Lamb Weston (LW)


Market Price (8/29/2026): $54.98 | Market Cap: $7.6 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Lamb Weston (LW)


Market Price (8/29/2026): $54.98
Market Cap: $7.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, FCF Yield is 7.1%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Vegan Products, Sustainable Packaging, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%

Key risks
LW key risks include [1] significant customer concentration in its foodservice segment, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, FCF Yield is 7.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Vegan Products, Sustainable Packaging, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%
6 Key risks
LW key risks include [1] significant customer concentration in its foodservice segment, Show more.

LW in ETFs

Weight = LW's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJR0.39%
VYM0.03%
VB0.09%
SLYV0.79%
VIOV0.79%
+20 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/24/2026

Lamb Weston (LW) stock has gained about 30% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceeded Fiscal Q4 2026 Earnings and Revenue Expectations. Lamb Weston reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.87 for fiscal Q4 2026, which ended May 31, 2026, announced on July 24, 2026. This significantly surpassed the consensus analyst estimate of $0.63 by $0.24. Concurrently, net sales for the quarter reached $1.77 billion, exceeding the $1.70 billion consensus estimate.

2. Robust Fiscal 2027 Financial Outlook. The company provided an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2027, projecting adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $2.95 to $3.25, compared to the analyst consensus of $3.01. Additionally, Lamb Weston forecast net sales between $6.61 billion and $6.68 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $6.39 billion. Management also indicated an expectation for earnings to grow faster than sales in the coming fiscal year.

Show more
Updated on 8/24/2026

Lamb Weston (LW) stock has gained about 30% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceeded Fiscal Q4 2026 Earnings and Revenue Expectations. Lamb Weston reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.87 for fiscal Q4 2026, which ended May 31, 2026, announced on July 24, 2026. This significantly surpassed the consensus analyst estimate of $0.63 by $0.24. Concurrently, net sales for the quarter reached $1.77 billion, exceeding the $1.70 billion consensus estimate.

2. Robust Fiscal 2027 Financial Outlook. The company provided an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2027, projecting adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $2.95 to $3.25, compared to the analyst consensus of $3.01. Additionally, Lamb Weston forecast net sales between $6.61 billion and $6.68 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $6.39 billion. Management also indicated an expectation for earnings to grow faster than sales in the coming fiscal year.

3. Strong North America Segment Performance and Volume Growth. In fiscal Q4 2026, Lamb Weston's North America segment demonstrated strong performance, with net sales increasing by 9%. This growth was driven by an 11% rise in sales volume, attributed to successful customer contract wins and market share gains. The segment's adjusted EBITDA also saw a notable increase of 17% during the quarter.

4. Successful Execution of Cost Savings Program. Lamb Weston's "Focus to Win" strategy, launched in July 2025, includes a three-year Cost Savings Program targeting at least $250 million in annualized run-rate savings by the end of fiscal 2028. The company announced it had exceeded its fiscal 2026 milestone, achieving more than $100 million in annualized run-rate savings. These cost reductions contributed to improved operating efficiencies and a reduction in manufacturing costs per pound.

5. Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets. Following the positive fiscal Q4 2026 earnings report and favorable fiscal 2027 outlook, several financial analysts upgraded their ratings and raised their price targets for Lamb Weston. For example, Barclays increased its price target from $50.00 to $56.00, maintaining an "overweight" rating, while Wells Fargo raised its target from $54.00 to $57.00, also with an "overweight" rating. Additionally, Wall Street Zen upgraded Lamb Weston from a "hold" to a "buy" rating.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.3% change in LW stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 31.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268282026Change
Stock Price ($)42.8554.9828.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,5186,6121.4%
Net Income Margin (%)4.6%4.4%-4.8%
P/E Multiple19.826.131.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1391380.9%
Cumulative Contribution28.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LW28.3% 
Market (SPY)7.1%-4.6%
Sector (XLP)1.4%53.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 21.7% change in LW stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 62.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268282026Change
Stock Price ($)45.1954.9821.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,4746,6122.1%
Net Income Margin (%)6.1%4.4%-27.6%
P/E Multiple16.126.162.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1391381.2%
Cumulative Contribution21.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LW21.7% 
Market (SPY)11.5%13.0%
Sector (XLP)2.9%45.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.0% change in LW stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120258282026Change
Stock Price ($)55.0054.980.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,4516,6122.5%
Net Income Margin (%)5.5%4.4%-20.8%
P/E Multiple21.626.120.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1401382.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LW-0.0% 
Market (SPY)22.7%7.6%
Sector (XLP)9.3%33.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -42.8% change in LW stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -76.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120238282026Change
Stock Price ($)96.1854.98-42.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,3516,61223.6%
Net Income Margin (%)18.9%4.4%-76.7%
P/E Multiple13.926.187.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1461386.0%
Cumulative Contribution-42.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LW-42.8% 
Market (SPY)74.0%21.6%
Sector (XLP)21.5%30.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LW Return-18%43%22%-37%-36%34%-23%
Peers Return10%1%-12%-10%-25%-4%-37%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LW Win Rate33%83%58%50%50%75% 
Peers Win Rate50%54%44%48%40%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LW Max Drawdown-41%-29%-28%-51%-37%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-29%-36%-25%-34%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CAG, KHC, GIS, BGS. See LW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/28/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventLWS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-14.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven21 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-32.0%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven85 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-20.6%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven61 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-21.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven24 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven1023 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-12.1%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.8%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven26 days6 days

Compare to CAG, KHC, GIS, BGS

In The Past

Lamb Weston's stock fell -14.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 17.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventLWS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-32.0%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven85 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-20.6%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven61 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-21.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven24 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven1023 days140 days

Compare to CAG, KHC, GIS, BGS

In The Past

Lamb Weston's stock fell -14.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 17.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lamb Weston (LW)

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) is a global leader in the production, distribution, and marketing of value-added frozen potato products. While primarily known for its potato offerings, the company also has operations in the vegetable and dairy sectors. It leverages its extensive supply chain to serve a diverse client base worldwide.

The core of Lamb Weston's business revolves around its wide array of frozen potato products, which include everything from classic fries and hash browns to specialized commercial ingredients and appetizers. These products are sold under its flagship "Lamb Weston" brand, as well as popular consumer brands like "Grown in Idaho" and "Alexia." The company also produces products for other licensed brands and retailers' private labels.

Lamb Weston serves a broad spectrum of customers across its Global, Foodservice, and Retail segments. In the retail sector, its products can be found in grocery stores, mass merchandisers, club stores, and specialty retailers. For its foodservice clients, Lamb Weston supplies businesses, independent and regional chain restaurants, convenience stores, and institutional clients such as educational facilities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Lamb Weston:

  • They're like the Tyson Foods for potatoes, processing the commodity into various products for both restaurants and grocery stores.

  • Think of them as the Frito-Lay for frozen potato products, with popular brands like Grown in Idaho and Alexia found in freezers worldwide.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Frozen Potato Products: The company's core business involves producing, distributing, and marketing various value-added frozen potato products.
  • Commercial Food Ingredients: Lamb Weston offers commercial ingredients, likely potato-based, to other businesses and food manufacturers.
  • Frozen Appetizers: The company produces and markets a range of frozen appetizers under its own brands and for customer labels.
  • Vegetable Products: Lamb Weston is also involved in the business of various vegetable-based products.
  • Dairy Products: The company engages in the dairy business, providing dairy-related offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (symbol: LW) primarily sells its products to other companies (B2B).

The provided background information does not explicitly name specific major customer companies. However, it broadly categorizes Lamb Weston's customers into the following segments:

  • Retail Customers: This category includes various types of retailers such as grocery, mass, club, and specialty retailers. These customers purchase Lamb Weston's owned or licensed brands (e.g., Grown in Idaho, Alexia) and products for sale under their own private labels.
  • Foodservice Customers: This category encompasses a wide range of businesses and institutions. It includes independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, convenience stores, and educational institutions. These customers utilize Lamb Weston's frozen potato products, commercial ingredients, and appetizers in their operations.

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Michael J. Smith, President and Chief Executive Officer

Michael J. Smith was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Lamb Weston in January 2025. He joined Lamb Weston in 2007 and has held increasingly senior leadership roles, including Chief Operating Officer from May 2023 to January 2025. Prior to his COO role, he served as Senior Vice President, Foodservice, Retail, Innovation and Marketing, and Senior Vice President, Growth and Strategy. Before joining Conagra Brands, Inc. in 2007 (Lamb Weston's former parent company), he held various brand management positions at Dean Foods Company. Mr. Smith holds a bachelor's degree in marketing from Brigham Young University and an MBA from the Cox School of Business at Southern Methodist University.

James D. Gray, Chief Financial Officer

James D. Gray will join Lamb Weston as Chief Financial Officer on April 2, 2026, succeeding Bernadette Madarieta, who will transition to an interim advisory role. Mr. Gray most recently served for 12 years as Executive Vice President and CFO at Ingredion, a global ingredients solutions company. Earlier in his career, he held finance leadership roles at PepsiCo for over a decade and began his career at Bain & Company.

Jan Craps, Executive Chair

Jan Craps joined Lamb Weston in February 2026 as Executive Chair, a newly created position. In this role, he focuses on board leadership, mergers and acquisitions, governance, oversight, international market execution, and long-term strategy. Prior to Lamb Weston, he spent more than 20 years with Anheuser-Busch InBev, most recently as the CEO and Co-Chair of Budweiser Brewing Company APAC, and CEO, APAC. He has experience leading large-scale transformations and managing multibillion-dollar consumer businesses across Europe, Canada, Australia, and Asia. Mr. Craps began his career at McKinsey & Company.

Mike Crowley, President, North America

Mike Crowley was appointed President, North America in January 2025. He is responsible for all Lamb Weston commercial channels in North America, including Foodservice, Retail, and Multi-National Chains. Previously, he served as Senior Vice President & General Manager, Multinational-Chains, where he oversaw strategic global customer partnerships.

Marc Schroeder, President, International

Marc Schroeder serves as the President, International for Lamb Weston.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Lamb Weston's business include volatility in its supply chain and input costs, intense competition and pricing pressure within a softening demand environment, and operational execution challenges, particularly related to its ERP system implementation.

  1. Supply Chain and Input Cost Volatility: Lamb Weston faces significant risks from disruptions and volatility in its supply chain, particularly concerning the availability and cost of key raw materials like potatoes and edible oils. Poor potato harvests, influenced by adverse weather conditions such as extreme heat, can lead to lower quality and yields, increasing the cost per pound of finished product. The company also grapples with inflation in other critical inputs, including labor, energy, and transportation, which directly elevate manufacturing costs and can negatively impact profitability. Climate change is also recognized as a potential risk to agricultural productivity and the pricing of raw materials.
  2. Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure in a Softening Demand Environment: The frozen potato products industry is highly competitive, leading to ongoing pricing pressure and unfavorable price/mix dynamics for Lamb Weston. This competitive landscape is exacerbated by a global softening in demand for frozen fries, driven by factors such as reduced restaurant traffic and menu price inflation. Large customers, which constitute a significant portion of Lamb Weston's sales (e.g., McDonald's representing a mid-teen volume percentage), can leverage their power in low-demand situations, further intensifying pricing pressure and affecting margins.
  3. Operational Execution Challenges, Including ERP System Disruptions: Lamb Weston has encountered persistent difficulties with operational execution, both commercially and within its supply chain. A notable challenge has been the implementation of a new Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system, which has caused temporary operational disruptions, led to higher-than-anticipated costs, and contributed to the loss of some customers. These execution difficulties hinder the company's ability to meet financial targets and growth expectations.

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Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. operates in significant addressable markets for its main products, primarily frozen potato products and appetizers.

The global frozen potatoes market was valued at approximately USD 65.4 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 112 billion by 2034, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.6%. Another estimate places the global frozen potatoes market at USD 65.56 billion in 2024, with a projected growth to USD 99.85 billion by 2032, expanding at a CAGR of 5.4%.

In North America, a key region for Lamb Weston, the frozen potato market was valued at around USD 23.73 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 35.02 billion by 2031, demonstrating a CAGR of 5.0%. The U.S. market alone for frozen potatoes was worth over USD 11.5 billion in 2024. Lamb Weston is North America's largest producer of frozen potato products, holding more than a 40% share in this market.

The European frozen potato market was valued at approximately USD 20.01 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach USD 28.44 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 4.5%. Another source indicates the European frozen potatoes market size was worth USD 18.18 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 24.73 billion by 2034.

For appetizers, which fall under the broader category of frozen snacks, the global frozen snacks market reached USD 102.1 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 140.8 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.1% during 2024-2031. Another projection estimates the global frozen snacks market at USD 153.91 billion in 2025, with an anticipated increase to approximately USD 262.90 billion by 2035, reflecting a CAGR of 5.5%. Potato-based snacks, a significant component of Lamb Weston's offerings, held a 32.62% share of the frozen snacks market in 2025.

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Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Volume Growth, particularly in North America and Asia: The company has reported significant volume increases, especially in North America and Asia, and has restarted previously curtailed North American production lines to meet higher demand. North America volumes are expected to continue growing at or above first-half rates.
  2. Customer Contract Wins and Share Gains: Lamb Weston's "Focus to Win" strategy and recent customer contract wins, along with share gains and retention, are noted as direct contributors to volume growth and sales across its segments.
  3. Strategic Market Positioning and Expanded Global Footprint: The company leverages its leading market positions, being #1 in North America and #2 globally, along with an advantaged global manufacturing footprint, to support customer growth across all regions and channels.
  4. Innovation Leadership: Lamb Weston emphasizes its innovation leadership in the frozen potato category as a strategy that creates opportunities to drive growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • Lamb Weston's Board of Directors authorized an increase in the share repurchase program from $500 million to $750 million in December 2024.
  • The company repurchased $282.0 million of its common stock, totaling 4,867,449 shares, during fiscal 2025.
  • In the first half of fiscal 2026 (ending November 2025), Lamb Weston repurchased over $50 million in stock. Approximately $308 million remained authorized under the program as of November 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Shares outstanding have generally shown a decline over the last 3-5 years, with 2025 shares outstanding being 0.143 billion, a 1.99% decrease from 2024.

Outbound Investments

  • In February 2023, Lamb Weston completed the acquisition of the remaining equity interests in its European joint venture with Meijer Frozen Foods B.V.
  • In July 2022, the company purchased an additional 40% stake in Lamb Weston Alimentos Modernos S.A. (LWAMSA), its joint venture in Argentina, increasing its total ownership to 90%.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures amounted to $736 million during fiscal 2023, primarily for construction costs related to expanding processing capacity, including breaking ground on a 250 million-pound capacity expansion for the South American market and progressing on projects in China and the Netherlands.
  • In fiscal 2025, capital expenditures were $650.7 million, with a primary focus on completing strategic capacity expansion projects in China, the U.S., and the Netherlands, and a project in Argentina expected to begin production in August 2025.
  • For fiscal 2026, capital expenditures are expected to be below the $500 million target, as major growth investments were completed in fiscal 2025 and early fiscal 2026, and the company is focusing on disciplined investment for sustaining performance.

Better Bets vs. Lamb Weston (LW)

Peer Outperformance in Packaged Foods & Meats

LW has outperformed 70% of its 46 Packaged Foods & Meats peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are CALM, POST and MDLZ. Packaged Foods & Meats ranks 10th of 12 industries in Consumer Staples by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Packaged Foods & Meats constituents that LW has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
75%
of 51 industry peers · 0.8% return
3Y
40%
of 50 industry peers · -38.9% return
5Y
70%
of 46 industry peers · -7.6% return
Packaged Foods & Meats peers with revenue growth within 4pp of LW's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
LW Lamb Weston 7.7% 26.1x 0.8%-38.9%-7.6%
CALM Cal-Maine Foods 8.5% 11.9x -28.4%93.6%186.7% +194pp
POST Post 8.5% 13.1x -23.3%-5.1%16.4% +24pp
MDLZ Mondelez International 5.2% 68.3x 5.3%-4.8%15.0% +23pp
HSY Hershey 3.9% 24.3x 2.5%-10.6%14.9% +22pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Staples sector, ranked by 5Y. Packaged Foods & Meats is LW's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Food Distributors 8 3.4%30.8%61.0% CHEF 280% · USFD 212% · ANDE 129%
Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail 12 4.4%40.4%50.6% NGVC 188% · VLGEA 140% · WMT 125%
Tobacco 6 -15.7%14.5%48.9% PM 137% · MO 104% · TPB 74%
Food Retail 6 -12.5%66.9%34.9% CASY 281% · SFM 230% · KR 41%
Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages 12 -3.1%-13.4%18.8% COKE 420% · BRFH 205% · CCHGY 113%
Brewers 3 -12.9%-26.5%3.0% BUD 40% · TAP 3% · SAM -69%
Agricultural Products & Services 11 -3.4%-2.5%-17.0% BG 71% · ADM 55% · INGR 36%
Household Products 19 3.1%-4.5%-24.9% IPAR 80% · ACU 73% · CL 32%
Personal Care Products 4 -4.9%-22.1%-26.2% ELF 239% · PG 15% · EL -67%
Packaged Foods & Meats ← 47 -18.1%-27.7%-31.4% MAMA 550% · LWAY 384% · SENEA 309%
Distillers & Vintners 5 -45.1%-60.2%-73.0% STZ -32% · BF-B -57% · MGPI -73%
Drug Retail 3 -39.4%-83.3%-92.5% HITI -65% · PETS -93% · SCNX -99%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LWCAGKHCGISBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .B&G Foods 
Mkt Price54.9816.0925.7041.553.5225.70
Mkt Cap7.67.730.522.30.37.7
Rev LTM6,61211,28224,90018,3711,77111,282
Op Inc LTM6951,2594,2282,6721731,259
FCF LTM5409793,8161,65064979
FCF 3Y Avg2131,3033,4092,1641071,303
CFO LTM9431,4024,6212,226891,402
CFO 3Y Avg8701,7034,3752,8621351,703

Growth & Margins

LWCAGKHCGISBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .B&G Foods 
Rev Chg LTM2.5%-2.9%-1.6%-6.5%-4.9%-2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.7%-2.8%-2.8%-2.7%-6.0%-2.8%
Rev Chg Q5.6%3.6%-1.4%-8.4%-9.7%-1.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%0.9%-0.4%-2.2%-2.3%-0.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM-9.1%-14.1%-18.1%-25.7%-6.5%-14.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-5.5%-11.5%-4.1%-3.7%-9.2%-5.5%
Op Mgn LTM10.5%11.2%17.0%14.5%9.8%11.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.9%12.9%19.2%17.0%10.3%12.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%-0.7%-1.4%-1.0%0.2%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM14.3%12.4%18.6%12.1%5.0%12.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.4%14.6%17.2%14.7%7.1%14.6%
FCF/Rev LTM8.2%8.7%15.3%9.0%3.6%8.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%11.1%13.4%11.1%5.7%11.1%

Valuation

LWCAGKHCGISBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .B&G Foods 
Mkt Cap7.67.730.522.30.37.7
P/S1.10.71.21.20.21.1
P/Op Inc10.96.17.28.31.77.2
P/EBIT12.8-5.47.08.94.27.0
P/E26.1-4.0-9.010.1-4.0-4.0
P/CFO8.05.56.610.03.26.6
Total Yield6.6%-16.2%-4.9%15.8%-3.4%-3.4%
Dividend Yield2.7%8.7%6.2%5.9%21.4%6.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.7%13.5%10.8%8.0%25.8%10.8%
D/E0.50.90.60.69.00.6
Net D/E0.50.90.50.66.90.6

Returns

LWCAGKHCGISBGSMedian
NameLamb Wes.Conagra .Kraft He.General .B&G Foods 
1M Rtn2.6%5.0%-7.0%9.6%-5.6%2.6%
3M Rtn28.3%22.5%9.0%25.0%-11.9%22.5%
6M Rtn16.0%-13.3%8.1%-5.0%-29.5%-5.0%
12M Rtn0.8%-7.6%-0.8%-8.9%-8.3%-7.6%
3Y Rtn-38.9%-36.2%-10.4%-30.4%-61.4%-36.2%
1M Excs Rtn-0.3%3.4%-6.3%10.4%-6.2%-0.3%
3M Excs Rtn26.5%20.8%7.2%23.3%-13.6%20.8%
6M Excs Rtn3.8%-25.4%-4.0%-17.1%-41.6%-17.1%
12M Excs Rtn-18.9%-28.4%-20.7%-29.4%-28.9%-28.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-112.7%-108.7%-83.5%-103.9%-132.7%-108.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single Segment6,4516,4685,351 
Foodservice   1,318
Global   2,064
Other   122
Retail   595
Total6,4516,4685,3514,099


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2023202120202019
Global596306374446
Foodservice551340356402
Retail28012011899
Advertising and promotion expenses3418  
Other-29482424
Selling, general and administrative expenses-550-357-315-303
Total882475557668


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$54.98 
Market Cap ($ Bil)7.6 
First Trading Date11/01/2016 
Distance from 52W High-14.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$49.51$46.56
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA11.1%18.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility29.9%41.5%
Downside Capture-63.5510.32
Upside Capture59.449.01
Correlation (SPY)-3.8%6.6%
LW Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.54-0.22-0.240.290.230.60
Up Beta-2.89-0.74-0.450.840.380.62
Down Beta1.140.610.230.370.360.55
Up Capture112%26%15%18%2%16%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days13253569130385
Down Capture-212%-114%-100%-14%21%94%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days9182857120362

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LW
LW0.0%41.4%0.12-
Sector ETF (XLP)8.0%14.4%0.3135.4%
Equity (SPY)20.1%12.8%1.166.5%
Gold (GLD)30.9%29.0%0.9210.4%
Commodities (DBC)39.9%20.3%1.54-12.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)9.9%13.7%0.4427.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.5%43.6%-0.612.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LW
LW-1.4%37.6%0.06-
Sector ETF (XLP)5.9%13.7%0.2134.7%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5927.7%
Gold (GLD)19.7%18.7%0.851.2%
Commodities (DBC)11.5%19.6%0.46-3.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.0%18.9%0.0029.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.4%52.6%0.3810.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LW
LW6.6%35.8%0.29-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.3%14.9%0.3538.9%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7238.8%
Gold (GLD)12.2%16.3%0.613.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%18.0%0.3311.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2042.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)64.0%66.1%1.0410.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8142026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7312026-9.9%
Average Daily Volume1.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity137.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.3%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/26/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/24/20260.8%8.9%10.0%
4/1/2026-8.9%-1.6%3.1%
12/19/2025-25.9%-29.0%-25.3%
9/30/20254.3%13.9%17.8%
7/23/202516.3%20.9%13.0%
4/3/202510.0%2.0%-4.2%
12/19/2024-20.1%-16.5%-22.2%
10/2/20242.6%6.6%16.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141513
# Negative10911
Median Positive4.3%6.6%9.3%
Median Negative-11.2%-11.5%-12.1%
Max Positive16.3%20.9%17.8%
Max Negative-28.2%-29.0%-25.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/24/20260.8%8.9%10.0%
4/1/2026-8.9%-1.6%3.1%
12/19/2025-25.9%-29.0%-25.3%
9/30/20254.3%13.9%17.8%
7/23/202516.3%20.9%13.0%
4/3/202510.0%2.0%-4.2%
12/19/2024-20.1%-16.5%-22.2%
10/2/20242.6%6.6%16.7%
7/24/2024-28.2%-24.3%-20.4%
4/4/2024-19.4%-21.0%-16.1%
1/4/20240.3%2.1%1.5%
10/5/20238.0%1.5%3.9%
7/25/2023-6.8%-8.0%-14.3%
4/6/20232.6%5.1%7.9%
1/5/20239.8%11.2%12.5%
10/5/20224.2%3.2%9.3%
7/27/20222.6%8.3%10.0%
4/7/20228.0%11.4%4.9%
1/6/20227.4%9.0%-0.2%
10/7/2021-6.6%-10.2%-9.6%
7/27/2021-13.5%-11.5%-12.1%
4/7/2021-3.6%-4.0%-2.8%
1/7/2021-1.2%0.1%4.1%
10/7/20202.9%2.6%-4.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141513
# Negative10911
Median Positive4.3%6.6%9.3%
Median Negative-11.2%-11.5%-12.1%
Max Positive16.3%20.9%17.8%
Max Negative-28.2%-29.0%-25.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
05/31/202607/24/202610-K
02/28/202604/01/202610-Q
11/30/202512/19/202510-Q
08/31/202509/30/202510-Q
05/31/202507/23/202510-K
02/28/202504/03/202510-Q
11/30/202412/20/202410-Q
08/31/202410/02/202410-Q
05/31/202407/24/202410-K
02/29/202404/04/202410-Q
11/30/202301/04/202410-Q
08/31/202310/05/202310-Q
05/31/202307/25/202310-K
02/28/202304/06/202310-Q
11/30/202201/05/202310-Q
08/31/202210/05/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
05/31/202607/24/202610-K
02/28/202604/01/202610-Q
11/30/202512/19/202510-Q
08/31/202509/30/202510-Q
05/31/202507/23/202510-K
02/28/202504/03/202510-Q
11/30/202412/20/202410-Q
08/31/202410/02/202410-Q
05/31/202407/24/202410-K
02/29/202404/04/202410-Q
11/30/202301/04/202410-Q
08/31/202310/05/202310-Q
05/31/202307/25/202310-K
02/28/202304/06/202310-Q
11/30/202201/05/202310-Q
08/31/202210/05/202210-Q
05/31/202207/27/202210-K
02/28/202204/07/202210-Q
11/30/202101/06/202210-Q
08/31/202110/07/202110-Q
05/31/202107/27/202110-K
02/28/202104/07/202110-Q
11/30/202001/07/202110-Q
08/31/202010/07/202010-Q
05/31/202007/28/202010-K
02/29/202004/01/202010-Q
11/30/201901/03/202010-Q
08/31/201910/02/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 7/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Net Sales Growth0.0%0.5%1.0%   
2027 Adjusted EBITDA1.10 Bil1.15 Bil1.20 Bil3.6% Higher NewGuidance: 1.11 Bil for 2026
2027 Adjusted Diluted EPS2.953.13.25   
2027 Capital Expenditures380.00 Mil395.00 Mil410.00 Mil-1.2% Lower NewGuidance: 400.00 Mil for 2026
2027 Adjusted Income from Operations720.00 Mil760.00 Mil800.00 Mil   
2027 Depreciation and Amortization 410.00 Mil    
2027 Interest Expense, net 190.00 Mil    
2027 Adjusted Effective Tax Rate25.5%26.5%27.5%   
2027 Diluted Outstanding Common Shares137.50 Mil138.25 Mil139.00 Mil   
2027 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities750.00 Mil775.00 Mil800.00 Mil   

Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 4/1/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net Sales6.45 Bil6.50 Bil6.55 Bil0.8% RaisedGuidance: 6.45 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.08 Bil1.11 Bil1.14 Bil0.9% RaisedGuidance: 1.10 Bil for 2026
2026 Cash Used for Capital Expenditures 400.00 Mil -20.0% LoweredGuidance: 500.00 Mil for 2026

Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 12/19/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net Sales6.35 Bil6.45 Bil6.55 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 6.45 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.00 Bil1.10 Bil1.20 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.10 Bil for 2026
2026 Cash Used for Capital Expenditures 500.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 500.00 Mil for 2026

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 9/30/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net Sales at Constant Currency6.35 Bil6.45 Bil6.55 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 6.45 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.00 Bil1.10 Bil1.20 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.10 Bil for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures 500.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 500.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Pre-tax charges70.00 Mil85.00 Mil100.00 Mil   

Insider Activity

Updated 8/5/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Gray, James DChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy511202640.9210,000409,2252,853,976Form
2Gray, James DChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy428202643.854,556199,7812,619,643Form
3Jana, Partners Management, LPSee footnoteBuy415202643.1950,0002,159,500233,181,946Form
4Jana, Partners Management, LPSee footnoteBuy415202642.12100,0004,212,000225,299,038Form
5Jana, Partners Management, LPSee footnoteBuy409202641.41100,0004,141,000217,360,262Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Gray, James DChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy511202640.9210,000409,2252,853,976Form
2Gray, James DChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy428202643.854,556199,7812,619,643Form
3Jana, Partners Management, LPSee footnoteBuy415202643.1950,0002,159,500233,181,946Form
4Jana, Partners Management, LPSee footnoteBuy415202642.12100,0004,212,000225,299,038Form
5Jana, Partners Management, LPSee footnoteBuy409202641.41100,0004,141,000217,360,262Form
6Jana, Partners Management, LPSee footnoteBuy409202640.89136,0005,561,040210,541,792Form
7Bensen, Peter JRevocable TrustBuy407202639.455,000197,225678,612Form
8Craps, Jan Eli BExecutive ChairDirectBuy206202648.6550,0002,432,33014,593,980Form
9Jones, Gregory WVP AND CONTROLLERDirectSell1003202562.481,60099,973592,028Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 29, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Continental Grain Co$111.3 Mil30.4%4ADD +23.4%13F
JANA Partners Management, LP$211.7 Mil13.2%10Hold13F
Starboard Value LP$258.4 Mil5.7%23New13F
Shapiro Capital Management LLC$6.7 Mil0.4%50New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Starboard Value LP$258.4 Mil5.7%23New13F
Shapiro Capital Management LLC$6.7 Mil0.4%50New13F
Continental Grain Co$111.3 Mil30.4%4ADD +23.4%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Magnolia Group, LLC$8.9 Mil1.5%12Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Starboard Value LP$258.4 Mil5.7%23New13F
JANA Partners Management, LP$211.7 Mil13.2%10Hold13F
Continental Grain Co$111.3 Mil30.4%4ADD +23.4%13F
Shapiro Capital Management LLC$6.7 Mil0.4%50New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/28/2026