Iveda Solutions (IVDA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.14 | Market Cap: $3.2 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Security & Alarm Services
Iveda Solutions (IVDA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.14Market Cap: $3.2 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Security & Alarm Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -132%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -53% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -63% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -69% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 157% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -63% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -132%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -53% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -69% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 157% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
IVDA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate -28.3% stock movement for Iveda Solutions (IVDA) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Poor Q3 2025 Earnings Report.
Iveda Solutions announced its Q3 2025 earnings on November 14, 2025, reporting an EPS of -$0.07, which significantly missed the consensus estimate of $0.56. Additionally, the quarterly revenue came in at $1.65 million, falling short of analyst estimates of $7.25 million.
2. Bearish Analyst Sentiment and Forecasts.
As of late November 2025, the overall market sentiment for IVDA was largely "Bearish," with technical indicators reinforcing a downward trend. One Wall Street research analyst issued a "Sell" rating for the stock, projecting a potential downside of 100.00%.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IVDA Return | 50% | 0% | -85% | 14% | -3% | -76% | -94% |
| Peers Return | -7% | 24% | -10% | 24% | 21% | 8% | 68% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IVDA Win Rate | 33% | 0% | 8% | 33% | 33% | 10% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 57% | 47% | 65% | 47% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IVDA Max Drawdown | -17% | 0% | -85% | 0% | -74% | -87% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -10% | -29% | -17% | -9% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BCO, MG, NL, CIX, ADT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IVDA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 608.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 148 days |
Compare to BCO, MG, NL, CIX, ADT
In The Past
Iveda Solutions's stock fell -85.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/1/2022. A -85.9% loss requires a 608.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| 5-Day Rally Sends Iveda Solutions Stock Up 112% | Notification | |
| With Iveda Solutions Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to IVDA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Iveda Solutions
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.98 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 437 |
| Op Inc LTM | 44 |
| FCF LTM | 7 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 17 |
| CFO LTM | 22 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 27 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 8.6 |
| P/E | 16.0 |
| P/CFO | 5.7 |
| Total Yield | 6.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -48.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4152025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5202024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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