Ramaco Resources (METC)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $21.18 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Steel
Ramaco Resources (METC)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $21.18Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Steel
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Industrial Foundation. Themes include Metallurgical Coal Production, Steel Industry Raw Materials, and Infrastructure & Construction Materials Supply. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -9.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.9% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 37x | ||
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 141% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 399% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 103% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Industrial Foundation. Themes include Metallurgical Coal Production, Steel Industry Raw Materials, and Infrastructure & Construction Materials Supply. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -9.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.9% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 37x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 141% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 399% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 103% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
METC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Ramaco Resources (METC) experienced a 7.8% stock movement from July 31, 2025, to November 14, 2025, primarily influenced by strategic advancements in its rare earth and critical minerals business, coupled with strengthened financial liquidity.
1. Significant Progress in Rare Earths and Critical Minerals Strategy: Ramaco Resources made substantial strides in its transition to a dual-platform company, including the ceremonial opening of the Brook Mine in July 2025, marking the first new rare earth mine in the U.S. in over 70 years. During the third quarter of 2025, the company further advanced this strategy, projecting over $500 million in EBITDA by 2028 from the Brook Mine and increasing its base production level for the mine to approximately five million tons of coal per year, positioning itself as a key producer of individual rare earths and critical minerals.
2. Enhanced Financial Position Through Capital Raise: The company significantly bolstered its financial liquidity during Q3 2025 by issuing $200 million in common stock. This capital raise contributed to a record liquidity level of $272 million and a net cash position exceeding $77 million by the end of the quarter, providing robust financial flexibility despite a challenging metallurgical coal market.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| METC Return | -20% | 545% | 0% | -5% | -38% | 117% | 562% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 14% | -6% | 18% | -3% | 23% | 51% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| METC Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 0% | 42% | 25% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 28% | 39% | 43% | 49% | 53% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| METC Max Drawdown | -45% | 0% | 0% | -58% | -45% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -9% | -27% | -16% | -23% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HCC, NWPX, FRD, HLP, HUDI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | METC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 139.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 131 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -47.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 91.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 275 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -77.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 337.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 654 days | 120 days |
Compare to HCC, NWPX, FRD, HLP, HUDI
In The Past
Ramaco Resources's stock fell -58.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/29/2021. A -58.3% loss requires a 139.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to METC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.6% | 3.6% | -2.5% |
| 10312025 | SLGN | Silgan | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.3% | -0.3% | -1.5% |
| 10242025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -25.2% | -25.2% | -25.2% |
| 10242025 | NEM | Newmont | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.6% | 7.6% | -5.7% |
| 10242025 | RGLD | Royal Gold | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.8% | 3.8% | -7.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.6% | 3.6% | -2.5% |
| 10312025 | SLGN | Silgan | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.3% | -0.3% | -1.5% |
| 10242025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -25.2% | -25.2% | -25.2% |
| 10242025 | NEM | Newmont | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.6% | 7.6% | -5.7% |
| 10242025 | RGLD | Royal Gold | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.8% | 3.8% | -7.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ramaco Resources
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 22.15 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| Rev LTM | 550 |
| Op Inc LTM | 9 |
| FCF LTM | -11 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 26 |
| CFO LTM | 52 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 76 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -11.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 11.3 |
| P/E | 16.7 |
| P/CFO | 14.7 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 19.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 40.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 27.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 66.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 17.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 26.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 11.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -12.2% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/27/2025 | -16.9% | -18.0% | |
| 7/31/2025 | -6.8% | 6.5% | 27.4% |
| 3/10/2025 | 38.3% | 10.1% | -9.4% |
| 11/4/2024 | 9.5% | 23.7% | 38.7% |
| 8/7/2024 | 13.0% | 4.1% | -17.4% |
| 3/7/2024 | 8.4% | -12.2% | -16.9% |
| 11/7/2023 | 2.5% | 58.8% | 50.9% |
| 8/8/2023 | -12.1% | -13.1% | -14.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| # Negative | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -12.4% | -14.6% |
| Max Positive | 38.3% | 58.8% | 50.9% |
| Max Negative | -16.9% | -18.0% | -17.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3172025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |