Tearsheet

Lamb Weston (LW)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $41.83 | Market Cap: $5.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Lamb Weston (LW)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $41.83
Market Cap: $5.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -104%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 66%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
  Key risks
LW key risks include [1] significant customer concentration in its foodservice segment, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Vegan Products, Sustainable Packaging, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Vegan Products, Sustainable Packaging, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -104%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 66%
6 Key risks
LW key risks include [1] significant customer concentration in its foodservice segment, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Following a period from August 31, 2025, to December 24, 2025, Lamb Weston (LW) experienced a significant stock price decline, including drops around 24-26% in mid-December. Several key factors contributed to this movement: 1. Disappointing Full-Year Guidance and Outlook

Despite beating revenue and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates for its fiscal second quarter of 2026 (Q4 CY2025), Lamb Weston's full-year guidance for fiscal 2026 fell short of analyst expectations. The company projected flat year-over-year revenue and an anticipated 11% decline in a key earnings metric, or its midpoint falling below consensus, signaling concerns about future profitability and market share in a competitive environment. 2. Softer Margins and Pricing Pressure

Lamb Weston faced significant pricing pressure and gross margin headwinds. An 8% decline in price/mix largely offset robust volume growth, attributed to increased trade support and a shift toward lower-margin sales channels. Higher manufacturing costs in international markets, particularly in Europe, also weighed on profitability, with management indicating that adjusted gross margins were expected to be flat to down in the second half of fiscal 2026. Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -22.6% change in LW stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -30.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
923202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)54.0041.80-22.59%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6451.306473.700.35%
Net Income Margin (%)5.54%6.06%9.45%
P/E Multiple21.2214.85-30.02%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)140.40139.400.71%
Cumulative Contribution-22.59%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
LW-22.6% 
Market (SPY)3.7%4.0%
Sector (XLP)-1.1%26.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -21.3% change in LW stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -27.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
624202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)53.1241.80-21.32%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6387.406473.701.35%
Net Income Margin (%)5.75%6.06%5.47%
P/E Multiple20.5414.85-27.69%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)141.90139.401.76%
Cumulative Contribution-21.34%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
LW-21.3% 
Market (SPY)13.7%11.4%
Sector (XLP)-4.0%22.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -32.9% change in LW stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -38.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1223202412232025Change
Stock Price ($)62.2841.80-32.89%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6325.206473.702.35%
Net Income Margin (%)5.80%6.06%4.41%
P/E Multiple24.2314.85-38.69%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)142.80139.402.38%
Cumulative Contribution-32.93%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
LW-32.9% 
Market (SPY)16.7%18.5%
Sector (XLP)0.1%32.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -50.7% change in LW stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -51.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1224202212232025Change
Stock Price ($)84.8041.80-50.71%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4240.306473.7052.67%
Net Income Margin (%)9.50%6.06%-36.24%
P/E Multiple30.3014.85-50.98%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)144.00139.403.19%
Cumulative Contribution-50.76%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
LW-58.3% 
Market (SPY)48.4%23.3%
Sector (XLP)14.0%26.8%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LW Return-7%-18%43%22%-37%-34%-45%
Peers Return18%7%5%-13%-11%-26%-23%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LW Win Rate58%33%83%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate60%50%53%45%50%37% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LW Max Drawdown-48%-35%-21%-6%-51%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-10%-22%-25%-17%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CAG, KHC, GIS, THS, BGS. See LW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven231 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven113.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,023 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven153 days120 days

Compare to K, CPB, MED, HAIN, MEHA

In The Past

Lamb Weston's stock fell -41.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/5/2021. A -41.8% loss requires a 71.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Lamb Weston (LW)

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. produces, distributes, and markets value-added frozen potato products worldwide. It operates through four segments: Global, Foodservice, Retail, and Other. The company offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under the Lamb Weston brand, as well as under various customer labels. The company also offers its products under its owned or licensed brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, and other licensed brands, as well as under retailers' brands. In addition, it engages in the vegetable and dairy businesses. The company serves retail and foodservice customers; and grocery, mass, club, and specialty retailers; and businesses, independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, and convenience stores, as well as educational institutions. Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Eagle, Idaho.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Lamb Weston (LW):

  • It's like ConAgra Brands, but singularly focused on being a global leader in frozen potato products like french fries and hash browns.
  • Think of it as the Frito-Lay (part of PepsiCo) of frozen potatoes, a dominant global supplier of prepared potato products to restaurants and grocery stores.
  • It's similar to McCormick & Company, but for frozen potato products rather than spices and seasonings, holding a leading position in its specialized food category.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Frozen French Fries: A wide variety of pre-fried and frozen potato cuts, including shoestring, crinkle, straight, and steak fries, often with different coatings.
  • Frozen Specialty Potato Products: Includes diverse processed potato items such as hash browns, potato wedges, tater tots, and diced potatoes.
  • Sweet Potato Fries: A distinct line of fries and other processed products made from sweet potatoes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lamb Weston (LW) primarily sells its frozen potato products to other companies (B2B).

Major Customers:

  • Sysco Corporation (SYY): Lamb Weston's annual reports (10-K) consistently identify Sysco as its largest customer, accounting for approximately 11% of consolidated net sales in recent fiscal years. Sysco is the global leader in selling, marketing, and distributing food products to restaurants, healthcare and educational facilities, hotels, and other foodservice and hospitality businesses.

While no other single customer is consistently disclosed in Lamb Weston's public filings as accounting for 10% or more of consolidated net sales, their business is significantly supported by a broad base of customers falling into the following major categories:

Other Key Customer Categories and Examples:

  • Foodservice Distributors: These companies serve as crucial intermediaries, distributing Lamb Weston's products to a vast array of end-users in the foodservice industry. Examples of public companies operating in this category that are likely significant customers include:
    • US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD)
    • Performance Food Group Company (PFG)
  • Large Restaurant Chains: Lamb Weston directly or indirectly supplies many national and international quick-service (QSR) and full-service restaurant chains with frozen potato products, often tailored to specific needs. These chains represent a significant volume of sales.
  • Retail Grocery Chains: Major supermarket and hypermarket operators purchase Lamb Weston's branded products (e.g., Lamb Weston brand in some markets) and/or private label frozen potato products for sale to consumers. Examples of public companies operating in this category that are likely significant customers include:
    • The Kroger Co. (KR)
    • Walmart Inc. (WMT)

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Michael J. Smith, President and Chief Executive Officer

Michael J. Smith was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Lamb Weston, effective January 3, 2025. He previously served as Lamb Weston's Chief Operating Officer since May 2023. His earlier roles at Lamb Weston include Senior Vice President and General Manager of Foodservice, Retail, Marketing, and Innovation, and Vice President and General Manager of Lamb Weston Retail. Prior to joining Lamb Weston, Mr. Smith held various brand management positions at Dean Foods Company and its WhiteWave division. He also served as Vice President and General Manager of Conagra's Private Brands and Vice President of Global Marketing at Conagra.

Bernadette Madarieta, Chief Financial Officer

Bernadette Madarieta has served as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Lamb Weston since August 2021, overseeing the company's Finance and IT organizations. She joined Lamb Weston in 2016 as Vice President and Controller, where she established and led the Accounting, Tax, and Financial Planning & Analysis teams. With over 20 years of experience in corporate finance, Ms. Madarieta previously held finance executive positions in the paper/wood products industry at Boise Inc., Boise Cascade, and Packaging Corporation of America. Notably, she led the financial and system integration following the acquisition of Boise Inc. by Packaging Corporation of America in 2012. Her career also includes finance management and leadership roles at Big 5 public accounting firms, SPACs, and both public and privately held companies, with expertise in mergers, acquisitions, spin-offs, integrations, and capital market transactions. Ms. Madarieta is a Certified Public Accountant with a Bachelor of Business Administration in Accounting from Boise State University.

Eryk J. Spytek, General Counsel and Chief Compliance Officer

Eryk J. Spytek has been Lamb Weston's General Counsel and Chief Compliance Officer since October 2016. Before joining Lamb Weston, he served as Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary at SIRVA, Inc. from 2006 to 2009. Mr. Spytek also worked as a partner at Winston & Strawn LLP and held various legal leadership roles, including Vice President, Deputy General Counsel, and Assistant Secretary, at Mead Johnson Nutrition Company from 2009 to 2015.

Steven J. Younes, Chief Human Resources Officer

Steven J. Younes was appointed Chief Human Resources Officer of Lamb Weston in January 2022. Prior to this role, he was the Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer at Loews Hotels & Co from 2019 to 2021. From 2013 to 2018, Mr. Younes served as Senior Vice President of Human Resources at Ascension.

Marc J.P.H Schroeder, President, International

Marc J.P.H Schroeder serves as the President, International for Lamb Weston. In this role, he is responsible for the company's international operations and growth strategies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Lamb Weston's business:
  1. Intensifying Competition and Industry Overcapacity: The global frozen potato products industry is experiencing significant capacity additions, particularly in Europe, China, and Brazil. This has led to heightened competitive intensity, increased pricing pressure, and a decline in industry capacity utilization, impacting Lamb Weston's sales and profitability. The company projects further potential deterioration of capacity utilization in the coming years, which could exacerbate pricing pressure in international markets.
  2. Input Cost Inflation and Supply Chain Disruptions: Lamb Weston faces ongoing risks from increased costs for essential raw materials such as potatoes, edible oils, packaging, and energy inputs. Disruptions in the global economy, including conflicts and other geopolitical factors, can further affect supply chains and the availability of key commodities, leading to higher operating costs.
  3. Customer Concentration and Soft Restaurant Traffic: A significant portion of Lamb Weston's sales is derived from its foodservice segment, serving large customers, including major restaurant chains. This concentration creates a risk where large customers can exert considerable leverage, especially during periods of low demand. Additionally, softened restaurant traffic and shifts in consumer behavior can directly impact the demand for Lamb Weston's products.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Lamb Weston's Addressable Markets for Frozen Potato Products

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (symbol: LW) is a prominent producer and processor of value-added frozen potato products globally, including a wide array of offerings such as frozen French fries, waffle fries, hash browns, potato wedges, and other potato specialties. The primary addressable market for Lamb Weston's products is the global frozen potato market.

Global Market

The global frozen potato market was valued at approximately USD 65.4 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 112 billion by 2034, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.6%. Another estimate placed the global market at USD 65.3 billion in 2025, with a forecast to reach USD 112.7 billion in 2035 at a 5.6% CAGR. The market was also reported to be valued at USD 66.32 billion in 2024, with an expected increase to USD 69.81 billion in 2025 at a CAGR of 5.3%.

North American Market

In North America, the frozen potato market was valued at US$ 23.73 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow to US$ 35.02 billion by 2031, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.0% from 2023 to 2031. The United States is a leading country in the North American frozen potato market, accounting for a significant share due to its foodservice industry and retail outlets. The U.S. market alone was valued at USD 11.5 billion in 2024.

European Market

The European frozen potato market was valued at USD 17.57 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 23.90 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 3.48% from 2025 to 2033. Other sources estimate the European market at US$ 20.01 billion in 2023, projected to reach US$ 28.44 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 4.5%. Germany, France, and the UK are key markets within Europe due to high consumption rates and established foodservice sectors.

Asia Pacific Market

The Asia Pacific frozen potato market was valued at USD 13.92 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 20.77 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 4.55% during the forecast period. Another report estimates the Asia Pacific market at US$ 14.14 billion in 2023, with an expected rise to US$ 21.48 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 5.4%. China is a dominant consumer and producer in this region, with its market projected to reach $8,943.1 million by 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Lamb Weston (LW) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Volume Growth from Customer Wins and Retention: Lamb Weston anticipates year-over-year volume growth driven by sustained customer momentum across both its North America and international segments. Recent results have shown strong volume increases, fueled by new customer contracts and effective customer retention strategies, particularly in North America and Asia. The company expects this trend to continue, indicating a focus on expanding its customer base and strengthening existing relationships to drive sales.
  2. Expansion in Priority Global Markets and International Presence: The company is strategically focusing investments on priority global markets and segments, leveraging its expanded global footprint, including joint ventures and strategic acquisitions. This international presence allows Lamb Weston to cater to diverse consumer preferences across different regions, with a specific mention of growth in international segments like Asia. This geographic expansion is key to capturing new market opportunities.
  3. Product Innovation and Portfolio Expansion: Lamb Weston is committed to ongoing product innovation and adapting to evolving customer needs. This includes launching new retail products to enhance its market presence and introducing innovative offerings such as fridge-friendly fries and premium potato bites to align with shifting consumer preferences. By continuously developing and expanding its product portfolio, Lamb Weston aims to stimulate demand and gain new business.

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Share Repurchases

  • In fiscal year 2025, Lamb Weston repurchased $282.0 million of common stock.
  • As of the end of Q4 fiscal 2025, approximately $358 million remained authorized and available under the share repurchase program.

Share Issuance

  • In February 2023, Lamb Weston issued 1,952,421 shares of common stock as part of the consideration for acquiring the remaining equity interests in its European joint venture, Lamb-Weston/Meijer.

Outbound Investments

  • In February 2023, Lamb Weston completed the purchase of the remaining equity interests in its European joint venture with Meijer Frozen Foods B.V., with the transaction consideration including €525 million in cash and 1,952,421 shares of Lamb Weston common stock, resulting in 100% ownership and adding five manufacturing facilities.
  • In fiscal year 2023, the company paid $610.4 million to acquire the remaining equity interest in LW EMEA and an additional 40% equity interest in LWAMSA.
  • In September 2022, Lamb Weston increased its stake in the Argentine joint venture, Lamb Weston Alimentos Modernos, to 90% and invested US $240 million to establish a new French-fry line.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were $650.7 million, a decrease of $323.1 million from the prior year, primarily due to the completion of strategic capacity expansion projects in China, the U.S., and the Netherlands.
  • For fiscal year 2026, capital spending is expected to be approximately $500 million, with a primary focus on maintenance and modernization ($400 million) and environmental projects ($100 million for wastewater treatment).
  • In fiscal year 2023, capital expenditures amounted to $736.0 million, increasing by 140% from fiscal year 2022, mainly driven by investments in capacity expansion for chopped and formed products, a new French fry processing line in Idaho, and a greenfield facility in China.

Better Bets than Lamb Weston (LW)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to LW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.4%-7.4%-7.4%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.2%-9.2%-9.2%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.0%-6.0%-6.0%
LW_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025LWLamb WestonDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.2%-24.1%-24.1%
LW_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020LWLamb WestonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
21.1%27.8%-7.2%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lamb Weston

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LWCAGKHCGISTHSBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .Treehous.B&G Foods 
Mkt Price41.8016.9823.7046.6423.494.4423.59
Mkt Cap5.88.128.125.01.20.47.0
Rev LTM6,47411,23425,16418,7773,3361,8418,854
Op Inc LTM8021,3174,8952,9121841831,059
FCF LTM6518763,6311,78310155764
FCF 3Y Avg1761,1893,0472,300-25119682
CFO LTM9691,2694,4742,360234861,119
CFO 3Y Avg8901,5794,0663,0051081461,234

Growth & Margins

LWCAGKHCGISTHSBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .Treehous.B&G Foods 
Rev Chg LTM2.3%-5.8%-3.7%-5.7%-0.7%-6.0%-4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.2%-2.2%-0.8%-0.9%2.7%-4.4%-0.9%
Rev Chg Q1.1%-6.8%-2.3%-7.2%0.1%-4.7%-3.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.3%-1.9%-0.6%-2.0%0.0%-1.2%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM12.4%11.7%19.5%15.5%5.5%9.9%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.7%14.8%19.6%17.1%4.5%10.8%14.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%-0.2%-0.9%-0.9%0.8%0.0%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM15.0%11.3%17.8%12.6%7.0%4.7%11.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.9%13.4%15.6%15.3%3.2%7.3%13.7%
FCF/Rev LTM10.1%7.8%14.4%9.5%3.0%3.0%8.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.7%10.1%11.7%11.7%-0.7%5.9%8.0%

Valuation

LWCAGKHCGISTHSBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .Treehous.B&G Foods 
Mkt Cap5.88.128.125.01.20.47.0
P/S0.90.71.11.30.40.20.8
P/EBIT8.015.8-5.08.6-7.3-1.93.0
P/E14.9-83.0-6.49.9-4.9-1.4-3.2
P/CFO6.06.46.310.65.14.16.1
Total Yield10.3%7.0%-8.8%15.4%-20.4%-53.5%-0.9%
Dividend Yield3.6%8.2%6.8%5.3%0.0%17.0%6.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.2%9.6%8.3%6.5%0.8%19.1%7.4%
D/E0.70.90.80.51.45.80.8
Net D/E0.70.90.60.51.45.70.8

Returns

LWCAGKHCGISTHSBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .Treehous.B&G Foods 
1M Rtn-27.5%-4.4%-4.8%-3.5%-0.4%1.4%-4.0%
3M Rtn-22.6%-4.8%-9.4%-6.6%44.5%-0.9%-5.7%
6M Rtn-21.3%-17.8%-6.1%-10.5%12.8%10.1%-8.3%
12M Rtn-32.9%-34.1%-17.5%-23.3%-31.4%-28.1%-29.7%
3Y Rtn-50.7%-49.0%-32.1%-39.0%-50.7%-49.3%-49.1%
1M Excs Rtn-32.2%-9.1%-9.4%-8.1%-5.1%-3.3%-8.6%
3M Excs Rtn-25.9%-10.6%-14.1%-11.7%37.5%-7.6%-11.1%
6M Excs Rtn-33.6%-27.1%-18.5%-19.1%6.8%0.6%-18.8%
12M Excs Rtn-49.2%-50.1%-34.3%-41.6%-46.6%-47.0%-46.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-128.6%-127.2%-110.4%-119.5%-128.2%-130.8%-127.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment6,4685,351   
Foodservice  1,3181,0171,069
Global  2,0641,9121,974
Other  122139154
Retail  595603596
Total6,4685,3514,0993,6713,792


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$41.80 
Market Cap ($ Bil)5.8 
First Trading Date11/01/2016 
Distance from 52W High-36.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$59.63$55.31
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA-29.9%-24.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility59.7%45.7%
Downside Capture70.6085.84
Upside Capture-63.3133.55
Correlation (SPY)4.8%18.7%
LW Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.490.540.640.910.510.63
Up Beta-0.52-0.000.230.570.520.63
Down Beta-0.160.610.590.65-0.060.54
Up Capture51%70%76%98%62%25%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days6212861118383
Down Capture102%60%79%120%106%95%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days13203363129361

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of LW With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 LWSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-45.2%-0.8%18.8%72.9%9.0%3.7%-11.4%
Annualized Volatility49.7%13.9%19.5%19.2%15.3%17.2%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-1.02-0.290.762.720.360.05-0.14
Correlation With Other Assets 31.7%17.2%-8.6%-4.1%33.8%14.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of LW With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 LWSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-10.0%5.6%14.8%18.9%11.8%4.7%35.5%
Annualized Volatility37.3%13.0%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio-0.170.230.700.980.510.160.62
Correlation With Other Assets 33.6%30.7%-1.8%1.4%30.1%9.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of LW With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 LWSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return3.8%7.2%14.8%15.1%6.8%5.4%69.1%
Annualized Volatility36.0%14.7%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.220.370.710.850.310.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 38.5%40.3%1.4%14.3%42.9%11.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,868,856
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.6%
Average Daily Volume1,233,216
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.14
Basic Shares Quantity139,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/19/2025-25.9%  
7/23/202516.3%20.9%13.0%
4/3/202510.0%2.0%-4.2%
12/19/2024-20.1%-16.5%-22.2%
10/2/20242.6%6.6%16.7%
7/24/2024-28.2%-24.3%-20.4%
4/4/2024-19.4%-21.0%-16.1%
1/4/20240.3%2.1%1.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131412
# Negative111012
Median Positive7.4%5.8%8.6%
Median Negative-11.5%-11.5%-10.4%
Max Positive16.3%20.9%16.7%
Max Negative-28.2%-24.3%-22.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
113020251219202510-Q 11/23/2025
8312025930202510-Q 8/24/2025
5312025723202510-K 5/31/2025
2282025403202510-Q 2/23/2025
113020241220202410-Q 11/24/2024
83120241002202410-Q 8/25/2024
5312024724202410-K 5/31/2024
2292024404202410-Q 2/25/2024
11302023104202410-Q 11/26/2023
83120231005202310-Q 8/27/2023
5312023725202310-K 5/31/2023
2282023406202310-Q 2/26/2023
11302022105202310-Q 11/27/2022
83120221005202210-Q 8/28/2022
5312022727202210-K 5/29/2022
2282022407202210-Q 2/27/2022

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0NIBLOCK ROBERT A1142025Buy60.943,000182,8191,609,141Form
1BLIXT CHARLES A12232024Buy63.251,20075,9011,453,597Form
2JURGENSEN WILLIAM G12232024Buy63.275,000316,35011,467,657Form

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data