Ambarella (AMBA)
Market Price (6/3/2026): $71.4 | Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Ambarella (AMBA)
Market Price (6/3/2026): $71.4Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Edge AI, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -85% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -76 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -19% Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 97x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.5% Key risksAMBA key risks include [1] significant customer concentration, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Edge AI, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -85% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -76 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -19% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 97x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.5% |
| Key risksAMBA key risks include [1] significant customer concentration, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Updated on 6/1/2026
Ambarella (AMBA) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Ambarella reported strong first-quarter fiscal year 2027 financial results and provided optimistic guidance.
The company announced Q1 FY2027 revenue of $100.4 million, representing a 16.9% year-over-year increase, surpassing analyst expectations of $100.12 million. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.11 also exceeded the forecasted $0.10. This performance was largely driven by record automotive revenue due to increased AI penetration in commercial vehicles. Management further projected strong Q2 FY2027 revenue between $105.0 million and $111.0 million, with a midpoint exceeding the consensus estimate of $107 million.
2. A significant long-term partnership with Hanwha was announced.
Ambarella entered into a strategic, long-term agreement with South Korean company Hanwha for the co-development and sourcing of its edge AI technology across various Hanwha product lines and industries. This partnership has the potential to generate over $800 million in revenue for Ambarella.
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Ambarella (AMBA) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Ambarella reported strong first-quarter fiscal year 2027 financial results and provided optimistic guidance.
The company announced Q1 FY2027 revenue of $100.4 million, representing a 16.9% year-over-year increase, surpassing analyst expectations of $100.12 million. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.11 also exceeded the forecasted $0.10. This performance was largely driven by record automotive revenue due to increased AI penetration in commercial vehicles. Management further projected strong Q2 FY2027 revenue between $105.0 million and $111.0 million, with a midpoint exceeding the consensus estimate of $107 million.
2. A significant long-term partnership with Hanwha was announced.
Ambarella entered into a strategic, long-term agreement with South Korean company Hanwha for the co-development and sourcing of its edge AI technology across various Hanwha product lines and industries. This partnership has the potential to generate over $800 million in revenue for Ambarella.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.3% change in AMBA stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 60.34 | 71.40 | 18.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 374 | 405 | 8.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.9 | 7.7 | 11.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 43 | 44 | -1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AMBA | 22.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.2% | 45.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 41.6% | 46.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.7% change in AMBA stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 74.18 | 71.40 | -3.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 348 | 405 | 16.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 9.1 | 7.7 | -15.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 43 | 44 | -2.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -3.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AMBA | -0.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.0% | 46.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 37.5% | 47.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 35.6% change in AMBA stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 42.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 52.64 | 71.40 | 35.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 285 | 405 | 42.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 7.7 | 7.7 | -0.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 44 | -4.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 35.6% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AMBA | 40.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 29.4% | 47.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 70.9% | 47.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.3% change in AMBA stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 72.32 | 71.40 | -1.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 338 | 405 | 20.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.3 | 7.7 | -7.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 39 | 44 | -10.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.3% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AMBA | 2.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 87.6% | 57.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 143.9% | 58.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMBA Return | 121% | -59% | -25% | 19% | -3% | 11% | -15% |
| Peers Return | 53% | -21% | 70% | 26% | 1% | 39% | 263% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMBA Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 42% | 60% | 43% | 50% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMBA Max Drawdown | -34% | -77% | -54% | -39% | -51% | -40% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -42% | -24% | -36% | -37% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MBLY, NVDA, QCOM, TXN, NXPI. See AMBA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/3/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AMBA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 105.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 153 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -34.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.8% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 83 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 449 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -35.5% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 930 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.7% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 253 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -14.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 51 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Ambarella's stock fell -51.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 105.8% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | AMBA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 105.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 153 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -34.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.8% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 83 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 449 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -35.5% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 930 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.7% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 253 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -29.3% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.5% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1115 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -68.1% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 213.9% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1808 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Ambarella's stock fell -51.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 105.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Ambarella (AMBA)
Ambarella, Inc. develops semiconductor solutions for video that enable high-definition (HD) and ultra HD compression, image processing, and deep neural network processing worldwide. The company's system-on-a-chip designs integrated HD video processing, image processing, artificial intelligence computer vision algorithms, audio processing, and system functions onto a single chip for delivering video and image quality, differentiated functionality, and low power consumption. Its solutions are used in automotive cameras, such as automotive video recorders, electronic mirrors, front advanced driver assistance system camera, cabin monitoring system and driver monitoring system camera, and central domain controllers for autonomous vehicle; and professional and home internet protocol security camera; robotics and industrial application, including identification/authentication cameras, robotic products, and sensing cameras, as well as cameras for the home, public spaces, and consumer leisure comprising wearable body cameras, sports action cameras, social media cameras, drones for capturing aerial video or photographs, video conferencing, and virtual reality applications. The company sells its solutions to original design manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers through its direct sales force and distributors. Ambarella, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
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Analogies for Ambarella (AMBA):- Nvidia for AI camera brains: Ambarella makes the specialized AI chips that power smart cameras in cars, security systems, and robotics, enabling them to see and understand their environment.
- Qualcomm for intelligent video and AI processing: Instead of mobile phones, Ambarella focuses on providing advanced video and AI chips specifically for automotive vision and security cameras.
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- System-on-a-Chip (SoC) Designs: Integrated semiconductor solutions that combine HD video, image, AI computer vision, and audio processing onto a single chip for various applications.
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Ambarella (AMBA) sells its semiconductor solutions primarily to other companies, specifically original design manufacturers (ODMs) and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The provided background information does not list the names of specific major customer companies. However, based on the applications of Ambarella's solutions, its major customers are manufacturers operating in the following key sectors:- Automotive Industry: Manufacturers developing products such as automotive video recorders, electronic mirrors, front advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) cameras, cabin monitoring system and driver monitoring system cameras, and central domain controllers for autonomous vehicles.
- Security Camera Industry: Companies that produce professional and home internet protocol (IP) security cameras.
- Robotics and Industrial Applications: Manufacturers of identification/authentication cameras, various robotic products, and sensing cameras for industrial use.
- Consumer Leisure and Other Markets: Manufacturers of wearable body cameras, sports action cameras, social media cameras, drones for aerial photography/video, video conferencing equipment, and virtual reality applications.
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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM)
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Fermi Wang Chief Executive OfficerFermi Wang is a seasoned leader, serial entrepreneur, and video compression technology expert who co-founded Ambarella in January 2004. Prior to Ambarella, he served as CEO and co-founder of Afara Websystems, a company that pioneered server throughput computing and was subsequently acquired by Sun Microsystems in July 2002. He also held significant engineering and business management positions at C-Cube Microsystems, where his team developed the world's first MPEG CODEC chip. Wang holds several digital video-related patents, including core MPEG-2 and MPEG-4/AVC patents.
John Young Chief Financial Officer
John Young was appointed as Ambarella's Chief Financial Officer in February 2024. He previously held the roles of Vice President of Finance at Ambarella since December 2019 and Corporate Controller from March 2017 to December 2019. Additionally, he served as the company's principal accounting and financial officer from November 2021 to April 2022. Before joining Ambarella, Young held various financial and operational management positions at Mellanox Technologies from 2009 to 2016, most recently as corporate controller. He began his career as a CPA at Ernst & Young.
Les Kohn Chief Technology Advisor
Les Kohn is a co-founder of Ambarella and transitioned to the role of Chief Technology Advisor in November 2025, having previously served as Chief Technology Officer. He is recognized for his expertise as a chip architect and entrepreneur in Silicon Valley. Kohn was CTO and co-founder of Afara Websystems, which was acquired by Sun Microsystems. Following the acquisition, he became a fellow at Sun, continuing to develop Afara's throughput computing technology. His career also includes serving as chief architect at C-Cube Microsystems, where he led the development of multiple generations of digital video CODECs, including the first single-chip MPEG-2 and HD/multi-stream CODECs. Before C-Cube, he was a distinguished engineer at Sun, where he was the chief architect of UltraSPARC I and II, and co-architected the Intel i860 and National 32000 microprocessor family.
Chan Lee Chief Operating Officer
Chan Lee is the Chief Operating Officer at Ambarella. Prior to his role at Ambarella, Lee was the director of VLSI at Afara Websystems, where he was responsible for managing the design and verification team and driving key design and verification methodologies. He spent a significant portion of his career at Intel, holding various positions including manager of the silicon debug team, design manager of the first-generation Pentium 4, and manager and technical lead on the P6 (Pentium Pro).
John Ju Senior VP, Systems & GM, Asia Design Centers
John Ju serves as the Senior Vice President of Systems and General Manager of Asia Design Centers at Ambarella.
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Here are the key risks to Ambarella's business:
- Intense Competitive Pressures: Ambarella operates in a highly competitive semiconductor market, particularly in AI vision processors for edge applications. The company faces significant competition from established semiconductor giants and specialized AI chip developers, such as NVIDIA, Qualcomm, and Mobileye, many of whom have broader product portfolios or dominant positions in specific market segments. The rapid evolution of AI and computer vision technology further intensifies this competitive landscape.
- High Dependence on Major Customers: A significant portion of Ambarella's revenue is derived from a limited number of major customers. For example, one key customer, WT Microelectronics, accounted for 63% of total revenue. This high level of customer concentration poses a substantial risk, as the loss of or reduced demand from such a customer could materially and adversely impact Ambarella's financial performance.
- Challenges in Achieving and Maintaining Profitability Amid High R&D Costs and Rapid Technological Shifts: Despite showing strong revenue growth, Ambarella faces challenges with rising operating costs and ongoing net losses. The company's gross margins have slightly decreased due to factors such as manufacturing costs and changes in product mix. Maintaining profitability and improving margins are crucial, which are dependent on the successful execution of transitions to advanced chip manufacturing processes (e.g., 5nm/4nm), which are more expensive in early stages and may have lower manufacturing yields. Ambarella also incurs significant research and development costs to stay at the forefront of rapidly evolving AI and computer vision technologies.
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The increasing trend of large original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and platform owners in Ambarella's key markets (such as automotive, virtual reality/augmented reality, and security cameras) opting for vertical integration by designing their own specialized system-on-a-chip (SoC) solutions for video processing, image processing, and AI computer vision algorithms. This strategic shift by customers to become their own silicon suppliers directly reduces the addressable market for Ambarella's offerings.
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Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) operates in several significant addressable markets for its semiconductor solutions across automotive, security, robotics, and consumer applications. Here are the estimated market sizes for Ambarella's main product or service categories: * **Automotive Cameras (ADAS and Autonomous Vehicles):** The global market for Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and autonomous vehicle processors is projected to reach approximately $25 billion by 2025. Furthermore, the broader ADAS market is anticipated to grow to $88.16 billion by 2029, with the passenger vehicle ADAS market alone potentially reaching $158.06 billion by 2034. The global video telematics market, which includes fleet systems and other automotive applications, is forecasted to grow from $1.7 billion in 2024 to $8.7 billion by 2034. Ambarella's management estimates its Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM) within automotive to grow from approximately $2.5 billion today to $7.5 billion in 2028. * **Professional and Home Internet Protocol (IP) Security Cameras:** The global video surveillance market is expected to expand from $73 billion in 2024 to $147 billion by 2030. A key growth area within this is AI in video surveillance, which is projected to increase from $7 billion in 2024 to an estimated $29 billion by 2030 globally. Ambarella's management anticipates its SAM for IoT security cameras to grow from the current $2 billion to $3.5 billion by 2028. * **Robotics and Industrial Applications:** The global robotic vision market is projected to reach $3.3 billion in 2025 and grow to $5 billion by 2030. * **Drones (Consumer and Overall Market):** The overall global drone market (encompassing consumer and other applications) is projected to grow from $73 billion in 2024 to $163.6 billion in the next five years. Ambarella's total serviceable available market (SAM) for its edge AI applications, which spans over 20 automotive and IoT edge AI applications, is projected to reach almost $13 billion by fiscal year 2031.AI Analysis | Feedback
Ambarella (AMBA) anticipates several key drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily centered around its advanced artificial intelligence (AI) vision processors and strategic market expansion. Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth: * Expansion of Edge AI Solutions in Automotive and IoT Markets: Ambarella is heavily focused on Edge AI, with this segment now constituting approximately 80% of its total revenue. The company expects continued growth from the adoption of its Edge AI solutions in both the automotive sector, including advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and cabin monitoring, and various Internet of Things (IoT) applications such as professional and home security cameras, robotics, and industrial applications. * Launch of New Product Cycles: New generations of Ambarella's system-on-a-chip (SoC) designs are critical for revenue expansion. The CV5 product cycle is expected to continue driving revenue, augmented by the launch of the CV7 in fiscal year 2026. Looking further out, the CV3-AD family of SoCs, targeting L2+ and higher levels of autonomy in vehicles, is anticipated to commence revenue generation in fiscal year 2027 (calendar year 2026). Additionally, a new 2-nanometer chip design is projected to contribute revenue starting in early fiscal year 2028. * Increasing Average Selling Prices (ASPs): The shift towards more advanced and higher-priced AI inference processors, such as the CV5, CV7, and CV3-AD, is leading to a higher blended average selling price (ASP) for Ambarella's solutions. This increase in the value derived per design win is expected to directly contribute to revenue growth. * Strategic Expansion of Sales Channels and Semi-Custom Offerings: To broaden its customer base and diversify revenue streams, Ambarella is expanding its go-to-market strategy. This includes establishing indirect sales channels to better serve smaller customers and developing a semi-custom chip business.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Ambarella's Board of Directors approved an extension of its share repurchase program through June 30, 2026, with approximately $48.0 million remaining available for future repurchases.
- The company repurchased approximately $1.0 million in shares during the first quarter of fiscal year 2026.
- Ambarella repurchased $176 million of common stock in both fiscal year 2022 and fiscal year 2021.
Share Issuance
- Total outstanding shares increased from 34.81 million at the end of fiscal year 2020 to 42.86 million at the end of fiscal year 2025, indicating ongoing share issuance, likely through employee stock purchase plans.
Inbound Investments
- Ambarella explored strategic options, including a potential sale, and engaged with potential buyers such as rivals and private equity firms in June 2025.
Outbound Investments
- Ambarella acquired Oculii in fiscal year 2022, which brought adaptive AI software algorithms for radar perception.
- The company formed strategic partnerships and collaborations, including with LG Electronics (announced December 2024) for AI-driven in-cabin vehicle safety solutions, and e-con Systems (November 2022) for edge AI vision design services.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for tangible and intangible assets were $4.6 million in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 and $2.9 million in the third quarter of fiscal year 2026.
- Capital expenditures are expected to increase in the future to support business expansion and enhancements to IT platforms.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures is on supporting AI inference processor and radar solutions, chip development, and new product development activities.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Ambarella Stock Dips 21% In One Day, Now Is Not The Time To Buy The Stock | 05/30/2026 | |
| Is 20.6% Fall In Ambarella (AMBA) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | 03/05/2026 | |
| Ambarella Stock (-13%): Insider Selling Overwhelms CES News | 01/08/2026 | |
| Ambarella Earnings Notes | 12/27/2025 | |
| Is 23.1% Fall In Ambarella (AMBA) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | 12/18/2025 | |
| Is Ambarella Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 11/27/2025 | |
| Ambarella Stock vs Competition: Who Wins? | 08/13/2025 | |
| AMBA Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Ambarella Stock To $40? | 03/05/2026 | |
| Ambarella Stock To $49? | 12/18/2025 | |
| With Ambarella Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 11/27/2025 | |
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 11/11/2025 | |
| Market Movers | Winners: WOOF, NEO, AMBA | Losers: MRVL, UP, AEVA | 08/29/2025 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 230.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 172.1 |
| Rev LTM | 15,526 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,928 |
| FCF LTM | 3,138 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,191 |
| CFO LTM | 5,436 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,921 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 9.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -2.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 172.1 |
| P/S | 7.1 |
| P/Op Inc | 24.3 |
| P/EBIT | 21.1 |
| P/E | 28.7 |
| P/CFO | 31.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 39.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 30.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 59.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 91.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 29.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 22.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 36.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 10.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $73.80 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/10/2012 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -22.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $67.22 | $72.33 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 9.8% | 2.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 67.3% | 65.7% |
| Downside Capture | 197.31 | 275.95 |
| Upside Capture | 225.37 | 233.70 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 43.6% | 47.5% |
AMBA Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.30 | 2.46 | 2.09 | 2.30 | 2.61 | 2.20 |
| Up Beta | 6.15 | 3.24 | 2.58 | 2.72 | 3.18 | 2.01 |
| Down Beta | -2.07 | -0.37 | 1.68 | 1.76 | 2.46 | 2.13 |
| Up Capture | 244% | 250% | 216% | 247% | 420% | 1939% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 26 | 35 | 65 | 125 | 383 |
| Down Capture | 459% | 204% | 181% | 211% | 179% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 15 | 27 | 58 | 122 | 365 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AMBA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBA | 40.3% | 65.7% | 0.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 69.8% | 20.8% | 2.44 | 47.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 28.8% | 11.8% | 1.84 | 47.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 31.0% | 26.6% | 0.99 | 7.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 42.3% | 18.8% | 1.74 | -8.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 9.8% | 13.2% | 0.45 | 19.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -37.1% | 42.1% | -0.98 | 21.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AMBA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBA | -5.8% | 62.7% | 0.17 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 24.1% | 24.9% | 0.85 | 61.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.0% | 0.65 | 59.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.1% | 18.0% | 0.82 | 7.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.5% | 19.4% | 0.43 | 9.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.8% | 18.8% | 0.05 | 39.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.2% | 54.7% | 0.40 | 28.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AMBA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBA | 6.2% | 56.6% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 26.0% | 24.5% | 0.95 | 57.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 54.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 16.0% | 0.69 | 5.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.6% | 17.9% | 0.34 | 15.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 34.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 65.0% | 66.9% | 1.04 | 19.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/28/2026 | -21.4% | ||
| 2/26/2026 | -14.9% | -21.8% | -28.8% |
| 11/25/2025 | -18.8% | -21.9% | -23.3% |
| 8/28/2025 | 16.8% | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| 5/29/2025 | -15.1% | -16.6% | 6.6% |
| 2/26/2025 | -17.1% | -25.9% | -30.5% |
| 11/26/2024 | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.5% |
| 8/27/2024 | 10.6% | 4.3% | 8.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| # Negative | 16 | 16 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 14.1% | 17.9% | 7.8% |
| Median Negative | -14.4% | -14.0% | -23.2% |
| Max Positive | 27.4% | 32.9% | 50.4% |
| Max Negative | -31.3% | -39.4% | -31.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 06/02/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/23/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/08/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 5/31/2026Latest: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 5/28/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2027 Revenue | 105.00 Mil | 108.00 Mil | 111.00 Mil | 8.0% | Raised | Guidance: 100.00 Mil for Q1 2027 | |
| Q2 2027 Non-GAAP Gross Margin | 59.0% | 59.75% | 60.5% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 59.75% for Q1 2027 |
| Q2 2027 Non-GAAP Operating Expenses | 56.00 Mil | 57.50 Mil | 59.00 Mil | 1.8% | Raised | Guidance: 56.50 Mil for Q1 2027 | |
| 2027 Revenue Growth | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 12.5% for 2027 |
Prior: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2027 Revenue | 97.00 Mil | 100.00 Mil | 103.00 Mil | ||||
| Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Gross Margin | 59.0% | 59.75% | 60.5% | ||||
| Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Operating Expenses | 55.00 Mil | 56.50 Mil | 58.00 Mil | ||||
| 2027 Revenue Growth | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.0% | ||||
Insider Activity
Updated 5/28/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young, John Alexander | CFO | Direct | Sell | 5282026 | 96.00 | 400 | 38,400 | 11,291,808 | Form |
| 2 | Wang, Feng-Ming | CEO | Direct | Sell | 5282026 | 91.01 | 32,500 | 2,957,755 | 73,357,867 | Form |
| 3 | Young, John Alexander | CFO | Direct | Sell | 4222026 | 60.00 | 1,971 | 118,260 | 7,057,380 | Form |
| 4 | Young, John Alexander | CFO | Direct | Sell | 3192026 | 54.14 | 3,038 | 164,477 | 6,474,819 | Form |
| 5 | Lee, Chan W | Chief Operations Officer | Direct | Sell | 3192026 | 54.14 | 3,641 | 197,124 | 8,665,053 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Information Technology Resources |
| TechCrunch |
| Wired |
| CIO |
| MIT Technology Review |
| Gartner Insights |
| Ars Technica |
| Semiconductor Materials & Equipment Resources |
| SEMI |
| Semiconductor Digest |
| Semiconductor Today |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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Core Cache Last Updated: 6/3/2026