Tearsheet

Mosaic (MOS)


Market Price (2/10/2026): $29.55 | Market Cap: $9.4 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Mosaic (MOS)


Market Price (2/10/2026): $29.55
Market Cap: $9.4 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture. Themes include Agricultural Productivity, Sustainable Nutrient Management, and Crop Nutrient Optimization.
  Key risks
MOS key risks include [1] concentrated exposure to volatile geopolitical, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture. Themes include Agricultural Productivity, Sustainable Nutrient Management, and Crop Nutrient Optimization.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%
6 Key risks
MOS key risks include [1] concentrated exposure to volatile geopolitical, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Mosaic (MOS) stock has gained about 10% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Optimistic Outlook for 2026 Fertilizer Demand.Despite a challenging fourth quarter in 2025, Mosaic anticipates a "more constructive 2026" driven by growers expected to replenish nutrients following strong crop yields. Industry projections suggest that global phosphate and potash shipments could reach record levels in 2026, contributing to a positive market sentiment. Analysts also noted that fertilizer prices had already responded positively to global demand at the start of the year.

2. Persistent Chinese Phosphate Export Restrictions.Ongoing restrictions on phosphate exports from China, a major global producer, are expected to continue through at least the first half of 2026. This constraint on global supply is a significant factor in tightening the phosphate market and supporting elevated prices, which Mosaic specifically highlighted as a positive for its 2026 outlook.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.7% change in MOS stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)103120252092026Change
Stock Price ($)27.2029.568.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,25311,8955.7%
Net Income Margin (%)8.4%10.3%23.7%
P/E Multiple9.27.6-16.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3173170.0%
Cumulative Contribution8.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MOS8.7% 
Market (SPY)1.7%13.0%
Sector (XLB)21.8%52.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -16.6% change in MOS stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -75.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252092026Change
Stock Price ($)35.4429.56-16.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,06411,8957.5%
Net Income Margin (%)3.3%10.3%210.9%
P/E Multiple30.57.6-75.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)317317-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-16.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MOS-16.6% 
Market (SPY)10.1%16.0%
Sector (XLB)19.5%46.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 9.3% change in MOS stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 218.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120252092026Change
Stock Price ($)27.0429.569.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,45611,8953.8%
Net Income Margin (%)3.2%10.3%218.9%
P/E Multiple23.27.6-67.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3183170.3%
Cumulative Contribution9.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MOS9.3% 
Market (SPY)16.3%33.8%
Sector (XLB)19.3%49.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -34.9% change in MOS stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -48.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120232092026Change
Stock Price ($)45.4429.56-34.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)18,48511,895-35.7%
Net Income Margin (%)20.1%10.3%-48.7%
P/E Multiple4.27.681.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3443178.4%
Cumulative Contribution-34.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MOS-34.9% 
Market (SPY)77.1%33.0%
Sector (XLB)30.1%51.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MOS Return72%13%-16%-29%1%19%38%
Peers Return49%6%-22%-3%2%13%40%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MOS Win Rate75%58%50%25%50%100% 
Peers Win Rate60%55%40%52%50%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MOS Max Drawdown0%-1%-27%-31%-7%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-6%-13%-36%-17%-19%-1% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NTR, CF, IPI, FMC, CTVA. See MOS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/9/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMOSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-59.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven146.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven214.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven251 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-52.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven109.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven619 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven622.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to NTR, CF, IPI, FMC, CTVA

In The Past

Mosaic's stock fell -59.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2022. A -59.4% loss requires a 146.5% gain to breakeven.

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About Mosaic (MOS)

The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. It owns and operates mines, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and ammoniated phosphate products; and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients primarily under the Biofos and Nexfos brand names, as well as produces a double sulfate of potash magnesia product under K-Mag brand name. The company also produces and sells potash for use in the manufacturing of mixed crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients, and for industrial use; and for use in the de-icing and as a water softener regenerant. In addition, it provides nitrogen-based crop nutrients, animal feed ingredients, and other ancillary services; and purchases and sells phosphates, potash, and nitrogen products. The company sells its products to wholesale distributors, retail chains, farmers, cooperatives, independent retailers, and national accounts. The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • The Aramco of agriculture.
  • A BHP or Rio Tinto for crop nutrients.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Potash: A vital crop nutrient, primarily used as a fertilizer, essential for crop health, yield, and quality.
  • Phosphates: Key macronutrients, derived from phosphate rock, extensively used in fertilizers to support plant growth and development.
  • Animal Feed Ingredients: Phosphate-based products that provide essential minerals to improve livestock nutrition and health.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Mosaic (symbol: MOS) primarily sells its products to other companies within the agricultural sector. Due to the diversified nature of its global sales channels and broad customer base, Mosaic does not publicly disclose specific major customer companies by name and stock symbol in its financial filings. This is because no single customer typically accounts for a material portion (e.g., 10% or more) of its consolidated net sales, which would trigger individual disclosure requirements. Instead, Mosaic's customer base consists of various categories of companies and entities across the agricultural value chain. These major customer categories include:
  • Agricultural Retailers and Wholesalers/Distributors: These companies purchase concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients from Mosaic and then distribute or sell them to individual farmers and other agricultural businesses. This is a significant distribution channel, particularly in North America.
  • Agricultural Cooperatives: Large farmer-owned cooperatives serve as a vital customer segment, purchasing fertilizers from Mosaic to supply their farmer members with necessary crop inputs.
  • Large Growers and Agribusinesses: Especially in key regions like South America (e.g., Brazil and Paraguay), Mosaic has a direct sales presence and sells directly to large-scale farming operations and integrated agricultural companies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Bruce Bodine, President and Chief Executive Officer

Bruce Bodine was named President of The Mosaic Company in August 2023 and became Chief Executive Officer in January 2024. He previously served as Mosaic’s Senior Vice President—North America since April 2020 and led enterprise operations in 2022. Prior to that, Bodine led the Phosphates and Potash business units as Senior Vice President. Mr. Bodine began his career in the industry in 1994, accumulating over 25 years with Mosaic or its predecessor companies, primarily in engineering and operations within the phosphate business.

Luciano Siani Pires, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Luciano Siani Pires was named Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in November 2024, with an effective date of January 1, 2025. He previously served on The Mosaic Company's Board of Directors from 2018 to 2022. Prior to joining Mosaic, Mr. Siani Pires held various leadership roles at Vale S.A., a global mining company, including Executive Vice President of Strategy and Business Development and Chief Financial Officer. He also held significant roles at Brazil's National Development Bank and served as chairman of the Board of Directors of VLI S.A.

Yijun "Jenny" Wang, Executive Vice President, Commercial

Yijun “Jenny” Wang was named Executive Vice President, Commercial, in January 2024. In this role, she leads enterprise-wide commercial organizations, Mosaic Biosciences, and Global Strategic Marketing, with responsibilities for global sales, marketing, product management, new product research and development, and market and strategic analysis. Ms. Wang joined Mosaic in 2011 as the Country Head for China. Before her tenure at Mosaic, she held various leadership roles in Sales and Marketing, Strategy and Business Development, Global Product Management, and as Country Managing Director at Syngenta for 16 years in China, Vietnam, and its global headquarters in Switzerland.

Karen A. Swager, Executive Vice President, Operations

Karen A. Swager was named Senior Vice President - Supply Chain effective April 1, 2020, and also provides executive oversight for the Procurement and corporate Environment, Health, and Safety (EHS) teams. From January 2019 until her appointment as Senior Vice President - Supply Chain, she served as Senior Vice President - Potash. Previously, Ms. Swager held leadership positions at Mosaic, including Vice President - Minerals, Vice President - Mining Operations, and General Manager in the Phosphates business. She also led the mine planning and strategy group for the Phosphates business.

Philip Eugene Bauer, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Philip Eugene Bauer was promoted to Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary in January 2023. Since joining Mosaic in 2007, Mr. Bauer has provided legal support for various activities including business development, potash operations, offshore finance, commercial transactions, and corporate governance. Most recently, he served as Vice President—Growth and Development, where he contributed to the strategic vision across the organization.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Mosaic Company (MOS) faces several key risks inherent to its position as a major global producer of phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The most significant risks include:

  1. Fertilizer Price Volatility: Mosaic's financial performance is heavily influenced by the volatile global prices of potash and phosphate. Fluctuations in these commodity prices directly impact the company's revenue, gross margins, and overall profitability. The business can experience significant swings from periods of high demand and strong pricing to periods of decline, with the market, rather than Mosaic, largely determining its revenue.
  2. Cyclical and Climate-Dependent Nature of Agriculture: The agricultural industry, which drives demand for Mosaic's products, is inherently cyclical and highly dependent on climate and weather conditions. Factors such as droughts, floods, and other severe weather events can disrupt farming, reduce crop prices, and significantly impact farmer spending on fertilizers, leading to reduced demand. Operational results are highly dependent on these external factors, which can significantly affect profitability and production volumes.
  3. Geopolitical and International Market Volatility: As a global company with substantial assets and operations outside North America, particularly in Brazil, Mosaic is exposed to volatile economic, market, and political conditions in various countries. This includes risks related to changing government policies (such as export restrictions or subsidy programs), credit issues in agricultural markets (like those seen in Brazil), and general market instability, all of which can negatively affect sales, cash flow, and operational efficiency.

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The increasing adoption and efficacy of biological solutions in agriculture, including bio-stimulants, bio-fertilizers, and microbial inoculants, represent a clear emerging threat. These technologies aim to enhance nutrient use efficiency, improve crop resilience, and in some cases, directly contribute to plant nutrition, potentially reducing farmers' reliance on traditional synthetic phosphate and potash fertilizers. Significant investment and research are focused on developing these alternatives, and their market penetration is growing, offering an alternative pathway to crop productivity with potentially lower inputs of conventional fertilizers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Mosaic Company (MOS) primarily operates in the production and marketing of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients, which include fertilizers and animal feed ingredients. They are recognized as the largest U.S. producer of potash and phosphate fertilizer.

Addressable Markets for Mosaic's Main Products:

Potash:

  • The global potash market size was estimated at USD 62.37 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 93.50 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.3% from 2025 to 2032. Other estimates place the global potash market at USD 74.86 billion in 2024, anticipated to reach USD 119.46 billion by 2033 with a CAGR of 5.33% from 2025 to 2033. Another report values the global potash market at USD 63.00 billion in 2024, expecting it to increase to approximately USD 101.57 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 4.89% from 2025 to 2034.

Phosphate (including Phosphate Fertilizers):

  • The global phosphate market size is projected at USD 37.81 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 52.73 billion by 2033 with a CAGR of 3.8%. The global phosphate fertilizer market is projected to grow from USD 61.42 billion in 2025 to USD 101.00 billion by 2035, registering a robust CAGR of 5.1%. Another report estimated the global phosphate fertilizer market size at USD 61.63 billion in 2021, projecting it to reach USD 176.06 billion by 2040, growing at a CAGR of 5.7% from 2022 to 2040.
  • For phosphate rock, a primary source for phosphate products, the global market size is poised to reach US$ 26.29 billion in 2024 and is projected to ascend at a CAGR of 3.3% to reach US$ 36.37 billion by 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Mosaic Company (MOS) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions:

  1. Increased Production Volumes and Operational Efficiency: Mosaic is focusing on boosting its potash and phosphate production volumes and enhancing operational reliability to improve output and reduce costs. This includes investments in projects like the Esterhazy Hydrofloat, which aims to reduce potash production costs, and initiatives to increase phosphate rock production in Brazil. The company projects potash production to increase to 8.7-9.1 million metric tonnes and phosphate production to rise to 7.4-7.6 million tonnes in 2025.
  2. Expansion in Key Agricultural Regions: The company is expanding its market presence and optimizing operations in significant agricultural markets, particularly in North America, Brazil, and India. Strategic investments in Brazil, such as the completion of a 1 million tonne blending facility in Palmeirante by Q3 2025, are designed to enhance distribution capabilities and capture accelerating demand in these international markets.
  3. Enhanced Product Portfolio with Differentiated Products: Mosaic is committed to growing sales of performance and co-products by enhancing its product portfolio with differentiated offerings. This includes developing micronutrient-enhanced fertilizers and other premium products aimed at improving nutrient use efficiency and crop yields, aligning with modern agricultural practices and offering higher value.
  4. Growth of Mosaic Biosciences: The Mosaic Biosciences segment is a newer area of growth for the company, diversifying its portfolio into higher-value, sustainable products. This segment has shown significant revenue growth, doubling in the first half of 2025 and targeting $70 million in annual sales, with expectations of achieving positive EBITDA.
  5. Strong Global Agricultural Demand: Underlying these growth drivers is the anticipated increase in global demand for crop nutrients. Strong fundamentals in grain and oilseed sectors are expected to drive fertilizer demand, particularly due to rising global food needs and the demand for biofuels, which directly impact Mosaic's revenue and profitability.

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Share Repurchases

  • In August 2021, Mosaic announced a new $1 billion share repurchase authorization, replacing a previous authorization that had $700 million remaining.
  • Mosaic entered into a $400 million accelerated share repurchase (ASR) agreement in February 2022, which was expected to be completed in the second quarter of 2022.
  • Since 2021, Mosaic has actively implemented a share buyback program, leading to a reduction of almost 16% in the number of shares outstanding through 2024.

Share Issuance

  • No significant share issuances by Mosaic (MOS) have been reported over the last 3-5 years. The company's share count has primarily decreased due to repurchases.

Inbound Investments

  • No large inbound investments by third-parties, such as strategic partners or private equity firms, into The Mosaic Company (MOS) have been reported within the last 3-5 years.

Outbound Investments

  • In April 2024, Mosaic entered an agreement to exchange its 25% stake in the Ma'aden Wa'ad Al Shamal Phosphate Company joint venture for approximately 111 million shares of the Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden), valued at roughly $1.5 billion. This transaction closed in December 2024.
  • Mosaic completed the sale of its inactive Patos de Minas phosphate mining unit in Brazil for $111 million in October 2025.
  • In November 2025, Mosaic completed the sale of its Taquari potash mine for $27 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for the third quarter of 2025 were $364 million, an increase from $241 million in the same quarter of the prior year, primarily due to higher sustaining capital expenditures in the Phosphate segment.
  • Total capital expenditures for the full year 2025 are expected to be approximately $1.3 billion.
  • A primary focus of capital expenditures between 2023 and 2025 has been on normalizing phosphate production and reducing costs, including completing ten catch-up turnarounds.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

MOSNTRCFIPIFMCCTVAMedian
NameMosaic Nutrien CF Indus.Intrepid.FMC Corteva  
Mkt Price29.5670.0894.9434.3815.3973.6252.23
Mkt Cap9.434.015.30.41.950.012.3
Rev LTM11,89526,6246,7362783,60817,4699,315
Op Inc LTM1,0233,5782,09774332,7161,560
FCF LTM-2042,1321,71028-4092,669869
FCF 3Y Avg5132,4491,5749-401,421967
CFO LTM1,1004,1532,63354-3183,2191,867
CFO 3Y Avg1,8484,7892,60961621,9901,919

Growth & Margins

MOSNTRCFIPIFMCCTVAMedian
NameMosaic Nutrien CF Indus.Intrepid.FMC Corteva  
Rev Chg LTM3.8%0.3%12.6%8.9%-13.4%5.0%4.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-12.9%-10.6%-13.5%-6.1%-13.6%0.8%-11.7%
Rev Chg Q22.8%12.3%21.1%-7.5%-49.1%12.6%12.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.7%2.5%4.5%-1.5%-12.7%1.7%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM8.6%13.4%31.1%2.5%12.0%15.5%12.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.1%13.7%33.2%1.6%15.4%13.0%13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.5%2.0%1.9%0.9%-4.8%0.9%1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM9.2%15.6%39.1%19.6%-8.8%18.4%17.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.1%17.0%38.5%22.3%1.2%11.6%15.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.7%8.0%25.4%10.0%-11.3%15.3%9.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.5%8.7%22.3%3.7%-1.2%8.3%6.0%

Valuation

MOSNTRCFIPIFMCCTVAMedian
NameMosaic Nutrien CF Indus.Intrepid.FMC Corteva  
Mkt Cap9.434.015.30.41.950.012.3
P/S0.81.32.31.60.52.91.4
P/EBIT4.910.56.91,703.4875.820.015.3
P/E7.618.811.1-2.3-3.631.19.4
P/CFO8.58.25.88.2-6.115.58.2
Total Yield16.1%8.4%11.2%-43.6%-20.2%3.4%5.9%
Dividend Yield3.0%3.1%2.2%0.0%7.6%0.2%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.5%9.4%11.1%2.7%-6.0%3.3%3.9%
D/E0.50.40.20.02.40.10.3
Net D/E0.50.40.1-0.22.10.00.3

Returns

MOSNTRCFIPIFMCCTVAMedian
NameMosaic Nutrien CF Indus.Intrepid.FMC Corteva  
1M Rtn13.8%17.2%14.9%14.0%1.3%7.2%13.9%
3M Rtn15.2%19.9%14.6%30.8%9.9%12.6%14.9%
6M Rtn-7.6%26.7%16.3%19.7%-55.2%2.1%9.2%
12M Rtn13.6%44.8%15.7%36.4%-53.1%19.3%17.5%
3Y Rtn-37.2%-0.6%12.5%4.6%-86.8%18.1%2.0%
1M Excs Rtn11.0%16.6%16.1%16.6%1.9%4.3%13.6%
3M Excs Rtn16.1%23.5%13.6%40.0%15.7%13.3%15.9%
6M Excs Rtn-15.1%19.1%9.7%11.1%-65.0%-4.7%2.5%
12M Excs Rtn0.6%29.7%1.1%19.7%-69.1%4.8%2.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-103.2%-72.5%-46.9%-63.2%-153.2%-43.8%-67.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Phosphates10,2969,5708,7767,0227,184
Potash8,9729,5828,3137,6157,219
Mosaic Fertilizantes5,2565,5634,9084,1283,975
Corporate, Eliminations and Other-1,491-1,329391,025921
Total23,03323,38622,03619,79019,298


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$29.56 
Market Cap ($ Bil)9.4 
First Trading Date01/26/1988 
Distance from 52W High-20.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$25.81$30.69
DMA Trendindeterminateindeterminate
Distance from DMA14.5%-3.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility39.6%38.9%
Downside Capture-4.1639.08
Upside Capture75.9245.72
Correlation (SPY)5.7%34.0%
MOS Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.75-0.660.290.500.690.79
Up Beta-0.48-0.020.04-0.330.800.76
Down Beta-1.42-2.24-0.101.400.870.94
Up Capture123%74%56%-5%28%24%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days11192958124370
Down Capture-199%-33%58%80%57%97%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days9223266126380

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MOS
MOS15.2%38.9%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLB)18.6%20.8%0.7250.2%
Equity (SPY)15.5%19.4%0.6234.0%
Gold (GLD)78.8%24.9%2.3022.5%
Commodities (DBC)9.9%16.6%0.4040.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%16.5%0.1131.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.0%44.8%-0.5723.2%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MOS
MOS3.8%41.5%0.22-
Sector ETF (XLB)9.6%18.9%0.4052.3%
Equity (SPY)14.2%17.0%0.6737.1%
Gold (GLD)22.3%16.9%1.0716.4%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.9%0.4937.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%18.8%0.1732.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.7%58.0%0.4717.2%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MOS
MOS4.1%44.9%0.26-
Sector ETF (XLB)12.5%20.7%0.5459.4%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7445.6%
Gold (GLD)15.8%15.5%0.858.6%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%17.6%0.3939.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.0%20.7%0.2537.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)69.0%66.8%1.0814.8%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 12312025-7.1%
Average Daily Volume7.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity317.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-1.2%-3.2%-10.3%
8/5/2025-13.3%-12.6%-8.6%
2/27/2025-4.7%-0.6%9.6%
11/12/2024-7.7%-7.9%-3.7%
8/6/2024-1.4%4.1%-0.9%
5/1/2024-5.1%-1.2%3.3%
2/21/20246.6%2.2%6.7%
11/7/20232.6%12.5%13.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101212
# Negative121010
Median Positive2.6%6.0%9.9%
Median Negative-8.0%-8.0%-9.4%
Max Positive13.5%34.5%54.1%
Max Negative-13.3%-13.9%-55.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202403/03/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q
12/31/202102/23/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Kuzenko, Jody Lynne DirectBuy1113202525.5368517,488218,818Form
2Precourt, Walter F IiiSVP - Chief Admin OfficerDirectSell602202535.7318,000643,1404,592,949Form
3Bodine, Bruce MPresident and CEODirectSell509202531.56180,708  Form