Lamb Weston (LW)
Market Price (4/13/2026): $42.5 | Market Cap: $5.9 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Lamb Weston (LW)
Market Price (4/13/2026): $42.5Market Cap: $5.9 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3%, FCF Yield is 11% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Vegan Products, Sustainable Packaging, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68% Key risksLW key risks include [1] significant customer concentration in its foodservice segment, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Vegan Products, Sustainable Packaging, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68% |
| Key risksLW key risks include [1] significant customer concentration in its foodservice segment, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Mixed Q3 FY2026 Earnings Performance.
Lamb Weston reported adjusted diluted EPS of $0.72 for Q3 FY2026, exceeding analyst consensus estimates of $0.61, and net sales increased by 3% year-over-year to $1.56 billion, also surpassing expectations. However, the company's reported diluted EPS significantly declined 62% year-over-year to $0.39, and net income fell 63% to $54.0 million. This divergence between adjusted and reported profitability, coupled with top-line beats, resulted in a largely neutral stock reaction following the announcement.
2. Persistent International Weakness and Pricing Pressures.
The company continued to face significant challenges in its International segment, which saw an 80% year-over-year drop in Adjusted EBITDA to $18.5 million in Q3 FY2026. This was driven by unfavorable global price/mix as customers shifted towards value channels, and was further exacerbated by a $32.5 million pre-tax charge to write off excess raw potatoes. This ongoing international softness and pricing pressure counteracted strong volume growth in North America, dampening overall profitability and stock momentum.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.6% change in LW stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 41.54 | 42.19 | 1.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,474 | 6,518 | 0.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.1% | 4.6% | -24.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.8 | 19.5 | 32.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 139 | 139 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.6% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LW | 1.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 23.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.0% | 39.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.3% change in LW stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 57.26 | 42.19 | -26.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,456 | 6,518 | 1.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 27.2 | 19.5 | -28.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 140 | 139 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LW | -26.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 5.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.9% | 29.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.6% change in LW stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 51.83 | 42.19 | -18.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,325 | 6,518 | 3.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.8% | 4.6% | -20.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.2 | 19.5 | -3.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 143 | 139 | 2.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LW | -18.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 16.6% |
| Sector (XLP) | 3.1% | 33.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -57.1% change in LW stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -56.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 98.34 | 42.19 | -57.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,510 | 6,518 | 44.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.5% | 4.6% | -56.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.9 | 19.5 | -34.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 144 | 139 | 3.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -57.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LW | -57.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 23.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 19.0% | 28.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LW Return | -18% | 43% | 22% | -37% | -36% | 0% | -42% |
| Peers Return | 10% | 1% | -12% | -10% | -25% | 1% | -33% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LW Win Rate | 33% | 83% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 54% | 44% | 48% | 40% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LW Max Drawdown | -35% | -21% | -6% | -51% | -36% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -21% | -26% | -15% | -30% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CAG, KHC, GIS, BGS. See LW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -53.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 113.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,023 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 153 days | 120 days |
Compare to CAG, KHC, GIS, BGS
In The Past
Lamb Weston's stock fell -41.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/5/2021. A -41.8% loss requires a 71.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Lamb Weston (LW)
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Lamb Weston:
They're like the Tyson Foods for potatoes, processing the commodity into various products for both restaurants and grocery stores.
Think of them as the Frito-Lay for frozen potato products, with popular brands like Grown in Idaho and Alexia found in freezers worldwide.
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- Frozen Potato Products: The company's core business involves producing, distributing, and marketing various value-added frozen potato products.
- Commercial Food Ingredients: Lamb Weston offers commercial ingredients, likely potato-based, to other businesses and food manufacturers.
- Frozen Appetizers: The company produces and markets a range of frozen appetizers under its own brands and for customer labels.
- Vegetable Products: Lamb Weston is also involved in the business of various vegetable-based products.
- Dairy Products: The company engages in the dairy business, providing dairy-related offerings.
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Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (symbol: LW) primarily sells its products to other companies (B2B).
The provided background information does not explicitly name specific major customer companies. However, it broadly categorizes Lamb Weston's customers into the following segments:
- Retail Customers: This category includes various types of retailers such as grocery, mass, club, and specialty retailers. These customers purchase Lamb Weston's owned or licensed brands (e.g., Grown in Idaho, Alexia) and products for sale under their own private labels.
- Foodservice Customers: This category encompasses a wide range of businesses and institutions. It includes independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, convenience stores, and educational institutions. These customers utilize Lamb Weston's frozen potato products, commercial ingredients, and appetizers in their operations.
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Michael J. Smith, President and Chief Executive Officer
Michael J. Smith was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Lamb Weston in January 2025. He joined Lamb Weston in 2007 and has held increasingly senior leadership roles, including Chief Operating Officer from May 2023 to January 2025. Prior to his COO role, he served as Senior Vice President, Foodservice, Retail, Innovation and Marketing, and Senior Vice President, Growth and Strategy. Before joining Conagra Brands, Inc. in 2007 (Lamb Weston's former parent company), he held various brand management positions at Dean Foods Company. Mr. Smith holds a bachelor's degree in marketing from Brigham Young University and an MBA from the Cox School of Business at Southern Methodist University.
James D. Gray, Chief Financial Officer
James D. Gray will join Lamb Weston as Chief Financial Officer on April 2, 2026, succeeding Bernadette Madarieta, who will transition to an interim advisory role. Mr. Gray most recently served for 12 years as Executive Vice President and CFO at Ingredion, a global ingredients solutions company. Earlier in his career, he held finance leadership roles at PepsiCo for over a decade and began his career at Bain & Company.
Jan Craps, Executive Chair
Jan Craps joined Lamb Weston in February 2026 as Executive Chair, a newly created position. In this role, he focuses on board leadership, mergers and acquisitions, governance, oversight, international market execution, and long-term strategy. Prior to Lamb Weston, he spent more than 20 years with Anheuser-Busch InBev, most recently as the CEO and Co-Chair of Budweiser Brewing Company APAC, and CEO, APAC. He has experience leading large-scale transformations and managing multibillion-dollar consumer businesses across Europe, Canada, Australia, and Asia. Mr. Craps began his career at McKinsey & Company.
Mike Crowley, President, North America
Mike Crowley was appointed President, North America in January 2025. He is responsible for all Lamb Weston commercial channels in North America, including Foodservice, Retail, and Multi-National Chains. Previously, he served as Senior Vice President & General Manager, Multinational-Chains, where he oversaw strategic global customer partnerships.
Marc Schroeder, President, International
Marc Schroeder serves as the President, International for Lamb Weston.
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The key risks to Lamb Weston's business include volatility in its supply chain and input costs, intense competition and pricing pressure within a softening demand environment, and operational execution challenges, particularly related to its ERP system implementation.
- Supply Chain and Input Cost Volatility: Lamb Weston faces significant risks from disruptions and volatility in its supply chain, particularly concerning the availability and cost of key raw materials like potatoes and edible oils. Poor potato harvests, influenced by adverse weather conditions such as extreme heat, can lead to lower quality and yields, increasing the cost per pound of finished product. The company also grapples with inflation in other critical inputs, including labor, energy, and transportation, which directly elevate manufacturing costs and can negatively impact profitability. Climate change is also recognized as a potential risk to agricultural productivity and the pricing of raw materials.
- Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure in a Softening Demand Environment: The frozen potato products industry is highly competitive, leading to ongoing pricing pressure and unfavorable price/mix dynamics for Lamb Weston. This competitive landscape is exacerbated by a global softening in demand for frozen fries, driven by factors such as reduced restaurant traffic and menu price inflation. Large customers, which constitute a significant portion of Lamb Weston's sales (e.g., McDonald's representing a mid-teen volume percentage), can leverage their power in low-demand situations, further intensifying pricing pressure and affecting margins.
- Operational Execution Challenges, Including ERP System Disruptions: Lamb Weston has encountered persistent difficulties with operational execution, both commercially and within its supply chain. A notable challenge has been the implementation of a new Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system, which has caused temporary operational disruptions, led to higher-than-anticipated costs, and contributed to the loss of some customers. These execution difficulties hinder the company's ability to meet financial targets and growth expectations.
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Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. operates in significant addressable markets for its main products, primarily frozen potato products and appetizers.
The global frozen potatoes market was valued at approximately USD 65.4 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 112 billion by 2034, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.6%. Another estimate places the global frozen potatoes market at USD 65.56 billion in 2024, with a projected growth to USD 99.85 billion by 2032, expanding at a CAGR of 5.4%.
In North America, a key region for Lamb Weston, the frozen potato market was valued at around USD 23.73 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 35.02 billion by 2031, demonstrating a CAGR of 5.0%. The U.S. market alone for frozen potatoes was worth over USD 11.5 billion in 2024. Lamb Weston is North America's largest producer of frozen potato products, holding more than a 40% share in this market.
The European frozen potato market was valued at approximately USD 20.01 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach USD 28.44 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 4.5%. Another source indicates the European frozen potatoes market size was worth USD 18.18 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 24.73 billion by 2034.
For appetizers, which fall under the broader category of frozen snacks, the global frozen snacks market reached USD 102.1 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 140.8 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.1% during 2024-2031. Another projection estimates the global frozen snacks market at USD 153.91 billion in 2025, with an anticipated increase to approximately USD 262.90 billion by 2035, reflecting a CAGR of 5.5%. Potato-based snacks, a significant component of Lamb Weston's offerings, held a 32.62% share of the frozen snacks market in 2025.
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Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Volume Growth, particularly in North America and Asia: The company has reported significant volume increases, especially in North America and Asia, and has restarted previously curtailed North American production lines to meet higher demand. North America volumes are expected to continue growing at or above first-half rates.
- Customer Contract Wins and Share Gains: Lamb Weston's "Focus to Win" strategy and recent customer contract wins, along with share gains and retention, are noted as direct contributors to volume growth and sales across its segments.
- Strategic Market Positioning and Expanded Global Footprint: The company leverages its leading market positions, being #1 in North America and #2 globally, along with an advantaged global manufacturing footprint, to support customer growth across all regions and channels.
- Innovation Leadership: Lamb Weston emphasizes its innovation leadership in the frozen potato category as a strategy that creates opportunities to drive growth.
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Share Repurchases
- Lamb Weston's Board of Directors authorized an increase in the share repurchase program from $500 million to $750 million in December 2024.
- The company repurchased $282.0 million of its common stock, totaling 4,867,449 shares, during fiscal 2025.
- In the first half of fiscal 2026 (ending November 2025), Lamb Weston repurchased over $50 million in stock. Approximately $308 million remained authorized under the program as of November 2025.
Share Issuance
- Shares outstanding have generally shown a decline over the last 3-5 years, with 2025 shares outstanding being 0.143 billion, a 1.99% decrease from 2024.
Outbound Investments
- In February 2023, Lamb Weston completed the acquisition of the remaining equity interests in its European joint venture with Meijer Frozen Foods B.V.
- In July 2022, the company purchased an additional 40% stake in Lamb Weston Alimentos Modernos S.A. (LWAMSA), its joint venture in Argentina, increasing its total ownership to 90%.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures amounted to $736 million during fiscal 2023, primarily for construction costs related to expanding processing capacity, including breaking ground on a 250 million-pound capacity expansion for the South American market and progressing on projects in China and the Netherlands.
- In fiscal 2025, capital expenditures were $650.7 million, with a primary focus on completing strategic capacity expansion projects in China, the U.S., and the Netherlands, and a project in Argentina expected to begin production in August 2025.
- For fiscal 2026, capital expenditures are expected to be below the $500 million target, as major growth investments were completed in fiscal 2025 and early fiscal 2026, and the company is focusing on disciplined investment for sustaining performance.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to LW.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 03202026 | KHC | Kraft Heinz | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | -1.7% |
| 03202026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| 03202026 | MKC | McCormick | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 03132026 | LW | Lamb Weston | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.7% |
| 06302020 | LW | Lamb Weston | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 21.1% | 27.8% | -7.2% |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 23.06 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.3 |
| Rev LTM | 11,181 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,330 |
| FCF LTM | 842 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,236 |
| CFO LTM | 1,241 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,632 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -4.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.3 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 6.6 |
| P/E | -4.7 |
| P/CFO | 6.0 |
| Total Yield | 8.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 7.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -15.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -20.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -52.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -54.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -118.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $42.19 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 5.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/01/2016 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -35.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $44.69 | $51.87 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -5.6% | -18.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.6% | 44.1% |
| Downside Capture | 0.03 | 0.43 |
| Upside Capture | 29.69 | 32.08 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 20.5% | 18.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.72 | 0.71 | 0.60 | 0.23 | 0.39 | 0.64 |
| Up Beta | 0.76 | 3.01 | 2.16 | 0.02 | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| Down Beta | 0.54 | 0.81 | 0.73 | 0.58 | -0.01 | 0.59 |
| Up Capture | -36% | -10% | 20% | -29% | 25% | 15% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 20 | 34 | 63 | 123 | 379 |
| Down Capture | 137% | 58% | 24% | 46% | 81% | 97% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 28 | 62 | 127 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LW | -17.4% | 44.2% | -0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 10.3% | 13.3% | 0.48 | 33.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 23.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | 1.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | 0.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 34.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -4.3% | 43.7% | 0.02 | 6.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LW | -10.6% | 37.6% | -0.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.3% | 13.2% | 0.26 | 33.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 29.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 1.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 29.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.3% | 56.5% | 0.30 | 8.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LW | 3.7% | 36.0% | 0.22 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.2% | 14.7% | 0.36 | 38.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 39.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 14.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 42.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.6% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 10.8% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/1/2026 | -8.9% | -1.6% | |
| 12/19/2025 | -25.9% | -29.0% | -25.3% |
| 7/23/2025 | 16.3% | 20.9% | 13.0% |
| 4/3/2025 | 10.0% | 2.0% | -4.2% |
| 12/19/2024 | -20.1% | -16.5% | -22.2% |
| 10/2/2024 | 2.6% | 6.6% | 16.7% |
| 7/24/2024 | -28.2% | -24.3% | -20.4% |
| 4/4/2024 | -19.4% | -21.0% | -16.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% |
| Median Negative | -11.1% | -11.5% | -11.3% |
| Max Positive | 16.3% | 20.9% | 16.7% |
| Max Negative | -28.2% | -29.0% | -25.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 02/28/2026 | 04/01/2026 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2025 | 12/19/2025 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2025 | 09/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2025 | 07/23/2025 | 10-K |
| 02/28/2025 | 04/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2024 | 12/20/2024 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2024 | 10/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2024 | 07/24/2024 | 10-K |
| 02/29/2024 | 04/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2023 | 01/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2023 | 10/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2023 | 07/25/2023 | 10-K |
| 02/28/2023 | 04/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2022 | 01/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2022 | 10/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 4/1/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Sales | 6.45 Bil | 6.50 Bil | 6.55 Bil | 0.8% | Raised | Guidance: 6.45 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.08 Bil | 1.11 Bil | 1.14 Bil | 0.9% | Raised | Guidance: 1.10 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Cash Used for Capital Expenditures | 400.00 Mil | -20.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 500.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 12/19/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 6.35 Bil | 6.45 Bil | 6.55 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 6.45 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.00 Bil | 1.10 Bil | 1.20 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.10 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 500.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 500.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jones, Gregory W | VP AND CONTROLLER | Direct | Sell | 10032025 | 62.48 | 1,600 | 99,973 | 592,028 | Form |
| 2 | Craps, Jan Eli B | Executive Chair | Direct | Buy | 2062026 | 48.65 | 50,000 | 2,432,330 | 14,593,980 | Form |
| 3 | Bensen, Peter J | Revocable Trust | Buy | 4072026 | 39.45 | 5,000 | 197,225 | 678,612 | Form | |
| 4 | Jana, Partners Management, Lp | See footnote | Buy | 4092026 | 40.89 | 136,000 | 5,561,040 | 210,541,792 | Form | |
| 5 | Jana, Partners Management, Lp | See footnote | Buy | 4092026 | 41.41 | 100,000 | 4,141,000 | 217,360,262 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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