Compass Minerals International (CMP)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.96 | Market Cap: $798.2 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Compass Minerals International (CMP)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.96Market Cap: $798.2 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, and Specialty Chemicals for Performance. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 104% | |
| Key risksCMP key risks include [1] significant financial leverage and liquidity pressure threatening potential covenant breaches, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, and Specialty Chemicals for Performance. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 104% |
| Key risksCMP key risks include [1] significant financial leverage and liquidity pressure threatening potential covenant breaches, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CMP Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting why Compass Minerals International (CMP) stock moved by approximately -0.5% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025:
1. Investor Skepticism Following Fiscal Year 2026 Guidance: A primary factor contributing to downward pressure on the stock was the market's reaction to Compass Minerals' fiscal year 2026 guidance, which projected flat adjusted EBITDA, implying modest growth and lower anticipated salt volumes. This led to a significant stock drop, reportedly over 12%, immediately following the earnings announcement in early December 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CMP Return | 7% | -14% | -19% | -37% | -55% | 69% | -65% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 70% | -7% | -18% | -18% | 20% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CMP Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 47% | 42% | 36% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CMP Max Drawdown | -41% | -19% | -38% | -42% | -69% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -63% | -3% | -15% | -31% | -25% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NTR, MOS, IPI. See CMP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CMP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -68.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 215.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 238 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -53.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 766 days | 1480 days |
Compare to SCCO, MOS, NX, CRML, NEXM
In The Past
Compass Minerals International's stock fell -68.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/15/2021. A -68.3% loss requires a 215.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CMP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Compass Minerals International
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| Rev LTM | 6,569 |
| Op Inc LTM | 551 |
| FCF LTM | 78 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 261 |
| CFO LTM | 649 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 977 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 8.8 |
| P/E | 3.5 |
| P/CFO | 7.1 |
| Total Yield | 0.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -15.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 27.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -25.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -27.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 10.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -100.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt | 1,011 | 1,010 | 671 | 779 | 890 |
| Plant Nutrition | 182 | 222 | 157 | ||
| Corporate & Other | 12 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| Plant Nutrition North America | 215 | 206 | |||
| Plant Nutrition South America | 385 | ||||
| Total | 1,205 | 1,244 | 837 | 1,005 | 1,490 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt | 170 | 116 | 133 | 161 | 168 |
| Plant Nutrition | 10 | 37 | 6 | ||
| Corporate & Other | -103 | -110 | -60 | -73 | -67 |
| Plant Nutrition North America | 15 | 22 | |||
| Plant Nutrition South America | 40 | ||||
| Total | 77 | 43 | 79 | 103 | 164 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt | 1,050 | 1,021 | 1,040 | 1,021 | 1,056 |
| Plant Nutrition | 473 | 475 | 459 | ||
| Corporate & Other | 293 | 148 | 122 | 134 | 96 |
| Current assets held for sale | 10 | 206 | |||
| Noncurrent assets held for sale | 404 | ||||
| Plant Nutrition North America | 496 | 576 | |||
| Plant Nutrition South America | 715 | ||||
| Total | 1,817 | 1,644 | 1,631 | 2,262 | 2,443 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/8/2025 | -13.8% | -10.2% | |
| 8/11/2025 | -10.7% | -11.5% | -16.1% |
| 5/7/2025 | 26.2% | 38.7% | 39.8% |
| 12/16/2024 | 1.4% | -16.0% | 12.7% |
| 9/17/2024 | 21.1% | 17.0% | 39.3% |
| 5/7/2024 | 0.7% | -5.2% | 1.7% |
| 2/7/2024 | -5.8% | -4.7% | -6.8% |
| 11/16/2023 | -4.1% | 2.1% | 7.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| # Negative | 13 | 14 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -7.9% | -20.1% |
| Max Positive | 26.2% | 38.7% | 39.8% |
| Max Negative | -20.8% | -30.0% | -25.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 12122025 | 10-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12162024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11292023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12142022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2082022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |