Tearsheet

Lamb Weston (LW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $59.4 | Market Cap: $8.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Lamb Weston (LW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $59.4
Market Cap: $8.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 50%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  Key risks
LW key risks include [1] significant customer concentration in its foodservice segment, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Vegan Products, Sustainable Packaging, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Vegan Products, Sustainable Packaging, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 50%
6 Key risks
LW key risks include [1] significant customer concentration in its foodservice segment, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for Lamb Weston (LW) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, no information regarding stock movements or their explanatory factors for this period is available. 1. The specified time period (8/31/2025 to 12/18/2025) is in the future, and as such, no stock movement data or explanatory factors are currently available for this duration.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LW Return-7%-18%43%22%-37%-8%-23%
Peers Return18%7%5%-13%-11%-25%-22%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LW Win Rate58%33%83%58%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate60%50%53%45%50%37% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LW Max Drawdown-48%-35%-21%-6%-51%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-10%-22%-25%-17%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CAG, KHC, GIS, THS, BGS. See LW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven231 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven113.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,023 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven153 days120 days

Compare to K, CPB, MED, HAIN, BRBF


In The Past

Lamb Weston's stock fell -41.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/5/2021. A -41.8% loss requires a 71.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lamb Weston (LW)

Better Bets than Lamb Weston (LW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
LW_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025LWLamb WestonDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.2%8.6%-13.9%
LW_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020LWLamb WestonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
21.1%27.8%-7.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
LW_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025LWLamb WestonDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.2%8.6%-13.9%
LW_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020LWLamb WestonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
21.1%27.8%-7.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lamb Weston

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LWCAGKHCGISTHSBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .Treehous.B&G Foods 
Mkt Price59.4617.9224.7548.6123.944.7224.34
Mkt Cap8.38.629.326.11.00.48.5
Rev LTM6,45111,45025,16418,7773,3361,8418,951
Op Inc LTM7651,3484,8952,9121841831,057
FCF LTM2301,1413,6311,78310155685
FCF 3Y Avg691,1333,0472,300-25119626
CFO LTM8681,5444,4742,360234861,206
CFO 3Y Avg8091,5204,0663,0051081461,165

Growth & Margins

LWCAGKHCGISTHSBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .Treehous.B&G Foods 
Rev Chg LTM-0.3%-4.1%-3.7%-5.7%-0.7%-6.0%-3.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.1%-0.9%-0.8%-0.9%2.7%-4.4%-0.8%
Rev Chg Q4.0%-5.8%-2.3%-7.2%0.1%-4.7%-3.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%-1.4%-0.6%-2.0%0.0%-1.2%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM11.9%11.8%19.5%15.5%5.5%9.9%11.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.9%15.1%19.6%17.1%4.5%10.8%15.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-0.7%-0.9%-0.9%0.8%0.0%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM13.5%13.5%17.8%12.6%7.0%4.7%13.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.3%12.8%15.6%15.3%3.2%7.3%13.1%
FCF/Rev LTM3.6%10.0%14.4%9.5%3.0%3.0%6.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.2%9.6%11.7%11.7%-0.7%5.9%7.7%

Valuation

LWCAGKHCGISTHSBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .Treehous.B&G Foods 
Mkt Cap8.38.629.326.11.00.48.5
P/S1.30.81.21.40.30.21.0
P/EBIT12.35.7-5.59.0--1.95.7
P/E22.810.3-7.110.3-4.2-1.44.4
P/CFO9.45.76.911.04.44.16.3
Total Yield6.9%17.3%-8.0%14.8%-23.7%-53.6%-0.5%
Dividend Yield2.5%7.6%6.2%5.1%0.0%17.1%5.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.7%9.5%8.3%6.5%-19.1%8.3%
D/E0.50.90.70.5-5.80.7
Net D/E0.50.90.60.5-5.70.6

Returns

LWCAGKHCGISTHSBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .Treehous.B&G Foods 
1M Rtn5.7%4.7%2.7%3.5%1.7%5.1%4.1%
3M Rtn7.5%-3.2%-2.3%0.1%40.1%8.5%3.8%
6M Rtn13.1%-13.4%-0.7%-5.9%17.1%20.0%6.2%
12M Rtn-25.9%-31.3%-16.1%-22.9%-29.6%-29.6%-27.7%
3Y Rtn-27.8%-45.0%-28.0%-37.6%-47.9%-48.4%-41.3%
1M Excs Rtn5.0%3.9%1.9%2.8%0.9%4.4%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn4.6%-3.8%-4.9%-2.6%37.0%4.8%1.0%
6M Excs Rtn0.7%-25.8%-13.0%-18.3%4.7%7.7%-6.1%
12M Excs Rtn-34.1%-43.2%-28.3%-34.9%-41.7%-41.5%-38.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-95.4%-114.1%-97.1%-105.9%-115.6%-118.3%-110.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment6,4685,351   
Foodservice  1,3181,0171,069
Global  2,0641,9121,974
Other  122139154
Retail  595603596
Total6,4685,3514,0993,6713,792


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,868,856
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.6%
Average Daily Volume1,233,216
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.14
Basic Shares Quantity140,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/23/202516.3%20.9%13.0%
4/3/202510.0%2.0%-4.2%
12/19/2024-20.1%-16.5%-22.2%
10/2/20242.6%6.6%16.7%
7/24/2024-28.2%-24.3%-20.4%
4/4/2024-19.4%-21.0%-16.1%
1/4/20240.3%2.1%1.5%
10/5/20238.0%1.5%3.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131513
# Negative11911
Median Positive7.4%5.1%7.9%
Median Negative-10.7%-11.5%-10.4%
Max Positive16.3%20.9%16.7%
Max Negative-28.2%-24.3%-22.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
8312025930202510-Q 8/24/2025
5312025723202510-K 5/31/2025
2282025403202510-Q 2/23/2025
113020241220202410-Q 11/24/2024
83120241002202410-Q 8/25/2024
5312024724202410-K 5/31/2024
2292024404202410-Q 2/25/2024
11302023104202410-Q 11/26/2023
83120231005202310-Q 8/27/2023
5312023725202310-K 5/31/2023
2282023406202310-Q 2/26/2023
11302022105202310-Q 11/27/2022
83120221005202210-Q 8/28/2022
5312022727202210-K 5/29/2022
2282022407202210-Q 2/27/2022
11302021106202210-Q 11/28/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0NIBLOCK ROBERT A1142025Buy60.943,000182,8191,609,141Form
1BLIXT CHARLES A12232024Buy63.251,20075,9011,453,597Form
2JURGENSEN WILLIAM G12232024Buy63.275,000316,35011,467,657Form

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data