Lincoln Electric (LECO)
Market Price (6/17/2026): $273.66 | Market Cap: $15.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Lincoln Electric (LECO)
Market Price (6/17/2026): $273.66Market Cap: $15.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -25% | Key risksLECO key risks include [1] its reliance on cyclical industrial demand, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -25% |
| Key risksLECO key risks include [1] its reliance on cyclical industrial demand, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Lincoln Electric (LECO) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Macroeconomic Headwinds from Geopolitical Conflict and Inflation.
The onset of the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran on February 28, 2026, injected significant volatility into energy markets, causing oil prices to surge. This conflict exacerbated existing inflation concerns, leading to an end of expectations for any Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2026 and driving bond yields upward. The broader equity markets, including the S&P 500, consequently experienced a decline of 4.3% in fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026).
2. Underlying Decline in Sales Volume Despite Overall Earnings Beat.
While Lincoln Electric reported strong fiscal Q1 2026 adjusted earnings per share of $2.50 and revenue of $1.121 billion, surpassing analyst estimates, this growth was predominantly driven by approximately 10% price increases and benefits from acquisitions. Crucially, consolidated sales volumes for the quarter experienced a decline of approximately 2.6%. This indicated a softening of industrial demand in specific end markets, diminishing the quality of the reported top-line growth.
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Lincoln Electric (LECO) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Macroeconomic Headwinds from Geopolitical Conflict and Inflation.
The onset of the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran on February 28, 2026, injected significant volatility into energy markets, causing oil prices to surge. This conflict exacerbated existing inflation concerns, leading to an end of expectations for any Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2026 and driving bond yields upward. The broader equity markets, including the S&P 500, consequently experienced a decline of 4.3% in fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026).
2. Underlying Decline in Sales Volume Despite Overall Earnings Beat.
While Lincoln Electric reported strong fiscal Q1 2026 adjusted earnings per share of $2.50 and revenue of $1.121 billion, surpassing analyst estimates, this growth was predominantly driven by approximately 10% price increases and benefits from acquisitions. Crucially, consolidated sales volumes for the quarter experienced a decline of approximately 2.6%. This indicated a softening of industrial demand in specific end markets, diminishing the quality of the reported top-line growth.
3. Significant Drop in Free Cash Flow.
In fiscal Q1 2026, Lincoln Electric's free cash flow sharply decreased to $63.0 million, compared to $158.7 million in the prior year period. This substantial reduction was accompanied by a decline in cash conversion from 130% to 46%, primarily due to increased working capital requirements, indicating higher operational costs or inventory accumulation pressures.
4. Tempered Analyst Sentiment and Downgrades.
Despite Lincoln Electric beating its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings estimates, analyst sentiment remained cautious, with some firms either maintaining conservative ratings or downgrading the stock. For instance, Jefferies downgraded Lincoln Electric to a "Hold" rating on March 31, 2026, and Morgan Stanley maintained an "Underweight" rating on March 30, 2026. This ambiguous sentiment among analysts, despite positive earnings news, contributed to a lack of renewed buying interest, allowing selling pressure to dominate after the stock reached its earlier highs in February 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.4% change in LECO stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -7.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 286.12 | 273.54 | -4.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,233 | 4,350 | 2.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.3% | 12.4% | 0.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.2 | 27.9 | -7.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 55 | 55 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LECO | -4.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.7% | 61.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 1.8% | 80.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 15.0% change in LECO stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 237.88 | 273.54 | 15.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,176 | 4,350 | 4.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.6% | 12.4% | -1.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.0 | 27.9 | 11.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 55 | 55 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 15.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LECO | 15.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.4% | 53.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 17.8% | 73.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 43.2% change in LECO stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 191.04 | 273.54 | 43.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,032 | 4,350 | 7.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.4% | 12.4% | 8.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.2 | 27.9 | 19.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 55 | 2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 43.2% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LECO | 43.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.8% | 47.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 27.6% | 67.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 68.1% change in LECO stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 39.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 162.75 | 273.54 | 68.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,875 | 4,350 | 12.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.0 | 27.9 | 39.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 55 | 5.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 68.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LECO | 68.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 86.6% | 57.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 94.2% | 70.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LECO Return | 22% | 5% | 53% | -13% | 30% | 12% | 149% |
| Peers Return | 13% | -4% | 19% | 13% | 5% | 162% | 298% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 101% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LECO Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 42% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 44% | 27% | 35% | 42% | 42% | 37% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LECO Max Drawdown | -10% | -17% | -21% | -33% | -23% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -19% | -12% | -9% | -19% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ITW, KMB, EROC, HDRN, PH. See LECO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/16/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LECO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 86 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -19.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -11.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -13.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 15 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 74 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.8% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 309 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Lincoln Electric's stock fell -22.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 28.6% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | LECO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 86 days | 79 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 74 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.8% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 309 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -24.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.8% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 89 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -32.9% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.0% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 293 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -27.6% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.2% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 36 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.0% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 170.4% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 673 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Lincoln Electric's stock fell -22.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 28.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Lincoln Electric (LECO)
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO) is a global manufacturing company specializing in a comprehensive range of welding, cutting, and brazing products. Operating through its Americas Welding, International Welding, and The Harris Products Group segments, the company designs, develops, and sells essential equipment and consumables used across various industrial applications worldwide. It also has a presence in the retail market and manufactures specialized components for the HVAC sector.
The company's core product offerings include a wide array of arc welding power sources, plasma cutters, wire feeding systems, and advanced robotic welding packages complemented by integrated automation solutions. It also provides critical consumables such as electrodes, fluxes, and specialty welding, brazing, and soldering alloys. Beyond welding, Lincoln Electric manufactures computer numeric controlled (CNC) plasma and oxy-fuel cutting systems, along with regulators and torches. Additionally, through The Harris Products Group, it produces copper and aluminum headers and manifolds for the heating, ventilation, and air conditioning industry.
Lincoln Electric serves a diverse and essential customer base across critical industries globally. Its primary markets include general fabrication, energy and process, automotive and transportation, construction and infrastructure, heavy fabrication, shipbuilding, and maintenance and repair. The company employs a multi-channel distribution strategy, selling directly to end-users as well as through a robust network of industrial distributors, retailers, and agents.
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- Lincoln Electric is like the Keurig of industrial welding, selling both the specialized machines and the recurring consumable products needed to operate them.
- Lincoln Electric is akin to 3M for welding and industrial fabrication, providing a broad range of essential equipment, consumables, and solutions for a critical industrial process.
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- Welding Equipment: Products such as arc welding power sources, plasma cutters, wire feeding systems, robotic welding packages, and integrated automation systems for welding processes.
- Welding Consumables: Includes consumable electrodes, fluxes, and specialty welding consumables vital for the welding process.
- Cutting Systems: Offers computer numeric controlled plasma and oxy-fuel cutting systems, along with regulators and torches for various cutting applications.
- Brazing and Soldering Products: Provides consumables used in the brazing and soldering alloys market for joining metals.
- Fume Extraction Equipment: Systems designed to remove harmful fumes generated during welding operations.
- HVAC Components: Manufactures copper and aluminum headers, distributor assemblies, and manifolds primarily for the heating, ventilation, and air conditioning sector.
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- Industrial Distributors, Retailers, and Agents: These companies serve as intermediaries, purchasing Lincoln Electric's products for resale to a broad range of end-users.
- Companies in Diverse Industrial Sectors: This encompasses direct users of welding products across industries such as general fabrication, heavy fabrication, energy and process, automotive and transportation, construction and infrastructure, ship building, and maintenance and repair markets.
- Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) Manufacturers: These companies purchase specific copper and aluminum headers, distributor assemblies, and manifolds manufactured by Lincoln Electric.
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Steven B. Hedlund, President and Chief Executive Officer
Steven B. Hedlund was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Lincoln Electric in January 2024, and is set to become Chair of the Board in January 2025. He joined Lincoln Electric in 2008 as Vice President, Strategy and Business Development. Prior to his tenure at Lincoln Electric, he held various executive leadership roles at Fortune Brands, Inc., including Vice President of Growth and Innovation for Master Lock Company and Vice President of Strategic Planning and New Business Development for the Home and Hardware Group. He also served as a principal with the management consulting firm Booz Allen & Hamilton. Mr. Hedlund holds both a Bachelor of Arts and an MBA from Dartmouth College.
Gabriel Bruno, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Gabriel Bruno was promoted to Chief Financial Officer in April 2020, and also serves as Executive Vice President, Treasurer, and Principal Accounting Officer. He began his career at Lincoln Electric in 1995 and has held numerous positions of increasing responsibility within Finance and Information Technology. These roles include Corporate Controller, Director of Information Technology, Chief Information Officer (since 2012), and Chief Human Resources Officer (from 2016 to 2018). Before joining Lincoln Electric, Mr. Bruno was a manager in the audit practice of Price Waterhouse. He earned his accounting degree from John Carroll University.
Michele R. Kuhrt, Executive Vice President, Chief Transformation Officer
Michele R. Kuhrt was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Transformation Officer, effective April 8, 2024. She has over 26 years of experience with Lincoln Electric, having joined the company in 1997 as Director of Taxes. Her previous roles at the company include Executive Vice President, Chief Human Resources Officer, Executive Vice President, Chief Information Officer (since 2016), and Senior Vice President, Tax. Prior to joining Lincoln Electric, Ms. Kuhrt held leadership positions in Tax at Elsag Bailey Process Automation (a unit of ABB) and served as an international tax manager at PricewaterhouseCoopers. She is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) and holds a bachelor's and master's degree in accountancy from Case Western Reserve University.
Jennifer I. Ansberry, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
Jennifer I. Ansberry was elected Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary in 2017. She joined Lincoln Electric in 2004 and has held positions including Vice President, Deputy General Counsel, where she managed global mergers and acquisitions, securities law compliance, corporate governance, and led the environmental, health, and safety organization. Before joining Lincoln Electric, Ms. Ansberry was an associate at Thompson Hine LLP and Keating, Muething & Klekamp LLP. She holds a J.D. from the University of Cincinnati - College of Law and a B.B.A. in accounting from the University of Cincinnati.
Michael J. Whitehead, Senior Vice President and President, Americas Welding
Michael J. Whitehead currently serves as Senior Vice President and President, Americas Welding, with full profit and loss responsibility for the welding segment across North and South America. He also previously held the position of President, Automation/Cutting/Additive Services, under which the global automation business expanded significantly. Mr. Whitehead joined Lincoln Electric in 2005 as chief counsel, intellectual property, and has held various other roles including director of new product development in research and development, president of Lincoln Electric Canada (from 2015 to 2016), and Senior Vice President, Strategy & Business Development. He earned his undergraduate degree in electrical engineering from The Ohio State University and a Juris Doctor degree from the University of New Hampshire School of Law.
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The key risks to Lincoln Electric's business operations include its vulnerability to economic cyclicality, intense competition coupled with rapid technological advancements in the welding industry, and challenges in generating organic revenue growth.
- Vulnerability to Economic Cyclicality and Industrial Downturns: Lincoln Electric's financial performance is highly sensitive to the broader economic climate and capital investment cycles within the industrial sectors it serves, such as construction, automotive, and energy. Economic downturns or a slowdown in industrial activity and capital expenditures by its large customers can directly lead to decreased demand for its welding equipment, consumables, and automation solutions, thereby negatively impacting revenue and profitability. The company has experienced past revenue drops during economic downturns, reflecting its sensitivity to these cycles.
- Intense Competition and Rapid Technological Advancements: The global welding and cutting industry is characterized by robust and intense competition from major global players and specialized innovators. Competitors differentiate themselves through product innovation, pricing strategies, brand loyalty, and extensive distribution networks. Furthermore, the industry is undergoing significant technological evolution, with increasing integration of automation, robotics, AI-driven welding systems, and digitalization. While Lincoln Electric invests in research and development and focuses on automation solutions, a failure to keep pace with these rapid technological advancements or to effectively compete with rivals offering advanced solutions could erode its market share and competitive advantage.
- Challenges in Organic Revenue Growth: Lincoln Electric has faced underwhelming organic revenue performance, with reported year-on-year declines over recent periods. This suggests potential underlying challenges in the core business's ability to generate natural growth through its existing products, pricing, or go-to-market strategies. A reliance on acquisitions to drive growth, as implied by this trend, can introduce additional risks such as high costs and integration challenges. This indicates a need for sustained innovation and strategic adjustments to stimulate growth from within its existing operations.
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Lincoln Electric (LECO) operates in several significant addressable markets globally:
- Welding Equipment Market: The global welding equipment market was valued at approximately USD 19.72 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach about USD 27.77 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5% from 2024 to 2030. Other estimates place the global market value at USD 28.4 billion in 2026, projected to reach USD 44.2 billion by 2033. Asia Pacific was the largest revenue-generating market for welding equipment in 2023.
- Welding Consumables Market: The global welding consumables market size was valued at USD 13.92 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 22.80 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 5.3%. Another report estimates the global market at USD 20.82 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 36.90 billion by 2035. Asia Pacific dominated this market in 2025.
- Robotic Welding and Welding Automation Market: The global robotic welding market was valued at USD 8.10 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 27.90 billion by 2034. Another estimate for the global welding robotics market indicates a value of USD 10.84 billion in 2024, expected to grow to USD 31.14 billion by 2034. The global welding automation robots market size was recorded at $8.17 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $17.34 billion by 2033. Asia Pacific dominated the global robotic welding market in 2025.
- Plasma Cutting Equipment Market: The global plasma cutting equipment market was valued at US$ 730.6 million in 2026 and is projected to reach US$ 974.5 million by 2033. Other estimates value the global plasma cutting machine market at USD 717.3 million in 2024, expected to reach USD 935.6 million by 2033. Asia-Pacific held the largest share of this market in 2023.
- Oxy-fuel Welding and Cutting Market (including regulators and torches): The global oxy-fuel welding and cutting market is anticipated to expand from USD 1.86 billion in 2024 to USD 2.84 billion by 2034. The global oxy-fuel torches market size was valued at USD 2.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 3.9 billion by 2032. Asia-Pacific is a dominant region in this market.
- Brazing and Soldering Alloys Market: The global braze alloys market size was valued at approximately USD 2.28 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to USD 3.46 billion by 2031. Another source indicates a market size of USD 3.81 billion in 2024, poised to grow to USD 8.21 billion by 2033. Asia Pacific accounted for approximately 38.23% of the global market share in 2023.
- HVAC Components Market (including copper and aluminum headers, distributors, and manifolds): The global HVAC components market size was recorded at $47.34 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach $86.18 billion by 2033. More broadly, the global HVAC system market size is estimated at USD 233.33 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach around USD 403.06 billion by 2034. Asia Pacific is the largest market for HVAC components, with China commanding approximately 14.5% of the global market in 2025.
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For Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO), several key drivers are expected to contribute to future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:
- Strategic Acquisitions: Lincoln Electric has demonstrated an active strategy of acquiring companies to enhance its market position and expand capabilities. Recent acquisitions, such as Vanair, Inrotech, and RedViking in 2024, and the anticipated positive impact from the Alloy Steel acquisition in 2025, are expected to bolster future earnings and profit margins.
- Growth in Automation: Despite facing challenges in 2025 with lower capital spending and project deferrals, Lincoln Electric anticipates a rebound in its automation business. The company has reported strong order rates and a solid backlog in automation, which is expected to drive significant growth in 2026 and beyond. Automation sales are projected to grow at twice the rate of the core business, aiming for over $1 billion in automation revenue by 2025 (as a target set previously).
- Pricing Power and Organic Growth: Price increases have been a consistent contributor to revenue growth, helping to offset weaker volumes in various segments. Lincoln Electric has successfully utilized its pricing power and expects organic sales growth in 2026 to be approximately equally driven by both volume increases and price adjustments.
- "RISE" Strategic Framework: Lincoln Electric has launched its new "RISE" strategy for the 2026-2030 period, designed to accelerate growth through enhanced alignment, agility, and competitiveness. This strategic framework targets high-single to low-double-digit sales growth, aiming to exceed $6 billion by 2030, primarily through organic expansion and improved customer service.
- Expansion in Key End Markets and Geographies: The company foresees broadening growth opportunities in regions such as the Americas and Asia Pacific. Additionally, continued strong project activity in the energy sector and optimistic momentum in the Middle East are expected to contribute to revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- Lincoln Electric completed an $862.22 million share buyback program, initiated in 2020, by the third quarter of 2025.
- In the full year 2025, the company attributed $338.3 million to share repurchases as part of the $507 million returned to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.
- A $100 million share repurchase was highlighted in the company's latest Form 10-K in February 2026.
Share Issuance
- The share count for Lincoln Electric shrank by 8.1% over the last five years, indicating share repurchases rather than issuances.
Outbound Investments
- Lincoln Electric acquired the remaining 65% interest in Alloy Steel Australia in August 2025, expanding its presence in the maintenance and repair sector, particularly for mining.
- The company made several acquisitions in 2024, including Vanair (July), Inrotech (June), and RedViking (April).
- In October 2022, Lincoln Electric acquired Fori Automation for $427 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the full year 2025 amounted to $127.0 million.
- In the last 12 months leading up to early 2026, capital expenditures were approximately $126.97 million.
- Capital expenditures are focused on growth investments, including automation and technology, to support the company's strategic objectives.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 185.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 55.6 |
| Rev LTM | 16,221 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,473 |
| FCF LTM | 1,837 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,564 |
| CFO LTM | 3,157 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,254 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 7.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 55.6 |
| P/S | 4.1 |
| P/Op Inc | 18.9 |
| P/EBIT | 18.9 |
| P/E | 26.2 |
| P/CFO | 25.1 |
| Total Yield | 5.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 23.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 30.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -40.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americas Welding | 2,852 | 2,701 | 2,783 | 2,411 | 1,824 |
| International Welding | 961 | 970 | 1,072 | 986 | 948 |
| The Harris Products Group | 594 | 522 | 507 | 529 | 462 |
| Elimination of inter-segment sales | -174 | -184 | -170 | -165 | |
| Total | 4,233 | 4,009 | 4,192 | 3,761 | 3,234 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americas Welding | 2,464 | 2,416 | 2,366 | 2,123 | 1,521 |
| International Welding | 1,244 | 1,050 | 1,046 | 995 | 938 |
| The Harris Products Group | 431 | 347 | 340 | 362 | 331 |
| Corporate assets | 41 | 21 | |||
| Last-in, first-out (LIFO) reserve not allocated to segments | -139 | -121 | |||
| Eliminations | -265 | -193 | |||
| Elimination of inter-segment sales | -375 | -299 | -198 | ||
| Total | 3,778 | 3,520 | 3,377 | 3,181 | 2,592 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $273.54 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 15.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/13/1995 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -8.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $261.29 | $251.65 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 4.7% | 8.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.4% | 27.3% |
| Downside Capture | 96.56 | 77.37 |
| Upside Capture | 75.98 | 92.09 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 59.1% | 48.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.08 | 1.64 | 1.36 | 1.24 | 1.08 | 1.09 |
| Up Beta | 2.46 | 2.28 | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.45 | 1.16 |
| Down Beta | 1.33 | 0.97 | 1.28 | 1.24 | 1.19 | 1.03 |
| Up Capture | 103% | 71% | 78% | 108% | 92% | 110% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 20 | 30 | 62 | 130 | 388 |
| Down Capture | 366% | 225% | 175% | 113% | 88% | 103% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 33 | 62 | 120 | 361 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LECO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LECO | 37.9% | 27.3% | 1.15 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 27.9% | 16.2% | 1.33 | 67.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 27.2% | 12.4% | 1.66 | 47.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 25.8% | 27.4% | 0.82 | 23.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 23.3% | 18.9% | 0.98 | -22.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.5% | 0.69 | 38.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -37.7% | 42.4% | -1.00 | 23.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LECO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LECO | 18.0% | 26.7% | 0.62 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.3% | 17.5% | 0.60 | 73.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.1% | 0.63 | 60.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.6% | 18.2% | 0.78 | 13.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 19.4% | 0.30 | 12.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.5% | 18.8% | 0.04 | 50.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.1% | 54.2% | 0.42 | 20.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LECO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LECO | 18.1% | 27.4% | 0.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.2% | 20.0% | 0.62 | 77.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 66.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.8% | 16.1% | 0.66 | 4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.2% | 18.0% | 0.27 | 22.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 53.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.7% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 13.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/30/2026 | 2.9% | 6.7% | 0.4% |
| 2/12/2026 | 1.9% | -0.8% | -11.0% |
| 10/30/2025 | 0.7% | -2.6% | 1.0% |
| 7/31/2025 | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% |
| 4/30/2025 | -4.2% | -1.9% | 6.2% |
| 2/13/2025 | 10.2% | 9.1% | -1.8% |
| 10/31/2024 | -2.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% |
| 7/31/2024 | -2.9% | -9.8% | -8.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 16 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -1.9% | -6.7% |
| Max Positive | 10.2% | 10.7% | 17.2% |
| Max Negative | -7.3% | -9.8% | -13.5% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/30/2026 | 2.9% | 6.7% | 0.4% |
| 2/12/2026 | 1.9% | -0.8% | -11.0% |
| 10/30/2025 | 0.7% | -2.6% | 1.0% |
| 7/31/2025 | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% |
| 4/30/2025 | -4.2% | -1.9% | 6.2% |
| 2/13/2025 | 10.2% | 9.1% | -1.8% |
| 10/31/2024 | -2.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% |
| 7/31/2024 | -2.9% | -9.8% | -8.1% |
| 4/25/2024 | -4.1% | -7.7% | -13.5% |
| 2/15/2024 | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
| 10/27/2023 | 2.7% | 7.4% | 17.2% |
| 7/27/2023 | -3.0% | -3.1% | -9.0% |
| 4/27/2023 | 5.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% |
| 2/21/2023 | -7.3% | -4.7% | -5.2% |
| 10/27/2022 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 7.7% |
| 7/28/2022 | 2.1% | 4.4% | 8.8% |
| 4/28/2022 | 5.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| 2/10/2022 | -2.5% | -1.7% | -3.5% |
| 10/28/2021 | -2.5% | -1.7% | -2.6% |
| 7/27/2021 | -1.0% | 0.1% | 0.8% |
| 4/27/2021 | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| 2/12/2021 | -0.5% | -0.8% | 8.8% |
| 10/27/2020 | -1.1% | 2.2% | 12.6% |
| 7/27/2020 | 2.4% | -1.2% | 6.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 16 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -1.9% | -6.7% |
| Max Positive | 10.2% | 10.7% | 17.2% |
| Max Negative | -7.3% | -9.8% | -13.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/21/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/21/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/18/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/28/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/27/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 04/27/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/19/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/27/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/27/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/27/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/27/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/30/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 07/26/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 5/5/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruno, Gabriel | EVP, CFO & TREASURER | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 286.29 | 17,473 | 5,002,272 | 8,598,308 | Form |
| 2 | Ansberry, Jennifer I | EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL & SECY | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 288.85 | 10,657 | 3,078,282 | 5,403,819 | Form |
| 3 | Whitehead, Michael J | SVP, PRESIDENT, AMERICAS WELD | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 233.23 | 1,000 | 233,229 | 2,140,342 | Form |
| 4 | Hedlund, Steven B | CHAIR, PRESIDENT & CEO | Direct | Sell | 9122025 | 243.36 | 12,387 | 3,014,514 | 13,595,609 | Form |
| 5 | Ansberry, Jennifer I | EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL & SECY | Direct | Sell | 8142025 | 242.18 | 3,000 | 726,548 | 4,643,369 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruno, Gabriel | EVP, CFO & TREASURER | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 286.29 | 17,473 | 5,002,272 | 8,598,308 | Form |
| 2 | Ansberry, Jennifer I | EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL & SECY | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 288.85 | 10,657 | 3,078,282 | 5,403,819 | Form |
| 3 | Whitehead, Michael J | SVP, PRESIDENT, AMERICAS WELD | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 233.23 | 1,000 | 233,229 | 2,140,342 | Form |
| 4 | Hedlund, Steven B | CHAIR, PRESIDENT & CEO | Direct | Sell | 9122025 | 243.36 | 12,387 | 3,014,514 | 13,595,609 | Form |
| 5 | Ansberry, Jennifer I | EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL & SECY | Direct | Sell | 8142025 | 242.18 | 3,000 | 726,548 | 4,643,369 | Form |
| 6 | Bruno, Gabriel | EVP, CFO & TREASURER | Direct | Sell | 8082025 | 242.42 | 7,305 | 1,770,877 | 7,254,897 | Form |
| 7 | Benny, Purushotam Patel | Direct | Sell | 8052025 | 244.00 | 1,113 | 271,572 | 1,859,768 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components Resources |
| Machine Design |
| Modern Machine Shop |
| Industrial Equipment News (IEN) |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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