Conduent (CNDT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.01 | Market Cap: $315.6 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Conduent (CNDT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.01Market Cap: $315.6 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Automation & Robotics, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -85 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.8% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 144% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.0% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Automation & Robotics, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -85 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.8% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 144% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.0% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -38% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CNDT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Significant Stock Plummet on Q3 2025 Earnings Miss: Conduent's stock experienced a substantial decline following the report of its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 7, 2025. The company's revenue of $767 million notably fell short of analyst expectations of $810.2 million, leading to a pre-market stock drop of approximately 16.7%.
2. Lowered Full-Year 2025 Revenue Guidance: Alongside the Q3 revenue miss, Conduent also lowered its adjusted revenue guidance for the full year 2025 to a range of $3.05 billion to $3.10 billion, down from a prior range of $3.10 billion to $3.20 billion, which contributed to negative investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CNDT Return | -23% | 11% | -24% | -10% | 11% | -53% | -70% |
| Peers Return | 20% | 20% | -13% | 19% | 13% | 28% | 116% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CNDT Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 61% | 64% | 47% | 61% | 67% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CNDT Max Drawdown | -75% | -3% | -37% | -39% | -18% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -11% | -26% | -5% | -8% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CTSH, CACI, SNX, BAO, GBH. See CNDT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CNDT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -70.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 236.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -75.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 302.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 350 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -77.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 336.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to CTSH, CACI, SNX, BAO, GBH
In The Past
Conduent's stock fell -70.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -70.3% loss requires a 236.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CNDT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Conduent
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 116.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.8 |
| Rev LTM | 14,858 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,071 |
| FCF LTM | 546 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 632 |
| CFO LTM | 658 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 743 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.8 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 9.8 |
| P/E | 16.3 |
| P/CFO | 13.6 |
| Total Yield | 5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 45.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -23.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial | 1,668 | 1,992 | 2,017 | 2,163 | 2,385 |
| Government | 1,094 | 1,150 | 1,307 | 1,281 | 1,263 |
| Transportation | 558 | 709 | 746 | 719 | 781 |
| Divestitures | 402 | 7 | 70 | ||
| Other income (expenses), net | 0 | 38 | |||
| Unallocated Costs | 0 | ||||
| Total | 3,722 | 3,858 | 4,140 | 4,163 | 4,467 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government | 284 | 294 | 409 | 372 | 279 |
| Divestitures profit | 103 | ||||
| Commercial | 36 | 124 | 95 | 150 | 270 |
| Amortization of acquired intangible assets | -7 | -13 | -135 | -239 | -246 |
| Transportation | -7 | 49 | 72 | 82 | 69 |
| Unallocated Costs | -304 | -293 | -372 | -348 | -345 |
| Divestitures | 2 | 32 | |||
| Other income (expenses), net | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | |
| Total | 105 | 163 | 102 | 26 | 27 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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