Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $47.69 | Market Cap: $4.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $47.69Market Cap: $4.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -4.3% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -478 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31130% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.5, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 2,556x |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22649%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23062% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% | ||
| Key risksCRNX key risks include [1] securing regulatory approval for its lead asset, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -4.3% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.5, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -478 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31130% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 2,556x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22649%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23062% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
| Key risksCRNX key risks include [1] securing regulatory approval for its lead asset, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CRNX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX) experienced a 53.9% stock increase from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by several key developments:
1. FDA Approval and Commercial Launch of PALSONIFY (paltusotine): The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved PALSONIFY (paltusotine) for the treatment of acromegaly, with the commercial launch following on September 25, 2025. This significant milestone marked the company's transition to a commercial-stage entity and was accompanied by encouraging early feedback on the launch and positive reimbursement trends.
2. Advancement of the Atumelnant Clinical Program: Crinetics made substantial progress with its late-stage investigational candidate, atumelnant. The company announced the dosing of the first patient in its pivotal Phase 3 adult trial for atumelnant in congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH) on December 11, 2025, signaling forward momentum in this key pipeline asset.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRNX Return | -44% | 101% | -36% | 94% | 44% | -5% | 94% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRNX Win Rate | 42% | 75% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRNX Max Drawdown | -54% | -6% | -45% | -16% | -2% | -50% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRNX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 168 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 129.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 595 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -59.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 146.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,545 days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI
In The Past
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -46.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -46.1% loss requires a 85.6% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CRNX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Crinetics Pharmaceuticals
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 59.7 |
| Rev LTM | 2 |
| Op Inc LTM | -92 |
| FCF LTM | -7 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -8 |
| CFO LTM | -7 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -8 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 29.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -15,565.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -10,828.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -368.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -11,308.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -7,576.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -11,516.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -7,721.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 59.7 |
| P/S | 1,282.5 |
| P/EBIT | 7.1 |
| P/E | 9.0 |
| P/CFO | 7.8 |
| Total Yield | -3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.8% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 27.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 28.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 115.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 23.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 15.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 50.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -8.0% | -4.7% | 10.1% |
| 8/7/2025 | -3.7% | 6.5% | 26.0% |
| 5/8/2025 | -6.2% | -4.6% | -1.3% |
| 2/27/2025 | 7.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% |
| 11/12/2024 | 0.2% | -6.1% | -5.4% |
| 2/28/2024 | -4.3% | 1.8% | 9.5% |
| 11/7/2023 | -3.6% | -2.9% | 13.4% |
| 8/8/2023 | -3.9% | -6.4% | -7.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 3.5% | 9.8% |
| Median Negative | -4.1% | -4.5% | -7.9% |
| Max Positive | 15.5% | 26.5% | 35.0% |
| Max Negative | -10.1% | -39.2% | -31.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3302022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |