Magnera (MAGN)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.725 | Market Cap: $524.2 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Paper Products
Magnera (MAGN)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.725Market Cap: $524.2 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Paper Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 227%, Dividend Yield is 258%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 223% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 412% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 106% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -58% | Key risksMAGN key risks include [1] a heavy debt burden and high financial leverage, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Nanomaterials, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 227%, Dividend Yield is 258%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 223% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 106% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -58% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Nanomaterials, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 412% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5% |
| Key risksMAGN key risks include [1] a heavy debt burden and high financial leverage, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MAGN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the stock movement of Magnera (MAGN) during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to today:
1. Magnera's Introduction of PFAS-Free Nonwoven Solution: On December 3, 2025, Magnera announced the launch of a new, innovative solution for nonwoven textiles that delivers fluid repellency without the use of PFAS (per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances). This timely development addresses growing global regulatory pressure and market demand for sustainable alternatives, potentially boosting investor confidence and market share.
2. Strong Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results: Around November 20, 2025, Magnera reported its Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year results. The company's earnings per share for the last quarter were -$0.06, surpassing the estimated -$0.08, representing a 31.50% positive surprise. This beat on earnings guidance likely contributed positively to the stock's performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MAGN Return | -6% | 9% | -83% | -30% | -28% | -19% | -93% |
| Peers Return | � | � | 2% | -0% | 21% | -3% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MAGN Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 17% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 43% | 52% | 40% | 52% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MAGN Max Drawdown | -45% | -15% | -88% | -53% | -34% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -25% | -19% | -13% | -37% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IP, KMB, DD, MATV, SLVM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MAGN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -92.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1302.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -61.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 156.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -74.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 284.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,284 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to MERC, SLVM, MAGN, CLW, ITP
In The Past
Magnera's stock fell -92.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -92.9% loss requires a 1302.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Magnera Earnings Notes | ||
| Magnera Stock On Fire: Up 83% With 6-Day Winning Streak | Notification | |
| 5-Day Rally Sends Magnera Stock Up 73% | Notification |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MAGN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Magnera
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 39.64 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.5 |
| Rev LTM | 8,474 |
| Op Inc LTM | 171 |
| FCF LTM | 97 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 351 |
| CFO LTM | 764 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,059 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.5 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 2.2 |
| P/E | -2.3 |
| P/CFO | 15.1 |
| Total Yield | 4.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -20.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -0.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -31.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -76.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airlaid Materials | 602 | 470 | 391 | 406 |
| Composite Fibers | 524 | 557 | 525 | 522 |
| Spunlace | 366 | 58 | ||
| Inter-segment sales elimination | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total | 1,491 | 1,085 | 916 | 928 |
| $ Mil | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airlaid Materials | 55 | 42 | 46 | 41 |
| Composite Fibers | 17 | 37 | 52 | 48 |
| Spunlace | -9 | -1 | ||
| Other and Unallocated | -226 | -50 | -49 | -34 |
| Total | -164 | 29 | 49 | 55 |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/19/2025 | 27.9% | 73.1% | |
| 8/6/2025 | 8.5% | 19.1% | 4.5% |
| 5/7/2025 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 6.5% |
| 2/6/2025 | 3.4% | 16.4% | 2.7% |
| 10/30/2024 | 5.0% | -8.1% | -12.7% |
| 8/8/2024 | 17.5% | 19.6% | 9.8% |
| 5/9/2024 | 1.8% | 0.0% | -4.7% |
| 2/22/2024 | 0.0% | 2.9% | -12.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 7.6% | 14.8% | 9.8% |
| Median Negative | -4.9% | -9.8% | -15.7% |
| Max Positive | 27.9% | 73.1% | 28.3% |
| Max Negative | -20.9% | -37.3% | -40.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11022021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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