Tearsheet

JBT Marel (JBTM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $151.95 | Market Cap: $7.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

JBT Marel (JBTM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $151.95
Market Cap: $7.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 92%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.3%, Dist 3Y High is -2.3%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -4.6%
Key risks
JBTM key risks include [1] the failure to realize projected cost synergies from the Marel merger, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Factory Automation, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 92%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Factory Automation, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.3%, Dist 3Y High is -2.3%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -4.6%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.5%
7 Key risks
JBTM key risks include [1] the failure to realize projected cost synergies from the Marel merger, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JBTM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting potential reasons for stock movement in JBT Marel (JBTM) for the period between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, considering the company's recent formation through merger: 1. Integration Progress and Synergies Realization: The market's reaction to the pace and success of integrating JBT Corporation and Marel hf. would significantly influence stock performance. Positive updates on achieving the anticipated annual run-rate cost synergies, expected to exceed $125 million within three years, and enhanced operational scale would likely drive upward movement. Conversely, any challenges or delays in integration could lead to a downward adjustment.

2. Financial Performance and Outlook: Upcoming financial results and guidance from JBT Marel Corporation would be crucial. The company was expected to report standalone JBT financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024 in late February 2025, along with the 2025 outlook for the combined entity. Strong financial performance, increased profitability, or an optimistic outlook would positively impact the stock.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JBTM Return1%35%-40%9%28%21%39%
Peers Return33%37%-31%20%-3%7%55%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JBTM Win Rate67%50%42%25%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate60%67%33%52%48%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JBTM Max Drawdown-46%-2%-46%0%-14%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-5%-44%-7%-16%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MIDD, ITW, DOV, ROK, ALGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJBTMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven110.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven189 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-59.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven147.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven190 days1,480 days

Compare to GGG, GHM, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG


In The Past

JBT Marel's stock fell -52.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -52.5% loss requires a 110.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About JBT Marel (JBTM)

Better Bets than JBT Marel (JBTM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JBTM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for JBT Marel

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JBTMMIDDITWDOVROKALGNMedian
NameJBT MarelMiddleby Illinois.Dover Rockwell.Align Te. 
Mkt Price152.00144.25252.40196.15389.54160.58178.37
Mkt Cap7.97.373.426.939.311.619.3
Rev LTM3,2583,88015,8837,9238,3423,9835,953
Op Inc LTM1556694,1621,3231,423604996
FCF LTM2735902,8455671,358567578
FCF 3Y Avg1325612,8118861,070542723
CFO LTM3536793,2777841,544656731
CFO 3Y Avg1936383,2651,0721,261680876

Growth & Margins

JBTMMIDDITWDOVROKALGNMedian
NameJBT MarelMiddleby Illinois.Dover Rockwell.Align Te. 
Rev Chg LTM92.4%0.3%-0.4%2.6%0.9%0.6%0.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg41.0%0.2%0.5%-1.6%3.0%1.0%0.8%
Rev Chg Q120.6%4.2%2.3%4.8%13.8%1.8%4.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM20.2%1.0%0.6%1.2%3.5%0.4%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM4.8%17.2%26.2%16.7%17.1%15.2%16.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.1%17.7%25.9%16.2%16.7%16.0%16.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%-0.7%0.2%0.4%1.6%-0.9%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM10.8%17.5%20.6%9.9%18.5%16.5%17.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.1%16.3%20.4%13.9%14.7%17.4%15.5%
FCF/Rev LTM8.4%15.2%17.9%7.2%16.3%14.2%14.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.2%14.3%17.6%11.5%12.5%13.9%13.2%

Valuation

JBTMMIDDITWDOVROKALGNMedian
NameJBT MarelMiddleby Illinois.Dover Rockwell.Align Te. 
Mkt Cap7.97.373.426.939.311.619.3
P/S2.21.74.82.94.72.32.6
P/EBIT-268.5-76.218.015.8-15.015.0
P/E-66.0-33.225.110.245.224.017.1
P/CFO20.79.923.129.225.413.821.9
Total Yield-1.3%-3.0%6.3%11.1%3.7%4.2%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.2%0.0%2.3%1.2%1.5%0.0%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.5%8.0%3.8%3.9%-3.7%3.8%
D/E0.30.30.10.1-0.00.1
Net D/E0.20.30.10.1--0.10.1

Returns

JBTMMIDDITWDOVROKALGNMedian
NameJBT MarelMiddleby Illinois.Dover Rockwell.Align Te. 
1M Rtn12.0%26.1%4.6%9.2%5.3%21.1%10.6%
3M Rtn12.7%7.7%-3.2%14.7%13.4%24.1%13.0%
6M Rtn27.5%1.7%5.9%12.3%22.0%-10.8%9.1%
12M Rtn26.0%6.1%-3.5%0.9%34.9%-29.8%3.5%
3Y Rtn73.4%10.3%24.1%52.4%62.1%-19.0%38.3%
1M Excs Rtn11.3%25.4%3.8%8.5%4.5%20.4%9.9%
3M Excs Rtn10.7%5.4%-5.0%12.5%10.8%19.8%10.8%
6M Excs Rtn15.1%-10.6%-6.5%-0.1%9.6%-23.2%-3.3%
12M Excs Rtn13.0%-7.1%-16.0%-12.4%22.1%-42.9%-9.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-4.6%-66.3%-48.4%-23.4%-13.3%-86.1%-35.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Recurring846    
Non-recurring819    
FoodTech 1,5901,4001,2341,329
AeroTech  468493616
Other revenue and intercompany eliminations  000
Total1,6641,5901,8681,7281,946


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,070,654
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.4%
Average Daily Volume468,925
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.55
Basic Shares Quantity52,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/202511.1%14.1%13.3%
8/5/2025-2.6%0.8%1.5%
5/5/2025-4.3%4.9%9.2%
2/24/202515.3%10.2%9.0%
10/22/202417.7%20.5%24.4%
7/30/20241.8%-7.4%-8.4%
5/1/20241.7%3.3%7.6%
1/19/20248.9%11.3%13.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131312
# Negative778
Median Positive3.9%8.1%11.1%
Median Negative-5.5%-7.4%-7.4%
Max Positive17.7%20.5%35.5%
Max Negative-19.4%-19.0%-42.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Rizzolo Luiz AugustoEVP & President -Regions & IMO5282025Sell118.551,271150,677751,844Form