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Lionsgate Studios (LION)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.18 | Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Lionsgate Studios (LION)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.18
Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -77%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -150%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 185%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming, and Gaming Content & Platforms.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -21%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -77%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming, and Gaming Content & Platforms.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -150%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 185%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -21%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LION Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Increases: Lionsgate Studios received favorable attention from analysts during this period, with several firms maintaining or initiating "Buy" or "Outperform" ratings. For example, Benchmark raised its price target to $11.00 from $8.50 in late November 2025, while Barrington Research maintained an "Outperform" rating with a target of $8.50 in early November 2025. The consensus among analysts suggested a potential upside for the stock.

2. Strong Performance of Key Franchises and Trailer Launches: In November 2025, Lionsgate achieved its two largest 24-hour trailer launches in the studio's history with "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" and "Michael." The film "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" also opened to strong global box office results, indicating robust performance from its intellectual property and anticipation for upcoming content.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LION Return0%0%0%0%0%-76%-76%
Peers Return47%1%-25%22%15%6%64%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LION Win Rate0%0%0%0%0%30% 
Peers Win Rate33%21%21%27%29%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LION Max Drawdown0%0%0%0%0%-82% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-11%-34%-5%-12%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFLX, ANGX, DCR, INHI, PSKY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLIONS&P 500
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-94.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1610.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1721 days1480 days

Compare to NFLX, ANGX, DCR, INHI, PSKY


In The Past

Lionsgate Studios's stock fell -19.3% during the 2018 Correction from a high on 2/25/2019. A -19.3% loss requires a 24.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Lionsgate Studios (LION)

Better Bets than Lionsgate Studios (LION)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1LION Dip Buy Analysis 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LION. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lionsgate Studios

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LIONNFLXANGXDCRINHIPSKYMedian
NameLionsgat.Netflix Angel St.DCR Tech Unitrend.Paramoun. 
Mkt Price7.18103.964.48--14.6710.93
Mkt Cap2.1441.3----221.7
Rev LTM2,78443,379186--28,75615,770
Op Inc LTM18512,643-101--2,4101,298
FCF LTM-128,967-60--507247
FCF 3Y Avg-7,256---983,677
CFO LTM-19,575-56--772386
CFO 3Y Avg-7,706---3984,052

Growth & Margins

LIONNFLXANGXDCRINHIPSKYMedian
NameLionsgat.Netflix Angel St.DCR Tech Unitrend.Paramoun. 
Rev Chg LTM4.6%15.4%-10.6%---1.8%1.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.4%----1.1%5.2%
Rev Chg Q-21.3%17.2%431.0%--0.5%8.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.4%4.0%61.8%--0.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM6.7%29.1%-54.0%--8.4%7.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-24.4%---4.3%14.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.9%-0.4%34.9%---0.1%1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-0.0%22.1%-29.9%--2.7%1.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-20.2%---1.4%10.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.4%20.7%-32.3%--1.8%0.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.0%---0.4%9.7%

Valuation

LIONNFLXANGXDCRINHIPSKYMedian
NameLionsgat.Netflix Angel St.DCR Tech Unitrend.Paramoun. 
Mkt Cap2.1441.3----221.7
P/S0.7117.3----59.0
P/EBIT37.2396.8----217.0
P/E-10.3487.8----238.8
P/CFO-2,217.2531.5-----842.8
Total Yield-9.7%0.2%-----4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.3%----0.3%
D/E1.90.0----1.0
Net D/E1.80.0----0.9

Returns

LIONNFLXANGXDCRINHIPSKYMedian
NameLionsgat.Netflix Angel St.DCR Tech Unitrend.Paramoun. 
1M Rtn12.5%-5.5%-32.0%---4.9%-5.2%
3M Rtn14.0%-15.2%----2.3%-2.3%
6M Rtn4.1%-16.1%-----6.0%
12M Rtn-76.8%15.2%-----30.8%
3Y Rtn-76.8%224.5%----73.8%
1M Excs Rtn12.6%-5.5%-32.0%---4.8%-5.1%
3M Excs Rtn10.5%-22.7%----5.6%-5.6%
6M Excs Rtn-10.7%-30.9%-----20.8%
12M Excs Rtn-90.4%3.7%-----43.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-149.6%196.9%----23.7%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,798,620
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.3%
Average Daily Volume2,192,927
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.84
Basic Shares Quantity289,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025530202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
33120231052024S-4 3/31/2023