Tearsheet

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $47.69 | Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $47.69
Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.3%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -478 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31130%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.5, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 2,556x
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22649%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23062%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
5   Key risks
CRNX key risks include [1] securing regulatory approval for its lead asset, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.3%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.5, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -478 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31130%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 2,556x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%
9 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22649%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23062%
10 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
11 Key risks
CRNX key risks include [1] securing regulatory approval for its lead asset, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CRNX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX) experienced a 53.9% stock increase from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by several key developments:

1. FDA Approval and Commercial Launch of PALSONIFY (paltusotine): The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved PALSONIFY (paltusotine) for the treatment of acromegaly, with the commercial launch following on September 25, 2025. This significant milestone marked the company's transition to a commercial-stage entity and was accompanied by encouraging early feedback on the launch and positive reimbursement trends.

2. Advancement of the Atumelnant Clinical Program: Crinetics made substantial progress with its late-stage investigational candidate, atumelnant. The company announced the dosing of the first patient in its pivotal Phase 3 adult trial for atumelnant in congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH) on December 11, 2025, signaling forward momentum in this key pipeline asset.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CRNX Return-44%101%-36%94%44%-5%94%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CRNX Win Rate42%75%50%67%67%42% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CRNX Max Drawdown-54%-6%-45%-16%-2%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCRNXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven168 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven129.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven595 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-59.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven146.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,545 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -46.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -46.1% loss requires a 85.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX)

Better Bets than Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CRNX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Crinetics Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CRNXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameCrinetic.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Price47.69449.52-2.850.98-25.27
Mkt Cap4.5114.9----59.7
Rev LTM211,723-0--2
Op Inc LTM-478-92--7---92
FCF LTM-3543,337--7---7
FCF 3Y Avg-2422,064--8---8
CFO LTM-3483,718--7---7
CFO 3Y Avg-2382,419--8---8

Growth & Margins

CRNXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameCrinetic.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Rev Chg LTM47.7%10.3%----29.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-12.6%10.5%-----1.1%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.3%2.7%----6.5%
Op Mgn LTM-31,130.2%-0.8%-----15,565.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-21,683.3%26.2%-----10,828.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-738.0%1.0%-----368.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-22,649.4%31.7%-----11,308.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-15,175.8%23.1%-----7,576.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-23,062.0%28.5%-----11,516.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-15,462.1%19.8%-----7,721.2%

Valuation

CRNXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameCrinetic.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Cap4.5114.9----59.7
P/S2,556.48.5----1,282.5
P/EBIT-8.222.4----7.1
P/E-9.327.2----9.0
P/CFO-11.326.9----7.8
Total Yield-10.8%3.7%-----3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.0%2.3%-----2.8%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.3-0.0-----0.2

Returns

CRNXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameCrinetic.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
1M Rtn9.6%3.6%--9.5%-9.5%
3M Rtn39.4%16.1%----27.8%
6M Rtn56.4%0.2%----28.3%
12M Rtn-13.9%-4.2%-----9.0%
3Y Rtn183.0%47.5%----115.3%
1M Excs Rtn8.8%2.8%--8.8%-8.8%
3M Excs Rtn33.1%14.8%----23.9%
6M Excs Rtn44.0%-12.1%----15.9%
12M Excs Rtn-22.2%-14.1%-----18.2%
3Y Excs Rtn126.7%-25.4%----50.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment 51 1
Total 51 1


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment635  183 
Total635  183 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,873,038
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-12.9%
Average Daily Volume1,206,069
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.50
Basic Shares Quantity94,215,000
Short % of Basic Shares14.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-8.0%-4.7%10.1%
8/7/2025-3.7%6.5%26.0%
5/8/2025-6.2%-4.6%-1.3%
2/27/20257.7%2.7%4.6%
11/12/20240.2%-6.1%-5.4%
2/28/2024-4.3%1.8%9.5%
11/7/2023-3.6%-2.9%13.4%
8/8/2023-3.9%-6.4%-7.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9912
# Negative10107
Median Positive4.6%3.5%9.8%
Median Negative-4.1%-4.5%-7.9%
Max Positive15.5%26.5%35.0%
Max Negative-10.1%-39.2%-31.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021330202210-K 12/31/2021