Lionsgate Studios (LION)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.435 | Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment
Lionsgate Studios (LION)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.435Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Movies & Entertainment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -77% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -141% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 185% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming, and Gaming Content & Platforms. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -21% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% | ||
| Key risksLION key risks include [1] significant financial challenges, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -77% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming, and Gaming Content & Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -141% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 185% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -21% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
| Key risksLION key risks include [1] significant financial challenges, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LION Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the 31.6% stock movement of Lionsgate Studios (LION) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Positive Analyst Coverage and Raised Price Targets: Throughout the period, Lionsgate Studios received favorable analyst attention, with Baird initiating "outperform" coverage on September 5, 2025, and Benchmark boosting its price objective from $8.50 to $11.00 while reiterating a "buy" rating on November 24, 2025.
2. Successful "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Box Office Performance and Digital Release: The film achieved a strong worldwide box office of $75.5 million in its opening weekend, as reported on November 17, 2025. This was followed by its Premium Digital release on December 16, 2025, indicating robust content performance and potential for future revenue.
3.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LION Return | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -73% | -73% |
| Peers Return | 17% | 0% | -40% | 24% | 31% | 42% | 61% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LION Win Rate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 45% | 38% | 53% | 58% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LION Max Drawdown | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -82% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -13% | -49% | -3% | -14% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WBD, NFLX, DIS, CMCSA, FOXA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LION | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -94.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1610.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,721 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to NFLX, ANGX, DCR, INHI, PSKY
In The Past
Lionsgate Studios's stock fell -19.3% during the 2018 Correction from a high on 2/25/2019. A -19.3% loss requires a 24.0% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Lionsgate Studios Earnings Notes | ||
| LION Dip Buy Analysis |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LION. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lionsgate Studios
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 50.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 91.4 |
| Rev LTM | 40,621 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,943 |
| FCF LTM | 6,550 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,256 |
| CFO LTM | 7,402 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,706 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 91.4 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 14.9 |
| P/CFO | 9.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 83.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 8.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5302025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312023 | 1052024 | S-4 3/31/2023 |
External Quote Links
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| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |