Tearsheet

Johnson Controls International (JCI)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $119.49 | Market Cap: $75.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products

Johnson Controls International (JCI)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $119.49
Market Cap: $75.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Building Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.6%, Dist 3Y High is -2.6%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 54x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  Key risks
JCI key risks include [1] operational disruption and margin pressure from its major internal overhaul and restructuring, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Electrification of Everything, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Electrification of Everything, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.6%, Dist 3Y High is -2.6%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 54x
5 Key risks
JCI key risks include [1] operational disruption and margin pressure from its major internal overhaul and restructuring, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JCI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 12.2% stock movement for Johnson Controls International (JCI) during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025:

1. Strong Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat and Optimistic Fiscal 2026 Guidance. Johnson Controls reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.26 for Q4 FY25, surpassing analysts' consensus estimate of $1.20, and sales increased 3% to $6.4 billion, exceeding the $6.33 billion consensus. The company also provided a positive outlook for fiscal year 2026, anticipating approximately 3% organic sales growth for Q1 and adjusted EPS around $4.55 per share for the full year, projecting over 20% growth. This strong financial performance and confident future projections likely fueled investor confidence.

2. Strategic Divestiture and Significant Share Repurchase Program. Johnson Controls completed the sale of its Residential and Light Commercial HVAC business for approximately $6.9 billion in August 2025. This strategic move was accompanied by significant capital allocation, including accelerated share repurchase transactions totaling $5.0 billion, with an initial delivery of 43.1 million shares received in August. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company repurchased shares worth approximately $5.99 billion. These actions demonstrate a commitment to streamlining operations and returning value to shareholders.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JCI Return18%77%-19%-8%40%51%229%
Peers Return24%15%-3%28%36%7%160%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JCI Win Rate75%92%42%42%58%75% 
Peers Win Rate58%68%42%50%62%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JCI Max Drawdown-42%-1%-42%-23%-9%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-5%-27%-11%-6%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HON, TT, EMR, CMI, LII. See JCI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJCIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven846 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven175 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven262 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-70.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven241.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,212 days1,480 days

Compare to HON, TT, EMR, CMI, LII


In The Past

Johnson Controls International's stock fell -43.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -43.1% loss requires a 75.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Johnson Controls International (JCI)

Better Bets than Johnson Controls International (JCI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JCI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Johnson Controls International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JCIHONTTEMRCMILIIMedian
NameJohnson .Honeywel.Trane Te.Emerson .Cummins Lennox I. 
Mkt Price119.53199.11389.84132.98506.72496.92294.48
Mkt Cap75.4126.586.874.869.917.475.1
Rev LTM23,59640,67021,05118,01533,5815,34522,324
Op Inc LTM2,8287,6923,9563,5313,7541,0623,642
FCF LTM9656,1642,5332,6672,2785342,405
FCF 3Y Avg1,4485,2122,4311,9511,5945431,773
CFO LTM1,3997,4852,9363,0983,5096843,017
CFO 3Y Avg1,9066,3362,7772,3562,7867222,566

Growth & Margins

JCIHONTTEMRCMILIIMedian
NameJohnson .Honeywel.Trane Te.Emerson .Cummins Lennox I. 
Rev Chg LTM2.8%7.5%8.6%3.0%-1.8%3.8%3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.6%5.2%10.8%9.4%9.4%5.2%7.3%
Rev Chg Q3.1%7.0%5.5%5.1%-1.6%-4.8%4.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%1.7%1.5%1.3%-0.4%-1.3%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM12.0%18.9%18.8%19.6%11.2%19.9%18.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.1%19.5%17.4%17.7%10.4%18.3%17.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-0.9%0.4%0.8%0.0%0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM5.9%18.4%13.9%17.2%10.4%12.8%13.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%16.4%14.4%13.5%8.3%14.0%13.8%
FCF/Rev LTM4.1%15.2%12.0%14.8%6.8%10.0%11.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.3%13.5%12.6%11.1%4.8%10.5%10.8%

Valuation

JCIHONTTEMRCMILIIMedian
NameJohnson .Honeywel.Trane Te.Emerson .Cummins Lennox I. 
Mkt Cap75.4126.586.874.869.917.475.1
P/S3.23.14.14.22.13.33.2
P/EBIT34.314.422.121.916.816.319.4
P/E22.920.629.632.626.220.724.6
P/CFO53.916.929.624.119.925.524.8
Total Yield5.7%7.2%4.3%3.5%5.3%5.3%5.3%
Dividend Yield1.3%2.3%0.9%0.4%1.5%0.5%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.1%4.0%3.4%2.9%3.8%3.0%3.2%
D/E0.10.30.10.20.10.10.1
Net D/E0.10.20.00.20.10.10.1

Returns

JCIHONTTEMRCMILIIMedian
NameJohnson .Honeywel.Trane Te.Emerson .Cummins Lennox I. 
1M Rtn4.5%4.5%-4.0%3.8%7.1%11.3%4.5%
3M Rtn10.4%1.5%-3.9%0.9%20.1%-7.7%1.2%
6M Rtn17.8%-3.7%-6.7%4.5%62.8%-9.2%0.4%
12M Rtn54.4%-4.9%4.4%10.5%47.8%-19.1%7.5%
3Y Rtn100.2%6.5%139.3%48.5%129.2%110.1%105.2%
1M Excs Rtn1.6%1.6%-6.8%0.9%4.2%8.4%1.6%
3M Excs Rtn7.3%-0.5%-6.2%-1.6%17.7%-8.8%-1.0%
6M Excs Rtn2.7%-18.4%-21.7%-9.8%48.3%-24.9%-14.1%
12M Excs Rtn35.5%-20.4%-12.5%-7.4%30.1%-36.7%-9.9%
3Y Excs Rtn20.3%-66.2%57.7%-26.7%54.0%27.4%23.8%

FDA Approved Drugs Data

Expand for More

Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA022388  ACUVUE THERAVISION WITH KETOTIFENketotifen fumaratedrug-eluting contact lens2252022-15.9%-15.5%-2.0%-6.1%98.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Products & Systems15,967    
Services6,985    
Building Solutions Asia Pacific 2,7462,7142,6162,403
Building Solutions Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Latin America (EMEA/LA) 4,0963,8453,8843,440
Building Solutions North America 10,3309,3678,6858,605
Global Products 5,1599,3738,4837,869
Total22,95222,33125,29923,66822,317


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19,726,543
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.8%
Average Daily Volume4,807,105
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.10
Basic Shares Quantity630,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20258.8%9.8%2.9%
7/29/2025-7.4%-4.5%-2.7%
5/7/20251.1%8.2%15.2%
2/5/202511.3%15.4%4.9%
11/6/20248.8%13.8%11.0%
7/23/2024-1.5%-1.3%0.1%
5/1/2024-7.1%-0.9%10.0%
12/12/2023-6.0%-4.7%2.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121317
# Negative11106
Median Positive2.2%3.8%5.6%
Median Negative-4.6%-4.6%-9.3%
Max Positive11.3%15.4%19.3%
Max Negative-9.3%-17.3%-15.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241119202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023130202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231214202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022201202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221115202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/31/2021