Tearsheet

Ambarella (AMBA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $70.11 | Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Ambarella (AMBA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $70.11
Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -99 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Edge AI, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Edge AI, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -99 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMBA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Ambarella's (AMBA) stock movement of approximately -15% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. The stock experienced a significant decline of over 15% on November 26, 2025, despite Ambarella announcing third-quarter fiscal year 2026 results that surpassed analyst expectations for both adjusted earnings per share and revenue.

2. This drop followed a period of strong stock performance, suggesting that investors may have engaged in profit-taking after a sharp rise in Ambarella's shares in the months leading up to the earnings report.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMBA Return52%121%-59%-25%19%-2%17%
Peers Return52%46%-32%96%49%45%541%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMBA Win Rate58%67%33%50%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate68%62%42%68%57%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMBA Max Drawdown-38%-8%-76%-45%-35%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-7%-42%-5%-17%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVDA, AVGO, QCOM, INTC, TXN. See AMBA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMBAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-79.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven382.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven253 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven104.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven336 days120 days

Compare to NVDA, AVGO, QCOM, INTC, TXN


In The Past

Ambarella's stock fell -79.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/8/2021. A -79.3% loss requires a 382.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ambarella (AMBA)

Better Bets than Ambarella (AMBA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMBA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ambarella

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMBANVDAAVGOQCOMINTCTXNMedian
NameAmbarellaNVIDIA Broadcom Qualcomm Intel Texas In. 
Mkt Price70.11179.58380.61174.1843.76182.60176.88
Mkt Cap3.04,375.61,794.2187.8197.5166.0192.6
Rev LTM348165,21859,92644,28453,43917,26648,862
Op Inc LTM-9995,98123,36612,394-1046,0129,203
FCF LTM3772,02324,93012,820-8,4182,0807,450
FCF 3Y Avg1543,04420,31911,277-11,2271,7326,504
CFO LTM5277,03525,43814,0128,5746,89711,293
CFO 3Y Avg2845,86620,82112,50410,9576,56011,731

Growth & Margins

AMBANVDAAVGOQCOMINTCTXNMedian
NameAmbarellaNVIDIA Broadcom Qualcomm Intel Texas In. 
Rev Chg LTM57.9%71.6%28.0%13.7%-1.5%9.9%20.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.3%92.0%24.0%1.2%-7.6%-4.6%3.2%
Rev Chg Q49.9%55.6%22.0%10.0%2.8%14.2%18.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.1%11.2%5.0%2.4%0.7%3.5%4.3%
Op Mgn LTM-28.4%58.1%39.0%28.0%-0.2%34.8%31.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-46.7%51.0%38.4%25.9%-3.7%38.0%32.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.4%0.1%1.5%-0.2%8.1%-0.1%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM15.0%46.6%42.4%31.6%16.0%39.9%35.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.9%44.5%44.6%31.5%20.5%38.6%35.0%
FCF/Rev LTM10.6%43.6%41.6%28.9%-15.8%12.0%20.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.5%41.3%43.5%28.4%-20.9%10.2%19.3%

Valuation

AMBANVDAAVGOQCOMINTCTXNMedian
NameAmbarellaNVIDIA Broadcom Qualcomm Intel Texas In. 
Mkt Cap3.04,375.61,794.2187.8197.5166.0192.6
P/S8.123.321.74.02.89.78.9
P/EBIT-28.538.256.513.553.026.832.5
P/E-31.744.568.632.4764.933.138.8
P/CFO53.750.051.112.817.724.237.1
Total Yield-3.2%2.3%1.5%5.2%0.1%6.0%1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.1%0.0%3.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.5%1.5%3.1%7.0%-9.1%1.1%1.3%
D/E0.00.00.00.10.30.10.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.00.00.10.10.0

Returns

AMBANVDAAVGOQCOMINTCTXNMedian
NameAmbarellaNVIDIA Broadcom Qualcomm Intel Texas In. 
1M Rtn-17.8%-13.2%5.0%-3.6%10.8%13.1%0.7%
3M Rtn-11.6%5.3%26.1%10.7%82.3%-5.9%8.0%
6M Rtn30.9%26.6%46.4%18.2%116.1%-2.7%28.8%
12M Rtn-2.4%28.1%128.6%9.5%94.7%-4.4%18.8%
3Y Rtn-8.2%965.1%640.8%47.6%54.3%12.6%51.0%
1M Excs Rtn-17.8%-13.2%5.0%-3.6%10.8%13.1%0.7%
3M Excs Rtn-19.0%-0.7%19.2%3.7%72.5%-7.0%1.5%
6M Excs Rtn16.2%11.8%31.7%3.5%101.4%-17.4%14.0%
12M Excs Rtn-15.6%16.4%123.6%-1.2%68.4%-19.8%7.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-73.7%963.2%594.4%-16.6%-14.8%-57.2%-15.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Development and sales of low-power Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based processing and video and image226338332223229
Total226338332223229


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,929,881
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202513.0%
Average Daily Volume781,829
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.47
Basic Shares Quantity42,546,979
Short % of Basic Shares4.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025903202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025603202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025328202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241206202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024904202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024606202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024329202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231208202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023908202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023606202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023331202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221209202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022908202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022608202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022401202210-K 1/31/2022
103120211210202110-Q 10/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Ju Chi-HongSenior VP, Systems & GM, Asia10152025Sell81.295,057411,09313,415,602Form