Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Industrial Foundation. Themes include Metallurgical Coal Production, Steel Industry Raw Materials, and Infrastructure & Construction Materials Supply.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.9%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 56x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 399%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.6%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%
7   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Industrial Foundation. Themes include Metallurgical Coal Production, Steel Industry Raw Materials, and Infrastructure & Construction Materials Supply.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.9%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 56x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 399%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.6%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

METC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Ramaco Resources (METC) experienced a significant stock price decline of 29.8% between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025, driven by several key factors:

1. Deteriorating Metallurgical Coal Market Conditions: The global coal market faced a challenging period in 2025, marked by easing demand from Asia and persistent global oversupply. This led to falling prices and increased pressure on the profitability of metallurgical coal producers, including Ramaco Resources, negatively impacting its core business.

2. Disappointing Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Ramaco Resources reported a net loss of $13 million for Q3 2025, with a Class A EPS loss of $0.25. The company's adjusted EBITDA also saw a slight decrease to $8.4 million compared to $9 million in the previous quarter. These results, coupled with a modest trimming of the full-year 2025 production and sales guidance due to weak export spot market pricing, signaled ongoing operational challenges.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
METC Return-20%545%0%-5%-38%80%450%
Peers Return3%52%26%37%3%39%290%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
METC Win Rate42%58%0%42%25%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%58%58%52%60%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
METC Max Drawdown-45%0%0%-58%-45%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-12%-17%-8%-15%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMETCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-58.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven139.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven131 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven91.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven275 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-77.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven337.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven654 days120 days

Compare to HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD


In The Past

Ramaco Resources's stock fell -58.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/29/2021. A -58.3% loss requires a 139.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ramaco Resources (METC)

Better Bets than Ramaco Resources (METC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to METC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ramaco Resources

Peers to compare with:

Financials

METCHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameRamaco R.Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Mkt Price18.2082.6160.0919.62162.54168.1171.35
Mkt Cap1.14.30.60.137.524.72.7
Rev LTM5801,22452046530,80617,635902
Op Inc LTM-34748112,1431,51930
FCF LTM-33-1594811-385311-11
FCF 3Y Avg274922253,1151,01838
CFO LTM3620767173,1301,524137
CFO 3Y Avg10847244345,8422,562290

Growth & Margins

METCHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameRamaco R.Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Rev Chg LTM-17.0%-23.1%7.6%-5.8%-5.8%-1.5%-5.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.1%-11.8%4.8%8.6%-10.4%-8.0%-1.6%
Rev Chg Q-27.7%0.3%16.0%17.7%4.7%11.2%8.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.4%0.1%4.2%4.5%1.2%2.8%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-5.9%0.6%9.3%2.4%7.0%8.6%4.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.4%19.3%9.0%2.9%13.9%13.7%11.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.0%-1.5%0.3%1.8%-0.0%0.5%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM6.2%16.9%13.0%3.7%10.2%8.6%9.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.6%30.4%9.0%6.6%17.0%13.8%15.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.7%-13.0%9.3%2.5%-1.2%1.8%0.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.8%1.9%4.4%4.9%8.7%5.4%4.6%

Valuation

METCHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameRamaco R.Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Mkt Cap1.14.30.60.137.524.72.7
P/S3.52.71.00.21.01.21.1
P/EBIT-71.3116.910.68.213.713.812.1
P/E-61.795.214.013.523.118.216.1
P/CFO56.316.17.66.79.513.411.5
Total Yield-1.4%1.6%7.2%7.7%6.1%6.9%6.5%
Dividend Yield0.2%0.5%0.0%0.2%1.7%1.4%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.1%2.1%4.9%26.5%7.7%5.6%5.8%
D/E0.10.10.30.30.20.20.2
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.30.30.10.10.1

Returns

METCHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameRamaco R.Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
1M Rtn-31.6%27.4%-5.6%-6.7%12.6%10.9%2.6%
3M Rtn-27.1%49.9%15.1%-7.0%12.6%28.9%13.8%
6M Rtn87.4%77.7%52.7%16.6%38.0%28.2%45.4%
12M Rtn32.5%23.3%6.8%21.7%10.8%20.8%21.2%
3Y Rtn5.8%132.2%64.2%121.1%12.5%64.7%64.4%
1M Excs Rtn-32.8%26.2%-6.9%-8.0%11.4%9.6%1.4%
3M Excs Rtn-41.2%30.4%9.4%-15.3%5.0%19.5%7.2%
6M Excs Rtn72.0%62.3%37.3%1.2%22.6%12.8%29.9%
12M Excs Rtn38.2%6.5%-7.2%5.7%-7.6%4.5%5.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-67.4%68.5%-10.4%47.8%-57.7%-2.0%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment694566283169230
Total694566283169230


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,547,181
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025105.7%
Average Daily Volume3,513,644
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.57
Basic Shares Quantity61,087,000
Short % of Basic Shares20.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024317202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022314202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021401202210-K 12/31/2021