Tearsheet

LanzaTech Global (LNZA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.39 | Market Cap: $31.4 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

LanzaTech Global (LNZA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.39
Market Cap: $31.4 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -189%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -147%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -123 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -304%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -73%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -40%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -48%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Carbon Capture & Storage, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -219%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -227%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23021%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 8862%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -189%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -73%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Carbon Capture & Storage, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -147%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -123 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -304%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -40%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -48%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -219%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -227%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23021%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 8862%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LNZA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period of 8/31/2025 to today (December 4, 2025) is in the future. As an AI, I do not have access to real-time future events or stock market performance data. However, based on the most recent available information for LanzaTech Global (LNZA) up to November 2024, significant stock movements have been observed due to various financial and operational factors. Here are potential key points that *could* lead to a substantial stock price decrease for a company like LanzaTech Global, reflecting the nature of challenges a growth-oriented company in an emerging sector might face:

1. Worsening Financial Performance: A significant decline in revenue and widening net losses, as seen in LanzaTech's Q3 2024 results, where revenue decreased by 49.5% year-over-year to $9.9 million from $19.6 million in Q3 2023, and net loss widened to $57.4 million from $25.3 million. This trend, coupled with an increased Adjusted EBITDA loss, can signal near-term financial pressures and negatively impact investor confidence.

2. Project Delays and Completion of Engineering Contracts: Delays in significant biorefining projects and the completion of existing engineering and other services contracts can lead to a decrease in revenue, as experienced by LanzaTech Global in Q4 2024 and full-year 2024. The company reported a decline in Q4 2024 revenue to $12 million from $20.5 million in Q4 2023, and full-year revenue of $49.6 million compared to $62.6 million the previous year, partly due to these factors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LNZA Return--3%-50%-73%-90%-99%
Peers Return59%-9%23%13%46%18%244%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LNZA Win Rate-33%67%42%25%40% 
Peers Win Rate38%37%40%42%42%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LNZA Max Drawdown---1%-72%-83%-100% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-27%-22%-15%-5%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, YDDL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLNZAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven271.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven816 days464 days

Compare to CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, YDDL


In The Past

LanzaTech Global's stock fell -73.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/2/2023. A -73.1% loss requires a 271.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About LanzaTech Global (LNZA)

Better Bets than LanzaTech Global (LNZA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LNZA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for LanzaTech Global

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LNZACWSTGEOCECOFTEKYDDLMedian
NameLanzaTec.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechOne and . 
Mkt Price14.4795.6817.1054.501.835.2515.79
Mkt Cap0.06.12.41.90.1-1.9
Rev LTM411,7952,53171825-718
Op Inc LTM-1239327948-4-48
FCF LTM-927826-173-3
FCF 3Y Avg-977414713-0-13
CFO LTM-89343208-23-3
CFO 3Y Avg-90271257250-25

Growth & Margins

LNZACWSTGEOCECOFTEKYDDLMedian
NameLanzaTec.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechOne and . 
Rev Chg LTM-40.1%20.5%4.4%29.9%-5.7%-4.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-19.6%3.1%21.9%-2.0%-11.3%
Rev Chg Q-47.7%17.9%13.1%45.8%-4.6%-13.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-17.0%4.3%3.2%9.5%-1.4%-3.2%
Op Mgn LTM-304.1%5.2%11.0%6.7%-17.7%-5.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-228.2%6.9%13.3%7.0%-12.7%-6.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-71.0%-0.5%-0.5%-0.3%0.5%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-219.4%19.1%8.2%-0.3%11.9%-8.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-193.1%18.2%10.5%4.8%0.7%-4.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-226.6%4.4%1.0%-2.4%10.7%-1.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-207.5%5.2%6.0%2.8%-0.7%-2.8%

Valuation

LNZACWSTGEOCECOFTEKYDDLMedian
NameLanzaTec.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechOne and . 
Mkt Cap0.06.12.41.90.1-1.9
P/S0.03.41.12.53.8-2.5
P/EBIT-0.073.15.918.6-60.7-5.9
P/E-0.0394.811.934.9-31.0-11.9
P/CFO-0.017.613.6-796.831.8-13.6
Total Yield-23,016.3%0.3%8.4%2.9%-3.2%-0.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6,255.2%1.4%11.3%2.5%-2.4%-1.4%
D/E61.30.20.60.10.0-0.2
Net D/E-1.90.20.50.1-0.3-0.1

Returns

LNZACWSTGEOCECOFTEKYDDLMedian
NameLanzaTec.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechOne and . 
1M Rtn-30.9%7.8%1.7%4.8%-30.7%22.0%3.3%
3M Rtn-27.5%0.1%-18.7%17.4%-36.0%--18.7%
6M Rtn-37.4%-18.3%-36.2%104.0%9.6%--18.3%
12M Rtn-86.7%-16.0%-36.5%68.9%77.7%--16.0%
3Y Rtn-98.5%10.4%49.6%346.7%27.1%-27.1%
1M Excs Rtn-30.9%7.9%1.8%4.8%-30.6%22.0%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn-28.6%-5.2%-24.5%6.4%-42.0%--24.5%
6M Excs Rtn-52.2%-33.0%-50.9%89.2%-5.1%--33.0%
12M Excs Rtn-101.9%-29.0%-53.6%56.5%57.5%--29.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-171.3%-60.1%-5.6%272.5%-30.9%--30.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity24,099
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202526.5%
Average Daily Volume12,080
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.99
Basic Shares Quantity2,181,217
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025819202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025519202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024415202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022329202310-K 12/31/2022
63020221204202310-Q/A 6/30/2022
33120221204202310-Q/A 3/31/2022
123120212132023S-1 12/31/2021