Mosaic (MOS)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $24.35 | Market Cap: $7.7 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
Mosaic (MOS)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $24.35Market Cap: $7.7 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -118% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture. Themes include Agricultural Productivity, Sustainable Nutrient Management, and Crop Nutrient Optimization. | Key risksMOS key risks include [1] concentrated exposure to volatile geopolitical, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture. Themes include Agricultural Productivity, Sustainable Nutrient Management, and Crop Nutrient Optimization. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -118% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7% |
| Key risksMOS key risks include [1] concentrated exposure to volatile geopolitical, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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Here are five key points highlighting why The Mosaic Company (MOS) stock moved by -26% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 23, 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Phosphate Production Shortfall and Operational Issues: Mosaic's third-quarter 2025 earnings report, released on November 4, 2025, indicated that phosphate production volumes of 1.7 million tonnes fell below management's expectations for the quarter. This shortfall was attributed to unexpected mechanical issues at the Riverview sulfuric acid plant and utility interruptions at Bartow in mid-September. The preliminary announcement of these issues on October 10, 2025, led to an 8% drop in Mosaic's stock and a downgrade to "sector perform" by RBC Capital Markets, with analysts expressing concern that phosphate operational issues might persist.2. Phosphate Production Curtailments in Brazil: On December 16, 2025, Mosaic announced it began idling single super phosphate (SSP) production at its Fospar and Araxá facilities in Brazil due to a sharp rise in sulfur prices. This decision to curtail production negatively impacted investor sentiment, with Mosaic's stock declining by 5.63% on the day of the announcement.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.6% change in MOS stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -43.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9222025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.13 | 24.32 | -26.58% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11253.40 | 11894.60 | 5.70% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.35% | 10.33% | 23.72% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.18 | 6.28 | -43.84% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 317.30 | 317.40 | -0.03% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.58% |
Market Drivers
9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MOS | -26.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.7% | 34.5% |
| Sector (XLB) | 1.1% | 48.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -31.4% change in MOS stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -79.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6232025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.47 | 24.32 | -31.44% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11064.30 | 11894.60 | 7.50% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.32% | 10.33% | 210.87% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.57 | 6.28 | -79.46% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 317.00 | 317.40 | -0.13% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -31.44% |
Market Drivers
6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MOS | -31.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.4% | 17.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 5.6% | 36.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.2% change in MOS stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 218.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12222024 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.33 | 24.32 | 4.23% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11456.40 | 11894.60 | 3.82% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.24% | 10.33% | 218.94% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.01 | 6.28 | -68.62% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 318.40 | 317.40 | 0.31% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.23% |
Market Drivers
12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MOS | 4.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.9% | 35.4% |
| Sector (XLB) | 8.9% | 47.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -41.3% change in MOS stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -48.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12232022 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 41.40 | 24.32 | -41.26% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18484.90 | 11894.60 | -35.65% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 20.15% | 10.33% | -48.71% |
| P/E Multiple | 3.83 | 6.28 | 64.13% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 344.20 | 317.40 | 7.79% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -41.61% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MOS | -28.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 47.7% | 33.1% |
| Sector (XLB) | 10.2% | 49.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MOS Return | 8% | 72% | 13% | -16% | -29% | -0% | 24% |
| Peers Return | 6% | 49% | 6% | -22% | -3% | 1% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 113% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MOS Win Rate | 75% | 75% | 58% | 50% | 25% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 60% | 55% | 40% | 52% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MOS Max Drawdown | -68% | 0% | -1% | -27% | -31% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -6% | -13% | -36% | -17% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NTR, CF, IPI, FMC, CTVA. See MOS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MOS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -59.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 146.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 214.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 251 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -52.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 619 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -86.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 622.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to CF, FMC, CMP, LXU, IPI
In The Past
Mosaic's stock fell -59.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2022. A -59.4% loss requires a 146.5% gain to breakeven.
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The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. It owns and operates mines, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and ammoniated phosphate products; and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients primarily under the Biofos and Nexfos brand names, as well as produces a double sulfate of potash magnesia product under K-Mag brand name. The company also produces and sells potash for use in the manufacturing of mixed crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients, and for industrial use; and for use in the de-icing and as a water softener regenerant. In addition, it provides nitrogen-based crop nutrients, animal feed ingredients, and other ancillary services; and purchases and sells phosphates, potash, and nitrogen products. The company sells its products to wholesale distributors, retail chains, farmers, cooperatives, independent retailers, and national accounts. The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
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```html- The Aramco of agriculture.
- A BHP or Rio Tinto for crop nutrients.
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- Potash: A vital crop nutrient, primarily used as a fertilizer, essential for crop health, yield, and quality.
- Phosphates: Key macronutrients, derived from phosphate rock, extensively used in fertilizers to support plant growth and development.
- Animal Feed Ingredients: Phosphate-based products that provide essential minerals to improve livestock nutrition and health.
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Mosaic (symbol: MOS) primarily sells its products to other companies within the agricultural sector. Due to the diversified nature of its global sales channels and broad customer base, Mosaic does not publicly disclose specific major customer companies by name and stock symbol in its financial filings. This is because no single customer typically accounts for a material portion (e.g., 10% or more) of its consolidated net sales, which would trigger individual disclosure requirements. Instead, Mosaic's customer base consists of various categories of companies and entities across the agricultural value chain. These major customer categories include:- Agricultural Retailers and Wholesalers/Distributors: These companies purchase concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients from Mosaic and then distribute or sell them to individual farmers and other agricultural businesses. This is a significant distribution channel, particularly in North America.
- Agricultural Cooperatives: Large farmer-owned cooperatives serve as a vital customer segment, purchasing fertilizers from Mosaic to supply their farmer members with necessary crop inputs.
- Large Growers and Agribusinesses: Especially in key regions like South America (e.g., Brazil and Paraguay), Mosaic has a direct sales presence and sells directly to large-scale farming operations and integrated agricultural companies.
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Bruce Bodine, President and Chief Executive Officer
Bruce Bodine was named President of The Mosaic Company in August 2023 and became Chief Executive Officer in January 2024. He previously served as Mosaic’s Senior Vice President—North America since April 2020 and led enterprise operations in 2022. Prior to that, Bodine led the Phosphates and Potash business units as Senior Vice President. Mr. Bodine began his career in the industry in 1994, accumulating over 25 years with Mosaic or its predecessor companies, primarily in engineering and operations within the phosphate business.
Luciano Siani Pires, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Luciano Siani Pires was named Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in November 2024, with an effective date of January 1, 2025. He previously served on The Mosaic Company's Board of Directors from 2018 to 2022. Prior to joining Mosaic, Mr. Siani Pires held various leadership roles at Vale S.A., a global mining company, including Executive Vice President of Strategy and Business Development and Chief Financial Officer. He also held significant roles at Brazil's National Development Bank and served as chairman of the Board of Directors of VLI S.A.
Yijun "Jenny" Wang, Executive Vice President, Commercial
Yijun “Jenny” Wang was named Executive Vice President, Commercial, in January 2024. In this role, she leads enterprise-wide commercial organizations, Mosaic Biosciences, and Global Strategic Marketing, with responsibilities for global sales, marketing, product management, new product research and development, and market and strategic analysis. Ms. Wang joined Mosaic in 2011 as the Country Head for China. Before her tenure at Mosaic, she held various leadership roles in Sales and Marketing, Strategy and Business Development, Global Product Management, and as Country Managing Director at Syngenta for 16 years in China, Vietnam, and its global headquarters in Switzerland.
Karen A. Swager, Executive Vice President, Operations
Karen A. Swager was named Senior Vice President - Supply Chain effective April 1, 2020, and also provides executive oversight for the Procurement and corporate Environment, Health, and Safety (EHS) teams. From January 2019 until her appointment as Senior Vice President - Supply Chain, she served as Senior Vice President - Potash. Previously, Ms. Swager held leadership positions at Mosaic, including Vice President - Minerals, Vice President - Mining Operations, and General Manager in the Phosphates business. She also led the mine planning and strategy group for the Phosphates business.
Philip Eugene Bauer, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Philip Eugene Bauer was promoted to Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary in January 2023. Since joining Mosaic in 2007, Mr. Bauer has provided legal support for various activities including business development, potash operations, offshore finance, commercial transactions, and corporate governance. Most recently, he served as Vice President—Growth and Development, where he contributed to the strategic vision across the organization.
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The Mosaic Company (MOS) faces several key risks inherent to its position as a major global producer of phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The most significant risks include:
- Fertilizer Price Volatility: Mosaic's financial performance is heavily influenced by the volatile global prices of potash and phosphate. Fluctuations in these commodity prices directly impact the company's revenue, gross margins, and overall profitability. The business can experience significant swings from periods of high demand and strong pricing to periods of decline, with the market, rather than Mosaic, largely determining its revenue.
- Cyclical and Climate-Dependent Nature of Agriculture: The agricultural industry, which drives demand for Mosaic's products, is inherently cyclical and highly dependent on climate and weather conditions. Factors such as droughts, floods, and other severe weather events can disrupt farming, reduce crop prices, and significantly impact farmer spending on fertilizers, leading to reduced demand. Operational results are highly dependent on these external factors, which can significantly affect profitability and production volumes.
- Geopolitical and International Market Volatility: As a global company with substantial assets and operations outside North America, particularly in Brazil, Mosaic is exposed to volatile economic, market, and political conditions in various countries. This includes risks related to changing government policies (such as export restrictions or subsidy programs), credit issues in agricultural markets (like those seen in Brazil), and general market instability, all of which can negatively affect sales, cash flow, and operational efficiency.
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The increasing adoption and efficacy of biological solutions in agriculture, including bio-stimulants, bio-fertilizers, and microbial inoculants, represent a clear emerging threat. These technologies aim to enhance nutrient use efficiency, improve crop resilience, and in some cases, directly contribute to plant nutrition, potentially reducing farmers' reliance on traditional synthetic phosphate and potash fertilizers. Significant investment and research are focused on developing these alternatives, and their market penetration is growing, offering an alternative pathway to crop productivity with potentially lower inputs of conventional fertilizers.
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The Mosaic Company (MOS) primarily operates in the production and marketing of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients, which include fertilizers and animal feed ingredients. They are recognized as the largest U.S. producer of potash and phosphate fertilizer.
Addressable Markets for Mosaic's Main Products:
Potash:
- The global potash market size was estimated at USD 62.37 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 93.50 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.3% from 2025 to 2032. Other estimates place the global potash market at USD 74.86 billion in 2024, anticipated to reach USD 119.46 billion by 2033 with a CAGR of 5.33% from 2025 to 2033. Another report values the global potash market at USD 63.00 billion in 2024, expecting it to increase to approximately USD 101.57 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 4.89% from 2025 to 2034.
Phosphate (including Phosphate Fertilizers):
- The global phosphate market size is projected at USD 37.81 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 52.73 billion by 2033 with a CAGR of 3.8%. The global phosphate fertilizer market is projected to grow from USD 61.42 billion in 2025 to USD 101.00 billion by 2035, registering a robust CAGR of 5.1%. Another report estimated the global phosphate fertilizer market size at USD 61.63 billion in 2021, projecting it to reach USD 176.06 billion by 2040, growing at a CAGR of 5.7% from 2022 to 2040.
- For phosphate rock, a primary source for phosphate products, the global market size is poised to reach US$ 26.29 billion in 2024 and is projected to ascend at a CAGR of 3.3% to reach US$ 36.37 billion by 2034.
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The Mosaic Company (MOS) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions:
- Increased Production Volumes and Operational Efficiency: Mosaic is focusing on boosting its potash and phosphate production volumes and enhancing operational reliability to improve output and reduce costs. This includes investments in projects like the Esterhazy Hydrofloat, which aims to reduce potash production costs, and initiatives to increase phosphate rock production in Brazil. The company projects potash production to increase to 8.7-9.1 million metric tonnes and phosphate production to rise to 7.4-7.6 million tonnes in 2025.
- Expansion in Key Agricultural Regions: The company is expanding its market presence and optimizing operations in significant agricultural markets, particularly in North America, Brazil, and India. Strategic investments in Brazil, such as the completion of a 1 million tonne blending facility in Palmeirante by Q3 2025, are designed to enhance distribution capabilities and capture accelerating demand in these international markets.
- Enhanced Product Portfolio with Differentiated Products: Mosaic is committed to growing sales of performance and co-products by enhancing its product portfolio with differentiated offerings. This includes developing micronutrient-enhanced fertilizers and other premium products aimed at improving nutrient use efficiency and crop yields, aligning with modern agricultural practices and offering higher value.
- Growth of Mosaic Biosciences: The Mosaic Biosciences segment is a newer area of growth for the company, diversifying its portfolio into higher-value, sustainable products. This segment has shown significant revenue growth, doubling in the first half of 2025 and targeting $70 million in annual sales, with expectations of achieving positive EBITDA.
- Strong Global Agricultural Demand: Underlying these growth drivers is the anticipated increase in global demand for crop nutrients. Strong fundamentals in grain and oilseed sectors are expected to drive fertilizer demand, particularly due to rising global food needs and the demand for biofuels, which directly impact Mosaic's revenue and profitability.
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Share Repurchases
- In August 2021, Mosaic announced a new $1 billion share repurchase authorization, replacing a previous authorization that had $700 million remaining.
- Mosaic entered into a $400 million accelerated share repurchase (ASR) agreement in February 2022, which was expected to be completed in the second quarter of 2022.
- Since 2021, Mosaic has actively implemented a share buyback program, leading to a reduction of almost 16% in the number of shares outstanding through 2024.
Share Issuance
- No significant share issuances by Mosaic (MOS) have been reported over the last 3-5 years. The company's share count has primarily decreased due to repurchases.
Inbound Investments
- No large inbound investments by third-parties, such as strategic partners or private equity firms, into The Mosaic Company (MOS) have been reported within the last 3-5 years.
Outbound Investments
- In April 2024, Mosaic entered an agreement to exchange its 25% stake in the Ma'aden Wa'ad Al Shamal Phosphate Company joint venture for approximately 111 million shares of the Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden), valued at roughly $1.5 billion. This transaction closed in December 2024.
- Mosaic completed the sale of its inactive Patos de Minas phosphate mining unit in Brazil for $111 million in October 2025.
- In November 2025, Mosaic completed the sale of its Taquari potash mine for $27 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the third quarter of 2025 were $364 million, an increase from $241 million in the same quarter of the prior year, primarily due to higher sustaining capital expenditures in the Phosphate segment.
- Total capital expenditures for the full year 2025 are expected to be approximately $1.3 billion.
- A primary focus of capital expenditures between 2023 and 2025 has been on normalizing phosphate production and reducing costs, including completing ten catch-up turnarounds.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Mosaic Earnings Notes | ||
| Mosaic Earnings Notes | ||
| Day 8 of Loss Streak for Mosaic Stock with -13% Return (vs. 9% YTD) [11/5/2025] | Notification | |
| Day 7 of Loss Streak for Mosaic Stock with -10% Return (vs. 10% YTD) [11/4/2025] | Notification | |
| Day 7 of Loss Streak for Mosaic Stock with -11% Return (vs. 10% YTD) [11/4/2025] | Notification | |
| null | ||
| How Does Mosaic Stock Compare With Others? | ||
| Big Move for MOS, but Do CF's Margins and Growth Give It the Edge? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| Mosaic vs Newmont: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| Mosaic vs CF Industries: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MOS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.2% | 8.2% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.4% | -1.4% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 53.6% | 53.6% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 28.6% | 28.6% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.5% |
| 12312024 | MOS | Mosaic | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 51.9% | 2.1% | -6.6% |
| 12312022 | MOS | Mosaic | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.0% | -16.4% | -26.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Mosaic
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 44.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.1 |
| Rev LTM | 9,315 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,560 |
| FCF LTM | 869 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 967 |
| CFO LTM | 1,867 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,919 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -11.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.1 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 7.7 |
| P/CFO | 6.8 |
| Total Yield | 6.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -21.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -7.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -33.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -88.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $24.32 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 7.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/26/1988 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -34.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $25.96 | $30.53 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -6.3% | -20.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 42.3% | 39.1% |
| Downside Capture | 183.97 | 53.17 |
| Upside Capture | 10.28 | 48.93 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 32.7% | 35.4% |
MOS Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.03 | 1.54 | 1.39 | 0.57 | 0.75 | 0.82 |
| Up Beta | 0.27 | 0.57 | 0.51 | -0.27 | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| Down Beta | 1.75 | 2.30 | 2.63 | 2.26 | 0.98 | 0.97 |
| Up Capture | -1% | -4% | 2% | -33% | 36% | 24% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 15 | 24 | 56 | 121 | 369 |
| Down Capture | 176% | 241% | 187% | 80% | 72% | 99% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 25 | 37 | 68 | 125 | 379 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of MOS With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOS | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -1.4% | 5.9% | 14.7% | 67.3% | 6.8% | -0.5% | -16.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 39.1% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 35.4% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.05 | 0.17 | 0.57 | 2.54 | 0.23 | -0.18 | -0.25 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 48.5% | 36.6% | 15.3% | 37.4% | 32.1% | 23.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of MOS With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOS | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 3.6% | 7.6% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 35.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 41.7% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.21 | 0.30 | 0.71 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.63 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 52.8% | 37.7% | 15.2% | 37.9% | 31.8% | 17.0% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of MOS With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOS | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 0.3% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 69.9% |
| Annualized Volatility | 45.1% | 20.8% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.17 | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 59.6% | 46.1% | 7.2% | 39.8% | 37.1% | 14.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -1.2% | -3.2% | -10.3% |
| 8/5/2025 | -13.3% | -12.6% | -8.6% |
| 2/27/2025 | -4.7% | -0.6% | 9.6% |
| 11/12/2024 | -7.7% | -7.9% | -3.7% |
| 8/6/2024 | -1.4% | 4.1% | -0.9% |
| 5/1/2024 | -5.1% | -1.2% | 3.3% |
| 2/21/2024 | 6.6% | 2.2% | 6.7% |
| 11/7/2023 | 2.6% | 12.5% | 13.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | 6.0% | 9.9% |
| Median Negative | -8.0% | -8.0% | -9.4% |
| Max Positive | 13.5% | 34.5% | 54.1% |
| Max Negative | -13.3% | -13.9% | -55.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Kuzenko Jody Lynne | 11132025 | Buy | 25.53 | 685 | 17,488 | 218,818 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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