Tearsheet

Itron (ITRI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $98.33 | Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments

Itron (ITRI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $98.33
Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.7%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.5%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.0%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Smart Metering, Grid Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.0%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Smart Metering, Grid Automation, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.7%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ITRI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Itron (ITRI) stock experienced a significant decline of over 20% between August 31, 2025, and early December 2025, primarily driven by a combination of disappointing financial guidance, project delays, and an analyst downgrade. Here are the key points for the stock's movement: 1. 1. Lowered Q4 2025 Revenue Guidance: Itron's outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025 projected revenue between $555 million and $565 million, falling short of analyst estimates of approximately $600 million. This weaker-than-expected guidance was a primary factor in the stock's decline. 2. 2. Full-Year 2025 Revenue Guidance Below Expectations: The company also narrowed its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $2.35 billion to $2.36 billion, which was slightly below analyst expectations of $2.38 billion. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ITRI Return14%-29%-26%49%44%-11%15%
Peers Return25%23%-16%7%7%7%58%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ITRI Win Rate58%50%42%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate45%52%33%47%45%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ITRI Max Drawdown-49%-37%-39%0%-8%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-5%-26%-12%-11%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: USBC, ROP, KEYS, TDY, TRMB. See ITRI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventITRIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven187.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven756 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven279 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven316 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven217.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4479 days1480 days

Compare to USBC, ROP, KEYS, TDY, TRMB


In The Past

Itron's stock fell -65.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/3/2021. A -65.3% loss requires a 187.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Itron (ITRI)

Better Bets than Itron (ITRI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ITRI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Itron

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ITRIUSBCROPKEYSTDYTRMBMedian
NameItron USBC Roper Te.Keysight.Teledyne.Trimble  
Mkt Price98.340.82445.89206.61503.9682.33152.48
Mkt Cap4.5-48.035.523.619.623.6
Rev LTM2,40807,7215,2436,0053,6014,422
Op Inc LTM301-92,1728891,110574731
FCF LTM342-82,4061,4151,038315690
FCF 3Y Avg186-101,9951,181923453688
CFO LTM366-82,5241,5431,145341756
CFO 3Y Avg212-102,1011,3471,026487756

Growth & Margins

ITRIUSBCROPKEYSTDYTRMBMedian
NameItron USBC Roper Te.Keysight.Teledyne.Trimble  
Rev Chg LTM0.1%-14.0%4.8%7.4%-0.9%4.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.2%-14.1%0.1%3.6%-1.3%3.6%
Rev Chg Q-5.5%-14.3%11.1%6.7%2.9%6.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.4%-3.4%2.6%1.6%0.7%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM12.5%-28.1%17.0%18.5%15.9%17.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.8%-28.3%20.2%18.4%13.5%18.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.1%0.1%-0.1%1.2%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM15.2%-32.7%29.4%19.1%9.5%19.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%-30.4%25.5%17.8%13.3%17.8%
FCF/Rev LTM14.2%-31.2%27.0%17.3%8.8%17.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.8%-28.9%22.3%16.0%12.4%16.0%

Valuation

ITRIUSBCROPKEYSTDYTRMBMedian
NameItron USBC Roper Te.Keysight.Teledyne.Trimble  
Mkt Cap4.5-48.035.523.619.623.6
P/S2.4-6.95.44.65.45.4
P/EBIT16.3-23.425.625.839.625.6
P/E22.1-34.251.833.654.434.2
P/CFO15.5-21.318.324.057.021.3
Total Yield4.5%-3.6%1.9%3.0%1.8%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.7%-3.6%4.3%4.2%3.0%3.7%
D/E0.2-0.20.10.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.20.00.10.10.1

Returns

ITRIUSBCROPKEYSTDYTRMBMedian
NameItron USBC Roper Te.Keysight.Teledyne.Trimble  
1M Rtn-7.9%-12.8%-0.6%11.0%-2.8%3.5%-1.7%
3M Rtn-18.7%-5.4%-14.8%25.0%-7.5%4.8%-6.5%
6M Rtn-17.8%--21.3%28.3%1.2%14.9%1.2%
12M Rtn-16.7%--20.9%20.8%5.3%11.3%5.3%
3Y Rtn80.5%-2.2%14.4%18.0%34.9%18.0%
1M Excs Rtn-7.9%-12.7%-0.6%11.0%-2.7%3.5%-1.6%
3M Excs Rtn-24.2%4.9%-20.6%18.4%-13.2%-2.1%-7.6%
6M Excs Rtn-32.5%--36.0%13.6%-13.5%0.2%-13.5%
12M Excs Rtn-30.6%--34.3%7.4%-9.7%-0.7%-9.7%
3Y Excs Rtn19.8%--65.8%-53.8%-50.9%-29.5%-50.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Networked Solutions1,4501,1191,0931,2491,417
Device Solutions456439645694859
Outcomes268238244230226
Total2,1741,7961,9822,1732,502


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Networked Solutions369248254308397
Device Solutions6627574198
Outcomes5046514844
Corporate unallocated-356-329-442-407-406
Total129-7-79-10133


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,598,473
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.0%
Average Daily Volume1,212,442
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.97
Basic Shares Quantity45,746,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021