Tearsheet

Lamb Weston (LW)


Market Price (4/13/2026): $42.5 | Market Cap: $5.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Lamb Weston (LW)


Market Price (4/13/2026): $42.5
Market Cap: $5.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3%, FCF Yield is 11%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Vegan Products, Sustainable Packaging, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68%

Key risks
LW key risks include [1] significant customer concentration in its foodservice segment, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Vegan Products, Sustainable Packaging, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68%
6 Key risks
LW key risks include [1] significant customer concentration in its foodservice segment, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lamb Weston (LW) stock has remained largely at the same level since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Q3 FY2026 Earnings Performance.

Lamb Weston reported adjusted diluted EPS of $0.72 for Q3 FY2026, exceeding analyst consensus estimates of $0.61, and net sales increased by 3% year-over-year to $1.56 billion, also surpassing expectations. However, the company's reported diluted EPS significantly declined 62% year-over-year to $0.39, and net income fell 63% to $54.0 million. This divergence between adjusted and reported profitability, coupled with top-line beats, resulted in a largely neutral stock reaction following the announcement.

2. Persistent International Weakness and Pricing Pressures.

The company continued to face significant challenges in its International segment, which saw an 80% year-over-year drop in Adjusted EBITDA to $18.5 million in Q3 FY2026. This was driven by unfavorable global price/mix as customers shifted towards value channels, and was further exacerbated by a $32.5 million pre-tax charge to write off excess raw potatoes. This ongoing international softness and pricing pressure counteracted strong volume growth in North America, dampening overall profitability and stock momentum.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.6% change in LW stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254122026Change
Stock Price ($)41.5442.191.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,4746,5180.7%
Net Income Margin (%)6.1%4.6%-24.0%
P/E Multiple14.819.532.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1391390.3%
Cumulative Contribution1.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LW1.6% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%23.3%
Sector (XLP)6.0%39.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -26.3% change in LW stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254122026Change
Stock Price ($)57.2642.19-26.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,4566,5181.0%
Net Income Margin (%)4.6%4.6%1.1%
P/E Multiple27.219.5-28.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1401390.4%
Cumulative Contribution-26.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LW-26.3% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%5.4%
Sector (XLP)5.9%29.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.6% change in LW stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120254122026Change
Stock Price ($)51.8342.19-18.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,3256,5183.0%
Net Income Margin (%)5.8%4.6%-20.6%
P/E Multiple20.219.5-3.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1431392.7%
Cumulative Contribution-18.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LW-18.6% 
Market (SPY)16.3%16.6%
Sector (XLP)3.1%33.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -57.1% change in LW stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -56.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120234122026Change
Stock Price ($)98.3442.19-57.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,5106,51844.5%
Net Income Margin (%)10.5%4.6%-56.1%
P/E Multiple29.919.5-34.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1441393.6%
Cumulative Contribution-57.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LW-57.1% 
Market (SPY)63.3%23.0%
Sector (XLP)19.0%28.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LW Return-18%43%22%-37%-36%0%-42%
Peers Return10%1%-12%-10%-25%1%-33%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LW Win Rate33%83%58%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%54%44%48%40%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LW Max Drawdown-35%-21%-6%-51%-36%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-21%-26%-15%-30%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CAG, KHC, GIS, BGS. See LW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven231 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven113.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,023 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven153 days120 days

Compare to CAG, KHC, GIS, BGS

In The Past

Lamb Weston's stock fell -41.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/5/2021. A -41.8% loss requires a 71.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Lamb Weston (LW)

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. produces, distributes, and markets value-added frozen potato products worldwide. It operates through four segments: Global, Foodservice, Retail, and Other. The company offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under the Lamb Weston brand, as well as under various customer labels. The company also offers its products under its owned or licensed brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, and other licensed brands, as well as under retailers' brands. In addition, it engages in the vegetable and dairy businesses. The company serves retail and foodservice customers; and grocery, mass, club, and specialty retailers; and businesses, independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, and convenience stores, as well as educational institutions. Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Eagle, Idaho.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Lamb Weston:

  • They're like the Tyson Foods for potatoes, processing the commodity into various products for both restaurants and grocery stores.

  • Think of them as the Frito-Lay for frozen potato products, with popular brands like Grown in Idaho and Alexia found in freezers worldwide.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Frozen Potato Products: The company's core business involves producing, distributing, and marketing various value-added frozen potato products.
  • Commercial Food Ingredients: Lamb Weston offers commercial ingredients, likely potato-based, to other businesses and food manufacturers.
  • Frozen Appetizers: The company produces and markets a range of frozen appetizers under its own brands and for customer labels.
  • Vegetable Products: Lamb Weston is also involved in the business of various vegetable-based products.
  • Dairy Products: The company engages in the dairy business, providing dairy-related offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (symbol: LW) primarily sells its products to other companies (B2B).

The provided background information does not explicitly name specific major customer companies. However, it broadly categorizes Lamb Weston's customers into the following segments:

  • Retail Customers: This category includes various types of retailers such as grocery, mass, club, and specialty retailers. These customers purchase Lamb Weston's owned or licensed brands (e.g., Grown in Idaho, Alexia) and products for sale under their own private labels.
  • Foodservice Customers: This category encompasses a wide range of businesses and institutions. It includes independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, convenience stores, and educational institutions. These customers utilize Lamb Weston's frozen potato products, commercial ingredients, and appetizers in their operations.

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Michael J. Smith, President and Chief Executive Officer

Michael J. Smith was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Lamb Weston in January 2025. He joined Lamb Weston in 2007 and has held increasingly senior leadership roles, including Chief Operating Officer from May 2023 to January 2025. Prior to his COO role, he served as Senior Vice President, Foodservice, Retail, Innovation and Marketing, and Senior Vice President, Growth and Strategy. Before joining Conagra Brands, Inc. in 2007 (Lamb Weston's former parent company), he held various brand management positions at Dean Foods Company. Mr. Smith holds a bachelor's degree in marketing from Brigham Young University and an MBA from the Cox School of Business at Southern Methodist University.

James D. Gray, Chief Financial Officer

James D. Gray will join Lamb Weston as Chief Financial Officer on April 2, 2026, succeeding Bernadette Madarieta, who will transition to an interim advisory role. Mr. Gray most recently served for 12 years as Executive Vice President and CFO at Ingredion, a global ingredients solutions company. Earlier in his career, he held finance leadership roles at PepsiCo for over a decade and began his career at Bain & Company.

Jan Craps, Executive Chair

Jan Craps joined Lamb Weston in February 2026 as Executive Chair, a newly created position. In this role, he focuses on board leadership, mergers and acquisitions, governance, oversight, international market execution, and long-term strategy. Prior to Lamb Weston, he spent more than 20 years with Anheuser-Busch InBev, most recently as the CEO and Co-Chair of Budweiser Brewing Company APAC, and CEO, APAC. He has experience leading large-scale transformations and managing multibillion-dollar consumer businesses across Europe, Canada, Australia, and Asia. Mr. Craps began his career at McKinsey & Company.

Mike Crowley, President, North America

Mike Crowley was appointed President, North America in January 2025. He is responsible for all Lamb Weston commercial channels in North America, including Foodservice, Retail, and Multi-National Chains. Previously, he served as Senior Vice President & General Manager, Multinational-Chains, where he oversaw strategic global customer partnerships.

Marc Schroeder, President, International

Marc Schroeder serves as the President, International for Lamb Weston.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Lamb Weston's business include volatility in its supply chain and input costs, intense competition and pricing pressure within a softening demand environment, and operational execution challenges, particularly related to its ERP system implementation.

  1. Supply Chain and Input Cost Volatility: Lamb Weston faces significant risks from disruptions and volatility in its supply chain, particularly concerning the availability and cost of key raw materials like potatoes and edible oils. Poor potato harvests, influenced by adverse weather conditions such as extreme heat, can lead to lower quality and yields, increasing the cost per pound of finished product. The company also grapples with inflation in other critical inputs, including labor, energy, and transportation, which directly elevate manufacturing costs and can negatively impact profitability. Climate change is also recognized as a potential risk to agricultural productivity and the pricing of raw materials.
  2. Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure in a Softening Demand Environment: The frozen potato products industry is highly competitive, leading to ongoing pricing pressure and unfavorable price/mix dynamics for Lamb Weston. This competitive landscape is exacerbated by a global softening in demand for frozen fries, driven by factors such as reduced restaurant traffic and menu price inflation. Large customers, which constitute a significant portion of Lamb Weston's sales (e.g., McDonald's representing a mid-teen volume percentage), can leverage their power in low-demand situations, further intensifying pricing pressure and affecting margins.
  3. Operational Execution Challenges, Including ERP System Disruptions: Lamb Weston has encountered persistent difficulties with operational execution, both commercially and within its supply chain. A notable challenge has been the implementation of a new Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system, which has caused temporary operational disruptions, led to higher-than-anticipated costs, and contributed to the loss of some customers. These execution difficulties hinder the company's ability to meet financial targets and growth expectations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. operates in significant addressable markets for its main products, primarily frozen potato products and appetizers.

The global frozen potatoes market was valued at approximately USD 65.4 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 112 billion by 2034, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.6%. Another estimate places the global frozen potatoes market at USD 65.56 billion in 2024, with a projected growth to USD 99.85 billion by 2032, expanding at a CAGR of 5.4%.

In North America, a key region for Lamb Weston, the frozen potato market was valued at around USD 23.73 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 35.02 billion by 2031, demonstrating a CAGR of 5.0%. The U.S. market alone for frozen potatoes was worth over USD 11.5 billion in 2024. Lamb Weston is North America's largest producer of frozen potato products, holding more than a 40% share in this market.

The European frozen potato market was valued at approximately USD 20.01 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach USD 28.44 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 4.5%. Another source indicates the European frozen potatoes market size was worth USD 18.18 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 24.73 billion by 2034.

For appetizers, which fall under the broader category of frozen snacks, the global frozen snacks market reached USD 102.1 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 140.8 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.1% during 2024-2031. Another projection estimates the global frozen snacks market at USD 153.91 billion in 2025, with an anticipated increase to approximately USD 262.90 billion by 2035, reflecting a CAGR of 5.5%. Potato-based snacks, a significant component of Lamb Weston's offerings, held a 32.62% share of the frozen snacks market in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Volume Growth, particularly in North America and Asia: The company has reported significant volume increases, especially in North America and Asia, and has restarted previously curtailed North American production lines to meet higher demand. North America volumes are expected to continue growing at or above first-half rates.
  2. Customer Contract Wins and Share Gains: Lamb Weston's "Focus to Win" strategy and recent customer contract wins, along with share gains and retention, are noted as direct contributors to volume growth and sales across its segments.
  3. Strategic Market Positioning and Expanded Global Footprint: The company leverages its leading market positions, being #1 in North America and #2 globally, along with an advantaged global manufacturing footprint, to support customer growth across all regions and channels.
  4. Innovation Leadership: Lamb Weston emphasizes its innovation leadership in the frozen potato category as a strategy that creates opportunities to drive growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • Lamb Weston's Board of Directors authorized an increase in the share repurchase program from $500 million to $750 million in December 2024.
  • The company repurchased $282.0 million of its common stock, totaling 4,867,449 shares, during fiscal 2025.
  • In the first half of fiscal 2026 (ending November 2025), Lamb Weston repurchased over $50 million in stock. Approximately $308 million remained authorized under the program as of November 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Shares outstanding have generally shown a decline over the last 3-5 years, with 2025 shares outstanding being 0.143 billion, a 1.99% decrease from 2024.

Outbound Investments

  • In February 2023, Lamb Weston completed the acquisition of the remaining equity interests in its European joint venture with Meijer Frozen Foods B.V.
  • In July 2022, the company purchased an additional 40% stake in Lamb Weston Alimentos Modernos S.A. (LWAMSA), its joint venture in Argentina, increasing its total ownership to 90%.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures amounted to $736 million during fiscal 2023, primarily for construction costs related to expanding processing capacity, including breaking ground on a 250 million-pound capacity expansion for the South American market and progressing on projects in China and the Netherlands.
  • In fiscal 2025, capital expenditures were $650.7 million, with a primary focus on completing strategic capacity expansion projects in China, the U.S., and the Netherlands, and a project in Argentina expected to begin production in August 2025.
  • For fiscal 2026, capital expenditures are expected to be below the $500 million target, as major growth investments were completed in fiscal 2025 and early fiscal 2026, and the company is focusing on disciplined investment for sustaining performance.

Better Bets vs. Lamb Weston (LW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to LW.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MZTI_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026MZTIMarzettiDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.9%0.9%0.0%
TAP_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-1.1%
KHC_3202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03202026KHCKraft HeinzDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.3%4.3%-1.7%
KMB_3202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03202026KMBKimberly-ClarkDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-1.9%
MKC_3202026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03202026MKCMcCormickDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.2%-5.2%-5.2%
LW_3132026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03132026LWLamb WestonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.2%4.2%-1.7%
LW_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020LWLamb WestonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
21.1%27.8%-7.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LWCAGKHCGISBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .B&G Foods 
Mkt Price42.1915.1823.0635.595.4223.06
Mkt Cap5.97.327.319.10.47.3
Rev LTM6,51811,18124,94218,7771,82911,181
Op Inc LTM7181,3304,6372,9121841,330
FCF LTM6348423,6611,78371842
FCF 3Y Avg2131,2363,2152,3001321,236
CFO LTM9791,2414,4622,3601011,241
CFO 3Y Avg8961,6324,2073,0051601,632

Growth & Margins

LWCAGKHCGISBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .B&G Foods 
Rev Chg LTM2.0%-4.7%-3.5%-5.7%-5.4%-4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.9%-2.9%-2.0%-0.9%-5.4%-2.0%
Rev Chg Q2.9%-1.9%-3.4%-7.2%-2.2%-2.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%-0.5%-0.9%-2.0%-0.7%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM11.0%11.9%18.6%15.5%10.0%11.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.0%14.3%19.6%17.1%10.9%14.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%0.2%-0.9%-0.9%0.1%-0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM15.0%11.1%17.9%12.6%5.5%12.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.8%13.9%16.3%15.3%8.1%13.9%
FCF/Rev LTM9.7%7.5%14.7%9.5%3.9%9.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.3%10.5%12.5%11.7%6.7%10.5%

Valuation

LWCAGKHCGISBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .B&G Foods 
Mkt Cap5.97.327.319.10.47.3
P/S0.90.71.11.00.20.9
P/EBIT9.613.2-6.16.64.36.6
P/E19.5-167.9-4.77.5-10.0-4.7
P/CFO6.05.96.18.14.36.0
Total Yield8.6%8.6%-14.5%20.2%4.0%8.6%
Dividend Yield3.5%9.2%7.0%6.9%14.0%7.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.8%10.8%9.2%7.7%22.2%9.2%
D/E0.71.00.80.74.60.8
Net D/E0.71.00.60.74.50.7

Returns

LWCAGKHCGISBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .B&G Foods 
1M Rtn4.0%-7.5%2.1%-8.1%7.4%2.1%
3M Rtn2.8%-8.6%0.1%-18.9%35.0%0.1%
6M Rtn-32.9%-15.0%-5.3%-25.6%42.7%-15.0%
12M Rtn-20.7%-37.2%-16.4%-35.1%3.1%-20.7%
3Y Rtn-59.0%-52.3%-31.2%-53.5%-52.1%-52.3%
1M Excs Rtn-3.5%-11.2%-1.0%-11.6%4.2%-3.5%
3M Excs Rtn4.5%-5.1%1.6%-14.9%37.2%1.6%
6M Excs Rtn-34.1%-16.5%-6.0%-26.2%39.0%-16.5%
12M Excs Rtn-54.1%-71.5%-48.2%-69.8%-31.7%-54.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-123.0%-118.6%-96.5%-118.9%-117.1%-118.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment6,4685,351   
Foodservice  1,3181,0171,069
Global  2,0641,9121,974
Other  122139154
Retail  595603596
Total6,4685,3514,0993,6713,792


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$42.19 
Market Cap ($ Bil)5.9 
First Trading Date11/01/2016 
Distance from 52W High-35.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$44.69$51.87
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-5.6%-18.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility37.6%44.1%
Downside Capture0.030.43
Upside Capture29.6932.08
Correlation (SPY)20.5%18.7%
LW Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.720.710.600.230.390.64
Up Beta0.763.012.160.020.520.65
Down Beta0.540.810.730.58-0.010.59
Up Capture-36%-10%20%-29%25%15%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days10203463123379
Down Capture137%58%24%46%81%97%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days12222862127366

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LW
LW-17.4%44.2%-0.29-
Sector ETF (XLP)10.3%13.3%0.4833.1%
Equity (SPY)31.2%17.3%1.4723.5%
Gold (GLD)60.1%27.8%1.691.9%
Commodities (DBC)29.8%16.6%1.580.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)21.3%15.2%1.0734.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-4.3%43.7%0.026.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LW
LW-10.6%37.6%-0.19-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.3%13.2%0.2633.3%
Equity (SPY)11.1%17.0%0.5029.5%
Gold (GLD)22.1%17.8%1.021.1%
Commodities (DBC)11.8%18.8%0.521.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.7%18.8%0.1029.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.3%56.5%0.308.5%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LW
LW3.7%36.0%0.22-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.2%14.7%0.3638.5%
Equity (SPY)13.8%17.9%0.6639.9%
Gold (GLD)14.2%15.9%0.742.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.4114.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2242.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.6%66.9%1.0710.8%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3152026-6.1%
Average Daily Volume5.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity139.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/1/2026-8.9%-1.6% 
12/19/2025-25.9%-29.0%-25.3%
7/23/202516.3%20.9%13.0%
4/3/202510.0%2.0%-4.2%
12/19/2024-20.1%-16.5%-22.2%
10/2/20242.6%6.6%16.7%
7/24/2024-28.2%-24.3%-20.4%
4/4/2024-19.4%-21.0%-16.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121311
# Negative121112
Median Positive5.8%5.1%7.9%
Median Negative-11.1%-11.5%-11.3%
Max Positive16.3%20.9%16.7%
Max Negative-28.2%-29.0%-25.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
02/28/202604/01/202610-Q
11/30/202512/19/202510-Q
08/31/202509/30/202510-Q
05/31/202507/23/202510-K
02/28/202504/03/202510-Q
11/30/202412/20/202410-Q
08/31/202410/02/202410-Q
05/31/202407/24/202410-K
02/29/202404/04/202410-Q
11/30/202301/04/202410-Q
08/31/202310/05/202310-Q
05/31/202307/25/202310-K
02/28/202304/06/202310-Q
11/30/202201/05/202310-Q
08/31/202210/05/202210-Q
05/31/202207/27/202210-K

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 4/1/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net Sales6.45 Bil6.50 Bil6.55 Bil0.8% RaisedGuidance: 6.45 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.08 Bil1.11 Bil1.14 Bil0.9% RaisedGuidance: 1.10 Bil for 2026
2026 Cash Used for Capital Expenditures 400.00 Mil -20.0% LoweredGuidance: 500.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 12/19/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue6.35 Bil6.45 Bil6.55 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 6.45 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.00 Bil1.10 Bil1.20 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.10 Bil for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures 500.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 500.00 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Jones, Gregory WVP AND CONTROLLERDirectSell1003202562.481,60099,973592,028Form
2Craps, Jan Eli BExecutive ChairDirectBuy206202648.6550,0002,432,33014,593,980Form
3Bensen, Peter JRevocable TrustBuy407202639.455,000197,225678,612Form
4Jana, Partners Management, LpSee footnoteBuy409202640.89136,0005,561,040210,541,792Form
5Jana, Partners Management, LpSee footnoteBuy409202641.41100,0004,141,000217,360,262Form

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data