Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 17%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Insurance. Themes include Digital Claims Management, Data-Driven Underwriting, and Personalized Risk Management.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 17%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Insurance. Themes include Digital Claims Management, Data-Driven Underwriting, and Personalized Risk Management.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KMPR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Kemper (KMPR) experienced a significant stock decline due to several key factors:

1. Kemper reported a net loss and missed analyst expectations for its third-quarter 2025 earnings. The company announced a net loss of $21.0 million, or $(0.34) per share, for the third quarter of 2025, falling considerably short of the average analyst estimate of $1.33 per share. This led to a 10.6% drop in the stock price immediately after the earnings release on November 5, 2025.

2. The Specialty Property & Casualty segment showed deteriorating underlying operating results. This segment's adjusted net operating income decreased significantly in the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. The underlying combined ratio worsened to 99.6% from 91.3% year-over-year, primarily driven by higher adverse prior year development on bodily injury coverages within commercial automobile insurance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KMPR Return1%-22%-14%2%39%-38%-41%
Peers Return-5%12%4%11%14%14%58%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KMPR Win Rate42%33%42%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate38%45%38%42%40%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KMPR Max Drawdown-27%-30%-28%-19%-0%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-8%-14%-9%-4%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SLF, L, GNW, HMN, XZO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKMPRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-53.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven112.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven134 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven121 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-84.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven540.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3123 days1480 days

Compare to SLF, L, GNW, HMN, XZO


In The Past

Kemper's stock fell -53.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/29/2021. A -53.0% loss requires a 112.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kemper (KMPR)

Better Bets than Kemper (KMPR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KMPR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kemper

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KMPRSLFLGNWHMNXZOMedian
NameKemper Sun Life.Loews Genworth.Horace M.Exzeo  
Mkt Price39.2357.82105.758.6844.6518.1441.94
Mkt Cap2.432.422.03.61.8-3.6
Rev LTM4,83736,20917,9857,0711,602-7,071
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM5532,0713,041228617-617
FCF 3Y Avg1623,4142,762479411-479
CFO LTM5852,2103,603228617-617
CFO 3Y Avg2063,5523,405479411-479

Growth & Margins

KMPRSLFLGNWHMNXZOMedian
NameKemper Sun Life.Loews Genworth.Horace M.Exzeo  
Rev Chg LTM4.5%-20.5%6.0%-2.4%4.0%-4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.8%88.9%9.2%-1.3%7.1%-7.1%
Rev Chg Q5.7%-19.4%4.6%-0.3%4.9%-4.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%-7.6%1.1%-0.1%1.2%-1.1%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM12.1%6.1%20.0%3.2%38.5%-12.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.4%9.5%20.6%6.6%26.8%-9.5%
FCF/Rev LTM11.4%5.7%16.9%3.2%38.5%-11.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.4%9.1%16.7%6.6%26.8%-9.1%

Valuation

KMPRSLFLGNWHMNXZOMedian
NameKemper Sun Life.Loews Genworth.Horace M.Exzeo  
Mkt Cap2.432.422.03.61.8-3.6
P/S0.70.91.20.51.2-0.9
P/EBIT9.47.08.85.67.8-7.8
P/E12.710.914.417.011.3-12.7
P/CFO5.415.25.814.13.0-5.8
Total Yield10.4%9.2%7.1%5.9%11.9%-9.2%
Dividend Yield2.5%0.0%0.1%0.0%3.0%-0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.5%10.7%16.3%19.1%26.4%-16.3%
D/E0.30.20.50.50.5-0.5
Net D/E0.1-0.60.1-1.90.1-0.1

Returns

KMPRSLFLGNWHMNXZOMedian
NameKemper Sun Life.Loews Genworth.Horace M.Exzeo  
1M Rtn-9.3%-4.2%6.4%2.7%0.9%-0.9%
3M Rtn-26.7%0.7%9.2%1.5%-2.6%-0.7%
6M Rtn-37.3%-8.8%20.0%25.1%5.5%-5.5%
12M Rtn-42.8%-1.6%23.3%13.6%12.3%-12.3%
3Y Rtn-26.2%39.7%85.2%68.9%31.3%-39.7%
1M Excs Rtn-9.2%-4.2%6.5%2.8%0.9%-0.9%
3M Excs Rtn-32.3%-4.2%3.1%-5.1%-9.6%--5.1%
6M Excs Rtn-52.1%-23.5%5.3%10.4%-9.2%--9.2%
12M Excs Rtn-57.3%-15.3%8.7%-2.3%-3.4%--3.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-95.2%-29.3%15.3%5.4%-40.8%--29.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Specialty Property & Casualty Insurance3,8074,1834,0763,4513,193
Life Insurance582782839848859
Non-Core Operations558640   
Other122059026
Change in Fair Value of Equity and Convertible Securities5-8011572139
Impairment Losses-1-26-11-20-14
Net Realized Investment Gains-194653842
Preferred Property & Casualty Insurance  704726794
Total4,9445,5245,7935,2065,039


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Specialty Property & Casualty Insurance6,1466,5355,9364,8974,435
Life Insurance4,8985,0086,0636,4575,848
Non-Core Operations1,0751,225   
Corporate and Other6245451,6871,2771,156
Preferred Property & Casualty Insurance  1,2301,7111,550
Total12,74313,31414,91614,34212,989


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,802,954
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202546.7%
Average Daily Volume1,448,960
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.93
Basic Shares Quantity61,477,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021210202210-K 12/31/2021