Tearsheet

James River (JRVR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.73 | Market Cap: $309.8 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Life & Health Insurance

James River (JRVR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.73
Market Cap: $309.8 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Life & Health Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -233%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.8%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, Cybersecurity, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include AI-Powered Specialty Underwriting, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23%
2   Key risks
JRVR key risks include [1] legacy liabilities and adverse reserve development from past high-risk underwriting, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -233%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, Cybersecurity, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include AI-Powered Specialty Underwriting, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.8%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23%
6 Key risks
JRVR key risks include [1] legacy liabilities and adverse reserve development from past high-risk underwriting, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JRVR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Significant Improvement in Q3 2025 Financial Results
James River Group Holdings reported a notable improvement in its third-quarter 2025 financial performance, achieving adjusted net operating income of $17.4 million, a substantial turnaround from a loss in the prior year's third quarter. The company also reported a combined ratio of 94.0% for the quarter, indicating strong underwriting profitability.

2. Increase in Tangible Common Equity Per Share
The company's tangible common equity per share increased to $8.24 by the third quarter of 2025, marking a 23.4% rise since December 31, 2024. This significant growth in equity suggests improved financial health and could bolster investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JRVR Return23%-39%-27%-55%-46%37%-82%
Peers Return18%18%16%9%36%6%154%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JRVR Win Rate58%58%17%42%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%53%55%50%63%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JRVR Max Drawdown-32%-48%-29%-59%-51%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-11%-12%-9%-1%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MKL, KNSL, WRB, RLI, AXS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJRVRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven552.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven118 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven363 days120 days

Compare to OSG, MFC, AFL, MET, PRU


In The Past

James River's stock fell -84.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2021. A -84.7% loss requires a 552.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About James River (JRVR)

Better Bets than James River (JRVR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JRVR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for James River

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JRVRMKLKNSLWRBRLIAXSMedian
NameJames Ri.Markel Kinsale .WR Berkl.RLI Axis Cap. 
Mkt Price6.722,151.09377.9969.1166.05107.0688.09
Mkt Cap0.327.08.827.56.18.38.5
Rev LTM64716,1461,80314,6451,8566,2864,071
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM102,3759613,330581-316771
FCF 3Y Avg-382,5358883,254478770829
CFO LTM152,5931,0153,398586-316800
CFO 3Y Avg-322,7709133,330483770842

Growth & Margins

JRVRMKLKNSLWRBRLIAXSMedian
NameJames Ri.Markel Kinsale .WR Berkl.RLI Axis Cap. 
Rev Chg LTM-19.1%-6.6%18.1%11.3%5.2%7.5%6.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.1%13.2%32.4%10.6%4.7%5.7%8.2%
Rev Chg Q-9.8%-2.5%19.0%12.0%8.4%11.4%9.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.8%-0.7%4.6%2.8%2.2%2.8%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM2.4%16.1%56.3%23.2%31.6%-5.0%19.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-2.7%17.1%62.3%25.2%28.2%13.6%21.2%
FCF/Rev LTM1.6%14.7%53.3%22.7%31.3%-5.0%18.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.5%15.7%60.8%24.7%27.8%13.6%20.2%

Valuation

JRVRMKLKNSLWRBRLIAXSMedian
NameJames Ri.Markel Kinsale .WR Berkl.RLI Axis Cap. 
Mkt Cap0.327.08.827.56.18.38.5
P/S0.41.55.52.13.21.21.8
P/EBIT-11.18.216.211.913.56.110.0
P/E-5.211.520.816.017.07.313.8
P/CFO16.59.39.79.010.2-23.59.5
Total Yield-18.6%8.7%5.0%7.9%9.9%15.6%8.3%
Dividend Yield0.8%0.0%0.2%1.7%4.0%2.0%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-28.1%12.0%8.8%14.5%7.4%13.4%10.4%
D/E1.30.20.00.10.00.20.1
Net D/E-2.3-0.3-0.2-0.8-0.3-0.6-0.4

Returns

JRVRMKLKNSLWRBRLIAXSMedian
NameJames Ri.Markel Kinsale .WR Berkl.RLI Axis Cap. 
1M Rtn21.7%5.3%-2.9%-8.9%8.2%6.3%5.8%
3M Rtn32.5%11.6%-12.2%-3.8%4.5%13.3%8.0%
6M Rtn15.1%10.3%-17.9%-2.6%-4.2%6.0%1.7%
12M Rtn47.8%25.8%-22.9%20.6%-17.5%17.9%19.2%
3Y Rtn-67.8%71.6%37.3%56.7%14.5%111.6%47.0%
1M Excs Rtn21.0%4.6%-3.7%-9.7%7.5%5.6%5.1%
3M Excs Rtn24.0%9.3%-12.9%-5.2%2.7%10.4%6.0%
6M Excs Rtn2.7%-2.1%-30.3%-15.0%-16.6%-6.4%-10.7%
12M Excs Rtn34.8%12.8%-36.4%6.8%-30.5%7.7%7.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-137.3%-2.0%-34.8%-16.1%-55.6%33.3%-25.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Excess and Surplus Lines690570509430658
Specialty Admitted Insurance12082846361
Corporate and Other210195
Casualty Reinsurance  179167184
Total812662773669907


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Excess and Surplus Lines3,0842,6281,9972,2082,482
Specialty Admitted Insurance1,3871,2781,062908786
Assets held for sale7831,146   
Corporate and Other6385324857
Casualty Reinsurance  1,8571,8991,699
Total5,3175,1374,9495,0635,024


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity869,825
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-12.1%
Average Daily Volume186,001
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.68
Basic Shares Quantity46,026,399
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/202515.1%3.9%15.3%
8/4/20251.3%2.4%1.1%
3/3/2025-28.4%-19.6%-14.9%
11/12/2024-25.1%-32.0%-31.1%
8/5/2024-4.9%-3.7%-8.1%
5/8/2024-6.5%-4.9%-11.1%
2/28/2024-3.7%-6.9%-9.9%
11/8/2023-7.0%-35.3%-37.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive875
# Negative131416
Median Positive4.6%4.8%4.1%
Median Negative-7.1%-10.6%-10.5%
Max Positive15.1%13.5%15.3%
Max Negative-28.4%-35.3%-37.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024304202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021