Tearsheet

Middleby (MIDD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $120.25 | Market Cap: $6.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Middleby (MIDD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $120.25
Market Cap: $6.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.2%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.8%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Experiential Retail, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.8%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Experiential Retail, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.2%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MIDD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the approximate -12.4% stock movement for Middleby (MIDD) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Middleby reported a significant net loss in its Third Quarter 2025 earnings, primarily due to a substantial non-cash impairment charge.

The company posted a GAAP diluted loss per share of $(10.15) for Q3 2025, driven by a $709.1 million non-cash impairment charge related to a strategic review of its Residential Kitchen business unit. This significant loss overshadowed adjusted earnings per share and revenue figures that had surpassed analyst expectations. 2. The company experienced a decline in organic sales, indicating underlying business challenges.

Despite an increase in net sales driven by acquisitions and favorable foreign exchange rates, Middleby's organic net sales decreased by 0.1% in Q3 2025. Specifically, the Residential Kitchen segment saw an organic sales decline of 0.6%.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MIDD Return18%53%-32%10%-8%-13%7%
Peers Return9%16%1%30%16%-7%80%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MIDD Win Rate58%67%25%50%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate53%67%33%58%58%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MIDD Max Drawdown-60%-2%-37%-17%-19%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-10%-28%-3%-7%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ITW, IR, EPAC, ADVEN, BENN. See MIDD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMIDDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven164.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven227 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-30.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven204 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven271.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven623 days1480 days

Compare to ITW, IR, EPAC, ADVEN, BENN


In The Past

Middleby's stock fell -44.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -44.4% loss requires a 79.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Middleby (MIDD)

Better Bets than Middleby (MIDD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MIDD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
MIDD_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025MIDDMiddlebyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.7%-0.7%-5.4%
MIDD_10312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312023MIDDMiddlebyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
23.1%24.4%-1.6%
MIDD_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020MIDDMiddlebyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
60.7%119.5%-10.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
MIDD_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025MIDDMiddlebyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.7%-0.7%-5.4%
MIDD_10312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312023MIDDMiddlebyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
23.1%24.4%-1.6%
MIDD_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020MIDDMiddlebyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
60.7%119.5%-10.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Middleby

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MIDDITWIREPACADVENBENNMedian
NameMiddleby Illinois.Ingersol.Enerpac .AdvEn Bend Nov. 
Mkt Price119.90250.0479.7537.64--99.83
Mkt Cap6.172.731.62.0--18.8
Rev LTM3,88015,8837,458617--5,669
Op Inc LTM6694,1621,477139--1,073
FCF LTM5902,8451,25092--920
FCF 3Y Avg5612,8111,20077--881
CFO LTM6793,2771,383111--1,031
CFO 3Y Avg6383,2651,32890--983

Growth & Margins

MIDDITWIREPACADVENBENNMedian
NameMiddleby Illinois.Ingersol.Enerpac .AdvEn Bend Nov. 
Rev Chg LTM0.3%-0.4%4.2%4.6%--2.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.2%0.5%9.4%2.6%--1.6%
Rev Chg Q4.2%2.3%5.1%5.5%--4.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%0.6%1.3%1.4%--1.2%
Op Mgn LTM17.2%26.2%19.8%22.6%--21.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.7%25.9%19.1%19.6%--19.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%0.2%-0.1%0.8%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM17.5%20.6%18.5%18.0%--18.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.3%20.4%18.7%14.9%--17.5%
FCF/Rev LTM15.2%17.9%16.8%14.9%--16.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.3%17.6%16.9%12.7%--15.6%

Valuation

MIDDITWIREPACADVENBENNMedian
NameMiddleby Illinois.Ingersol.Enerpac .AdvEn Bend Nov. 
Mkt Cap6.172.731.62.0--18.8
P/S1.74.84.43.6--4.0
P/EBIT-76.218.027.816.8--17.4
P/E-33.225.160.023.7--24.4
P/CFO9.923.123.719.7--21.4
Total Yield-3.0%6.3%1.8%4.2%--3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.3%0.1%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.0%3.8%3.7%4.0%--3.9%
D/E0.30.10.10.1--0.1
Net D/E0.30.10.10.0--0.1

Returns

MIDDITWIREPACADVENBENNMedian
NameMiddleby Illinois.Ingersol.Enerpac .AdvEn Bend Nov. 
1M Rtn-2.1%2.8%5.0%-8.4%--0.4%
3M Rtn-11.6%-3.7%3.1%-10.1%---6.9%
6M Rtn-18.9%2.7%-2.6%-11.8%---7.2%
12M Rtn-15.7%-7.2%-23.4%-21.9%---18.8%
3Y Rtn-16.7%16.8%46.7%50.3%--31.7%
1M Excs Rtn-2.0%2.9%5.0%-8.4%--0.4%
3M Excs Rtn-20.8%-10.6%-4.6%-16.4%---13.5%
6M Excs Rtn-33.6%-12.0%-17.3%-26.5%---21.9%
12M Excs Rtn-29.9%-21.2%-36.9%-35.5%---32.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-87.3%-53.9%-22.3%-17.7%---38.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial Foodservice2,5212,3952,0331,5101,984
Residential Kitchen7951,048737566574
Food Processing721590481437401
Corporate and other00   
Total4,0374,0333,2512,5132,959


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial Foodservice699549423240430
Food Processing179107947869
Residential Kitchen961281256789
Corporate and other-74-144-12-60-74
Other segment operating expenses-266    
Total635640630324514


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial Foodservice3,7523,7883,5233,2493,188
Residential Kitchen1,9411,9722,1541,2211,157
Food Processing1,010984637617622
Corporate and other2041307011535
Total6,9076,8756,3845,2025,002


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,606,409
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.4%
Average Daily Volume982,620
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.65
Basic Shares Quantity50,521,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023511202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022811202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022512202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021302202210-K 1/1/2022