Americold Realty Trust (COLD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.13 | Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Industrial REITs
Americold Realty Trust (COLD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.13Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Industrial REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, Dividend Yield is 7.4% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 122% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 48x | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.6% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Cold Storage Facilities, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, Dividend Yield is 7.4% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Cold Storage Facilities, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 122% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 48x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.6% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
COLD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Downward Revision of 2025 Guidance
Americold Realty Trust significantly lowered its full-year 2025 guidance for Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) during its second-quarter 2025 earnings release on August 7, 2025. This revision was attributed to a challenging demand environment within the cold storage sector and anticipated occupancy pressures, leading to an immediate retreat in the stock price.
2. Weak Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Performance
The company reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 6, 2025, which showed a miss on earnings per share (EPS) expectations. This disappointing earnings report contributed to a negative reaction in the stock market, causing Americold's shares to fall further and approach new 52-week lows.
3. Industry-Wide Oversupply and Weakening Pricing Power
By October 2025, Americold's valuation faced intense scrutiny due to an oversupply of capacity within the cold storage sector, which resulted in weakening pricing power and increased operating costs. This confluence of factors created a challenging operating environment that significantly impacted investor sentiment.
4. Numerous Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions
Throughout the period from late August to November 2025, several financial analysts downgraded Americold Realty Trust's stock ratings and reduced their price targets. These adjustments reflected a deteriorating outlook for the company's performance, as analysts cited concerns over demand headwinds and occupancy rates.
5. Persistent Macroeconomic Headwinds and Occupancy Declines
Americold continued to face persistent macroeconomic headwinds that negatively affected demand for cold storage services, leading to declines in both physical and economic occupancy rates across its warehouse portfolio. This challenging demand environment was a consistent theme impacting the company's financial results and stock valuation.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COLD Return | 9% | -10% | -11% | 10% | -27% | -46% | -62% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 55% | -31% | 10% | -17% | 10% | 18% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COLD Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 42% | 58% | 17% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 37% | 50% | 43% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COLD Max Drawdown | -31% | -23% | -31% | -12% | -29% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -7% | -38% | -19% | -21% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PLD, AMT, CCI, REXR, EGP. See COLD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COLD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 128 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -17.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 226 days | 120 days |
Compare to PLD, AMT, CCI, REXR, EGP
In The Past
Americold Realty Trust's stock fell -45.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/20/2021. A -45.2% loss requires a 82.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COLD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Americold Realty Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 108.76 |
| Mkt Cap | 24.1 |
| Rev LTM | 4,515 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,296 |
| FCF LTM | 1,156 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,191 |
| CFO LTM | 1,805 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,750 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 39.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 38.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 52.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 51.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 32.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 24.1 |
| P/S | 9.1 |
| P/EBIT | 22.1 |
| P/E | 29.5 |
| P/CFO | 17.4 |
| Total Yield | 5.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -14.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -83.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Chappelle George F. Jr. | Chief Executive Officer | 5142025 | Buy | 17.99 | 110,000 | 1,978,570 | 1,978,570 | Form |
| 1 | Wells Jay | EVP & CFO | 5132025 | Buy | 17.91 | 10,000 | 179,120 | 179,120 | Form |
| 2 | Harris Robert E. | SVP & Chief Accounting Oficer | 12062024 | Sell | 22.64 | 775 | 17,546 | 65,611 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |