Tearsheet

MBX Biosciences (MBX)


Market Price (12/30/2025): $31.075 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

MBX Biosciences (MBX)


Market Price (12/30/2025): $31.075
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -91 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 172%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 139%
5   Key risks
MBX key risks include [1] unconvincing Phase 2 data for its lead candidate, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -91 Mil
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 172%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 139%
9 Key risks
MBX key risks include [1] unconvincing Phase 2 data for its lead candidate, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MBX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Here are the key points for why MBX Biosciences (MBX) stock moved by 106% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 30, 2025:

1. Positive Phase 2 Clinical Trial Results for Canvuparatide. MBX Biosciences announced on September 22, 2025, that its once-weekly canvuparatide achieved the primary endpoint in its Phase 2 trial for hypoparathyroidism, showing a 63% responder rate at 12 weeks and a 79% responder rate at 6 months in the open-label extension. This significant positive clinical data for a key pipeline candidate was a major driver for the stock movement.

2. Initiation of Phase 1 Trial for Obesity Candidate MBX 4291. On September 4, 2025, MBX Biosciences dosed the first participant in its Phase 1 trial for MBX 4291, a GLP-1/GIP co-agonist prodrug being developed as a once-monthly treatment for obesity. This marked progress in a potentially large and lucrative market.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 73.2% change in MBX stock from 9/29/2025 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
929202512292025Change
Stock Price ($)17.9431.0773.19%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)33.4534.20-2.25%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/29/2025 to 12/29/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MBX73.2% 
Market (SPY)3.6%18.6%
Sector (XLV)14.7%11.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 172.3% change in MBX stock from 6/30/2025 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
630202512292025Change
Stock Price ($)11.4131.07172.30%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)�0.00�
P/S Multiple�∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)31.8534.20-7.36%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 12/29/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MBX172.3% 
Market (SPY)11.6%12.5%
Sector (XLV)16.1%11.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 54.8% change in MBX stock from 12/29/2024 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1229202412292025Change
Stock Price ($)20.0731.0754.81%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)�0.00�
P/S Multiple�∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)31.8534.20-7.36%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/29/2024 to 12/29/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MBX54.8% 
Market (SPY)16.6%20.9%
Sector (XLV)13.6%18.6%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

12/30/2023 to 12/29/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MBX  
Market (SPY)47.9%21.0%
Sector (XLV)17.6%19.4%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MBX Return-----22%68%31%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MBX Win Rate----25%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MBX Max Drawdown-----33%-69% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/29/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

MBX has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,100 days1,480 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MBX Biosciences (MBX)

We are a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery and development of novel precision peptide therapies for the treatment of endocrine and metabolic disorders. Our company was founded by global leaders with a transformative approach to peptide drug design and development. Leveraging this expertise, we designed our proprietary Precision Endocrine Peptide™, or PEPTM, platform to overcome the key limitations of unmodified and modified peptide therapies and to improve clinical outcomes and simplify disease management for patients. Our PEPs are selectively engineered to have optimized pharmaceutical properties, including extended time-action profiles and consistent drug concentrations with low peak-to-trough concentration ratios, consistent exposure to target tissues, and less frequent dosing. We are advancing a pipeline of novel candidates for endocrine and metabolic disorders with clinically validated targets, established endpoints for regulatory approval, significant unmet medical needs and large potential market opportunities. Our product candidates and programs include: • MBX 2109: Our lead product candidate, MBX 2109, is a parathyroid hormone peptide prodrug that is designed as a potential long-acting hormone replacement therapy for the treatment of chronic hypoparathyroidism, or HP. Leveraging our proprietary PEP platform, we designed MBX 2109 to treat the underlying pathophysiology of HP by providing a continuous, infusion-like exposure to parathyroid hormone, or PTH, with convenient once-weekly administration. In a Phase 1 clinical trial, MBX 2109 demonstrated a low ratio between the highest concentration of active drug observed after a dose and the concentration of active drug observed immediately prior to the next dose, or peak-to-trough ratio, which is consistent with a continuous, infusion-like profile, and an extended half-life, potentially enabling the first once-weekly PTH dosing regimen for patients with HP. MBX 2109 was generally well-tolerated with no drug-related severe or serious adverse effects. We are currently evaluating MBX 2109 in a Phase 2 clinical trial in patients with HP and dosed our first patient in this trial in August 2024. We anticipate reporting topline data in the third quarter of 2025. • MBX 1416: We are advancing MBX 1416, which is designed to be a long-acting glucagon-like peptide-1, or GLP-1, receptor antagonist, as a potential therapy for post-bariatric hypoglycemia, or PBH, a chronic complication of bariatric surgery. MBX 1416 is designed as a convenient once-weekly therapy to reduce insulin secretion and increase blood glucose to reduce the frequency and severity of hypoglycemic events. In our ongoing Phase 1 clinical trial, preliminary data regarding the way the compound is absorbed, distributed, metabolized and excreted, or pharmacokinetics, from the single ascending dose portion demonstrated that weekly subcutaneous injections resulted in dose-proportional increases in MBX 1416 exposure and a half-life supporting a once-weekly dosing regimen. We anticipate additional single ascending dose and multiple ascending dose data from our ongoing Phase 1 clinical trial in the fourth quarter of 2024. • Obesity portfolio: Our lead obesity product candidate, MBX 4291, is designed to be a long-acting and highly potent GLP-1 and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide, or GIP, receptor co-agonist prodrug with the goal of reducing dosing frequency and improving efficacy and tolerability relative to existing standards of care. In our preclinical studies, the active component of MBX 4291 demonstrated a similar activity profile and body weight loss in mice as tirzepatide, an approved weekly GLP-1/GIP co-agonist, and an extended duration of action of the active component of MBX 4291, supporting the potential for once-monthly administration. During our preclinical studies, the concentration of the active component of MBX 4291 was significantly lower than the concentration of tirzepatide during the comparison period. Although we believe MBX 4291 has the potential to be dosed less frequently, less frequent dosing would necessarily require a higher dose of MBX 4291. The results observed from our preclinical studies may not necessarily be predictive of the results of later-stage clinical trials that we may conduct. In addition, the study supporting potential duration of MBX 4291 was conducted separately from studies evaluating its effects. MBX 4291 is currently in IND-enabling studies with an anticipated investigational new drug, or IND, submission in the second quarter of 2025. Beyond MBX 4291, we have a robust discovery pipeline including multiple programs in the lead optimization stage of development. Endocrine organs secrete peptide hormones into the blood stream that act on distant organs to calibrate their function and maintain homeostasis, which impact metabolism, growth, reproduction and other bodily functions. Underproduction of a hormone, known as a hormonal deficiency, can lead to endocrine diseases, such as diabetes and HP. In addition to using peptides as hormone replacement therapies, peptide-based drugs have been developed as pharmacologic agents to treat endocrine and other diseases. However, whether as replacement therapies or novel pharmacological actions, these therapeutic peptides often have significant drawbacks. Unmodified peptides often have short half-lives, and are rapidly degraded by enzymes and swiftly cleared within minutes to hours by the liver and kidney. This often necessitates frequent, daily injections of these peptides, which can result in wide fluctuations of the peptide concentration in the bloodstream leading to diminished effectiveness of the therapy or side effects caused by high levels of the peptide. Modified peptide therapies have been developed to allow less frequent once-daily and once-weekly dosing regimens. Although these convenient, patient-friendly therapies could increase compliance and result in improved effectiveness in the real-world setting, they can still produce significant fluctuations in peptide blood levels or high peak-to-trough ratios, which can lead to side effects and limit potential efficacy. Therefore, there remains a significant unmet need to develop modified peptide therapies with extended time-action profiles and low peak-to-trough ratios that allow for less frequent injections and have the potential to provide improved efficacy, tolerability and convenience. Leveraging the proprietary technologies in our PEP platform, we are designing and developing novel peptide therapeutics with the goal of achieving four key, distinct attributes: 1) high potency, 2) high target selectivity, 3) half-lives that allow for dosing at weekly or less frequent intervals, and 4) low or flat peak-to-trough ratios to improve tolerability, thereby facilitating higher dosing and greater potential efficacy. We were founded as MBX Biosciences LLC, an Indiana limited liability company, in August 2018. We converted to a Delaware corporation in April 2019 and incorporated under the name MBX Biosciences, Inc. Our principal executive offices are located at 11711 N. Meridian Street, Suite 300, Carmel, Indiana.

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A smaller, earlier-stage Eli Lilly focused on developing novel therapies for diabetes and related metabolic diseases.

Like a nascent Novo Nordisk, specializing in the research and development of new drugs for diabetes and liver conditions like MASH.

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  • Therapeutic Biologics: Novel biological drugs, such as monoclonal antibodies or gene therapies, developed to treat a range of human diseases.
  • Molecular Diagnostics: Advanced kits and platforms used for precise disease detection, patient stratification, and monitoring treatment response.
  • Research Reagents & Tools: Specialized biochemicals, antibodies, cell lines, and laboratory equipment supplied for life science research and development.

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MBX Biosciences (symbol: MBX), as a company operating in the biosciences sector, typically sells its products and services primarily to other companies and institutions rather than directly to individuals. Due to the confidential nature of client relationships in this industry, specific customer names are generally not publicly disclosed unless they represent major collaborations, licensing agreements, or acquisitions.

Based on the typical business model for a public biosciences company, MBX Biosciences' major customer categories would include:

  • Pharmaceutical Companies: These are often the primary customers for advanced therapeutics, novel drug candidates (through licensing or co-development agreements), specialized biologics, or platform technologies developed by biosciences firms. Major public pharmaceutical companies include (but are not limited to) Pfizer (PFE), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Merck & Co. (MRK), Novartis (NVS), and Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY).
  • Other Biotechnology Companies: This category encompasses a wide range of companies, from large established biotech firms to smaller, emerging ones. They may purchase specialized reagents, assays, research tools, or license specific technologies from MBX Biosciences to enhance their own research and development pipelines or product portfolios. Examples of public biotech companies include Amgen (AMGN), Gilead Sciences (GILD), and Biogen (BIIB).
  • Academic and Clinical Research Institutions: Universities, government laboratories, and major hospitals frequently serve as customers for biosciences companies. They purchase advanced research reagents, specialized diagnostic kits (if MBX produces them), or contract research services to support scientific discovery, clinical trials, and patient care.

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Kent Hawryluk, President & CEO

Kent Hawryluk is a Co-Founder of, and currently serves as President and Chief Executive Officer of, MBX Biosciences, Inc. (Nasdaq: MBX), roles he has held since January 2020. He also has served as a member of MBX's Board of Directors since April 2019. Prior to joining MBX, Mr. Hawryluk was Co-Founder and Chief Business Officer of Avidity Biosciences, Inc. (Nasdaq: RNA), an RNA therapeutics company, from January 2013 to December 2019. Under his leadership, Avidity raised $130 million in equity financings and initiated a strategic partnership with Eli Lilly. Previously, he served as Co-founder and CEO of MB2, a clinical-stage company focused on diabetes and obesity, from May 2014 to March 2016. MB2 was acquired by Novo Nordisk in October 2015. Prior to MB2 and Avidity, Mr. Hawryluk co-founded Marcadia Biotech and served as its Chief Business Officer and Vice President, Business Development from January 2006 to April 2011. Marcadia was acquired by Roche in December 2010. Since January 2003, he has also served as partner of Twilight Venture Partners, a private seed- and early-stage life science venture capital fund.

Richard Bartram, CPA, Chief Financial Officer

Richard Bartram has served as MBX's Chief Financial Officer since April 2022. Prior to joining MBX, Mr. Bartram served as Chief Financial Officer at Esperion Therapeutics, Inc., (Nasdaq: ESPR), a pharmaceutical company, from January 2018 to April 2022. During his tenure at Esperion, he led the company’s efforts to raise over $1.2 billion in capital, supporting the approval and commercialization of NEXLETOL® and NEXLIZET®. He also provided key contributions to several successful business development licensing transactions. Prior to Esperion, Mr. Bartram served as an assurance manager with PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP from 2005 to 2013. Mr. Bartram has an extensive understanding of capital markets and experience in private transactions, initial public offerings, and debt offerings.

Sam Azoulay, MD, Chief Medical Officer

Salomon (Sam) Azoulay, MD, has served as MBX's Chief Medical Officer since June 2024. He is an accomplished physician-scientist with over 35 years of experience in global drug development and operations. Prior to MBX, Dr. Azoulay served as Consulting Chief Executive Officer of Nervosave Therapeutics, a developer of gene therapies, from September 2023 to June 2024. Before that, Dr. Azoulay served as Chief Medical Officer at Sumitovant Biopharma Ltd., an independent subsidiary of Sumitomo Pharma Co. Ltd., from January 2021 to July 2023. He also previously served as Chief Medical Officer of Roivant from May 2018 to December 2020.

Michelle Graham, Chief Human Resources Officer

Chatan Charan, PhD, Sr. Vice President, Pharmaceutical Development and CMC

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The key risks for MBX Biosciences (MBX) primarily revolve around the inherent challenges of being a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, particularly concerning the outcomes of its drug development programs, its financial sustainability, and the competitive landscape.

  1. Clinical Trial Outcomes and Regulatory Hurdles: As a clinical-stage company, MBX Biosciences' success is heavily dependent on the positive outcomes of its ongoing and future clinical trials and its ability to navigate complex regulatory approval processes. There are specific concerns regarding its lead candidate, canvuparatide (MBX 2109), for hypoparathyroidism. Recent Phase 2 data indicated a limited competitive edge against existing or advanced treatments like Ascendis Pharma's Yorvipath, a high placebo response rate, and increased adverse events at higher dosages, which could impede its progression to Phase 3 trials. Furthermore, there is a challenge for MBX Biosciences to demonstrate meaningful differentiation for its near-term hypoglycemia data catalyst (MBX 1416), which could result in an unfavorable risk/benefit profile. The validation of its proprietary Precision Endocrine Peptide (PEP) platform beyond its lead drug candidates is also a significant challenge for the company over the coming year.
  2. Financial Health and Funding: MBX Biosciences operates with substantial research and development (R&D) expenditures typical for a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, without generating significant product revenue. This has led to accumulated deficits and negative profitability. Although the company currently possesses a strong cash position, projected to fund operations into mid-2027, its ongoing reliance on capital markets for future funding presents a risk of shareholder dilution if additional capital raises become necessary, especially if there are delays or failures in its clinical development programs. The company has already experienced shareholder dilution in the past year.
  3. Competition: The biopharmaceutical industry is intensely competitive, with many companies actively developing treatments for endocrine and metabolic disorders. MBX's primary candidate, canvuparatide, faces direct competition from established players such as Ascendis Pharma's Yorvipath and other companies with assets in late-stage development, including AstraZeneca. In the obesity therapeutic area, MBX's candidate, MBX 4291, is in earlier stages compared to competitors like Amgen, which has more advanced programs. This competitive landscape could impact MBX's potential market share and commercial viability should its products reach the market.

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MBX Biosciences Addressable Markets

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MBX Biosciences (MBX) is poised for potential future revenue growth, primarily driven by the advancement and commercialization of its precision peptide therapies. Over the next 2-3 years, the key drivers of revenue growth are expected to include:

  1. Commercialization of Canvuparatide (MBX 2109) for Chronic Hypoparathyroidism: Canvuparatide is MBX's lead product candidate, having demonstrated promising efficacy in Phase 2 trials with a potential best-in-class profile due to its weekly dosing. Analysts anticipate that its successful progression through Phase 3 trials and subsequent market launch could lead to peak sales exceeding $2 billion.
  2. Advancement and Potential Commercialization of Imapextide (MBX 1416) for Post-Bariatric Hypoglycemia (PBH): Imapextide is currently in Phase 2 clinical evaluation. This investigational therapy is designed to prevent severe hypoglycemia in individuals with PBH and is considered another potential "billion-dollar opportunity" for the company.
  3. Development and Potential Commercialization of MBX 4291 for Obesity: MBX 4291 is in Phase 1 clinical evaluation as a potential treatment for obesity. Analysts also view this candidate as a significant revenue opportunity, with potential for monthly GLP/GIP dosing.
  4. Expansion of the Pipeline through the Proprietary PEPâ„¢ Platform Technology: MBX Biosciences leverages its proprietary Precision Endocrine Peptide (PEPâ„¢) platform to discover and develop new therapeutic candidates for endocrine and metabolic disorders. This platform underpins a growing pipeline, offering the potential for additional product launches beyond current lead candidates.
  5. Strategic Collaborations and Partnerships: MBX Biosciences has opportunities to form strategic partnerships and licensing agreements. Such collaborations could accelerate the development and commercialization of its product candidates by providing additional resources, expertise, and access to established distribution networks, thereby significantly impacting future revenue.

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Share Issuance

  • In September 2025, MBX Biosciences completed an upsized public offering of 11,108,055 shares at $18.00 per share, generating approximately $199.9 million in gross proceeds.
  • The net proceeds from this September 2025 offering were $187.4 million.

Inbound Investments

  • MBX Biosciences has raised a total of $216 million in funding across four rounds.
  • The company's latest funding round was a Series C, completed on August 5, 2024, which raised $63.5 million.
  • Five investors participated in the Series C round, with Deep Track Capital leading, and Driehaus, Frazier Life Sciences, Orbimed, and Wellington also participating.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were reported as $0.87 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, and $0.87 million for the full year 2024.
  • The company reported capital expenditures of $0.13 million in 2023 and $0.44 million in 2022.
  • These expenditures likely support the company's focus on the discovery and development of precision peptide therapies for endocrine and metabolic disorders.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to MBX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
21.4%21.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.4%-7.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
18.0%18.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.9%3.9%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MBX Biosciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MBXHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameMBX Bios.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price31.0722.7324.33305.7477.79273.7654.43
Mkt Cap1.121.432.4285.5307.74,079.8159.0
Rev LTM055,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM-913,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM-792,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg-2,9781,40011,75313,879100,50311,753
CFO LTM-783,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg-3,6723,89613,49814,736111,55913,498

Growth & Margins

MBXHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameMBX Bios.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM-3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%6.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%2.6%
Rev Chg Q-4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%17.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%20.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%21.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%18.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%18.6%

Valuation

MBXHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameMBX Bios.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap1.121.432.4285.5307.74,079.8159.0
P/S-0.40.94.45.310.04.4
P/EBIT-11.76.619.725.122.431.321.1
P/E-13.28.4569.036.129.841.133.0
P/CFO-13.75.811.121.222.437.616.1
Total Yield-7.6%14.4%2.3%5.0%5.5%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.0%
D/E0.00.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-0.40.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

MBXHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameMBX Bios.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn-9.9%-5.8%11.9%-0.9%1.1%-1.8%-1.4%
3M Rtn73.2%-14.5%1.4%9.9%15.6%7.7%8.8%
6M Rtn172.3%-5.0%20.3%5.0%13.5%33.7%16.9%
12M Rtn54.8%-28.7%15.4%40.8%33.9%7.6%24.6%
3Y Rtn31.4%-5.3%65.8%142.1%78.3%113.9%72.0%
1M Excs Rtn-9.5%-5.5%12.3%-0.5%0.9%-2.7%-1.6%
3M Excs Rtn69.5%-18.1%-2.3%6.2%11.9%4.0%5.1%
6M Excs Rtn161.0%-16.3%9.0%-6.3%2.2%22.4%5.6%
12M Excs Rtn29.8%-43.3%-0.2%25.4%19.0%-7.8%9.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-46.7%-82.8%-10.4%61.9%0.1%27.1%-5.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Discovery and development of novel precision peptide therapies for the treatment of endocrine and 0
Total 0


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Discovery and development of novel precision peptide therapies for the treatment of endocrine and8445
Total8445


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$31.07 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.1 
First Trading Date09/13/2024 
Distance from 52W High-10.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$26.09$17.33
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA19.1%79.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility85.3%139.7%
Downside Capture54.25254.92
Upside Capture314.23262.25
Correlation (SPY)19.1%21.7%
MBX Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.931.102.052.081.53-0.34
Up Beta2.561.500.290.710.92-1.58
Down Beta3.181.100.330.050.76-0.16
Up Capture448%441%715%747%778%93%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days15263566130158
Down Capture-229%-104%109%184%151%101%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days5152758117143

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
null
Based On 5-Year Data
null
Based On 10-Year Data
null

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,611,905
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-11.9%
Average Daily Volume832,256
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.34
Basic Shares Quantity34,198,597
Short % of Basic Shares10.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/7/2025-4.6%11.0%-1.0%
3/17/20251.7%-9.3%-14.6%
11/7/20242.1%-8.4%-2.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive210
# Negative123
Median Positive1.9%11.0% 
Median Negative-4.6%-8.8%-2.5%
Max Positive2.1%11.0% 
Max Negative-4.6%-9.3%-14.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q (09/30/2025)
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q (06/30/2025)
03/31/202505/12/202510-Q (03/31/2025)
12/31/202403/17/202510-K (12/31/2024)
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q (09/30/2024)
06/30/202409/13/2024424B5 (06/30/2024)