Mercury General (MCY)


Market Price (11/6/2026): $84.49 | Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Mercury General (MCY)


Market Price (11/6/2026): $84.49
Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.9%, FCF Yield is 25%

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.7%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%

Key risks
MCY key risks include [1] its significant business concentration in catastrophe-prone California and [2] regulatory delays in that key state that impede necessary rate approvals.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.9%, FCF Yield is 25%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.7%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
7 Key risks
MCY key risks include [1] its significant business concentration in catastrophe-prone California and [2] regulatory delays in that key state that impede necessary rate approvals.

MCY in ETFs

Weight = MCY's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.09%
IJR0.16%
VYM0.01%
VB0.03%
IJT0.33%
SLYG0.32%
+12 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 11/4/2026

Mercury General (MCY) stock has lost about 20% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Fiscal Q3 2026 Net Loss Driven by Investment Setbacks.

Mercury General reported a net loss of $13.69 million for its fiscal Q3 2026, resulting in a diluted loss per share of $0.25. This represents a substantial decline from the net income of $280.4 million, or $5.06 diluted earnings per share, reported in fiscal Q3 2025. The primary factor for this reversal was a significant $261.9 million in pre-tax net realized investment losses, largely due to increases in overall market interest rates during the quarter. This financial performance led to a 13.4% plunge in the stock price.

2. Missed Fiscal Q3 2026 Revenue Expectations.

The company's revenue for fiscal Q3 2026 totaled $1.38 billion, marking a 12.8% year-on-year decrease. This figure fell short of analyst consensus estimates, which ranged from $1.61 billion to $1.63 billion. Although net premiums earned showed growth, increasing by 9.6% in the quarter, the overall revenue miss contributed to investor concerns regarding the company's financial trajectory.

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Updated on 11/4/2026

Mercury General (MCY) stock has lost about 20% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Fiscal Q3 2026 Net Loss Driven by Investment Setbacks.

Mercury General reported a net loss of $13.69 million for its fiscal Q3 2026, resulting in a diluted loss per share of $0.25. This represents a substantial decline from the net income of $280.4 million, or $5.06 diluted earnings per share, reported in fiscal Q3 2025. The primary factor for this reversal was a significant $261.9 million in pre-tax net realized investment losses, largely due to increases in overall market interest rates during the quarter. This financial performance led to a 13.4% plunge in the stock price.

2. Missed Fiscal Q3 2026 Revenue Expectations.

The company's revenue for fiscal Q3 2026 totaled $1.38 billion, marking a 12.8% year-on-year decrease. This figure fell short of analyst consensus estimates, which ranged from $1.61 billion to $1.63 billion. Although net premiums earned showed growth, increasing by 9.6% in the quarter, the overall revenue miss contributed to investor concerns regarding the company's financial trajectory.

3. Deterioration in Underwriting Profitability and Lingering Catastrophe Costs.

Mercury General's GAAP combined ratio for fiscal Q3 2026 was 90.2%, indicating a slight deterioration in underwriting performance compared to the 89.9% reported in fiscal Q2 2026. Furthermore, fiscal Q2 2026 results included an unexpected $80 million adverse reserve development related to the 2025 Palisades and Eaton wildfires, highlighting the persistent financial impact of prior catastrophe events. The expense ratio also rose to 24.9% in fiscal Q2 2026 from 23.7% in fiscal Q2 2025, suggesting increased operational costs.

4. Negative Shift in Analyst and Technical Ratings.

While some analysts maintained or upgraded their ratings to "Strong Buy" or "Buy" during August and September 2026, with a consensus price target of $120 leading into the fiscal Q3 report, the disappointing earnings results led to a reevaluation. On November 3, 2026, StockInvest.us downgraded Mercury General to a "Sell Candidate" with a technical score of -1.04, reflecting a downturn in market sentiment following the poor Q3 performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -20.9% change in MCY stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)731202611052026Change
Stock Price ($)106.7884.48-20.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,1386,1390.0%
Net Income Margin (%)13.7%10.5%-23.5%
P/E Multiple7.07.33.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)55550.0%
Cumulative Contribution-20.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MCY-20.9% 
Market (SPY)-1.9%1.4%
Sector (XLF)1.0%3.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -12.6% change in MCY stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611052026Change
Stock Price ($)96.7084.48-12.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,9926,1392.4%
Net Income Margin (%)9.0%10.5%16.0%
P/E Multiple9.97.3-26.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)55550.0%
Cumulative Contribution-12.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MCY-12.6% 
Market (SPY)2.3%-10.7%
Sector (XLF)10.7%16.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 10.8% change in MCY stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)1031202511052026Change
Stock Price ($)76.2784.4810.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,7686,1396.4%
Net Income Margin (%)6.8%10.5%54.8%
P/E Multiple10.87.3-32.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)55550.0%
Cumulative Contribution10.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MCY10.8% 
Market (SPY)8.4%0.0%
Sector (XLF)11.1%23.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 190.2% change in MCY stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 108.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202311052026Change
Stock Price ($)29.1284.48190.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,4076,13939.3%
P/S Multiple0.40.8108.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)55550.0%
Cumulative Contribution190.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MCY190.2% 
Market (SPY)81.3%24.5%
Sector (XLF)85.5%38.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MCY Return6%-33%14%82%44%-9%94%
Peers Return15%18%6%35%13%28%180%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MCY Win Rate58%42%50%75%75%55% 
Peers Win Rate50%60%58%68%57%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MCY Max Drawdown-23%-48%-27%-15%-29%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-17%-23%-11%-16%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PGR, ALL, TRV, CB, THG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/5/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMCYS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-20.8%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.3%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven113 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-44.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven497 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-32.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven266 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-19.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.8%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven55 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-12.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven21 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-52.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven110.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven382 days1085 days

Compare to PGR, ALL, TRV, CB, THG

In The Past

Mercury General's stock fell -5.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMCYS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-20.8%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.3%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven113 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-44.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven497 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-32.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven266 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-52.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven110.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven382 days1085 days

Compare to PGR, ALL, TRV, CB, THG

In The Past

Mercury General's stock fell -5.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mercury General (MCY)

Mercury General Corporation (MCY) operates as an insurance company primarily focused on underwriting personal automobile insurance policies across the United States. While its core business is centered on the personal auto sector, the company strategically expands its product portfolio to include various other types of insurance, catering to a broader market segment.

The company's main offerings include comprehensive personal automobile insurance, covering a range of risks such as collision, property damage, bodily injury, comprehensive coverage, personal injury protection, and underinsured/uninsured motorist coverage. Beyond auto insurance, Mercury General also provides homeowners insurance, which protects against dwelling, liability, personal property, and fire-related hazards. Additionally, it offers commercial automobile, commercial property, mechanical protection, and umbrella insurance products, addressing both individual and business insurance needs.

Mercury General serves individual policyholders for personal auto and homeowners insurance, as well as businesses requiring commercial coverage. Its policies are sold through an extensive network of independent agents and insurance agencies, complemented by direct sales via internet portals. The company's primary markets are concentrated in several key U.S. states, including California, Texas, Florida, New York, Arizona, Georgia, Illinois, Nevada, New Jersey, Oklahoma, and Virginia.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Mercury General (MCY):

  • Like a regional Progressive primarily focused on auto and home insurance.
  • Imagine a Geico that also sells homeowners insurance and works with independent agents.

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  • Personal Automobile Insurance: Covers collision, property damage, bodily injury, comprehensive, personal injury protection, and uninsured/underinsured motorist risks for individual vehicles.
  • Homeowners Insurance: Protects against risks to dwellings, personal property, and liability, including fire and other hazards.
  • Commercial Automobile Insurance: Provides coverage for vehicles used for business purposes.
  • Commercial Property Insurance: Insures business properties against various risks and damages.
  • Mechanical Protection Insurance: Offers coverage for mechanical breakdowns beyond standard warranties.
  • Umbrella Insurance: Provides additional liability coverage beyond the limits of other insurance policies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Mercury General Corporation (MCY) primarily sells insurance policies directly to individuals and businesses through a network of independent agents, insurance agencies, and internet sales portals. Therefore, its major customers fall into the following categories:

  • Personal Lines Policyholders: These are individuals who purchase insurance to protect their personal assets and liabilities. This category includes customers seeking personal automobile insurance (covering collision, property damage, bodily injury, comprehensive, etc.), homeowners insurance (covering dwelling, liability, personal property, fire), and umbrella insurance for additional liability coverage.
  • Commercial Lines Policyholders: This category comprises small to medium-sized businesses and organizations that purchase insurance to protect their business assets and operations. This includes customers seeking commercial automobile insurance for their fleets and commercial property insurance for their business premises and assets.
  • Mechanical Protection Policyholders: These are individuals and businesses who purchase specific products to cover mechanical breakdowns of their vehicles, providing an additional layer of financial protection beyond standard auto insurance.

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Gabriel Tirador, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director

Gabriel Tirador was appointed CEO of Mercury General Corporation in January 2007, and as of March 2026, he has served for over 19 years. He also holds the titles of President and Director.

Theodore R. Stalick, Senior Vice President, Principal Accounting Officer and Chief Financial Officer

Theodore R. Stalick serves as the Senior Vice President, Principal Accounting Officer, and Chief Financial Officer for Mercury General Corporation.

George Joseph, Founder and Chairman of the Board

George Joseph founded Mercury Insurance in 1961, after having served as a B-17 navigator in World War II. He graduated from Harvard in 1949 with degrees in Physics and Mathematics. Before founding Mercury, Joseph worked as a systems analyst at Occidental Life Insurance Company and sold life insurance door-to-door. He left Occidental in 1954 to start his own insurance agency and subsequently founded Mercury Insurance in 1962, pioneering the industry by offering automobile insurance rates based on a driver's record and experience. He owns 35% of the publicly traded firm and remains actively involved as Chairman of the Board.

Victor Joseph, Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer

Victor Joseph was appointed Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer (EVP & COO) effective January 1, 2022. Before this role, he was the Vice President & Chief Underwriting Officer since 2017 and has held various positions at the company since 2009. He is the son of the company's founder, George Joseph. His expanded responsibilities include oversight of Advertising & Public Relations, Claims, Human Capital, Information Technology, Marketing, Product Management, and Underwriting.

Mark Allan Ribisi, President and Chief Executive Officer of AIS Management LLC

Mark Allan Ribisi is the President and Chief Executive Officer of AIS Management LLC, a subsidiary of Mercury General Corporation.

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Key Risks to Mercury General (MCY)

Mercury General Corporation (MCY) faces several key risks, primarily stemming from its concentrated geographic exposure and the regulatory environment in its dominant market.

  1. Geographic Concentration Risk: Mercury General has a significant concentration of its business in California, with approximately 85% of its direct automobile insurance premiums originating from the state. This heavy reliance on a single geographic area exposes the company to disproportionate impacts from adverse regulatory, legal, economic, or competitive changes specific to California. Localized events, such as natural disasters or shifts in legislative policy, can therefore have a substantial effect on MCY's operations and profitability.
  2. Economic and Regulatory Challenges in California: The company's operations are highly susceptible to changes in California's economic and regulatory landscape. Proposition 103, a 1988 insurance reform initiative in California, imposes a slow and restrictive rate approval process. This often leads to a delay in implementing necessary premium rate adjustments, which can create a mismatch between premiums collected and rising claims costs, particularly due to inflation in auto parts and labor, and increased claims severity. Furthermore, MCY's investment portfolio is exposed to interest rate and equity price risks, which can be affected by broader economic shifts.
  3. Increased Frequency and Severity of Catastrophe Losses: Given its significant exposure in California, Mercury General is vulnerable to increased frequency and severity of natural disaster events, such as wildfires and floods. Recent events, like the January 2025 California wildfires, have resulted in substantial losses, impacting the company's financial performance and leading to higher reinsurance costs and retained losses. The ability to obtain timely rate relief from regulators after such catastrophic events is crucial for maintaining underwriting profitability.

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  • Emergence of Insurtech companies leveraging advanced artificial intelligence, machine learning, and telematics for underwriting, personalized pricing, and direct-to-consumer digital platforms, potentially offering lower costs and superior customer experiences than traditional insurers.
  • Development and eventual widespread adoption of autonomous vehicles, which could drastically reduce accident rates and shift liability away from drivers, thereby significantly diminishing the demand for traditional personal automobile insurance, which is Mercury General's primary product.
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Addressable Markets for Mercury General (MCY)

The addressable markets for Mercury General's main products and services are primarily within the United States, corresponding to the company's operational regions.

  • Personal Automobile Insurance: The United States motor insurance market, which includes personal motor insurance, is projected to be USD 487.65 billion in 2025 and USD 532.45 billion in 2026. Personal motor insurance alone held 76.35% of the United States motor insurance market in 2025. Another source indicates the US auto insurance market is valued at approximately USD 353 billion. The market size of the Automobile Insurance industry in the United States is projected to be USD 352.9 billion in 2026. Additionally, personal auto insurance premiums were about USD 318 billion in 2023, representing approximately 35.8% of the entire U.S. property and casualty insurance market. In 2024, private passenger auto insurance premiums were USD 344.11 billion.
  • Homeowners Insurance: The United States homeowners insurance market size is expected to increase from USD 175.60 billion in 2025 to USD 184.59 billion in 2026 and reach USD 236.90 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 5.12% over 2026-2031. The market size was USD 171.7 billion in 2024 and is estimated at USD 175.1 billion in 2025. Direct written premiums in the U.S. homeowners insurance market rose to nearly USD 173.1 billion in 2024. The homeowners insurance market size is forecast to increase by USD 65.9 billion at a CAGR of 4.6% between 2023 and 2028.
  • Commercial Automobile Insurance: The market size of the Commercial Auto Insurance in the US is USD 80.1 billion in 2025. Another report states that the commercial auto insurance market size was valued at USD 52.8 billion in 2023 and is estimated to register a CAGR of over 6% between 2024 and 2032. The global commercial auto insurance market size was valued at USD 199.9 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 459.1 billion by the end of 2035, with North America expected to lead with the largest revenue share of 38.8% by the end of 2035. In 2026, the industry size of commercial auto insurance is estimated at USD 219.2 billion.
  • Commercial Property Insurance: The North America commercial property insurance market size was USD 112.618 billion in 2024. The US had a major share in this market with a market size of USD 88.855 billion in 2024. The commercial property insurance market was valued at USD 254.93 billion in 2022 and is estimated to reach USD 724 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 11.3% from 2023 to 2032. The commercial property insurance segment in the U.S. is projected to grow at the highest CAGR of about 9.21% between 2026 and 2035.
  • Mechanical Protection (Equipment/Machinery Breakdown Insurance): The Global Machinery Breakdown Insurance Market size was estimated at USD 3.89 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 4.15 billion in 2026, and USD 5.98 billion by 2032. The global Equipment Breakdown Insurance Market is estimated to be valued at USD 2.95 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 4.77 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 4.93% from 2026 to 2035. North America leads this market with approximately 45% market share.
  • Umbrella Insurance Products: The global Umbrella Insurance market size is projected to expand from USD 51.486 billion in 2021 to USD 149.178 billion by 2033, at a robust CAGR of 9.27%. The umbrella insurance market was valued at USD 72.5 billion in 2021 and is estimated to reach USD 170.7 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 9.2% from 2022 to 2031. North America remains the largest market for umbrella insurance, accounting for approximately 60% of the global market share. The United States is the largest market within North America, holding 23.95% of the global market share in 2025. For commercial umbrella insurance specifically, the U.S. market accounts for nearly 42% of the global market volume in 2025. The United States commercial umbrella insurance market size is projected at USD 13,212.5 million by 2034.

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Mercury General Corporation (MCY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key factors:

  1. Rate Increases: The company has been implementing and is expected to continue applying rate increases across its insurance lines. These higher average premiums per policy are a significant contributor to top-line growth. This strategy helps restore underwriting discipline and improves the combined ratio.
  2. Expansion of Policy Base: Mercury General is projected to grow its base of policies, indicating an increase in its customer count. The company's offerings are resonating with customers, which is crucial for expanding its insured base.
  3. Improved Underwriting Discipline and Performance: An ongoing "underwriting rebound" and the company's ability to maintain underwriting discipline through portfolio remediation are expected to contribute to clearer earnings and operational resilience. Stronger underwriting results lead to better combined ratios, which in turn supports sustainable premium growth.
  4. Growth in Investment Income: Investment income is anticipated to remain a reliable contributor to overall revenues, supported by higher yields and a growing asset base. This income stream provides a steady boost to the company's financial performance.

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Share Repurchases

  • Mercury General has not repurchased any of its common stock since 2000.
  • The company does not currently have any share repurchases authorized by the Board.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were approximately $58.4 million in 2025, $46.1 million in 2024, and $36.8 million in 2023.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures has been on improving the Company's information technology infrastructure.
  • Capital spending for 2026 is expected to be somewhat larger than that for 2025, primarily for continued investments in technology assets.

Peer Outperformance in Property & Casualty Insurance

MCY has outperformed 54% of its 41 Property & Casualty Insurance peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are ACGL, ORI and CB. Property & Casualty Insurance ranks 5th of 18 industries in Financials by median 5Y return.
Share of Property & Casualty Insurance constituents that MCY has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
30%
of 46 industry peers · 4.7% return
3Y
70%
of 43 industry peers · 143.5% return
5Y
54%
of 41 industry peers · 76.8% return
Property & Casualty Insurance peers with revenue growth within 4pp of MCY's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
MCY Mercury General 12.0% 7.3x 4.7%143.5%76.8% —
ACGL Arch Capital 14.2% 8.5x 26.3%36.5%168.2% +91pp
ORI Old Republic International 8.3% 8.8x 8.2%77.5%116.9% +40pp
CB Chubb 8.9% 12.8x 32.8%76.0%106.9% +30pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Financials sector, ranked by 5Y. Property & Casualty Insurance is MCY's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Reinsurance 6 33.1%75.7%125.1% SPNT 168% · RGA 162% · RNR 141%
Investment Banking & Brokerage 13 -3.9%89.1%93.1% IBKR 305% · SNEX 152% · GS 141%
Diversified Banks 12 30.0%140.4%90.3% CM 144% · RY 129% · JPM 127%
Life & Health Insurance 20 14.3%52.3%75.4% JXN 514% · UNM 224% · FG 188%
Property & Casualty Insurance ← 42 18.9%76.8%66.8% TRV 178% · PGR 172% · ACGL 168%
Multi-Sector Holdings 3 10.1%53.8%59.4% BRK-B 99% · VOYA 59% · JEF 37%
Multi-line Insurance 9 9.5%71.4%59.4% AIZ 105% · GNW 104% · L 98%
Regional Banks 263 30.0%87.5%46.7% CBC 268% · FCNCA 176% · NIC 136%
Insurance Brokers 15 5.5%13.4%33.4% LIFE 287% · ARX 89% · WTW 56%
Financial Exchanges & Data 15 20.6%37.2%27.9% CBOE 183% · VIRT 131% · CME 71%
Asset Management & Custody Banks 83 -5.9%22.8%12.3% VCTR 210% · AAMI 207% · WT 205%
Consumer Finance 30 2.9%81.0%8.1% ENVA 330% · FCFS 130% · ECPG 111%
Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance 14 -46.5%36.8%2.5% FNMA 327% · FMCC 293% · ACT 158%
Diversified Financial Services 4 -1.6%20.1%-1.1% FRHC 153% · EQH 71%
Specialized Finance 3 15.8%31.5%-19.7% HASI -20% · CACC -24%
Transaction & Payment Processing Services 17 19.3%9.1%-29.4% V 103% · MA 94% · CPAY 83%
Mortgage REITs 35 -18.0%-6.1%-37.2% RITM 36% · DX 17% · AGNC 10%
Diversified Capital Markets 20 -47.1%-8.5%-70.1% LPLA 83% · TW 38% · RIOT -53%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MCYPGRALLTRVCBTHGMedian
NameMercury .Progress.Allstate Traveler.Chubb Hanover . 
Mkt Price84.49236.56268.04401.65370.00254.10261.07
Mkt Cap4.7137.467.483.1142.78.875.3
Rev LTM6,13991,69969,28048,92162,1576,80155,539
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1,15715,22412,73410,67717,8081,22011,706
FCF 3Y Avg1,03915,5219,8639,92515,3119679,894
CFO LTM1,21915,66212,96810,67717,8081,22911,822
CFO 3Y Avg1,09315,86510,0829,92515,31197610,004

Growth & Margins

MCYPGRALLTRVCBTHGMedian
NameMercury .Progress.Allstate Traveler.Chubb Hanover . 
Rev Chg LTM5.4%7.7%4.6%1.1%5.5%4.9%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.0%16.2%7.9%7.0%8.9%4.8%8.4%
Rev Chg Q-12.8%3.0%-0.4%-0.5%-0.1%4.1%-0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.2%0.7%-0.1%-0.1%-0.0%1.0%-0.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM19.9%17.1%18.7%21.8%28.7%18.1%19.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.8%19.2%15.2%20.8%26.1%14.9%19.0%
FCF/Rev LTM18.8%16.6%18.4%21.8%28.7%17.9%18.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg17.9%18.8%14.9%20.8%26.1%14.8%18.3%

Valuation

MCYPGRALLTRVCBTHGMedian
NameMercury .Progress.Allstate Traveler.Chubb Hanover . 
Mkt Cap4.7137.467.483.1142.78.875.3
P/S0.81.51.01.72.31.31.4
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT5.79.24.47.79.88.88.2
P/E7.311.85.810.012.711.810.9
P/CFO3.88.85.27.88.07.27.5
Total Yield15.2%14.6%19.0%11.2%8.9%10.2%12.9%
Dividend Yield1.5%6.0%1.6%1.2%1.1%1.5%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg23.4%11.3%18.2%15.9%12.9%14.8%15.3%
D/E0.10.10.10.10.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.2-0.00.0-1.0-0.20.0-0.1

Returns

MCYPGRALLTRVCBTHGMedian
NameMercury .Progress.Allstate Traveler.Chubb Hanover . 
1M Rtn-18.0%11.6%19.5%11.4%10.7%15.5%11.5%
3M Rtn-21.1%9.9%-2.2%4.4%4.8%10.2%4.6%
6M Rtn-13.3%21.0%26.6%35.4%15.9%37.6%23.8%
12M Rtn4.7%20.6%40.3%47.4%32.2%47.2%36.3%
3Y Rtn143.6%63.5%118.3%149.3%75.3%132.1%125.2%
1M Excs Rtn-16.0%12.0%21.1%12.8%12.0%18.2%12.4%
3M Excs Rtn-21.7%10.8%1.7%5.8%6.8%12.3%6.3%
6M Excs Rtn-18.0%16.1%21.8%30.6%11.1%32.8%19.0%
12M Excs Rtn-6.2%6.5%26.3%33.6%17.6%34.1%22.0%
3Y Excs Rtn106.8%-20.9%38.6%69.3%-3.7%46.9%42.8%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$84.48 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.7 
First Trading Date03/26/1990 
Distance from 52W High-23.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$101.36$98.30
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA-16.7%-14.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility35.3%29.0%
Downside Capture45.35-13.91
Upside Capture-79.072.64
Correlation (S&P 500)-20.6%-3.4%
MCY Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.100.260.12-0.31-0.000.58
Up Beta0.05-0.52-0.22-0.260.400.71
Down Beta-0.27-0.41-0.42-0.75-0.290.68
Up Capture59%62%22%-6%10%34%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days11192861132403
Down Capture-0%51%52%-34%-36%48%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days10233564118342

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MCY
MCY7.4%29.0%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLF)11.1%15.2%0.4723.2%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.411.5%
Gold (GLD)3.6%28.7%0.11-14.6%
Commodities (DBC)37.7%21.2%1.40-13.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.0%14.2%0.5523.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-20.8%43.3%-0.42-2.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MCY
MCY11.6%34.9%0.38-
Sector ETF (XLF)9.1%18.4%0.3638.0%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4826.1%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.740.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%19.6%0.293.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.2%18.9%-0.0529.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.9%51.5%0.299.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MCY
MCY9.3%32.3%0.35-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.3%22.1%0.5448.2%
Equity (SPY)14.9%18.0%0.7038.8%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.5%0.590.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.6%18.1%0.3311.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2338.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.3%66.2%1.018.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020268.1%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity55.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 11/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2026-13.4%  
8/4/20262.8%-0.8%-3.5%
5/5/2026-1.5%4.4%0.1%
2/17/2026-9.2%-10.8%-8.3%
11/4/20252.5%9.0%12.8%
7/29/20250.7%3.0%10.6%
5/6/2025-3.4%5.1%9.4%
2/11/20259.3%3.8%11.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151515
# Negative1099
Median Positive2.8%5.1%10.6%
Median Negative-3.6%-2.4%-6.0%
Max Positive21.6%22.4%24.1%
Max Negative-13.4%-20.0%-20.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2026-13.4%  
8/4/20262.8%-0.8%-3.5%
5/5/2026-1.5%4.4%0.1%
2/17/2026-9.2%-10.8%-8.3%
11/4/20252.5%9.0%12.8%
7/29/20250.7%3.0%10.6%
5/6/2025-3.4%5.1%9.4%
2/11/20259.3%3.8%11.4%
10/29/20245.0%-1.2%15.3%
7/30/20241.8%1.6%10.1%
4/30/20243.9%6.3%7.1%
2/13/20246.1%22.4%18.4%
10/31/202321.6%19.9%20.6%
8/1/2023-3.8%-1.3%-7.4%
5/2/2023-0.7%1.4%0.6%
2/14/2023-6.9%-2.9%-14.5%
11/1/202214.1%21.1%24.1%
8/2/2022-11.9%-20.0%-20.2%
5/3/20221.9%-5.8%-5.2%
2/15/20221.1%1.9%1.3%
11/2/20212.4%-2.4%-6.0%
8/3/2021-3.2%-1.6%-2.6%
5/4/20212.1%2.2%-3.9%
2/16/20213.6%9.1%12.7%
11/3/2020-0.3%6.3%9.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151515
# Negative1099
Median Positive2.8%5.1%10.6%
Median Negative-3.6%-2.4%-6.0%
Max Positive21.6%22.4%24.1%
Max Negative-13.4%-20.0%-20.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202611/03/202610-Q
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/17/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/11/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/13/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/14/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202611/03/202610-Q
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/17/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/11/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/13/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/14/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q
12/31/202102/15/202210-K
09/30/202111/02/202110-Q
06/30/202108/03/202110-Q
03/31/202105/04/202110-Q
12/31/202002/16/202110-K
09/30/202011/03/202010-Q
06/30/202008/04/202010-Q
03/31/202005/05/202010-Q
12/31/201902/12/202010-K

Insider Activity

Updated 4/26/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Braunegg, George Gwyer DirectBuy1211202590.4255249,912276,052Form
2Joseph, Victor GeorgePresident & COODirectBuy528202559.9515,000899,252900,750Form
3Zhang, Ximeng SimonSee RemarksDirectBuy519202561.911,50092,86692,866Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Braunegg, George Gwyer DirectBuy1211202590.4255249,912276,052Form
2Joseph, Victor GeorgePresident & COODirectBuy528202559.9515,000899,252900,750Form
3Zhang, Ximeng SimonSee RemarksDirectBuy519202561.911,50092,86692,866Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 6, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Philosophy Capital Management LLC$22.7 Mil2.6%36Hold13F
Park West Asset Management LLC$17.0 Mil1.5%48TRIM -41.4%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Park West Asset Management LLC$17.0 Mil1.5%48TRIM -41.4%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Philosophy Capital Management LLC$22.7 Mil2.6%36Hold13F
Park West Asset Management LLC$17.0 Mil1.5%48TRIM -41.4%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/5/2026