Tearsheet

Iveda Solutions (IVDA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.14 | Market Cap: $3.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Security & Alarm Services

Iveda Solutions (IVDA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.14
Market Cap: $3.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Security & Alarm Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -132%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -53%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -63%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -69%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 157%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -63%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -132%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -53%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -69%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 157%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IVDA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -28.3% stock movement for Iveda Solutions (IVDA) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Poor Q3 2025 Earnings Report. Iveda Solutions announced its Q3 2025 earnings on November 14, 2025, reporting an EPS of -$0.07, which significantly missed the consensus estimate of $0.56. Additionally, the quarterly revenue came in at $1.65 million, falling short of analyst estimates of $7.25 million.

2. Bearish Analyst Sentiment and Forecasts. As of late November 2025, the overall market sentiment for IVDA was largely "Bearish," with technical indicators reinforcing a downward trend. One Wall Street research analyst issued a "Sell" rating for the stock, projecting a potential downside of 100.00%.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IVDA Return50%0%-85%14%-3%-76%-94%
Peers Return-7%24%-10%24%21%8%68%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IVDA Win Rate33%0%8%33%33%10% 
Peers Win Rate50%57%47%65%47%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IVDA Max Drawdown-17%0%-85%0%-74%-87% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-10%-29%-17%-9%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BCO, MG, NL, CIX, ADT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIVDAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven608.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven44 days148 days

Compare to BCO, MG, NL, CIX, ADT


In The Past

Iveda Solutions's stock fell -85.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/1/2022. A -85.9% loss requires a 608.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Iveda Solutions (IVDA)

Better Bets than Iveda Solutions (IVDA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IVDA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Iveda Solutions

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IVDABCOMGNLCIXADTMedian
NameIveda So.Brink's MISTRAS NL Indus.Compx In.ADT  
Mkt Price1.15118.3011.825.5822.318.149.98
Mkt Cap0.05.00.40.30.36.70.3
Rev LTM75,1467151591595,113437
Op Inc LTM-45064740221,30644
FCF LTM-4418-0-27151,3877
FCF 3Y Avg-5347713211,16317
CFO LTM-463627-23181,97022
CFO 3Y Avg-45583115231,87327

Growth & Margins

IVDABCOMGNLCIXADTMedian
NameIveda So.Brink's MISTRAS NL Indus.Compx In.ADT  
Rev Chg LTM89.0%3.1%-3.2%5.5%5.5%6.3%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg121.4%5.1%1.3%-0.3%-0.3%3.4%2.3%
Rev Chg Q-0.4%6.1%7.0%18.7%18.7%4.4%6.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%1.5%1.8%4.1%4.1%1.1%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-52.7%9.8%6.6%25.1%13.7%25.5%11.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-70.4%9.9%5.1%12.1%13.9%26.1%11.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%0.5%1.2%-0.4%0.4%-0.5%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-50.2%12.4%3.7%-14.6%11.4%38.5%7.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-83.2%11.2%4.3%9.8%14.7%40.1%10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-54.9%8.1%-0.0%-16.8%9.3%27.1%4.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-93.2%7.0%1.0%8.4%13.3%24.7%7.7%

Valuation

IVDABCOMGNLCIXADTMedian
NameIveda So.Brink's MISTRAS NL Indus.Compx In.ADT  
Mkt Cap0.05.00.40.30.36.70.3
P/S0.81.00.41.91.81.41.2
P/EBIT-1.69.28.119.613.25.68.6
P/E-1.528.817.131.014.911.116.0
P/CFO-1.67.711.7-12.915.93.65.7
Total Yield-64.9%3.5%5.8%12.3%8.0%11.7%6.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%9.1%1.3%2.7%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-57.2%8.2%2.7%4.5%7.1%18.2%5.8%
D/E0.20.90.80.00.01.10.5
Net D/E-0.10.60.7-0.3-0.21.10.3

Returns

IVDABCOMGNLCIXADTMedian
NameIveda So.Brink's MISTRAS NL Indus.Compx In.ADT  
1M Rtn-8.0%7.0%23.3%-3.8%2.7%-7.4%-0.5%
3M Rtn-23.3%5.3%24.9%-11.3%-4.6%-5.5%-5.1%
6M Rtn-54.7%42.7%54.7%-12.9%0.4%-4.1%-1.8%
12M Rtn-36.1%25.9%30.6%-25.6%-12.2%11.3%-0.4%
3Y Rtn-74.6%106.2%203.1%2.1%51.9%-9.8%27.0%
1M Excs Rtn-8.0%7.0%23.3%-3.8%2.8%-7.4%-0.5%
3M Excs Rtn-27.1%-1.1%15.4%-18.7%-10.8%-13.1%-11.9%
6M Excs Rtn-69.4%28.0%40.0%-27.6%-14.3%-18.8%-16.6%
12M Excs Rtn-50.4%10.1%13.4%-36.8%-25.7%-3.7%-14.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-148.8%32.4%124.2%-72.4%-24.9%-76.1%-48.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity189,408
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-20.4%
Average Daily Volume218,779
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity2,837,226
Short % of Basic Shares6.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024415202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024520202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021