Malibu Boats (MBUU)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.15 | Market Cap: $525.0 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Products
Malibu Boats (MBUU)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.15Market Cap: $525.0 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.9% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.6% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Travel & Leisure Tech, and Boating & Water Sports. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.6% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Travel & Leisure Tech, and Boating & Water Sports. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.9% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MBUU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Malibu Boats (MBUU) experienced an approximate -18.2% stock decline between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors:
1. Q4 Fiscal 2025 Earnings Miss and Cautious Outlook: Malibu Boats reported its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings on August 28, 2025, missing earnings per share (EPS) expectations by approximately 14.91%. Despite exceeding revenue forecasts, the EPS miss led to a significant pre-market stock decline of 21.56% immediately following the announcement. The company also projected fiscal 2026 net sales to be flat to down mid-single digits, contributing to a cautious outlook.
2. Challenging Marine Industry Retail Environment: The company's performance was significantly impacted by a challenging retail environment within the broader marine industry. Malibu Boats' full-year net sales for fiscal 2025 decreased by 2.6%, and unit volume dropped by 9%. Persistent retail softness and dealer destocking were noted, with the fiscal year 2026 outlook anticipating markets to be down mid-to-high single digits.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MBUU Return | 52% | 10% | -22% | 3% | -31% | -25% | -31% |
| Peers Return | 21% | 23% | -25% | 28% | -5% | 22% | 65% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MBUU Win Rate | 75% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 57% | 33% | 50% | 48% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MBUU Max Drawdown | -54% | -1% | -32% | -20% | -44% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -2% | -33% | -8% | -17% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HAS, BC, MAT, THO, GOLF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MBUU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -63.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 173.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 61 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -54.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 119.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 341 days | 120 days |
Compare to HAS, BC, MAT, THO, GOLF
In The Past
Malibu Boats's stock fell -53.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/16/2021. A -53.7% loss requires a 115.8% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MBUU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 03312021 | MBUU | Malibu Boats | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -11.6% | -27.2% | -28.8% |
| 08312020 | MBUU | Malibu Boats | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 52.9% | 38.1% | -7.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 03312021 | MBUU | Malibu Boats | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -11.6% | -27.2% | -28.8% |
| 08312020 | MBUU | Malibu Boats | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 52.9% | 38.1% | -7.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Malibu Boats
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 76.29 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.1 |
| Rev LTM | 4,770 |
| Op Inc LTM | 306 |
| FCF LTM | 472 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 464 |
| CFO LTM | 618 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 662 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.1 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 11.2 |
| P/E | 15.2 |
| P/CFO | 8.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 16.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -12.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -51.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8282025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1302025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8292024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1302024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8292023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8252022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2082022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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