Tearsheet

Ambarella (AMBA)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $72.17 | Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Ambarella (AMBA)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $72.17
Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -89 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -24%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  Key risks
AMBA key risks include [1] significant customer concentration, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Edge AI, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Edge AI, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -89 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -24%
5 Key risks
AMBA key risks include [1] significant customer concentration, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMBA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Ambarella (AMBA) stock experienced a decline of approximately 15.2% in late November 2025, despite the company reporting better-than-expected third-quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings. This movement can be attributed to several factors that overshadowed the positive earnings report.

1. Gross Margin Pressure: Ambarella's non-GAAP gross margin for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 decreased to 60.9% from 62.6% in the same period a year prior. Analysts noted that gross margins were lower than anticipated in the guidance, as the fourth quarter was expected to include a greater proportion of high-volume customers, which tends to reduce the percentage margin.

2. Mix Shift Towards High-Volume Customers: The projected lower gross margin for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 was largely due to a strategic shift towards accommodating a higher mix of larger volume customers. While management aimed to grow gross profit dollars, the impact on percentage margins raised investor concerns.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMBA Return52%121%-59%-25%19%-1%19%
Peers Return70%26%2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMBA Win Rate58%67%33%50%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate48%60%43%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMBA Max Drawdown-38%-8%-76%-45%-35%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-21%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MBLY, NVDA, QCOM, TXN, NXPI. See AMBA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMBAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-79.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven382.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven253 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven104.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven336 days120 days

Compare to NVDA, AVGO, QCOM, INTC, TXN


In The Past

Ambarella's stock fell -79.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/8/2021. A -79.3% loss requires a 382.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ambarella (AMBA)

Better Bets than Ambarella (AMBA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMBA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ambarella

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMBAMBLYNVDAQCOMTXNNXPIMedian
NameAmbarellaMobileye.NVIDIA Qualcomm Texas In.NXP Semi. 
Mkt Price69.9210.12171.13172.37174.54223.30171.75
Mkt Cap3.58.24,544.0185.8158.756.3107.5
Rev LTM3741,938187,14244,28417,26612,04514,656
Op Inc LTM-89-386110,12212,3946,0123,0014,506
FCF LTM6462877,32412,8202,0801,7701,925
FCF 3Y Avg2639050,46211,2771,7322,2551,993
CFO LTM8069383,15914,0126,8972,3204,608
CFO 3Y Avg3847853,65212,5046,5603,1004,830

Growth & Margins

AMBAMBLYNVDAQCOMTXNNXPIMedian
NameAmbarellaMobileye.NVIDIA Qualcomm Texas In.NXP Semi. 
Rev Chg LTM48.1%7.6%65.2%13.7%9.9%-6.8%11.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.9%6.1%91.6%1.2%-4.6%-2.3%3.6%
Rev Chg Q31.2%3.7%62.5%10.0%14.2%-2.4%12.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.4%0.9%13.3%2.4%3.5%-0.6%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM-23.9%-19.9%58.8%28.0%34.8%24.9%26.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-44.4%-14.9%55.8%25.9%38.0%27.2%26.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.4%0.3%0.8%-0.2%-0.1%-0.7%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM21.4%35.8%44.4%31.6%39.9%19.3%33.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.3%24.8%46.2%31.5%38.6%24.3%28.2%
FCF/Rev LTM17.2%32.4%41.3%28.9%12.0%14.7%23.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.3%20.2%43.4%28.4%10.2%17.7%18.9%

Valuation

AMBAMBLYNVDAQCOMTXNNXPIMedian
NameAmbarellaMobileye.NVIDIA Qualcomm Texas In.NXP Semi. 
Mkt Cap3.58.24,544.0185.8158.756.3107.5
P/S9.55.924.34.19.74.87.7
P/EBIT--3.8-13.526.818.816.1
P/E-44.4-34.245.832.433.127.930.1
P/CFO44.216.654.612.824.224.824.5
Total Yield-2.3%-2.9%2.2%5.2%6.0%5.4%3.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.1%3.0%1.8%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.8%-7.0%1.1%4.0%3.4%
D/E-0.0-0.10.10.20.1
Net D/E--0.2-0.00.10.10.0

Returns

AMBAMBLYNVDAQCOMTXNNXPIMedian
NameAmbarellaMobileye.NVIDIA Qualcomm Texas In.NXP Semi. 
1M Rtn-16.8%-14.5%-8.3%3.9%12.6%17.7%-2.2%
3M Rtn-12.2%-29.0%0.5%4.8%-2.3%1.1%-0.9%
6M Rtn32.2%-33.8%17.6%13.4%-10.6%7.1%10.2%
12M Rtn-5.3%-48.5%31.3%11.6%-4.2%3.9%-0.2%
3Y Rtn-15.4%-70.1%933.7%61.1%12.7%44.3%28.5%
1M Excs Rtn-17.6%-15.2%-9.0%3.2%11.9%17.0%-2.9%
3M Excs Rtn-16.7%-32.0%-4.2%1.7%-4.4%-2.3%-4.3%
6M Excs Rtn19.9%-46.2%5.2%1.0%-23.0%-5.3%-2.1%
12M Excs Rtn-14.7%-53.3%16.4%0.1%-17.0%-6.2%-10.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-80.9%-137.9%808.4%-16.2%-60.7%-31.3%-46.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Development and sales of low-power Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based processing and video and image226338332223229
Total226338332223229


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,786,696
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202544.4%
Average Daily Volume1,361,727
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.05
Basic Shares Quantity42,866,916
Short % of Basic Shares6.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/25/2025-18.8%-21.9% 
8/28/202516.8%17.3%17.3%
5/29/2025-15.1%-16.6%6.6%
2/26/2025-17.1%-25.9%-30.5%
11/26/20245.9%3.9%7.5%
8/27/202410.6%4.3%8.1%
5/30/202420.6%19.2%11.0%
2/27/20240.1%-4.5%-11.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9812
# Negative151612
Median Positive14.1%17.9%7.8%
Median Negative-11.8%-14.0%-22.5%
Max Positive27.4%32.9%50.4%
Max Negative-31.3%-39.4%-31.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251204202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025903202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025603202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025328202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241206202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024904202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024606202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024329202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231208202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023908202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023606202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023331202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221209202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022908202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022608202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022401202210-K 1/31/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Ju Chi-HongSenior VP, Systems & GM, Asia10152025Sell81.295,057411,09313,415,602Form