Innventure (INV)
Market Price (9/21/2026): $0.629 | Market Cap: $52.3 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Innventure (INV)
Market Price (9/21/2026): $0.629Market Cap: $52.3 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -31% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 155% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -86% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Innovation & Commercialization. Themes include Technology Commercialization, and Venture Incubation. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -132%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -167% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.6 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -120 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3191% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 13x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 740% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3663%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3727% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -232% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 140% Key risksINV key risks include [1] significant financial losses and dependence on external capital, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -31% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 155% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -86% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Innovation & Commercialization. Themes include Technology Commercialization, and Venture Incubation. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -132%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -167% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.6 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -120 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3191% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 13x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 740% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3663%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3727% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -232% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 140% |
| Key risksINV key risks include [1] significant financial losses and dependence on external capital, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Innventure (INV) stock has lost about 90% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Allegations of Fabricated DarkNX Data Center Deal Led to Initial Stock Decline.
On May 28, 2026, forensic research firm Morpheus Research published a report alleging that Innventure's subsidiary, Accelsius, had a fabricated 300-megawatt data center deal with DarkNX. The report claimed "zero evidence this project exists or that DarkNX has the team or funding to even contemplate such a project.". This report caused Innventure's stock price to drop by $0.54 per share, or 8.42%, to close at $5.87 per share on May 28, 2026.
2. Significant Q2 2026 Earnings Miss and DarkNX Project Cancellation Accelerated Losses.
Innventure reported its fiscal Q2 2026 (ending June 30, 2026) results on August 13, 2026, missing analysts' expectations. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) loss of -$0.32, significantly wider than the estimated -$0.20. Additionally, revenue came in at $0.95 million, falling short of the $1.97 million forecast. Crucially, Innventure announced the "deployment site identified in the DarkNX purchase order is no longer available" and removed the project from its internal bookings, leading to the suspension of Accelsius' 2026 revenue and cash flow targets. This news triggered a 55% stock price decline on August 14, 2026, from $3.60 to $1.62 per share.
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Innventure (INV) stock has lost about 90% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Allegations of Fabricated DarkNX Data Center Deal Led to Initial Stock Decline.
On May 28, 2026, forensic research firm Morpheus Research published a report alleging that Innventure's subsidiary, Accelsius, had a fabricated 300-megawatt data center deal with DarkNX. The report claimed "zero evidence this project exists or that DarkNX has the team or funding to even contemplate such a project.". This report caused Innventure's stock price to drop by $0.54 per share, or 8.42%, to close at $5.87 per share on May 28, 2026.
2. Significant Q2 2026 Earnings Miss and DarkNX Project Cancellation Accelerated Losses.
Innventure reported its fiscal Q2 2026 (ending June 30, 2026) results on August 13, 2026, missing analysts' expectations. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) loss of -$0.32, significantly wider than the estimated -$0.20. Additionally, revenue came in at $0.95 million, falling short of the $1.97 million forecast. Crucially, Innventure announced the "deployment site identified in the DarkNX purchase order is no longer available" and removed the project from its internal bookings, leading to the suspension of Accelsius' 2026 revenue and cash flow targets. This news triggered a 55% stock price decline on August 14, 2026, from $3.60 to $1.62 per share.
3. Strategic Shift and Cost Reductions Highlighted Financial Challenges.
Following the disappointing Q2 2026 results, Innventure announced a strategic pivot from revenue-based targets to milestone-driven reporting and pushed out the timeline for Accelsius to achieve cash flow breakeven beyond 2026, also removing its 2028 consolidated positive cash flow target. The company further outlined corporate actions to address shareholder concerns, including actively pursuing monetization alternatives for AeroFlexx, transitioning Refinity to independent funding, and aggressively reducing parent-level operating costs, aiming to decrease quarterly cash expenses (excluding debt service) from $7.5 million to $4.5 million.
4. Multiple Securities Class Action Lawsuits Were Filed.
Several law firms announced the filing of securities class action lawsuits against Innventure and certain executives in September 2026. These lawsuits allege securities fraud, citing misrepresentations regarding the viability of the DarkNX data center deal and its impact on the company's financial outlook. These legal actions further contributed to negative investor sentiment and pressure on the stock price.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -88.8% change in INV stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -89.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312026 | 9202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.33 | 0.60 | -88.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3 | 4 | 14.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 126.7 | 13.2 | -89.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 78 | 83 | -6.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -88.8% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2026 to 9/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| INV | -88.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.9% | 40.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.3% | 12.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -79.0% change in INV stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -85.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 9202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.84 | 0.60 | -79.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2 | 4 | 122.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 93.8 | 13.2 | -85.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 83 | -32.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -79.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 9/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| INV | -79.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.6% | 31.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 9.2% | 10.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -89.0% change in INV stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -93.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 9202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.45 | 0.60 | -89.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 4 | 154.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 194.4 | 13.2 | -93.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 53 | 83 | -36.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -89.0% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 9/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| INV | -89.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.4% | 34.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 14.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2023 to 9/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| INV | ||
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 20.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 69.8% | 11.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| INV Return | - | - | - | 2% | -70% | -84% | -95% |
| Peers Return | 34% | -9% | 69% | 38% | 5% | 15% | 242% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| INV Win Rate | - | - | - | 33% | 33% | 22% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 68% | 43% | 62% | 60% | 43% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 44% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| INV Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -82% | -91% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -32% | -24% | -23% | -42% | -33% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRT, CARR, NVT, AMCR, GPK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/18/2026 (YTD)
About Innventure (INV)
Innventure (INV) employs a distinctive innovation model centered on identifying and transforming promising technologies from multinational corporations (MNCs) into successful, independent standalone businesses. Rather than operating as a traditional venture capital firm or an internal corporate incubator, Innventure specializes in taking underutilized R&D assets from large corporations and providing the dedicated resources and expertise needed for their commercialization and scaling.
The company's core service involves the entire process of company creation and growth around these selected technologies. Innventure manages everything from initial business strategy and development to operational execution, effectively de-risking the commercialization process for the MNCs. This enables MNCs to participate in the potential future economic upside of their innovations without incurring additional funding requirements, operational burdens, or the typical risks associated with launching new ventures themselves.
Innventure's primary customers are multinational corporations seeking to unlock unrealized value from their significant R&D investments, particularly for technologies that may not fit neatly into their existing business lines or have not yet found a path to market. By creating and scaling new businesses from these technologies, Innventure operates within the broader innovation ecosystem, generating new enterprises and serving as a strategic partner for large corporations looking to monetize their intellectual property through external commercialization.
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- A Y Combinator for corporate R&D spin-offs.
- Like an outsourced innovation lab for multinational corporations, transforming their R&D into standalone businesses.
- A venture studio that creates companies exclusively from the untapped technology of large corporations.
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- Technology Commercialization & Business Creation: Innventure identifies promising technologies from multinational corporations and builds them into successful standalone businesses.
- New Venture Scaling & Growth: Innventure provides expertise and resources to scale and grow the newly created businesses for long-term success and value realization.
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Innventure (symbol: INV) primarily serves other companies rather than individuals.
Based on the provided background, Innventure's major customers are Multinational Corporations (MNCs). Innventure's model involves sourcing promising technologies from these MNCs and transforming them into successful standalone businesses. In doing so, Innventure enables MNCs to unlock unrealized value from their R&D investments and participate in the future economic benefits of these technologies without incurring the risks or requiring additional funding and operational support for commercialization.
The provided description does not list the names of specific multinational corporations that are Innventure's customers.
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Gregory W. Haskell leads Innventure in founding, funding, and operating companies that utilize evolving technology. He spearheaded the company's IPO to secure capital for current and future ventures, with the aim of holding majority stakes and developing Innventure into an operating conglomerate that retains its companies indefinitely. Haskell also established Accelsius in June 2022, guiding it from its conceptual stage to commercial operation in just over two years. He has also discussed Innventure's partnerships with major corporations like Nokia and Procter & Gamble.
David Yablunosky, Chief Financial Officer
David Yablunosky serves as the Chief Financial Officer for Innventure and is a member of the Executive Committee and a Class II Director. He oversees the financial operations of the company. Yablunosky has received significant equity compensation awards through Innventure's 2024 Equity and Incentive Compensation Plan.
Michael Otworth, Executive Chairman
Michael Otworth is a co-founder of Innventure and previously held the position of CEO. He co-founded Innventure with the mission to address global unmet needs through new emerging technologies, often sourced from the R&D efforts of multinational corporations. Prior to Innventure, Otworth was part of the founding team of XL Vision, which later became XL Tech Group. He later brought together John Scott and others to establish Innventure. Otworth advocates for "adaptive strategic positioning," emphasizing agility, continuous learning, and a team-oriented culture that promotes shared ownership and accountability. He seeks to hire "athletes" who demonstrate determination, resilience, and an eagerness for new challenges.
Dr. John Scott, Chief Strategy Officer
Dr. John Scott is a co-founder of Innventure and an angel investor in five startups. He possesses PhDs in physics and high-energy astrophysics. Scott was a member of the founding team of the original XL Vision, which evolved into XL Tech Group, and served as a mentor to Michael Otworth. His background also includes a role as director of the directed energy component of the Star Wars program.
Roland Austrup, Chief Growth Officer
Roland Austrup is Innventure's Chief Growth Officer and a member of the Executive Committee. He is responsible for driving the company's growth initiatives.
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The key risks to Innventure's business, based on its unique model of sourcing and commercializing technologies from multinational corporations, include its precarious financial health, challenges in scaling new technologies and securing funding, and the inherent risks associated with market adoption and commercialization.
- Poor Financial Health and Profitability Issues
Innventure faces significant financial challenges, indicated by its "poor financial strength" with an Altman Z-Score in the "distress zone". The company has reported a revenue growth decline of 14.4% over the past three years and ongoing losses, with its earnings per share (EPS) at -6.62 and a "significantly negative" net margin of -18,775.74%. Furthermore, its current and quick ratios of 0.39 and 0.31 respectively, suggest liquidity constraints. A Beneish M-Score of 21.44 also points to potential financial manipulation. These metrics collectively highlight fundamental issues with the company's financial stability and ability to generate profits. - Challenges in Scaling New Technologies and Securing Funding
Innventure's business model is centered on the "capital-intensive scale-up of breakthrough technologies into commercial operations". This inherently carries "sector-specific risks" related to scaling new technologies and "securing funding in a competitive asset management landscape". The company's success relies on the "availability, timing and terms of additional financing, including debt or equity financing" and navigating "market conditions affecting access to capital". While Innventure aims for its subsidiaries to become financially independent, reducing reliance on corporate capital, the need for substantial funding to scale innovative technologies remains a critical and ongoing challenge. - Market Adoption and Commercialization Risk of New Technologies
A fundamental risk for Innventure is the successful "implementation, adoption, market acceptance and success of Innventure's and its subsidiaries' products, business models and growth strategies". The company's core involves "commercializing breakthrough technology solutions", and a significant challenge in this endeavor is "getting the market to adopt the new innovation," as consumers are often reluctant to change existing solutions. Despite Innventure's efforts to mitigate this risk through collaborations with multinational corporations to identify market needs and accelerate adoption, the ultimate success of its created companies hinges on overcoming market resistance and achieving widespread acceptance for its novel technologies.
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The clear emerging threat to Innventure is the increasing sophistication and prevalence of **multinational corporations (MNCs) developing their own internal corporate venturing, innovation labs, and spin-out capabilities.** While Innventure offers MNCs a model to commercialize technologies without requiring additional funding or operational support from the MNCs themselves, a growing number of large corporations are choosing to invest in establishing internal venture studios or dedicated spin-out units. This allows them to maintain greater control over their intellectual property, potentially capture a larger share of the economic upside, and strategically integrate new ventures more closely with their long-term goals. As MNCs become more adept and willing to internalize the process of transforming promising technologies into standalone businesses, the pool of available IP that Innventure can source through its unique model may diminish, directly threatening its deal flow and competitive advantage.
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Innventure (NASDAQ: INV) focuses on creating and scaling operating companies that commercialize transformative technology solutions sourced from multinational corporations. The addressable markets for Innventure's main operating companies are as follows:
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Accelsius (Data Center Liquid Cooling): The global data center liquid cooling market is projected to grow from approximately $2.84 billion in 2025 to $21.14 billion by 2032, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.2%.
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AeroFlexx (Sustainable Liquid Packaging): AeroFlexx targets the global flexible packaging market, which is projected to grow from approximately $248.1 billion in 2023 to $309.5 billion by 2028.
-
Refinity (Waste-to-Value Chemical Technologies / Advanced Recycling): The global advanced recycling market, which includes waste-to-value chemical technologies, was valued at approximately $2.11 billion in 2025 and is predicted to reach about $7.26 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 13.16% from 2026 to 2035. Other estimates indicate the global advanced recycling technologies market size was valued at $2.99 billion in 2025 and is predicted to reach $45.87 billion by 2035 at a 31.5% CAGR.
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Innventure (NASDAQ: INV) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives aligned with its unique business model of commercializing breakthrough technologies from multinational corporations (MNCs).
- Scaling of Existing Portfolio Companies: A significant driver of revenue growth will be the continued scaling and commercialization of its current portfolio companies. Notably, Accelsius, a consolidated subsidiary focused on data center cooling products, is projected to achieve cash-flow positivity by the end of 2026. This growth is anticipated as Accelsius deploys its NeuCool liquid cooling technology across large AI data center campuses. Furthermore, AeroFlexx, specializing in sustainable liquid packaging, and Refinity, focused on waste-to-value chemical technologies, are both launching direct capital raises as they reach commercial and technical inflection points, indicating a ramp-up in their commercial activities and potential revenue generation.
- Creation and Commercialization of New Technology Companies: Innventure's core business model involves systematically creating and operating new industrial enterprises from groundbreaking technology solutions sourced from MNCs, with a target of building companies with billion-dollar valuations. This continuous pipeline of new venture creation and subsequent commercialization is expected to be a fundamental driver of revenue growth as Innventure participates in the early-stage economics of these burgeoning businesses.
- Expansion in High-Growth Technology Sectors: The company strategically focuses on high-growth technology sectors, such as AI cooling solutions (through Accelsius) and sustainable packaging (through AeroFlexx). This focus positions Innventure to capitalize on expanding markets and increasing demand for innovative solutions in these areas, thereby driving future revenue.
- Enhanced Credibility and Increased MNC Partnerships: Innventure's transition to a public company on Nasdaq is expected to enhance its credibility and market position as an innovation partner for major global companies. This heightened profile could lead to an increase in strategic collaborations with MNCs, providing Innventure with a broader and more robust pipeline of promising technologies to transform into new ventures.
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Capital Allocation Decisions for Innventure (INV) over the Last 3-5 Years
Share Issuance
- Innventure completed a registered direct offering of common stock in January 2026, generating approximately $40 million in gross proceeds, intended to repay outstanding convertible debentures and for working capital and general corporate purposes.
- In Q2 2025, the company recorded $27 million in cash from financing activities, which included raising $6.5 million through related party and other term convertible notes.
- Innventure bolstered its capital structure with $10 million in convertible debentures in September 2025 and an additional $5 million in November 2025.
Inbound Investments
- Accelsius, an Innventure operating company, secured a $25 million strategic investment from Johnson Controls in early October 2025.
- Accelsius completed a $40 million Series B-1 funding round in 2025, with contributions from Legrand DPC, LLC and Johnson Controls, Inc.
Outbound Investments
- Innventure's core business model involves founding and scaling operating companies, such as Accelsius which was founded in May 2022.
- In 2025, Innventure continued to fund its operating companies, including Accelsius, alongside Accelsius's direct capital raises, and funded other operating companies through its corporate balance sheet.
Capital Expenditures
- In the last 12 months (prior to March 2026), Innventure reported capital expenditures of approximately $1.64 million.
- Strategic expansion in Q2 2025 included the establishment of a new manufacturing facility in Austin.
- Refinity, an Innventure company, plans for a mid-scale demonstration of 2.5 kilotonnes per year in 2026 and a 10 kilotonne commercial demonstration in subsequent years, ultimately aiming for a full commercial scale of approximately 150 kilotonnes per year.
Peer Outperformance in Asset Management & Custody Banks
null| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinsurance | 6 | 24.2% | 70.6% | 133.7% | SPNT 170% · RGA 154% · RNR 140% |
| Investment Banking & Brokerage | 13 | -1.7% | 105.1% | 116.5% | IBKR 527% · SNEX 257% · HOOD 183% |
| Diversified Banks | 12 | 27.5% | 129.8% | 116.3% | CM 161% · JPM 159% · RY 149% |
| Life & Health Insurance | 20 | 8.6% | 57.6% | 105.8% | JXN 534% · UNM 373% · FG 207% |
| Multi-Sector Holdings | 4 | 6.8% | 50.2% | 87.3% | JONE 361% · VOYA 88% · BRK-B 87% |
| Property & Casualty Insurance | 42 | 9.6% | 67.5% | 67.8% | ASIC 2760900% · HRTG 445% · UVE 331% |
| Regional Banks | 265 | 23.9% | 91.7% | 67.1% | ESQ 391% · GCBC 340% · VBNK 335% |
| Multi-line Insurance | 9 | 8.8% | 71.2% | 64.1% | GNW 201% · L 112% · SLF 104% |
| Financial Exchanges & Data | 15 | -0.1% | 17.4% | 32.7% | VIRT 184% · CBOE 135% · CME 83% |
| Diversified Financial Services | 4 | -7.3% | 22.1% | 32.6% | FRHC 168% · EQH 119% · TMS -54% |
| Consumer Finance | 30 | 1.7% | 89.6% | 26.9% | ENVA 447% · EZPW 319% · FCFS 168% |
| Insurance Brokers | 16 | -15.1% | -6.3% | 20.3% | LIFE 200% · ARX 87% · AJG 70% |
| Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance | 14 | -50.2% | 32.8% | 13.9% | FNMA 454% · FMCC 436% · ACT 204% |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks ← | 84 | -11.7% | 17.6% | 12.0% | WT 348% · SII 279% · VCTR 274% |
| Specialized Finance | 3 | 14.0% | 42.2% | -2.8% | EFC 27% · CACC -3% · HASI -16% |
| Mortgage REITs | 33 | -13.0% | 7.4% | -16.5% | NREF 53% · RITM 42% · DX 34% |
| Transaction & Payment Processing Services | 15 | -1.0% | -5.9% | -42.9% | V 74% · MA 73% · CPAY 58% |
| Diversified Capital Markets | 20 | -36.3% | 20.7% | -48.1% | OPY 196% · LPLA 136% · GOLD 90% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Innventure Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Can Innventure Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 47.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 22.5 |
| Rev LTM | 10,058 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,193 |
| FCF LTM | 903 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 728 |
| CFO LTM | 1,472 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,240 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 36.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 25.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 16.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Other | 1 | 1 | ||
| Elimination of management services provided to Technology | -0 | -0 | 0 | |
| Corporate | 1 | 2 | ||
| Total | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | -80 | -20 | ||
| Technology | -395 | -11 | -18 | -1 |
| Corporate | -15 | 7 | ||
| Total | -475 | -31 | -33 | 7 |
| $ Mil | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate | 23 | 27 | 47 |
| Technology | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| Eliminations | -18 | -1 | 0 |
| Total | 22 | 28 | 47 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $0.60 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/03/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -91.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.35 | $4.18 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -74.6% | -85.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 154.0% | 140.3% |
| Downside Capture | 1664.42 | 743.83 |
| Upside Capture | 273.45 | 353.83 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 42.2% | 34.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 8.02 | 7.90 | 5.09 | 3.40 | 3.86 | 0.26 |
| Up Beta | 1.27 | 5.16 | 3.03 | 1.64 | 1.86 | 0.46 |
| Down Beta | -10.53 | -0.55 | -1.09 | 1.28 | 2.26 | -1.74 |
| Up Capture | 746% | 792% | 869% | 784% | 2021% | 196% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 15 | 24 | 54 | 109 | 209 |
| Down Capture | 2000% | 919% | 513% | 300% | 202% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 324 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 26 | 38 | 70 | 139 | 258 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with INV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INV | -90.6% | 140.2% | -0.95 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 4.5% | 14.6% | 0.08 | 14.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.9% | 12.9% | 0.94 | 34.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.1% | 29.3% | 0.60 | 10.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 46.3% | 20.6% | 1.73 | 4.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 13.6% | 0.10 | 8.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.6% | 44.3% | -0.70 | 23.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with INV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INV | -46.5% | 120.4% | -0.74 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.1% | 18.4% | 0.41 | 11.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.2% | 0.57 | 20.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.1% | 18.8% | 0.83 | 7.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.5% | 0.45 | 2.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.1% | 18.8% | -0.05 | 5.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.5% | 52.5% | 0.42 | 19.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with INV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INV | -26.9% | 120.4% | -0.74 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.9% | 22.1% | 0.53 | 11.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 20.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.4% | 0.61 | 7.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 2.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.4% | 20.7% | 0.18 | 5.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 62.6% | 66.2% | 1.02 | 19.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 9/16/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/13/2026 | -55.1% | -58.3% | -76.4% |
| 5/14/2026 | -8.2% | -8.6% | -17.9% |
| 11/13/2025 | -12.2% | -5.4% | 32.5% |
| 5/15/2025 | 16.0% | 33.4% | 18.4% |
| 11/14/2024 | 3.5% | 4.2% | 18.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| # Negative | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 9.7% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
| Median Negative | -12.2% | -8.6% | -47.1% |
| Max Positive | 16.0% | 33.4% | 32.5% |
| Max Negative | -55.1% | -58.3% | -76.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/13/2026 | -55.1% | -58.3% | -76.4% |
| 5/14/2026 | -8.2% | -8.6% | -17.9% |
| 11/13/2025 | -12.2% | -5.4% | 32.5% |
| 5/15/2025 | 16.0% | 33.4% | 18.4% |
| 11/14/2024 | 3.5% | 4.2% | 18.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| # Negative | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 9.7% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
| Median Negative | -12.2% | -8.6% | -47.1% |
| Max Positive | 16.0% | 33.4% | 32.5% |
| Max Negative | -55.1% | -58.3% | -76.4% |
Insider Activity
Updated 9/15/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brown, Bruce | Direct | Buy | 8212026 | 1.51 | 30,000 | 45,399 | 161,779 | Form | |
| 2 | Haskell, Gregory W | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 8212026 | 1.51 | 50,000 | 75,600 | 1,481,462 | Form |
| 3 | Otworth, Michael | Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 8212026 | 1.51 | 231,000 | 349,295 | 5,717,382 | Form |
| 4 | Donnally, James O | See footnote | Buy | 8212026 | 1.50 | 225,000 | 337,500 | 379,329 | Form | |
| 5 | Hennessy, Daniel J | Direct | Sell | 4162026 | 5.01 | 2,992 | 14,990 | 3,830,130 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brown, Bruce | Direct | Buy | 8212026 | 1.51 | 30,000 | 45,399 | 161,779 | Form | |
| 2 | Haskell, Gregory W | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 8212026 | 1.51 | 50,000 | 75,600 | 1,481,462 | Form |
| 3 | Otworth, Michael | Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 8212026 | 1.51 | 231,000 | 349,295 | 5,717,382 | Form |
| 4 | Donnally, James O | See footnote | Buy | 8212026 | 1.50 | 225,000 | 337,500 | 379,329 | Form | |
| 5 | Hennessy, Daniel J | Direct | Sell | 4162026 | 5.01 | 2,992 | 14,990 | 3,830,130 | Form | |
| 6 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 12182025 | 4.68 | 252,502 | 1,181,709 | 28,713,129 | Form | |
| 7 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 12182025 | 4.86 | 184,777 | 898,016 | 31,044,640 | Form | |
| 8 | Hennessy, Daniel J | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 5.19 | 55,840 | 289,810 | 3,950,083 | Form | |
| 9 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 12032025 | 4.76 | 172,589 | 821,524 | 31,285,390 | Form | |
| 10 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 12032025 | 4.95 | 117,901 | 583,610 | 33,388,492 | Form | |
| 11 | Otworth, Michael | Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 12032025 | 5.06 | 12,000 | 60,720 | 17,672,591 | Form |
| 12 | Hennessy, Daniel J | Direct | Sell | 12032025 | 5.01 | 8,450 | 42,334 | 4,092,844 | Form | |
| 13 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 12032025 | 5.11 | 427,301 | 2,183,508 | 35,070,191 | Form | |
| 14 | Austrup, Roland | Chief Growth Officer | Direct | Buy | 12032025 | 5.01 | 4,900 | 24,549 | 4,349,502 | Form |
| 15 | Hennessy, Daniel J | Direct | Sell | 12032025 | 5.13 | 81,993 | 420,624 | 4,234,225 | Form | |
| 16 | Haskell, Gregory W | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 11262025 | 5.14 | 10,000 | 51,400 | 3,917,271 | Form |
| 17 | Scott, John Stewart | Chief Strategy Officer | Direct | Sell | 11262025 | 5.13 | 452,668 | 2,322,187 | 10,080,712 | Form |
| 18 | Hennessy, Daniel J | Direct | Sell | 11262025 | 5.31 | 266,367 | 1,414,409 | 4,818,177 | Form | |
| 19 | Donnally, James O | See footnote | Buy | 11252025 | 3.37 | 27,886 | 93,976 | 93,976 | Form | |
| 20 | Niemeyer, Suzanne | Direct | Buy | 11212025 | 3.40 | 4,000 | 13,600 | 1,830,115 | Form | |
| 21 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 11202025 | 3.51 | 302,211 | 1,060,761 | 25,589,136 | Form | |
| 22 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 11202025 | 3.34 | 235,765 | 787,455 | 25,359,160 | Form | |
| 23 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 11202025 | 3.61 | 263,782 | 952,253 | 28,260,264 | Form | |
| 24 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 10292025 | 2.92 | 149,708 | 437,147 | 23,628,961 | Form | |
| 25 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 10292025 | 2.97 | 98,167 | 291,556 | 24,478,199 | Form | |
| 26 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 10242025 | 3.03 | 263,627 | 798,790 | 25,270,155 | Form | |
| 27 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 10242025 | 3.13 | 193,587 | 605,927 | 26,929,306 | Form | |
| 28 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 10242025 | 3.01 | 436,296 | 1,313,251 | 26,479,569 | Form | |
| 29 | We-Inn, Llc | Direct | Sell | 10142025 | 3.92 | 2,300 | 9,016 | 2,186,184 | Form | |
| 30 | Hennessy, Daniel J | Direct | Sell | 10142025 | 5.21 | 10,828 | 56,414 | 6,115,211 | Form | |
| 31 | Hennessy, Daniel J | Direct | Sell | 10082025 | 5.05 | 8,606 | 43,460 | 5,982,094 | Form | |
| 32 | Hennessy, Daniel J | Direct | Sell | 10082025 | 5.01 | 500 | 2,505 | 5,977,827 | Form | |
| 33 | Hennessy, Daniel J | Direct | Sell | 10082025 | 5.11 | 6,265 | 32,014 | 6,099,700 | Form |
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