Lincoln Electric (LECO)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $243.04 | Market Cap: $13.4 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Lincoln Electric (LECO)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $243.04Market Cap: $13.4 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.0%, Dist 3Y High is -3.7% | Key risksLECO key risks include [1] its reliance on cyclical industrial demand, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.0%, Dist 3Y High is -3.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29% |
| Key risksLECO key risks include [1] its reliance on cyclical industrial demand, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LECO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining Lincoln Electric (LECO) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025:
1. Lincoln Electric reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results.
The company announced on October 30, 2025, that its diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.21, and adjusted EPS of $2.47, surpassed analyst consensus estimates of $2.39. Revenue for the quarter reached $1.06 billion, beating analyst estimates of $1.05 billion and marking a 7.9% increase in sales year-over-year. This solid performance, including increased net income and operating income, contributed to a pre-market stock increase of approximately 2.04% on the day of the announcement.
2. The company increased its quarterly dividend.
On October 15, 2025, Lincoln Electric announced a 5.3% increase in its quarterly dividend, raising it to $0.79 per share. This represents an annualized dividend of $3.16 and a dividend yield of approximately 1.3%. The increased dividend payout is generally viewed favorably by investors, signaling financial health and a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LECO Return | 23% | 22% | 5% | 53% | -13% | 31% | 177% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LECO Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LECO Max Drawdown | -38% | -3% | -14% | 0% | -20% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ITW, KMB, DCI, ADVEN, BENN. See LECO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LECO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -38.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 158 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 661 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -69.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 225.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,059 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ITW, KMB, DCI, ADVEN, BENN
In The Past
Lincoln Electric's stock fell -21.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/20/2023. A -21.7% loss requires a 27.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LECO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lincoln Electric
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 172.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 23.4 |
| Rev LTM | 10,030 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,944 |
| FCF LTM | 1,324 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,500 |
| CFO LTM | 1,767 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,934 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 23.4 |
| P/S | 3.0 |
| P/EBIT | 18.0 |
| P/E | 24.8 |
| P/CFO | 21.2 |
| Total Yield | 5.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 40.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -30.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americas Welding | 2,783 | 2,411 | 1,824 | 1,510 | 1,816 |
| International Welding | 1,072 | 986 | 948 | 787 | 854 |
| The Harris Products Group | 507 | 529 | 462 | 359 | 333 |
| Corporate/Eliminations | -170 | -165 | |||
| Total | 4,192 | 3,761 | 3,234 | 2,655 | 3,003 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americas Welding | 2,366 | 2,123 | 1,521 | 1,423 | 1,490 |
| International Welding | 1,046 | 995 | 938 | 807 | 832 |
| The Harris Products Group | 340 | 362 | 331 | 226 | 204 |
| Corporate/Eliminations | -375 | -299 | -198 | -142 | -155 |
| Total | 3,377 | 3,181 | 2,592 | 2,314 | 2,371 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 0.7% | -2.6% | 1.0% |
| 7/31/2025 | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% |
| 4/30/2025 | -4.2% | -1.9% | 6.2% |
| 2/13/2025 | 10.2% | 9.1% | -1.8% |
| 10/31/2024 | -2.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% |
| 7/31/2024 | -2.9% | -9.8% | -8.1% |
| 4/25/2024 | -4.1% | -7.7% | -13.5% |
| 2/15/2024 | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 15 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -2.6% | -6.7% |
| Max Positive | 10.2% | 10.7% | 17.2% |
| Max Negative | -7.3% | -9.8% | -19.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |