Alliance Laundry (ALH)
Market Price (4/11/2026): $23.83 | Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Household Appliances
Alliance Laundry (ALH)
Market Price (4/11/2026): $23.83Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Household Appliances
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 56x Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% Key risksALH key risks include [1] high leverage and negative shareholder equity driven by an aggressive financial policy under its majority owner and [2] a substantial geographic revenue concentration with 74% derived from North America. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 56x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
| Key risksALH key risks include [1] high leverage and negative shareholder equity driven by an aggressive financial policy under its majority owner and [2] a substantial geographic revenue concentration with 74% derived from North America. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Performance and Upbeat 2026 Guidance.
Alliance Laundry (ALH) reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, surpassing analyst expectations. The company announced adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.24 for Q4 2025, beating the consensus estimate of $0.23, and generated revenue of $435 million, exceeding estimates of approximately $424 million. For the full year 2025, net revenues increased 13% to $1.7 billion, and adjusted EBITDA grew 14% to $436 million. Management further fueled investor confidence by providing optimistic 2026 guidance, projecting revenue growth of 5-7% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 6-8%, with an expectation of continued margin expansion.
2. Positive Analyst Ratings and Substantial Price Targets.
Analyst sentiment remained largely bullish during the period, contributing to the stock's upward trend. Baird reiterated an "Outperform" rating and a $29.00 price target on March 27, 2026, suggesting a nearly 48% upside potential. Similarly, BMO Capital maintained an "Outperform" rating with a $30.00 price target on March 13, 2026, following the strong Q4 results. The consensus among analysts currently reflects a "Strong Buy" rating for ALH, with an average price target of $30.88, forecasting a 32.99% increase over the next year.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.2% change in ALH stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.35 | 23.85 | 17.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 1,652 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | 55.9 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 197 | 198 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALH | 17.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 51.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | -5.5% | 48.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALH | ||
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 41.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -5.6% | 40.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALH | ||
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 41.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 15.0% | 40.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALH | ||
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 41.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 54.4% | 40.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALH Return | - | - | - | - | -18% | 15% | -6% |
| Peers Return | 6% | -19% | 2% | -0% | 20% | -0% | 5% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALH Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 33% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 42% | 53% | 50% | 53% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALH Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -18% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -39% | -21% | -20% | -15% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WHR, EVI, CTAS, UNF, HCSG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
ALH has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 680 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 779 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to WHR, EVI, CTAS, UNF, HCSG
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.
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About Alliance Laundry (ALH)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Alliance Laundry (ALH):
- ALH is like the Caterpillar for commercial laundry equipment, providing heavy-duty, reliable, and premium machines essential for businesses.
- ALH is the Otis Worldwide for commercial laundry rooms, specializing in essential, high-quality, and long-lasting systems that businesses rely on.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Alliance Laundry's major products are:
- Commercial Laundry Systems: High-quality, durable washing and drying machines designed for demanding commercial environments such as laundromats, hotels, and healthcare facilities.
- Commercial-Quality Residential Laundry Products: Robust and reliable laundry machines designed for discerning residential customers seeking commercial-grade performance and durability for their homes.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Customers of Alliance Laundry (ALH)
Alliance Laundry (ALH) primarily sells its commercial laundry systems to other companies and organizations, rather than directly to individuals. The provided description does not list the specific names of individual customer companies or their public symbols.
However, the company description identifies the following major categories of commercial end-users for its systems:
- Healthcare facilities: Hospitals, clinics, and other medical institutions that require high-capacity and reliable laundry services for hygiene and patient care.
- Hotels: Hospitality establishments that need efficient and durable laundry solutions for linens, towels, and guest services.
- Laundromats: Commercial self-service or attended laundry facilities where customers can wash and dry clothes.
- Communal laundry facilities: Shared laundry amenities found in apartment buildings, universities, military bases, and other multi-housing environments.
- Fire stations: Emergency services that rely on specialized laundry equipment for cleaning gear and uniforms.
- Other commercial applications: A wide range of other businesses and institutions where hygiene is critical, and large volumes of laundry need to be processed effectively.
In addition to these end-users, Alliance Laundry's immediate customers also include its extensive global network of approximately 600 distributors. These distributors play a critical role in educating end-customers and facilitating sales. The company also uses direct sales channels in certain key markets.
A select but growing segment of residential customers also purchases commercial-quality products for their homes, though this is not the primary focus.
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Michael D. Schoeb, Chief Executive Officer and Director
Michael D. Schoeb has led Alliance Laundry Systems as CEO since 2011, having joined the company in 2007 as President and Chief Operating Officer. Under his leadership, the company has significantly increased its enterprise value and expanded its global presence. Before his tenure at Alliance Laundry, Schoeb served as President and Chief Operating Officer of Wausau Homes. His career also includes senior leadership positions at Hilti Corporation, where he was President of Hilti do Brasil and Senior Vice President of Marketing & Brand for North America. He began his professional journey with various sales, marketing, and general management roles at Johnson Controls, Inc. Schoeb possesses an extensive international background, having worked across the U.S., Europe, and Latin America. His diverse experience includes leadership within US and European multinationals, a large family-owned business, and a global private equity portfolio company.
Dean J. Nolden, Chief Financial Officer
Dean J. Nolden assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer at Alliance Laundry Systems in April 2025. Prior to joining Alliance Laundry, he held CFO positions at Stella & Chewy's from 2021 to 2025 and at Techniplas from 2020 to 2021. Nolden also served as Chief Financial Officer for REV Group, Inc. between 2016 and 2020. He gained extensive experience at The Manitowoc Company from 1997 to 2015, where he held progressively senior finance roles, including Executive Vice President Finance, Vice President Finance and Treasurer, and Corporate Controller. Nolden commenced his career in audit at PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) from 1991 to 1997. His background encompasses leadership in various industries within both private equity-owned and publicly traded organizations.
Joseph Hainline, Chief Technology Officer
Samantha Hannan, Chief Legal & Compliance Officer
Jan Vleugels, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer International
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Business Risks for Alliance Laundry (ALH)
- Concentrated Focus on the Commercial Laundry Market: Alliance Laundry operates with a "pure play focus" on the commercial laundry industry, making it highly susceptible to any significant downturns, technological disruptions, or shifts in customer demand within this specific market. A substantial portion of its business relies on the regular replacement cycle of machines in this sector, meaning any factors that extend machine lifespans or reduce the need for commercial laundry services could severely impact its revenue and growth.
- Reliance on a Global Network of Independent Distributors: The company's sales model heavily depends on an extensive global network of approximately 600 independent distributors, who are described as "critical" and "highly influential" in customer purchasing decisions. While Alliance Laundry boasts long-standing relationships with these partners, any deterioration of these relationships, increased competition for distributor loyalty, or financial instability among key distributors could significantly impede its ability to reach end-customers and generate sales.
- High Revenue Concentration in the North American Market: Alliance Laundry's North America segment accounted for 74% of its 2024 revenue. This significant geographic concentration exposes the company to specific economic, regulatory, or competitive risks within the North American market. Adverse conditions in this region could have a disproportionately large impact on its overall financial performance, given its relatively smaller international footprint.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Alliance Laundry (ALH) operates within two primary addressable markets: * **Global Total Laundry Systems Market:** The total addressable market for commercial, residential, and industrial laundry systems worldwide was approximately $82 billion in 2023. * **Global Commercial Laundry Systems Market:** The commercial laundry systems industry, a segment of the broader laundry market, generated nearly $7.4 billion in revenues globally in 2023. This market is projected to grow to USD 10.8 billion by 2032 or USD 11.70 billion by 2030.AI Analysis | Feedback
Alliance Laundry (ALH) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic initiatives and market dynamics:- Volume Growth and Market Share Expansion: Alliance Laundry anticipates sustained volume growth, projecting to outpace the global commercial laundry industry's estimated 5% annual growth rate. This indicates an expectation of gaining market share through increased unit sales across its diverse end markets.
- Strategic Pricing Actions: The company plans to implement strategic price increases, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth and help offset higher input costs and tariff impacts.
- Product Innovation and Digital Solutions: Continued investment in innovation and new product development, including both physical products and an evolving digital platform, will be a key driver. Recent launches such as the Scan-Pay-Wash cashless solution and the ProCapture lint system are expected to enhance competitive differentiation and drive adoption.
- International Market Expansion: Alliance Laundry is focusing on expanding its presence in international markets, with strategic investments aimed at driving growth in both mature and developing regions. The positive reception of new products like the Stax-X stacked washer-dryer in the Asia Pacific region highlights opportunities for growth outside North America.
- Sustained Demand in Core End Markets: The company expects continued strong and broad-based demand across its essential end markets, including vended laundromats, on-premise laundry facilities (such as healthcare and hospitality), and the growing commercial-in-home segment. This steady demand, driven by the non-cyclical nature of laundry needs and regular replacement cycles, provides a stable foundation for revenue growth.
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Share Issuance
- Alliance Laundry (ALH) began trading on the New York Stock Exchange on October 9, 2025.
- The Initial Public Offering (IPO) priced at $22 per share, raising $826.3 million.
- As of March 6, 2026, Alliance Laundry had 197,944,735 shares of common stock outstanding.
Inbound Investments
- BDT Capital Partners will retain approximately 76% voting control of Alliance Laundry post-IPO.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for 2025 were approximately $53.7 million.
- Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be around $60 million.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes investments in capacity expansion, automation, new product development, and expanded testing capabilities in facilities located in Thailand and the Czech Republic.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to ALH.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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| 03272026 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 40.18 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.9 |
| Rev LTM | 2,153 |
| Op Inc LTM | 229 |
| FCF LTM | 115 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 114 |
| CFO LTM | 263 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 277 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.9 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | 20.2 |
| P/E | 35.1 |
| P/CFO | 14.8 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -33.2% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/12/2026 | -11.8% | -7.5% | |
| 11/13/2025 | -4.9% | -12.5% | -19.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | -8.3% | -10.0% | -19.4% |
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | -11.8% | -12.5% | -19.4% |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | Higher New | |||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Growth | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | Higher New | |||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 0.03 | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Interest Expense | 85.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Diluted Share Count | 205.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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