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Samsara (IOT)

Market Price (4/16/2026): $29.09 | Market Cap: $16.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Research & Consulting Services

Samsara (IOT)

Market Price (4/16/2026): $29.09
Market Cap: $16.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Research & Consulting Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Future of Freight, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -19%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -53 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.2%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 71x

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2%

Key risks
IOT key risks include [1] long-term disruption to its core product demand from the adoption of autonomous vehicles and [2] a high valuation that conflicts with its lack of profitability and negative cash flow.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Future of Freight, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -19%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -53 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.2%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 71x
7 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2%
9 Key risks
IOT key risks include [1] long-term disruption to its core product demand from the adoption of autonomous vehicles and [2] a high valuation that conflicts with its lack of profitability and negative cash flow.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Samsara (IOT) stock has lost about 20% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Insider Selling Following Strong Earnings.

Despite Samsara reporting robust Q4 FY2026 earnings in early March 2026, which saw the stock surge by nearly 20% after beating EPS estimates by $0.05 and revenue expectations by $22 million, significant insider selling activity emerged. Specifically, on March 31, 2026, Co-Founder, CTO, and Director John Bicket sold approximately $41.47 million worth of shares, and Co-Founder, CEO, and Chairman Sanjit Biswas sold approximately $41.48 million worth of shares. In the preceding quarter, insiders collectively offloaded about $62.48 million in shares. This substantial insider selling, exceeding the $5 million threshold, likely signaled a lack of conviction from company leadership and contributed to negative investor sentiment and selling pressure.

2. Concerns Over Growth and Valuation Amidst Mixed Analyst Sentiment.

While Samsara delivered strong Q4 FY2026 financial results, some analysts highlighted underlying concerns about future growth and valuation. The "bear case" pointed to a notable year-over-year decline exceeding 20% in Heavy Duty Truck sales, a critical sector for Samsara, and anticipated that the company's revenue growth might fall 500 basis points below base case estimates for calendar years 2025 and 2026. These projections suggest a potential slowdown in key operational areas. Furthermore, despite a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating, Evercore ISI adjusted its price target for Samsara downwards from $50 to $40 in April 2026, explicitly citing "valuation risks." This indicates that some market participants perceived the stock as overvalued at higher price points, leading to a reassessment of its fair value and contributing to downward pressure.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.6% change in IOT stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254152026Change
Stock Price ($)35.4528.85-18.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5211,6196.4%
P/S Multiple13.410.3-23.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)575579-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution-18.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IOT-18.6% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%16.7%
Sector (XLI)10.4%-4.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -22.6% change in IOT stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254152026Change
Stock Price ($)37.2528.85-22.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,4271,61913.5%
P/S Multiple14.910.3-30.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)572579-1.3%
Cumulative Contribution-22.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IOT-22.6% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%34.9%
Sector (XLI)11.4%14.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -24.7% change in IOT stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -40.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254152026Change
Stock Price ($)38.3328.85-24.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2491,61929.6%
P/S Multiple17.310.3-40.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)564579-2.6%
Cumulative Contribution-24.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IOT-24.7% 
Market (SPY)16.3%44.7%
Sector (XLI)32.0%35.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 46.3% change in IOT stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 148.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120234152026Change
Stock Price ($)19.7228.8546.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6531,619148.0%
P/S Multiple15.810.3-34.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)522579-9.9%
Cumulative Contribution46.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IOT46.3% 
Market (SPY)63.3%42.9%
Sector (XLI)76.4%37.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
IOT Return14%-56%169%31%-19%-25%7%
Peers Return7%-40%24%38%-7%-9%-7%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%2%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IOT Win Rate100%33%67%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%37%53%53%43%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IOT Max Drawdown-10%-69%-14%-16%-26%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-47%-19%-8%-27%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VZ, TRMB, VNT, AIOT, ZBRA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/15/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIOTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven237.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven215 days464 days

Compare to VZ, TRMB, VNT, AIOT, ZBRA

In The Past

Samsara's stock fell -70.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -70.4% loss requires a 237.6% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Samsara (IOT)

Samsara Inc. provides solutions that connect physical operations data to its Connected Operations Cloud in the United States and internationally. The company's Connected Operations Cloud includes Data Platform, which ingests, aggregates, and enriches data from its IoT devices and has embedded capabilities for AI, workflows and analytics, alerts, API connections, and data security and privacy; and applications for video-based safety, vehicle telematics, apps and driver workflows, equipment monitoring, and site visibility. It serves customers across a range of industries, including transportation and logistics, construction, field services, utilities and energy, government, healthcare and education, manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade, and food and beverage. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in San Francisco, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few brief analogies for Samsara (IOT):
  • Salesforce for the physical world: Just as Salesforce provides a cloud platform to manage customer relationships, Samsara offers a cloud platform to manage and optimize physical operations and assets using IoT data.
  • Datadog for industrial operations: Similar to how Datadog provides comprehensive monitoring and analytics for IT infrastructure and applications, Samsara offers a data platform for real-time visibility and insights into physical assets, vehicles, and sites.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Connected Operations Cloud: Samsara's integrated platform that connects physical operations data, offering a comprehensive suite of data management and application services.
  • Data Platform: The foundational component of the Connected Operations Cloud, responsible for ingesting, aggregating, and enriching data from IoT devices with embedded AI, analytics, and security features.
  • Video-based Safety: Applications that utilize video to enhance safety protocols and prevent incidents for field operations.
  • Vehicle Telematics: Solutions for monitoring vehicle location, performance, and diagnostics in real-time.
  • Apps and Driver Workflows: Mobile and web applications designed to optimize driver tasks and streamline operational processes.
  • Equipment Monitoring: Applications for tracking the status, performance, and utilization of various industrial equipment.
  • Site Visibility: Solutions providing comprehensive real-time oversight and insights into physical operational sites.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Samsara (IOT) sells primarily to other companies (B2B).

Due to the nature of its diversified customer base, Samsara does not publicly disclose the names of specific major customers. Instead, the company serves a wide range of businesses across numerous industries that leverage its Connected Operations Cloud for fleet management, equipment monitoring, site visibility, and other operational intelligence needs.

Based on the company's description, Samsara's customers operate within, but are not limited to, the following industry categories:

  • Transportation and Logistics
  • Construction
  • Field Services
  • Utilities and Energy
  • Government
  • Healthcare and Education
  • Manufacturing
  • Wholesale and Retail Trade
  • Food and Beverage

As Samsara serves a broad base of businesses within these sectors, individual customer names and their public symbols are not typically made public by the company.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Sanjit Biswas, Chief Executive Officer

Sanjit Biswas is the co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Samsara. Prior to co-founding Samsara in 2015, he co-founded Meraki, a cloud networking company, where he served as CEO. Meraki was acquired by Cisco for $1.2 billion in 2012. He led Meraki as Cisco's fastest-growing cloud product after the acquisition. Biswas met his Samsara co-founder, John Bicket, as graduate students at MIT, where they collaborated on the "Roofnet" project, which formed the basis for Meraki's products. He holds a B.S. in Computer Systems Engineering from Stanford and an M.S. in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science from MIT.

Dominic Phillips, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

Dominic Phillips serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Samsara, a role he has held since December 2019. Before joining Samsara, Phillips was the Vice President of Finance and Head of Corporate Development at ServiceNow, where he was responsible for financial planning and analysis, investor relations, treasury, and corporate development. Earlier in his career, he worked as a Vice President on Morgan Stanley's technology investment banking team, providing advice to technology companies on financial and strategic transactions. He began his career in public accounting at PwC. Phillips earned a B.S. in Business from Cal Poly San Luis Obispo and an M.B.A. from UC Berkeley's Haas School of Business.

John Bicket, Chief Technology Officer

John Bicket is a co-founder and the Chief Technology Officer of Samsara. Before co-founding Samsara in 2015, he also co-founded Meraki with Sanjit Biswas, serving as its CTO and VP of Engineering. Meraki was acquired by Cisco for $1.2 billion in 2012. At Samsara, Bicket is responsible for the company's technology that simplifies and secures the operation of thousands of sensors. He holds a B.S. in Computer Science from Cornell University and an S.M. in Computer Science from MIT.

Kiren Sekar, Chief Product Officer

Kiren Sekar leads Samsara's global product and engineering organizations as Chief Product Officer. He also previously served as Samsara's Chief Strategy Officer. Prior to joining Samsara's founding team, Sekar was the VP of Marketing at Meraki (now part of Cisco Systems), where he helped the business grow significantly. He has also held software engineering and management positions at various startups and at Apple, where he holds patents for network protocol design. Sekar received a B.S. in Computer Science from Stanford.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Samsara's business are:
  1. Intense Competition and Market Headwinds: Samsara operates in a highly competitive market for connected operations and telematics solutions. The company faces competition from established players like Geotab, Verizon Connect, and Lytx, as well as various private companies. This intense competitive landscape could lead to pricing pressure, accelerated demands for innovation, and potential erosion of market share. Additionally, larger incumbent technology companies may bundle IoT solutions into broader digital transformation offerings, which could undercut Samsara's pricing and limit its ability to acquire new customers. Macroeconomic pressures also pose a constant threat, potentially impacting customer spending on Samsara's services.
  2. Potential Disruption from Autonomous Vehicles: A significant long-term risk to Samsara's business model is the potential disruption caused by the increasing adoption of autonomous vehicles. As autonomous technology advances and becomes more prevalent in industries like transportation and logistics, the need for certain aspects of Samsara's current solutions, such as human driver monitoring and traditional telematics for human-operated fleets, could diminish or fundamentally change. This could lead to a significant shift in the market that Samsara currently serves.
  3. Growth Deceleration and Valuation Risk: As a high-growth technology company, Samsara faces the risk of its revenue growth decelerating, which has been forecast to slow from 33% in fiscal year 2025 to the mid-20% range in fiscal year 2026. This deceleration in growth, combined with Samsara's high valuation multiples (e.g., a high forward Price/Sales ratio), poses a valuation risk. If the company's growth does not meet market expectations, or if macroeconomic conditions reduce enterprise technology spending, its stock valuation could be negatively impacted. Furthermore, Samsara has yet to achieve GAAP profitability, and high stock-based compensation expenses raise concerns about its capital efficiency, adding to the financial risks if growth targets are not met.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Samsara Inc. (IOT) operates within a substantial overall addressable market, which it estimates to be around $100 billion to $117 billion. The company's main products and services contribute to various segments of the connected operations landscape.

  • Connected Operations Cloud / IoT for Operations:

    The global Smart Connected Assets and Operations Market was valued at approximately USD 278.94 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 415.39 billion by 2030. The global Connected Enterprise Market was valued at USD 469.32 billion in 2023. North America accounted for 34.3% of this market's revenue in 2023. The global Internet of Things (IoT) market size was USD 864.32 billion in 2025, with projections to reach USD 5,552.48 billion by 2034. North America's IoT market share was valued at USD 279.73 billion in 2025. The global IoT Platforms Market is estimated at USD 16.11 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to about USD 49.17 billion by 2034. North America was the largest market for IoT platforms in 2024. The global cloud services market is calculated at USD 721.87 billion in 2025 and is forecasted to reach approximately USD 2,726.94 billion by 2034. The North America market size for cloud services surpassed USD 259.58 billion in 2024, and the U.S. market specifically was USD 181.70 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 817.06 billion by 2034.

  • Video-based Safety:

    The global video surveillance market size was valued at USD 53.8 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow to USD 115 billion by 2032. Another estimate places the global video surveillance market size at USD 82.7 billion in 2025, with a forecast to reach USD 290.4 billion by 2036. The North America video surveillance market is expected to reach USD 35 billion by 2032. In 2024, the global market for video surveillance systems with AI reached USD 5.64 billion, with North America contributing over a third of this amount.

  • Vehicle Telematics:

    The global vehicle telematics market size was valued at USD 93.61 billion in 2025 and is projected to increase to USD 198.69 billion by 2034. Europe held the largest share of this market in 2025. The U.S. market for vehicle telematics is projected to reach USD 26.15 billion by 2032. The global commercial vehicle telematics market size was valued at USD 61.52 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 130.08 billion by 2030. North America led this market in 2024. The global automotive telematics market size was valued at USD 91.81 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 388.49 billion by 2032. Another report estimates the global automotive telematics market at USD 49.61 billion in 2025, growing to USD 79.96 billion by 2034, with Asia Pacific leading in 2024. The global telematics market is projected to reach USD 674.97 billion by 2040, from USD 113.80 billion in 2026.

  • Apps and Driver Workflows:

    The global IoT Powered Logistics Market size is expected to reach approximately USD 809 billion by 2034, growing from USD 17.5 billion in 2024. North America held over 41% of this global market share, with an approximate revenue of USD 7.1 billion in 2024. The U.S. IoT-powered logistics market was valued at USD 6.65 billion in 2024. The global Logistics Visibility Software Market size was valued at USD 785.9 million in 2023 and is estimated to grow to USD 1.9 billion by 2032.

  • Equipment Monitoring:

    The global equipment monitoring market size is predicted to reach USD 6.45 billion by 2035. North America is the largest market, holding approximately 40% of the global share. Other estimates project the global equipment monitoring market to reach USD 5.08 billion by 2032 or USD 6.08 billion by 2034 from USD 3.51 billion in 2024. North America held 43% of the global equipment monitoring market in 2024. The global machine condition monitoring market size was valued at USD 3.00 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 6.80 billion by 2034. The global load monitoring equipment market size was valued at USD 2.85 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 3.63 billion by 2034.

  • Site Visibility:

    The global location intelligence market size was valued at USD 20.90 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 66.12 billion by 2034. The European market for location intelligence is projected to reach USD 6.07 billion by 2026.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Samsara (IOT)

Samsara (IOT) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic initiatives, focusing on expanding its customer base, deepening engagement with existing clients, and continuous innovation in its Connected Operations Cloud.

  1. Acquisition of New Large Enterprise Customers: Samsara continues to prioritize and successfully onboard large enterprise customers within the vast and early-stage digitized physical operations market. The company consistently reports adding a record number of customers to its $100,000-plus and $1 million-plus Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) cohorts. This focus on high-value customers provides a strong foundation for durable and efficient growth.
  2. Expansion within Existing Customer Base (Land and Expand): A significant driver is the expansion of product adoption among existing clients, commonly referred to as a "land and expand" strategy. Samsara's large customers increasingly utilize the platform as a system of record for physical operations by subscribing to multiple applications. For instance, 96% of large customers subscribe to two or more Samsara products, making the service sticky and fostering long-term, predictable revenue streams.
  3. New Product Innovation, particularly AI-driven Solutions: Samsara is heavily investing in research and development to introduce new applications and features, with a strong emphasis on AI-driven solutions. Recent launches, such as the AI Safety Coach, which provides automated safety outcomes and real-time voice coaching, and enhanced Asset Tags with AI-powered theft and loss workflows, are expected to fuel growth. These innovations expand use cases and drive higher product adoption and revenue per customer.
  4. International Expansion: The company is seeing good momentum in its international markets, indicating opportunities for geographical growth beyond its established presence. Expanding its global footprint allows Samsara to tap into new segments of the large, underserved physical operations market worldwide.
  5. Digitization of Physical Operations Market: Samsara benefits from addressing a massive and rapidly digitizing market in physical operations. The company's platform helps businesses improve safety, efficiency, and sustainability, offering clear return on investment (ROI) to customers. This underlying market opportunity continues to drive strong customer demand and positions Samsara for sustained growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)

Share Issuance

  • Samsara Inc. became a public company with its Class A common stock beginning to trade on the New York Stock Exchange on December 15, 2021.
  • As of March 23, 2022, there were 80,138,030 shares of Class A common stock and 428,636,573 shares of Class B common stock outstanding. As of March 18, 2025, there were 299,733,309 shares of Class A common stock and 269,587,022 shares of Class B common stock outstanding.
  • Equity-based compensation represented 20% of revenue in fiscal year 2026, with an expectation for this to decline further in fiscal year 2027 due to ongoing cost discipline.

Outbound Investments

  • In the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026, investing activities resulted in a cash outflow of $54.82 million, which primarily included $230.34 million in purchases of investments, largely offset by $183.69 million from sales and maturities of investments. This suggests the investments are likely in marketable securities rather than strategic acquisitions of other companies.

Capital Expenditures

  • For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026, Samsara's capital expenditures (purchases of property, plant and equipment) amounted to $8.0 million, marking an increase of approximately 49.95% year-over-year.
  • The capital expenditures for the last twelve months ending November 1, 2025, were reported as $26.1 million.
  • The company's definition of adjusted free cash flow excludes the cash impact of non-recurring capital expenditures associated with the build-out of its corporate office facilities in San Francisco, California.

Better Bets vs. Samsara (IOT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Samsara Stock (+20%): Blowout Guidance & Accelerating ARR Drive Post-Earnings Surge03/07/2026
2Samsara Stock Pre-Market (+12%): Blowout FY27 Guidance & Accelerating ARR Growth03/06/2026
3IOT Stock Falls -23% With A 6-day Losing Spree On Technical Breakdown02/04/2026
4IOT Stock Falls -18% With A 5-day Losing Spree On Technical Breakdown02/03/2026
5IOT Stock Sinks -12% In 7-day Spree On Heavy Director Stock Sales01/03/2026
6Samsara Earnings Notes12/25/2025
7Samsara Stock (+11%): Q3 Profitability & Growth Inflection Fuels Re-Rate12/08/2025
8Is Samsara Stock Built to Withstand More Downside?10/17/2025
9ARTICLES 
10Samsara Stock (+20%): Blowout Guidance & Accelerating ARR Drive Post-Earnings Surge03/07/2026
11Samsara Stock Pre-Market (+12%): Blowout FY27 Guidance & Accelerating ARR Growth03/06/2026

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to IOT.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
NSP_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026NSPInsperityInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days		0.0%0.0%0.0%
TNC_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026TNCTennantInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days		0.0%0.0%0.0%
ADP_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin		1.0%1.0%0.0%
HURN_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026HURNHuron ConsultingDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin		4.0%4.0%0.0%
TRU_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026TRUTransUnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin		5.2%5.2%0.0%

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IOTVZTRMBVNTAIOTZBRAMedian
NameSamsara Verizon .Trimble Vontier PowerFle.Zebra Te. 
Mkt Price28.8545.0366.7936.403.25229.6440.72
Mkt Cap16.7190.415.85.20.411.513.7
Rev LTM1,619138,1913,5873,0764335,3963,331
Op Inc LTM-5329,2596115622800586
FCF LTM20719,676361441-46831401
FCF 3Y Avg9917,170471394-21565432
CFO LTM23637,13738651114917449
CFO 3Y Avg11937,1755054648642485

Growth & Margins

IOTVZTRMBVNTAIOTZBRAMedian
NameSamsara Verizon .Trimble Vontier PowerFle.Zebra Te. 
Rev Chg LTM29.6%2.5%-2.6%3.2%47.5%8.3%5.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg35.5%0.3%-0.8%-1.1%55.3%-1.2%-0.2%
Rev Chg Q28.3%2.0%-1.4%4.1%6.6%10.6%5.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.4%0.5%-0.4%1.0%1.7%2.7%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-3.2%21.2%17.0%18.3%0.4%14.8%15.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-14.9%21.3%14.3%17.9%-4.7%14.3%14.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%-1.9%1.1%-0.1%1.8%-0.5%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM14.6%26.9%10.8%16.6%3.3%17.0%15.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%27.4%13.6%15.2%2.6%12.4%13.0%
FCF/Rev LTM12.8%14.2%10.1%14.3%-10.6%15.4%13.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.4%12.6%12.7%12.9%-6.0%10.9%11.7%

Valuation

IOTVZTRMBVNTAIOTZBRAMedian
NameSamsara Verizon .Trimble Vontier PowerFle.Zebra Te. 
Mkt Cap16.7190.415.85.20.411.513.7
P/S10.31.44.41.71.02.11.9
P/EBIT-317.76.527.19.21,686.417.213.2
P/E-1,832.111.137.312.9-14.327.512.0
P/CFO70.75.141.010.230.112.621.3
Total Yield-0.1%15.0%2.7%8.0%-7.0%3.6%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%6.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.4%10.3%3.0%7.3%-3.9%3.7%3.3%
D/E0.01.00.10.40.70.20.3
Net D/E-0.00.90.10.30.60.20.3

Returns

IOTVZTRMBVNTAIOTZBRAMedian
NameSamsara Verizon .Trimble Vontier PowerFle.Zebra Te. 
1M Rtn-11.4%-10.3%0.3%0.3%4.8%12.6%0.3%
3M Rtn-14.8%14.8%-16.3%-5.0%-42.0%-12.5%-13.6%
6M Rtn-23.5%15.2%-15.2%-9.8%-40.4%-21.7%-18.4%
12M Rtn-25.4%8.1%12.1%20.7%-32.0%0.7%4.4%
3Y Rtn44.8%40.5%36.5%36.1%9.4%-24.2%36.3%
1M Excs Rtn-16.3%-15.2%-4.5%-4.6%0.0%7.8%-4.5%
3M Excs Rtn-15.9%16.3%-17.6%-6.5%-42.1%-13.0%-14.5%
6M Excs Rtn-28.7%11.4%-18.9%-10.8%-42.3%-24.1%-21.5%
12M Excs Rtn-54.6%-21.0%-16.2%-9.0%-63.8%-29.1%-25.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-19.0%-30.9%-36.5%-30.9%-64.0%-94.9%-33.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Single Segment -323   
Total -323   


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Single Segment -287   
Total -287   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Single Segment2,024    
Total2,024    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$28.85 
Market Cap ($ Bil)16.7 
First Trading Date12/15/2021 
Distance from 52W High-39.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$29.43$35.24
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-2.0%-18.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility71.1%54.7%
Downside Capture0.790.96
Upside Capture117.36102.90
Correlation (SPY)16.2%33.0%
IOT Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.130.710.891.581.321.65
Up Beta-1.691.882.200.961.511.60
Down Beta-2.82-0.820.191.301.231.40
Up Capture43%190%84%200%95%735%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days9182758121378
Down Capture-81%57%116%169%123%111%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days13243667129370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with IOT
IOT-25.1%54.7%-0.34-
Sector ETF (XLI)37.8%15.3%1.8922.9%
Equity (SPY)22.0%12.9%1.3634.1%
Gold (GLD)49.0%27.5%1.44-4.5%
Commodities (DBC)25.0%16.1%1.384.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)17.3%13.7%0.9217.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-10.4%42.6%-0.1418.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with IOT
IOT2.8%66.1%0.31-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.1%17.3%0.6040.3%
Equity (SPY)10.9%17.0%0.5048.3%
Gold (GLD)21.9%17.8%1.014.7%
Commodities (DBC)11.5%18.8%0.508.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.0%18.8%0.1237.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.1%56.5%0.3126.7%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with IOT
IOT1.4%66.1%0.31-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.0%19.9%0.6240.3%
Equity (SPY)13.8%17.9%0.6748.3%
Gold (GLD)14.3%15.9%0.754.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.7%17.6%0.418.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2237.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.8%66.9%1.0726.7%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity32.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 315202611.9%
Average Daily Volume6.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity579.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/5/202619.5%7.7%6.3%
12/4/202511.1%7.7%-10.8%
9/4/202517.4%8.0%9.1%
6/5/2025-4.6%-13.9%-16.9%
3/6/2025-15.6%-11.3%-20.1%
12/5/2024-5.2%-15.8%-22.1%
9/5/202413.6%19.4%22.8%
6/6/2024-12.3%-18.0%0.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11129
# Negative658
Median Positive15.4%9.8%13.9%
Median Negative-8.8%-14.3%-13.8%
Max Positive27.9%46.1%44.7%
Max Negative-15.6%-18.0%-22.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
01/31/202603/16/202610-K
10/31/202512/09/202510-Q
07/31/202509/09/202510-Q
04/30/202506/10/202510-Q
01/31/202503/25/202510-K
10/31/202412/10/202410-Q
07/31/202409/10/202410-Q
04/30/202406/11/202410-Q
01/31/202403/26/202410-K
10/31/202312/05/202310-Q
07/31/202309/05/202310-Q
04/30/202306/06/202310-Q
01/31/202303/21/202310-K
10/31/202212/06/202210-Q
07/31/202209/06/202210-Q
04/30/202206/08/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2027 Revenue454.00 Mil455.00 Mil456.00 Mil7.8% RaisedGuidance: 422.00 Mil for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Revenue Growth 24.0% 9.1%2.0%RaisedGuidance: 22.0% for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Operating Margin 15.0% -6.2%-1.0%LoweredGuidance: 16.0% for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 EPS0.120.120.130.0% AffirmedGuidance: 0.12 for Q4 2026
2027 Revenue1.97 Bil1.97 Bil1.98 Bil23.4% RaisedGuidance: 1.60 Bil for 2026
2027 Revenue Growth21.0%21.5%22.0%-23.2%-6.5%LoweredGuidance: 28.0% for 2026
2027 Operating Margin 19.0% 18.8%3.0%RaisedGuidance: 16.0% for 2026
2027 EPS0.650.670.6932.7% RaisedGuidance: 0.51 for 2026

Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 12/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Revenue421.00 Mil422.00 Mil423.00 Mil0.7% RaisedGuidance: 419.00 Mil for Q4 2026
Q4 2026 Revenue Growth 22.0% 4.8%1.0%RaisedGuidance: 21.0% for Q4 2026
Q4 2026 Operating Margin 16.0% 3.2%0.5%RaisedGuidance: 15.5% for Q4 2026
Q4 2026 EPS0.120.120.138.7% RaisedGuidance: 0.12 for Q4 2026
2026 Revenue1.59 Bil1.60 Bil1.60 Bil1.3% RaisedGuidance: 1.58 Bil for 2026
2026 Revenue Growth 28.0% 7.7%2.0%RaisedGuidance: 26.0% for 2026
2026 Operating Margin 16.0% 6.7%1.0%RaisedGuidance: 15.0% for 2026
2026 EPS0.50.510.519.8% RaisedGuidance: 0.46 for 2026

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value		Value of
Held Shares		Form
1Phillips, DominicSEE REMARKSDirectSell105202634.2418,348628,18419,621,819Form
2Kirchhoff, Benjamin LouisCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICERDirectSell1231202536.131,68360,8073,515,196Form
3Biswas, SanjitCHIEF EXECUTVE OFFICERSee footnoteSell1231202536.2782,242  Form
4Biswas, SanjitCHIEF EXECUTVE OFFICERSee footnoteSell1231202535.9677,758  Form
5Bicket, JohnSEE REMARKSSee footnoteSell1231202536.2782,274  Form

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