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Ardmore Shipping (ASC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.26 | Market Cap: $498.9 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Marine Transportation

Ardmore Shipping (ASC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.26
Market Cap: $498.9 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Marine Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Global Trade & Supply Chain Resilience. Themes include Sustainable Maritime Transport, and Maritime Energy Logistics.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Global Trade & Supply Chain Resilience. Themes include Sustainable Maritime Transport, and Maritime Energy Logistics.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ASC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Ardmore Shipping (ASC) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Ardmore Shipping reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.31, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.28, and revenue of $81.25 million, significantly exceeding the $48.38 million forecast.

2. The company expanded its fleet by taking delivery of three modern MR tankers in the third quarter of 2025, acquired for a total of $103.9 million, which are expected to enhance its long-term earnings potential and fuel efficiency.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASC Return-64%3%326%6%-8%2%60%
Peers Return-7%48%7%37%4%14%138%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASC Win Rate17%33%75%67%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate35%47%45%53%45%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASC Max Drawdown-70%-4%-6%-14%-16%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-2%-11%-6%-12%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GNK, PANL, CMDB, KEX, MATX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven231 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-70.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven233.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven643 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven290 days120 days

Compare to GNK, PANL, CMDB, KEX, MATX


In The Past

Ardmore Shipping's stock fell -40.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -40.6% loss requires a 68.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Ardmore Shipping (ASC)

Better Bets than Ardmore Shipping (ASC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can Ardmore Shipping Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ardmore Shipping

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASCGNKPANLCMDBKEXMATXMedian
NameArdmore .Genco Sh.Pangaea .Costamar.Kirby Matson  
Mkt Price12.2519.097.0416.61112.96114.1617.85
Mkt Cap0.50.80.5-6.33.60.8
Rev LTM309331580-3,2753,383580
Op Inc LTM49436-46749049
FCF LTM-43-23-4-261162-4
FCF 3Y Avg783326-21330778
CFO LTM784658-58454578
CFO 3Y Avg1459065-542606145

Growth & Margins

ASCGNKPANLCMDBKEXMATXMedian
NameArdmore .Genco Sh.Pangaea .Costamar.Kirby Matson  
Rev Chg LTM-26.8%-24.6%15.1%-2.4%1.9%1.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.6%-15.6%-9.1%-9.7%-8.9%-8.9%
Rev Chg Q-15.5%-19.5%19.2%-3.8%-8.5%-8.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.6%-5.5%4.5%-1.0%-2.4%-2.4%
Op Mgn LTM15.8%1.2%6.3%-14.3%14.5%14.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg29.5%10.6%9.3%-11.9%13.4%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.3%-5.1%-1.0%-0.2%-2.1%-2.1%
CFO/Rev LTM25.3%13.9%10.0%-17.8%16.1%16.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg36.4%22.4%12.0%-17.1%18.5%18.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-14.0%-7.0%-0.7%-8.0%4.8%-0.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.9%7.6%5.1%-6.7%9.4%7.6%

Valuation

ASCGNKPANLCMDBKEXMATXMedian
NameArdmore .Genco Sh.Pangaea .Costamar.Kirby Matson  
Mkt Cap0.50.80.5-6.33.60.8
P/S1.62.30.5-1.90.91.6
P/EBIT10.9207.28.8-14.85.710.9
P/E13.6-108.834.1-21.07.213.6
P/CFO6.216.85.2-10.95.76.2
Total Yield10.6%4.7%9.3%-4.8%14.2%9.3%
Dividend Yield3.2%5.6%6.4%-0.0%0.4%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.5%5.1%7.9%-3.6%8.1%7.9%
D/E0.20.20.4-0.20.20.2
Net D/E0.10.10.2-0.20.20.2

Returns

ASCGNKPANLCMDBKEXMATXMedian
NameArdmore .Genco Sh.Pangaea .Costamar.Kirby Matson  
1M Rtn-1.0%15.0%45.6%29.1%8.3%14.6%14.8%
3M Rtn5.5%11.9%37.4%62.7%27.4%12.2%19.8%
6M Rtn28.1%45.5%58.0%85.6%1.4%2.0%36.8%
12M Rtn9.4%28.6%26.6%--8.4%-24.0%9.4%
3Y Rtn-9.3%57.1%64.3%-58.9%84.0%58.9%
1M Excs Rtn-0.9%15.0%45.6%29.1%8.3%14.6%14.8%
3M Excs Rtn0.3%5.2%29.7%54.1%19.9%4.4%12.6%
6M Excs Rtn13.4%30.7%43.3%70.9%-13.3%-12.7%22.1%
12M Excs Rtn-0.7%13.0%20.6%--24.3%-38.1%-0.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-73.5%-13.4%-7.5%--3.8%16.7%-7.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Transportation of refined petroleum products and chemicals396   210
Other revenue 11  
Pooling arrangements 000 
Spot charters 437170206 
Time charters 82214 
Total396446192220210


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,228,504
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.6%
Average Daily Volume606,803
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.67
Basic Shares Quantity40,694,411
Short % of Basic Shares5.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110520256-K 9/30/2025
630202573020256-K 6/30/2025
331202550720256-K 3/31/2025
12312024307202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024110620246-K 9/30/2024
630202473120246-K 6/30/2024
331202450820246-K 3/31/2024
12312023315202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023110720236-K 9/30/2023
630202380120236-K 6/30/2023
331202350920236-K 3/31/2023
12312022324202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022110220226-K 9/30/2022
630202272720226-K 6/30/2022
331202250420226-K 3/31/2022
12312021311202220-F 12/31/2021