Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Industrial Foundation. Themes include Metallurgical Coal Production, Steel Industry Raw Materials, and Infrastructure & Construction Materials Supply.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.9%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 37x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 141%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%
4   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%
5   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 399%
6   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2%
7   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 103%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Industrial Foundation. Themes include Metallurgical Coal Production, Steel Industry Raw Materials, and Infrastructure & Construction Materials Supply.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.9%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 37x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 141%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 399%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 103%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

METC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Ramaco Resources (METC) experienced a 7.8% stock movement from July 31, 2025, to November 14, 2025, primarily influenced by strategic advancements in its rare earth and critical minerals business, coupled with strengthened financial liquidity.

1. Significant Progress in Rare Earths and Critical Minerals Strategy: Ramaco Resources made substantial strides in its transition to a dual-platform company, including the ceremonial opening of the Brook Mine in July 2025, marking the first new rare earth mine in the U.S. in over 70 years. During the third quarter of 2025, the company further advanced this strategy, projecting over $500 million in EBITDA by 2028 from the Brook Mine and increasing its base production level for the mine to approximately five million tons of coal per year, positioning itself as a key producer of individual rare earths and critical minerals.

2. Enhanced Financial Position Through Capital Raise: The company significantly bolstered its financial liquidity during Q3 2025 by issuing $200 million in common stock. This capital raise contributed to a record liquidity level of $272 million and a net cash position exceeding $77 million by the end of the quarter, providing robust financial flexibility despite a challenging metallurgical coal market.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
METC Return-20%545%0%-5%-38%117%562%
Peers Return1%14%-6%18%-3%23%51%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
METC Win Rate42%58%0%42%25%50% 
Peers Win Rate28%39%43%49%53%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
METC Max Drawdown-45%0%0%-58%-45%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-9%-27%-16%-23%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HCC, NWPX, FRD, HLP, HUDI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMETCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-58.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven139.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven131 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven91.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven275 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-77.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven337.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven654 days120 days

Compare to HCC, NWPX, FRD, HLP, HUDI


In The Past

Ramaco Resources's stock fell -58.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/29/2021. A -58.3% loss requires a 139.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ramaco Resources (METC)

Better Bets than Ramaco Resources (METC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to METC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.6%3.6%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.3%-0.3%-1.5%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.2%-25.2%-25.2%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
7.6%7.6%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.8%3.8%-7.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.6%3.6%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.3%-0.3%-1.5%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.2%-25.2%-25.2%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
7.6%7.6%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.8%3.8%-7.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ramaco Resources

Financials

METCHCCNWPXFRDHLPHUDIMedian
NameRamaco R.Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Hongli Huadi In. 
Mkt Price21.9380.3857.4022.371.651.2322.15
Mkt Cap1.34.20.60.2--0.9
Rev LTM5801,224520465--550
Op Inc LTM-3474811--9
FCF LTM-33-1594811---11
FCF 3Y Avg27492225--26
CFO LTM362076717--52
CFO 3Y Avg1084724434--76

Growth & Margins

METCHCCNWPXFRDHLPHUDIMedian
NameRamaco R.Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Hongli Huadi In. 
Rev Chg LTM-17.0%-23.1%7.6%-5.8%---11.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.1%-11.8%4.8%8.6%--5.0%
Rev Chg Q-27.7%0.3%16.0%17.7%--8.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.4%0.1%4.2%4.5%--2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-5.9%0.6%9.3%2.4%--1.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.4%19.3%9.0%2.9%--6.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.0%-1.5%0.3%1.8%---0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM6.2%16.9%13.0%3.7%--9.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.6%30.4%9.0%6.6%--12.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.7%-13.0%9.3%2.5%---1.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.8%1.9%4.4%4.9%--4.1%

Valuation

METCHCCNWPXFRDHLPHUDIMedian
NameRamaco R.Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Hongli Huadi In. 
Mkt Cap1.34.20.60.2--0.9
P/S2.33.51.10.3--1.7
P/EBIT-47.1147.611.511.1--11.3
P/E-40.7120.215.218.2--16.7
P/CFO37.220.48.29.1--14.7
Total Yield-2.1%1.2%6.6%5.7%--3.4%
Dividend Yield0.3%0.4%0.0%0.2%--0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.1%2.1%4.9%26.5%--5.5%
D/E0.10.10.20.2--0.2
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.20.2--0.1

Returns

METCHCCNWPXFRDHLPHUDIMedian
NameRamaco R.Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Hongli Huadi In. 
1M Rtn-59.8%19.7%10.7%10.2%10.0%-8.2%10.1%
3M Rtn-18.6%30.6%9.7%28.5%144.4%9.1%19.1%
6M Rtn140.7%71.9%41.8%39.6%12.2%-23.3%40.7%
12M Rtn83.0%23.3%8.0%59.8%32.0%-37.6%27.7%
3Y Rtn27.5%145.9%66.9%150.4%--87.1%66.9%
1M Excs Rtn-55.2%21.6%8.7%8.3%12.0%-12.5%8.5%
3M Excs Rtn-11.5%29.8%6.9%28.3%142.3%5.4%17.6%
6M Excs Rtn126.9%58.0%27.9%25.7%-1.6%-37.2%26.8%
12M Excs Rtn66.8%0.8%-6.8%39.9%21.9%-49.5%11.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-48.5%46.9%-12.2%65.4%--166.5%-12.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment694566283169230
Total694566283169230


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,100,945
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-5.5%
Average Daily Volume4,518,889
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.35
Basic Shares Quantity61,087,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/2025-16.9%-18.0% 
7/31/2025-6.8%6.5%27.4%
3/10/202538.3%10.1%-9.4%
11/4/20249.5%23.7%38.7%
8/7/202413.0%4.1%-17.4%
3/7/20248.4%-12.2%-16.9%
11/7/20232.5%58.8%50.9%
8/8/2023-12.1%-13.1%-14.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151615
# Negative767
Median Positive8.0%8.3%6.5%
Median Negative-6.8%-12.4%-14.6%
Max Positive38.3%58.8%50.9%
Max Negative-16.9%-18.0%-17.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024317202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022314202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021401202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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