000 metric tons per year. The company is also targeting an increase in annual Rare Earth Oxide (REO) production to 60,000 metric tons through its 'Upstream 60K' strategy within three years. This strategy includes a shift away from selling lower-margin rare earth concentrate to third parties, which ceased in Q2 2025, to prioritize domestic processing and sales of higher-value separated products.
- Robust Market Demand for Rare Earths and Magnets: MP Materials is poised to benefit from the strong and growing global demand for rare earth elements and magnets, driven by key industries such as electric vehicles (EVs), wind turbines, and defense applications. The U.S. market alone imported 10,000 tons of rare earth magnets in 2024, with total demand projected to exceed 50,000 tons by 2030, providing substantial market space for MP Materials. The company's focus on supporting the energy transition and defense needs aligns with the increasing criticality of domestic rare earth production.
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Share Repurchases
- MP Materials authorized a share repurchase program of up to $300 million in March 2024.
- The program was expanded by an additional $300 million in August 2024, increasing the total authorization to $600 million and extending it through August 30, 2026.
- In 2024, the company repurchased approximately $225.1 million of its common stock, accounting for about 8.6% of its shares.
Share Issuance
- In July 2025, MP Materials completed an upsized underwritten public offering, selling 11,818,181 shares of common stock at $55.00 per share, which generated approximately $650 million in gross proceeds.
- The proceeds from this offering are earmarked for accelerating and expanding operations, including the 10X Facility, as well as for strategic growth opportunities and general corporate purposes.
Inbound Investments
- The U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) invested $400 million in MP Materials in July 2025, acquiring a series of preferred stock convertible into common stock, giving the Pentagon a 15% stake in the company.
- Apple entered into a long-term agreement in July 2025 to purchase high-performance magnets from MP Materials and provided a $200 million prepayment to support magnet production and recycling capabilities.
- MP Materials secured approximately $200 million in state and local incentives and grants for its 10X magnetics facility located in Northlake, Texas.
Outbound Investments
- In November 2025, MP Materials, in partnership with the U.S. Department of War, formed a joint venture with the Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) to develop a rare earth refinery in Saudi Arabia; MP Materials will hold a 49% stake in this venture.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures totaled $172.38 million in 2025. Historically, capital expenditures were $186.4 million in fiscal year 2024, $261.9 million in fiscal year 2023, and $326.6 million in fiscal year 2022.
- For 2026, MP Materials projects capital expenditures between $500 million and $600 million.
- These projected capital expenditures are primarily focused on accelerating the 10X magnetics facility, which is expected to begin commissioning in 2028, along with other expansion, recycling, and heavy rare earth separation initiatives.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.15 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| Rev LTM | 170 |
| Op Inc LTM | -78 |
| FCF LTM | -124 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -84 |
| CFO LTM | -58 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -44 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 21.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 13.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -152.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -57.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -50.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -27.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 13.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -37.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -10.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -123.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -58.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| P/S | 41.2 |
| P/Op Inc | -30.4 |
| P/EBIT | -11.9 |
| P/E | -12.7 |
| P/CFO | -49.4 |
| Total Yield | -7.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -6.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Materials | 160 | 204 | 253 | ||
| Magnetics | 67 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Elimination of intersegment revenues | -3 | ||||
| Neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide and metal | 0 | ||||
| Other revenue | 10 | 3 | |||
| Rare earth concentrate | 517 | 329 | |||
| Total | 224 | 204 | 253 | 528 | 332 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magnetics | 26 | -12 | -7 |
| Materials | 17 | -14 | 130 |
| Elimination of intersegment Adjusted EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Loss on environmental obligation | -0 | -2 | |
| Loss on disposals of long-lived assets, net | -0 | -1 | -6 |
| Accretion of asset retirement and environmental obligations | -1 | -1 | -1 |
| Initial start-up costs | -3 | -5 | -21 |
| Stock-based compensation expense | -30 | -23 | -25 |
| Corporate expenses and other | -32 | -24 | -21 |
| Transaction-related and other costs | -36 | -8 | -11 |
| Depreciation, depletion and amortization | -89 | -78 | -56 |
| Total | -149 | -169 | -18 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $58.90 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 10.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/22/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -40.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $62.67 | $62.12 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | -6.0% | -5.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 76.0% | 92.1% |
| Downside Capture | 361.86 | 240.67 |
| Upside Capture | 254.73 | 239.25 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 46.2% | 24.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.31 | 2.77 | 2.56 | 2.27 | 1.74 | 1.40 |
| Up Beta | 1.17 | 2.29 | 1.81 | 1.56 | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| Down Beta | -4.84 | -0.86 | 0.17 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.97 |
| Up Capture | 244% | 331% | 404% | 446% | 612% | 1079% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 22 | 33 | 66 | 136 | 368 |
| Down Capture | 670% | 491% | 327% | 252% | 153% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 19 | 30 | 58 | 112 | 377 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP | 63.0% | 92.0% | 0.91 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 20.1% | 17.5% | 0.89 | 18.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.6% | 12.5% | 1.48 | 24.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 27.6% | 0.70 | 25.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 16.7% | 18.8% | 0.69 | 3.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.3% | 13.8% | 0.60 | 0.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -38.0% | 42.5% | -1.01 | 24.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP | 14.6% | 69.6% | 0.48 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 5.8% | 19.0% | 0.20 | 41.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 39.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.8% | 18.3% | 0.74 | 19.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 19.4% | 0.28 | 16.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.4% | 18.9% | 0.03 | 29.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.7% | 54.1% | 0.38 | 23.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP | 20.2% | 72.7% | 0.73 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.2% | 20.7% | 0.44 | 37.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 36.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.9% | 16.1% | 0.61 | 17.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 17.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 27.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.0% | 66.5% | 0.97 | 20.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/10/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -2.5% | -12.8% | -16.7% |
| 2/26/2026 | -1.9% | -2.5% | -13.7% |
| 11/6/2025 | 12.8% | 10.8% | 15.1% |
| 8/7/2025 | 4.6% | 7.8% | -11.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | -8.0% | -10.6% | 16.1% |
| 2/20/2025 | 4.8% | 1.2% | 11.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | -2.4% | -7.1% | 2.7% |
| 8/1/2024 | -11.9% | -13.5% | 1.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.8% |
| Median Negative | -3.4% | -10.6% | -12.8% |
| Max Positive | 18.2% | 15.2% | 91.9% |
| Max Negative | -11.9% | -16.0% | -27.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -2.5% | -12.8% | -16.7% |
| 2/26/2026 | -1.9% | -2.5% | -13.7% |
| 11/6/2025 | 12.8% | 10.8% | 15.1% |
| 8/7/2025 | 4.6% | 7.8% | -11.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | -8.0% | -10.6% | 16.1% |
| 2/20/2025 | 4.8% | 1.2% | 11.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | -2.4% | -7.1% | 2.7% |
| 8/1/2024 | -11.9% | -13.5% | 1.7% |
| 5/2/2024 | -3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| 2/22/2024 | -4.2% | -2.9% | -12.8% |
| 11/2/2023 | -1.8% | -8.6% | 1.2% |
| 8/3/2023 | 5.6% | 3.5% | -2.8% |
| 5/4/2023 | 0.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% |
| 2/23/2023 | 4.5% | 1.0% | -17.9% |
| 11/3/2022 | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% |
| 8/5/2022 | 9.8% | 7.8% | -8.4% |
| 5/5/2022 | -5.2% | -14.3% | 0.9% |
| 2/24/2022 | 6.8% | -8.6% | 25.0% |
| 11/4/2021 | -1.2% | 15.2% | 12.7% |
| 8/5/2021 | 2.7% | 5.2% | -4.9% |
| 5/6/2021 | -5.5% | -16.0% | 12.6% |
| 3/18/2021 | 13.6% | -10.6% | -27.1% |
| 11/23/2020 | 18.2% | 9.3% | 91.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.8% |
| Median Negative | -3.4% | -10.6% | -12.8% |
| Max Positive | 18.2% | 15.2% | 91.9% |
| Max Negative | -11.9% | -16.0% | -27.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/28/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/13/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/22/2021 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/15/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosenthal, Michael Stuart | Chief Operating Officer | Rosenthal Family Trust | Buy | 6102026 | 54.30 | 10,000 | 543,000 | 7,418,575 | Form |
| 2 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 6052026 | 69.14 | 185,167 | 12,801,855 | 803,424,849 | Form |
| 3 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 5292026 | 64.58 | 50,000 | 3,229,112 | 762,455,547 | Form |
| 4 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 5292026 | 65.87 | 234,651 | 15,455,481 | 780,902,887 | Form |
| 5 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 5292026 | 65.37 | 115,349 | 7,540,632 | 790,391,643 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosenthal, Michael Stuart | Chief Operating Officer | Rosenthal Family Trust | Buy | 6102026 | 54.30 | 10,000 | 543,000 | 7,418,575 | Form |
| 2 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 6052026 | 69.14 | 185,167 | 12,801,855 | 803,424,849 | Form |
| 3 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 5292026 | 64.58 | 50,000 | 3,229,112 | 762,455,547 | Form |
| 4 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 5292026 | 65.87 | 234,651 | 15,455,481 | 780,902,887 | Form |
| 5 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 5292026 | 65.37 | 115,349 | 7,540,632 | 790,391,643 | Form |
| 6 | Rosenthal, Michael Stuart | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Buy | 5202026 | 56.62 | 17,000 | 962,540 | 75,512,565 | Form |
| 7 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 5142026 | 65.13 | 177,188 | 11,540,521 | 794,992,881 | Form |
| 8 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 5142026 | 65.90 | 122,812 | 8,093,838 | 816,102,924 | Form |
| 9 | Hoops, Elliot Dean | General Counsel and Secretary | Direct | Sell | 5082026 | 75.00 | 6,958 | 521,850 | 4,057,125 | Form |
| 10 | Corbett, Ryan | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 5082026 | 75.00 | 20,000 | 1,500,000 | 8,176,275 | Form |
| 11 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 4202026 | 64.03 | 259,179 | 16,595,231 | 800,756,939 | Form |
| 12 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 4202026 | 64.05 | 40,821 | 2,614,585 | 817,607,473 | Form |
| 13 | Corbett, Ryan | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 60.00 | 46,000 | 2,760,000 | 7,741,020 | Form |
| 14 | Hoops, Elliot Dean | General Counsel and Secretary | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 60.01 | 13,914 | 834,979 | 3,663,791 | Form |
| 15 | Hoops, Elliot Dean | General Counsel and Secretary | Direct | Sell | 1222026 | 68.21 | 7,823 | 533,607 | 5,113,499 | Form |
| 16 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 1092026 | 64.17 | 272,600 | 17,492,742 | 821,758,774 | Form |
| 17 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 1092026 | 64.01 | 27,400 | 1,753,874 | 837,158,946 | Form |
| 18 | Corbett, Ryan | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12102025 | 60.00 | 38,146 | 2,288,760 | 9,399,960 | Form |
| 19 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 12052025 | 62.94 | 385,000 | 24,232,308 | 824,903,335 | Form |
| 20 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 11202025 | 63.86 | 248,411 | 15,864,583 | 853,843,645 | Form |
| 21 | Corbett, Ryan | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 11192025 | 57.72 | 20,000 | 1,154,400 | 11,244,549 | Form |
| 22 | Rosenthal, Michael Stuart | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 72.02 | 150,000 | 10,802,838 | 92,501,752 | Form |
| 23 | Hoops, Elliot Dean | General Counsel and Secretary | Hoops Family Trust | Sell | 8012025 | 60.33 | 6,337 | Form | ||
| 24 | Hoops, Elliot Dean | General Counsel and Secretary | Hoops Family Trust | Sell | 7032025 | 31.94 | 6,338 | 202,464 | 202,432 | Form |
| 25 | Hoops, Elliot Dean | General Counsel and Secretary | Direct | Sell | 6272025 | 36.37 | 5,523 | 200,872 | 2,536,771 | Form |
| 26 | Hoops, Elliot Dean | General Counsel and Secretary | Hoops Family Trust | Sell | 6132025 | 29.96 | 5,538 | 165,918 | 379,743 | Form |
| 27 | Hoops, Elliot Dean | General Counsel and Secretary | Hoops Family Trust | Sell | 6132025 | 29.95 | 800 | 23,960 | 545,479 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Materials Resources |
| Chemical & Engineering News (C&EN) |
| Mining.com |
| Plastics News |
| Diversified Metals & Mining Resources |
| Mining Technology |
| International Mining |
| Northern Miner |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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