Tearsheet

Laird Superfood (LSF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.48 | Market Cap: $26.1 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Laird Superfood (LSF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.48
Market Cap: $26.1 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.9%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.4%
2  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.9%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.9%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.4%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LSF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -57.7% movement in Laird Superfood (LSF) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Lowered Full-Year 2025 Revenue Guidance: Following its Third Quarter 2025 earnings report on November 10, 2025, Laird Superfood revised its full-year net sales growth forecast for 2025 down to approximately 15%, a reduction from its earlier projection of 20%-25%.

2. Increased Net Loss and Picky Bars Impairment: In Q3 2025, the company reported a net loss of $1.0 million, an increase from $0.2 million in the prior-year period. This was notably influenced by a $661,000 impairment charge related to the discontinuation of the Picky Bars brand.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LSF Return--72%-94%8%766%-67%-95%
Peers Return3%10%10%-15%2%-20%-13%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LSF Win Rate67%0%25%50%58%20% 
Peers Win Rate32%35%48%30%45%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LSF Max Drawdown--76%-94%-23%-20%-69% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-4%-5%-25%-12%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, GIS, FLO, WEST, MEHA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLSFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven8472.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven45 days148 days

Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, MEHA


In The Past

Laird Superfood's stock fell -98.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -98.8% loss requires a 8472.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Laird Superfood (LSF)

Better Bets than Laird Superfood (LSF)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LSF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Laird Superfood

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LSFKGISFLOWESTMEHAMedian
NameLaird Su.KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.Function. 
Mkt Price2.4583.1446.2011.074.150.407.61
Mkt Cap0.028.825.02.30.4-2.3
Rev LTM4712,64319,1565,1351,07873,107
Op Inc LTM-11,8553,141320-34-0160
FCF LTM-36502,096325-1510163
FCF 3Y Avg-78952,300257-192-257
CFO LTM-31,3052,691451-530226
CFO 3Y Avg-71,5123,003384-43-384

Growth & Margins

LSFKGISFLOWESTMEHAMedian
NameLaird Su.KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.Function. 
Rev Chg LTM22.8%-1.4%-3.3%0.3%28.9%-0.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.2%1.5%0.1%3.0%10.0%-3.0%
Rev Chg Q19.9%0.3%-6.8%3.0%60.7%8.2%5.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.4%0.1%-1.7%0.7%14.2%2.0%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-2.9%14.7%16.4%6.2%-3.2%-3.5%1.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-25.6%12.1%16.9%5.7%-2.1%-5.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-0.4%-0.5%-0.5%0.8%8.7%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-7.4%10.3%14.0%8.8%-4.9%0.0%4.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-19.2%12.2%15.2%7.5%-4.6%-7.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.4%5.1%10.9%6.3%-14.0%0.0%2.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.3%7.2%11.7%5.0%-21.1%-5.0%

Valuation

LSFKGISFLOWESTMEHAMedian
NameLaird Su.KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.Function. 
Mkt Cap0.028.825.02.30.4-2.3
P/S1.42.31.50.50.4-1.4
P/EBIT-48.615.18.78.5-11.2-8.5
P/E-61.221.39.614.2-5.0-9.6
P/CFO-19.221.810.46.1-8.8-6.1
Total Yield-1.6%7.5%15.2%14.6%-19.9%-7.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.8%4.7%7.5%0.0%-2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-68.0%3.6%6.6%7.0%-32.4%-3.6%
D/E0.00.20.50.81.3-0.5
Net D/E-0.10.20.50.81.2-0.5

Returns

LSFKGISFLOWESTMEHAMedian
NameLaird Su.KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.Function. 
1M Rtn-50.1%0.8%-0.5%-4.6%-6.7%--4.6%
3M Rtn-57.5%5.9%-6.0%-21.3%-22.1%--21.3%
6M Rtn-63.0%3.0%-13.3%-29.7%-38.1%--29.7%
12M Rtn-75.1%6.1%-27.1%-47.4%-46.6%--46.6%
3Y Rtn88.5%32.1%-40.4%-57.2%-69.3%--40.4%
1M Excs Rtn-50.1%0.8%-0.5%-4.6%-6.7%--4.6%
3M Excs Rtn-62.5%-0.0%-11.1%-26.6%-28.8%--26.6%
6M Excs Rtn-77.7%-11.8%-28.0%-44.4%-52.8%--44.4%
12M Excs Rtn-86.5%-7.6%-40.6%-61.2%-61.9%--61.2%
3Y Excs Rtn15.7%-37.6%-110.6%-129.4%-139.4%--110.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Coffee creamers202022189
Coffee, tea, and hot chocolate products87562
Harvest snacks and other food items7770 
Hydration and beverage enhancing supplements55642
Shipping income11000
Other02110
Discounts and promotional activity-8-6-4-3-1
Total3436372613


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity132,177
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202573.3%
Average Daily Volume144,319
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity10,517,528
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023313202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021308202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 9/30/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data