Tearsheet

Lincoln Electric (LECO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $240.65 | Market Cap: $13.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Lincoln Electric (LECO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $240.65
Market Cap: $13.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -4.6%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -4.6%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LECO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The provided time period from 8/31/2025 to today (December 4, 2025) is in the future. Therefore, specific details and key points for why Lincoln Electric (LECO) stock moved by -0.4% during this future period cannot be provided. However, information regarding recent performance and analyst outlook is available. Lincoln Electric (LECO) recently reported strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with earnings per share and revenue exceeding analyst expectations. Recent market data from late November/early December 2025 shows a slight monthly fall of -0.44% for LECO, following a rise of 3.35% in the previous week. Over the last year, the stock has shown an 8.36% increase. Analyst ratings for LECO are generally positive, with an average "Buy" rating and a 12-month stock price target of $244.0, representing a potential increase of 1.35% from a recent price. Some analysts have even higher price targets, up to $285.00. The company is expected to release its next earnings report on February 12, 2026. Lincoln Electric has a history of increasing its dividend, with 30 consecutive years of dividend growth, and its dividend payout ratio is considered sustainable. The company's Q3 2025 results highlighted significant growth in automation sales, positioning it to exceed its $1 billion automation sales target by 2025. This was coupled with strong cash flow generation and an increase in adjusted operating income margins.

1. LECO's Q3 2025 Financial Performance Exceeded Expectations: Lincoln Electric reported strong third-quarter 2025 earnings with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.47, surpassing analyst estimates of $2.39 per share, and revenue of $1.06 billion, also exceeding forecasts.

2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets: The consensus among analysts is a "Buy" rating for LECO stock, with an average 12-month price target of $244.00, indicating a potential upside from recent prices.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LECO Return23%22%5%53%-13%28%170%
Peers Return5%14%-3%9%5%5%40%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LECO Win Rate67%75%42%67%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%61%36%50%50%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LECO Max Drawdown-38%-3%-14%0%-20%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-4%-23%-5%-6%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ITW, KMB, DCI, ADVEN, BENN. See LECO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLECOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-21.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven50 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-38.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven158 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven661 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven225.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1059 days1480 days

Compare to ITW, KMB, DCI, ADVEN, BENN


In The Past

Lincoln Electric's stock fell -21.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/20/2023. A -21.7% loss requires a 27.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lincoln Electric (LECO)

Better Bets than Lincoln Electric (LECO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LECO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lincoln Electric

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LECOITWKMBDCIADVENBENNMedian
NameLincoln .Illinois.Kimberly.DonaldsonAdvEn Bend Nov. 
Mkt Price240.96250.04106.1387.60--173.55
Mkt Cap13.372.735.210.2--24.3
Rev LTM4,17615,88318,8833,691--10,030
Op Inc LTM7284,1623,160557--1,944
FCF LTM5462,8452,102340--1,324
FCF 3Y Avg5442,8112,456391--1,500
CFO LTM6623,2772,872419--1,767
CFO 3Y Avg6483,2653,221485--1,934

Growth & Margins

LECOITWKMBDCIADVENBENNMedian
NameLincoln .Illinois.Kimberly.DonaldsonAdvEn Bend Nov. 
Rev Chg LTM3.2%-0.4%-3.1%2.9%--1.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.5%0.5%-2.1%3.7%--2.1%
Rev Chg Q7.9%2.3%-1.6%4.8%--3.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%0.6%-0.4%1.2%--0.9%
Op Mgn LTM17.4%26.2%16.7%15.1%--17.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.0%25.9%15.2%14.8%--16.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.2%0.3%-0.0%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM15.9%20.6%15.2%11.3%--15.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.8%20.4%16.5%13.7%--16.1%
FCF/Rev LTM13.1%17.9%11.1%9.2%--12.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.3%17.6%12.5%11.0%--12.9%

Valuation

LECOITWKMBDCIADVENBENNMedian
NameLincoln .Illinois.Kimberly.DonaldsonAdvEn Bend Nov. 
Mkt Cap13.372.735.210.2--24.3
P/S3.14.82.22.2--2.7
P/EBIT18.118.013.615.7--16.8
P/E24.825.117.022.0--23.4
P/CFO19.623.114.419.3--19.5
Total Yield5.3%6.3%9.9%6.2%--6.2%
Dividend Yield1.3%2.3%4.0%1.6%--2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.8%3.8%5.6%4.8%--4.8%
D/E0.10.10.20.1--0.1
Net D/E0.10.10.20.1--0.1

Returns

LECOITWKMBDCIADVENBENNMedian
NameLincoln .Illinois.Kimberly.DonaldsonAdvEn Bend Nov. 
1M Rtn3.9%2.8%3.8%3.7%--3.7%
3M Rtn0.4%-3.7%-16.3%10.0%---1.7%
6M Rtn24.2%2.7%-21.9%27.1%--13.4%
12M Rtn14.4%-7.2%-19.5%22.5%--3.6%
3Y Rtn69.8%16.8%-14.1%50.5%--33.6%
1M Excs Rtn4.0%2.9%3.8%3.7%--3.8%
3M Excs Rtn-6.3%-10.6%-22.4%3.3%---8.5%
6M Excs Rtn9.5%-12.0%-36.6%12.3%---1.3%
12M Excs Rtn-1.6%-21.2%-34.5%0.5%---11.4%
3Y Excs Rtn0.1%-53.9%-83.9%-19.1%---36.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Americas Welding2,7832,4111,8241,5101,816
International Welding1,072986948787854
The Harris Products Group507529462359333
Corporate/Eliminations-170-165   
Total4,1923,7613,2342,6553,003


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Americas Welding2,3662,1231,5211,4231,490
International Welding1,046995938807832
The Harris Products Group340362331226204
Corporate/Eliminations-375-299-198-142-155
Total3,3773,1812,5922,3142,371


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity679,877
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-20.4%
Average Daily Volume361,040
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.88
Basic Shares Quantity55,097,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021