Ardmore Shipping (ASC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.26 | Market Cap: $498.9 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Marine Transportation
Ardmore Shipping (ASC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.26Market Cap: $498.9 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Marine Transportation
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Global Trade & Supply Chain Resilience. Themes include Sustainable Maritime Transport, and Maritime Energy Logistics. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Global Trade & Supply Chain Resilience. Themes include Sustainable Maritime Transport, and Maritime Energy Logistics. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ASC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for Ardmore Shipping (ASC) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Ardmore Shipping reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.31, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.28, and revenue of $81.25 million, significantly exceeding the $48.38 million forecast.
2. The company expanded its fleet by taking delivery of three modern MR tankers in the third quarter of 2025, acquired for a total of $103.9 million, which are expected to enhance its long-term earnings potential and fuel efficiency.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ASC Return | -64% | 3% | 326% | 6% | -8% | 2% | 60% |
| Peers Return | -7% | 48% | 7% | 37% | 4% | 14% | 138% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ASC Win Rate | 17% | 33% | 75% | 67% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 47% | 45% | 53% | 45% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ASC Max Drawdown | -70% | -4% | -6% | -14% | -16% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -40% | -2% | -11% | -6% | -12% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GNK, PANL, CMDB, KEX, MATX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ASC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -70.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 233.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 643 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -49.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 290 days | 120 days |
Compare to GNK, PANL, CMDB, KEX, MATX
In The Past
Ardmore Shipping's stock fell -40.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -40.6% loss requires a 68.3% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can Ardmore Shipping Stock Really Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ASC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ardmore Shipping
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 17.85 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| Rev LTM | 580 |
| Op Inc LTM | 49 |
| FCF LTM | -4 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 78 |
| CFO LTM | 78 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 145 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -8.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -2.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 10.9 |
| P/E | 13.6 |
| P/CFO | 6.2 |
| Total Yield | 9.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 14.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 19.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 36.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 58.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 14.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 22.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -7.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3072025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3242023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3112022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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